EURUSD before FED Today is due the most important type of news for the market - FED Interest Rate decision.
We're expecting a 0.5% hike and that is most likely going to happen.
What we need to find out is what follows after that.
We actually think that those rumors have already affected price by pushing it higher prior to the news.
It's very likely to see price dropping and leaving a wick below the previous low from 13th of May and then to begin climbing towards 1,05-1,06.
We will then expect a continuation of the downtrend.
This is the main scenario that we look at the moment.
We don't currently have any trades and we're only looking to enter after the news, once all setups are confirmed.
Pullback
JICPT| EURUSD daily bullish setupHello everyone. First of all, I'm bearish on EURUSD from long-term perspective, but it doesn't mean we couldn't find good bullish setup for trading, especially when the pair rebounded from the low around 1.3 created in Dec of 2016.
On the daily chart, EURUSD is on the uptrend as it took over the recent high as well as the downtrend line. Sellers' pressure came in at the whole number 1.8.
What I'm expecting is pullback long opportunity as marked on the daily chart. The rally-base-rally demand zone( 1.0528-1.0567 ) is confluence with key fib retracement. I set alert for the revisit.
If the pair goes as expected, it'll be a trade with a risk reward ratio at least above 5.
What do you think? Give me a like if you're with me.
We don't trade EURUSD before FED The freefall on EURUSD continued yesterday as well. It's possible to see price trying to breakout of the 1,0400 level again.
Tomorrow, we have important USD news and we would expect a pullback.
Right now, it's probably best not to trade but to wait for better entry levels.
There are going to be some big moves during the news and we will be looking for trading opportunities once they're gone.
A downtrend on EURUSD The downtrend after ECB continues
We also have FED's Interest Rate decision coming out this week as well.
Quite often before such an even, we don't see any significant move but price is mainly trading around the same levels.
That's what we're probably going to see now. A possible retracement before the next drop.
XAUUSD Longs XAUUSD has broken structure on the lower time frame and we are aiming for higher highs. However if price is able to trade back into one of these demand zones, we would like to take the opportunity to open trades in these areas. We would like to see some sort of reaction in one of these spots before we begin to enter the market, so lets see how these playout!
US500 ShortsUS500, US100, US30 have been trading higher in this descending structure. We have a couple of zones we are look at for sells. However, Asia and new york sessions like to take out liquidity. So we are wanting to see some time of reaction in any of these specific zones before we take any entries. Especially if price continues to trade higher and hunt stops, we dont want to jump in too quick. Lets see how it goes this week!
EURUSD longs with targets at 1,0900Yesterday, we talked about a possible move up on EURUSD
Today, we have better entry levels which also means a better risk to reward ratio.
That also gives us extra confluence for an entry and we can use a more aggressive stop loss.
We're expecting to see EURUSD heading towards 1,0900. We will observe price action on a daily basis.
EURUSD rising This week, we're expecting a rise on EURUSD towards 1,0900.
In order for this to happen we should not see price below 1,0625.
That's where all the stops should be.
We're actually in a downtrend as seen on the higher timeframes and we should look out for exhaustion of the H1 upside move.
Entries at current price levels after a candlestick signal are also ok!
AUDCHF Shorts to bottom AUDCHF has begun to trade lower as we top out on a lower high. I am waiting for price action to trade down into the golden zone highlighted on my chart. On the D/W timeframe we see a bullish flag forming. I'd expect price to tap back into this golden zone and breakout of the current down trend. Lets see how this trade plays out!
NYSE Composite Crash & Recovery ProjectionTaking the last 4 major corrections since 2000 averages for both % decline and length to recover to previous level gives a benchmark to consider relative to the current situation.
- % decline 39.38%
- length of time to recover 1,172 days
So $NYA on average well bottom around 10.8k and recover mid-March 2025
Aligning relatively close to the current 200 EMA while taking about 2 yrs for full recovery.
RSI on APECoin pullback. 3.80% gain on its way.$APE is still in a downtrend and i wanted to post this before the trade finishes.
In the image attached you'll see 3 RSI readings.
RSI 1st candle = a MINUS of -1.43
RSI 2nd candle = a positive of +2.33 (This is the one i need)
RSI 3rd candle = a second confirmed postive of +4.93
As noted with my RSI formula. An RSI of 2.33 = a 1 to 2.33 risk reward ratio. So i entered the trade with those limits.
This will work even though i am betting AGAINST the main trend even though i can not find ANY divergences prior to the entry.
I do however have FRACTALS setup on a 21 period and i got a notification of one (Bullish) So i started looking for the first confirmed RSI signal closing over 50 (or closing over ZERO in this case)
After that, I need a second consecutive candle closing above 50 (or ZERO) as well. The second one is my entry.
Then i take the value of the first closing RSI over 50 and use it in the formula.
2 for my scale is 53 on a regular scale.
52 = a 1 : 2 ratio below the 200ma and a 1 : 3 above the 200ma (so we have 1 :2)
Now lets look at the left over numbers
Here i move the decimal over ONE place and its
So the total for my risk reward is ( 1 : 2.33 )
This would be the end of the pullback WITHOUT counting any momentum in the move. Usually 2 or 3 candles later youll have a candle closing EXACTLY at that height and the trend continues down.
A trend reversal on EURUSD? Yesterday we looked at possible aggressive buys on EURUSD and now we have a breakout of the lows.
That means we could be looking at a trend reversal on EURUSD and price potentially continuing lower.
There is a higher probability for a downside continuation now but we would like to have a pullback in order to enter short.
Meanwhile, we're still focusing on the JPY pairs where we currently have better opportunities.
Aggressive buys on EURUSD Yesterday we saw price reacting to 1,0678 which could be the bottom on the H1 trend.
This is also a chance to enter aggressively right now with stops below 1,0678.
It's considered aggressive only because price could reach the stop loss and this won't mean the trend has reversed, therefore price can then continue in the same direction.
However, we're looking for a good risk to reward ratio with low risk.
The targets will be at least 1,0860 and once the move begins we will be able to find out the specific levels as well.
If you are more conservative trader, we recommend to skip this one and focus on something else to trade!
A short-term drop on EURUSDWe can see that the upside move is slowing down and it's time for a short-term move in the opposite direction to around 1,0650.
As we said yesterday, EURUSD is one of the pairs that we are currently not trading.
This drop could continue to around 1,0600 but we're still expecting higher values then.
No trades on EURUSD We were expecting a reaction of the sell area but right now, it looks like this move doesn't have enough strength.
That's why it's probably best to stay away from trading the EURUSD.
It's more likely that we will see a drop to around 1,0540 followed by another move up later before the actual trend reversal on H1.
As of right now, it's best to wait for a better opportunity.
ETHUSDT AnalysisThe momentum is indeed bearish even so, $1700 is strong support for the price and trying to hold on there and if the price lose this support, the next target will likely be around $1420.
On the positive side of view, If the Bitcoin current range lasts a little longer or rises, I expect at most a pullback to the recently broken ascending trendline around $2500. Of course, to do this, the price needs to break the short-term trend line (the orange one) and a potential reaction to the descending blue trendline is expected in the way.
In a word, the price will shape around $1400 finally. let’s wait and see!
Trend Key Points Indicator have been used to draw important key levels and key points.