Strong Breakout confirm for the 5th wave of ImpulseWaveOn week chart
I figured out the Impulse Wave has begun from $15,4xx and now it's been happening the fifth wave with target around $40,000 and can be further at $42,000.
You easily spot the strong Valid Breakout happened around $31,300 within volume higher 130% Avg. Vol 30 days and now, it will retest or keep up climb higher and higher cause the bullish candle has a bit little wick that shows strength of buyer.
However, my view Bitcoin can reverse a bit before go up again because ADX > 80 and RSI Overbought these signals is good for reversing. Wait and see around $31,300
Time will tell
Pullback
Safe Bulkers, Inc. ($SB) AnalysisSector: Industrials - Marine Shipping | Country: Monaco
Company Overview:
Safe Bulkers, Inc. ( NYSE:SB ), a key player in the Industrials sector with a focus on Marine Shipping, operates globally, providing safe and efficient shipping solutions. As a small-cap company based in Monaco, Safe Bulkers specializes in transporting bulk cargoes, contributing to the vital maritime logistics infrastructure.
Performance Metrics:
NYSE:SB demonstrates compelling performance metrics within the small_cap screening, indicating potential opportunities for investors.
Relative Strength: Exhibiting robust relative strength scores of 3.97 against its sector and an impressive 5.11 against the S&P500, NYSE:SB showcases resilience and outperformance against broader market benchmarks.
U/D Ratios: With a U/D ratio of 1.77 (50 days) and 2.24 (15 days), NYSE:SB reveals positive market sentiment and notable upward price movements.
Detected Base Depth: A substantial detected base depth of 70.67% positions NYSE:SB favorably, indicating a solid foundation for potential future growth.
Price Dynamics:
Despite a slight volume deviation of -2.32% below its 15-day average, recent candlestick patterns reveal a 1.33% range in the last candle body and a strong 100.0% closing range. This signifies strong bullish momentum and stability.
The last closing price, at -1.04% away from base resistance, provides an attractive entry point, suggesting potential for further upward momentum.
Short-term Trends:
Over the last 10 days, NYSE:SB has experienced declining prices, volume, and accumulation, reflecting short-term pull back sentiments.
EMA Analysis:
Historical EMA patterns suggest that NYSE:SB usually encounters local tops when the price closes around 49.18% above its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Currently, the last closing price is 9.51% away from the 50 EMA, indicating potential correction levels.
Trade Idea:
An entry at $3.9 aligns with pullback and accumulation signals, providing an attractive risk-reward profile.
A disciplined stop loss at $3.62, based on recent lows, mitigates risk and ensures prudent risk management.
The proposed trade targets an impressive 5.43 Risk-Reward (RR) ratio, with a target price of $5.44, anticipating a total profit of $217.05 or 39.47%.
Conclusion:
Safe Bulkers, Inc. ( NYSE:SB ) exhibits strength in the Marine Shipping sector, with robust relative strength and a detected base depth. The proposed trade idea aligns with pullback and accumulation signals, offering an attractive entry point for investors seeking exposure to potential future growth in the maritime shipping industry.
VIX near signaling a correctionLow volatility is good for the market, but extreme low volatility is not
As you can see, a lot of times where the TVC:VIX crossed 12 from below it signaled a correction within a bull market
And is not just the VIX, there are other breath indicators that are converging at levels that usually signal correction
I normally track the % of SPX stocks above their 50-day and 200-day MAs, NYSE New Highs/Lows and NYSE New 52-week Highs/Lows
My target would be 4.300 in the SP:SPX
Gold, Pullback to 2020 by double bottom pattern?Gold found support in 1995 and formed a double bottom. There is a chance that the price could rise to 2020 today, which is the key level considering a bigger pullback towards 2050 or more direct movement to lower prices in the 19xx region (explained in my last analysis).
The break of the asia session high will confirm the double bottom pattern, but because of the good risk to reward ratio I prefer to buy at the spot price.
Trade idea
BUY @1998
SL 1995
TP 2020
CRV 6
NZDUSD - Bullish Inverted Head and Shoulders 📈Hello Traders !
On The Daily Time Frame, The NZDUSD Price Reached a Strong Support Level (0.58138 - 0.57406)
The Price Formed an Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern.
Currently,
The Neckline is Broken.
So, I Expect a Bullish Move📈.
i'm waiting for retest...
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TARGET: 0.61030🎯
Learn What is PULLBACK and WHY It is Important For TRADING
In the today's post, we will discuss the essential element of price action trading - a pullback.
There are two types of a price action leg of a move: impulse leg and pullback.
Impulse leg is a strong bullish/bearish movement that determines the market sentiment and trend.
While a pullback is the movement WITHIN the impulse.
The impulse leg has the level of its high and the level of its low.
If the impulse leg is bearish, a pullback initiates from its low and should complete strictly BELOW its high.
If the impulse leg is bullish, a pullback movement starts from its high and should end ABOVE its low.
Simply put, a pullback is a correctional movement within the impulse.
It occurs when the market becomes overbought/oversold after a strong movement in a bullish/bearish trend.
Here is the example of pullback on EURJPY pair.
The market is trading in a strong bullish trend. After a completion of each bullish impulse, the market retraces and completes the correctional movements strictly within the ranges of the impulses.
Here are 3 main reasons why pullbacks are important:
1. Trend confirmation
If the price keeps forming pullbacks after bullish impulses, it confirms that the market is in a bullish bearish trend.
While, a formation of pullbacks after bearish legs confirms that the market is trading in a downtrend.
Here is the example how bearish impulses and pullbacks confirm a healthy bearish trend on WTI Crude Oil.
2. Entry points
Pullbacks provide safe entry points for perfect trend-following opportunities.
Traders can look for pullbacks to key support/resistances, trend lines, moving averages or fibonacci levels, etc. for shorting/buying the market.
Take a look how a simple rising trend line could be applied for trend-following trading on EURNZD.
3. Risk management
By waiting for a pullback, traders can get better reward to risk ratio for their trades as they can set tighter stop loss and bigger take profit.
Take a look at these 2 trades on Bitcoin. On the left, a trader took a trade immediately after a breakout, while on the right, one opened a trade on a pullback.
Patience gave a pullback trader much better reward to risk ration with the same target and take profit level as a breakout trader.
Pullback is a temporary correction that often occurs after a significant movement. Remember that pullbacks do not guarantee the trend continuation and can easily turn into reversal moves. However, a combination of pullback and other technical tools and techniques can provide great trading opportunities.
Please, let me know if you have any questions! Also, please, support this post with like and comment! Thank you for reading!
Supply | Short BiasOn day chart
Render Token hit Supply Zone that is also the 2.0 Fibo Channel in my last idea.
First sign, RNDR failed at 2.6 and can pull back to Support around 2 this zone is good to join
You can trade on lower TF
Wait for next move
Short Position will be liquidated, too soon to shortOn week chart
Chainlink Unstoppable!
After breakout Descending Trend Line and keep going up to 16.6 before pulling back now.
Chainlink has signals RSI Overbought, ADX > 30 for strong strength.
Pullback is good time to join the race with LINK. In my view, LINK can reach to at least 18 and further 27
Time will tell
AUDCHF - New Breakout 📈Hello Traders !
On Friday 20 Oct, The AUDCHF Price Reached A Support Level (0.56345 - 0.56070).
The Resistance Level (0.58100 - 0.58332) is Broken and Becomes a New Support Level.
The Resistance Line Line is Broken.
So, I Expect a Bullish Move 📈.
i'm waiting for retest...
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TARGET: 0.58790🎯
#GBPJPY buying opportunityHello, traders and friends. Let's analyze the GBPJPY 1-hour timeframe chart and explore a potential buying opportunity in this pair.
Yesterday, the price successfully broke above a Daily bearish channel that had been pushing the price lower since August 21st. This impulsive breakout to the upside suggests the potential for the price to move higher, possibly reaching at least the high established yesterday.
Another factor supporting our belief in a potential buying opportunity is the bearish corrective move that followed the breakout, indicating no strong overall bearish bias in the price for now.
There are several bullish confluences that reinforce our bias, including:
The bearish channel's upper line, now acting as support.
A demand area on the 1-hour timeframe, coinciding with a static support zone.
The price is currently above the 4-hour, 1-hour, and 30-minute 200EMA, all of which serve as critical support levels.
The price is currently at the 38% Fibonacci level, and if it reaches the support line, the 50% Fibonacci level will also provide significant support.
To consider a long position, we recommend waiting for the price to break the short-term bearish trendline to the upside or looking for candlestick confirmation around the supporting area.
by the way If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
GBPJPY - BULLISH MOVE 📈
As We Talked in The Previous Analysis:
The GBPJPY Price Reached a Daily Support Level (180.750 - 180.093) and Broke The Resistance Line
Currently,
The Price Created a Rectangular Range.
The Upper Resistance is Broken and Becomes a new Support Level.
The Price Created a Correction and Touched The Support Level!
and Now it Will Continue its Bullish Movement !
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TARGET: 185.920🎯
EURGBP - Change of Character 📉Hello Traders !
On The Daily Time Frame, The EURGBP Price Reached A Strong Resistance Level (0.87348 - 0.87190).
Currently, The Price Failed To Create a New Higher High.
The Last Higher Low is Broken (ChoCh).
The Support Line is Broken.
So, I Expect a Bearish Move📉.
i'm waiting for retest...
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TARGET: 0.86260🎯
DXY (Dollar index) Retracement back up to 105.600Following from last week hectic week of news events, we had a nice end on NFP friday giving us a clear indication on what price wants to do. As you can see the dollar has been ranging on the higher time frame, generating liquidity and testing new possible highs however failed to do so.
Scenario (A) - We have a strong bearish candle breaching the low of the range, breaking the structure to the downside. This hints that the dollar wants to move in a bearish trend and possibly want to take the HTF trendline below that was left from the previous rally. From this move, we have marked out new supply zones that we can sell from to continue this expansion.
As of current price we have entered a nice (4hr) demand zone that has previously caused BOS to the upside this can allow us to buy back up towards the supply above. Already we see a nice reaction within the zone as well as price accumilating so we can possibly look for nice buys on monday once we get a CHOCH on the LTF's. We will then target the 13hr supply zone above as thats our main POI for a potential sell setup to form.
Scenario (B) - Is that price continues to the downside and fails this zone to sweep the liquidity below. As theres a lot of asian lows and engineering liquidity, price can easily take this to tap into the daily demand which is a better zone to buy from to target the supply above around 105.500.
My confluences for short term dollar (DXY) buys are as follows:
- Price tapped into a 4hr demand that broke structure to the upside.
- Wyckoff accumilation is starting to formulate due to the slow movement inside the zone.
- Imbalances left above from NFP news event that price needs to come fill.
- If price wants to continue in this bearish trend it must retrace back to the supply above.
- Liquidity from the previous low has also been swept (which is the bottom of the range) - enough liquidity to possibly cause price to retrace back up to 105.600.
P.S. From last weeks DXY breakdown (29/10/23), My scenario (A) played out how I expected as price respected my 7hr supply zone that I marked out and melted perfectly from that zone which caused price to break structure to the downside. I am temporarily bearish on the dollar so our next POI's to continue this order flow will be at the 13hr supply or the extreme (7hr) above.