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Pullbacklevels

SPY Loosing Momentum ! SPYLOVERS DONT PANIC ! Its OKAfter several weeks of analysis, the price reached its all-time highs twice, creating a new extreme. Att his moment is what i call in a no man's land zone. But what do I see in the overall structure? If you can clearly identify the yellow upward channel, I want you to split it in half, and we will analyze the two parts. In the first half, we have an active price movement, with clear fluctuations between support and resistance. The high volatility causes the price to move in waves, perfectly respecting support and resistance. But if you can manage to identify the second half, up until the end of the channel, you'll see that the price shows signs of exhaustion. Exhaustion, how? When the price stops having that volatility everyone is looking for, and begins to slow down and starts moving like a worm along the edge of the channel’s support, showing small candles and, above all, losing momentum. (In the chart, I want you to identify the price exhaustion by marking it with a small symbol of a worm crawling along the channel's support.) This type of behavior happens frequently when the price is losing momentum. In this type of scenario, I am more than certain that we will soon see a move where the price might break out of the yellow channel. Most likely, we will see the price make its natural retracement. After achieving two all-time highs, I believe it's time for the price to take a break, either to consolidate or make a quick decision. Nevertheless, I am expecting the price to make its natural pullback in the coming week. We’ll see if it happens. Best regards, and thank you for supporting my analysis.
AMEX:SPY
by RocketMike111
Very Bullish on NVIDIA ! Point of Interest at $140.76 but wait..NVDA: Our point of interest is 140.76, and breaking this point would confirm a change of character (CHOCH) or a break of the main structure. But wait before that… We have three validations, one of which is extremely important and needs to be analyzed. The first validation is the break of the ascending channel. Whenever a candle completely exits the channel (body and wick), I consider it a 100% break. Here we have a candle that broke out with significant strength, and in the days that followed, it made a change of character or CHOCH, which is a break of the previous structure or previous swing. The second validation is that the 8 and 21 EMA lines show strong divergence. This means that the price has enough strength to continue moving upward. However, we have not yet seen any pullback. Remember that price cycles are distinguished by 3 movements: 1. Momentum 2. Pullback 3. Impulse We should always measure how much strength the price has by monitoring volume and the divergence of these two important EMAs. My third validation is that we are approaching their earnings report, which could create buying pressure for NVDA before the report, as previous reports have favored the stock and driven the price upward. BUT WAIT ! HOLD YOUR HORSES BEFORE THAT!!! We cannot ignore the order block I have around $134. Be cautious there, as it’s a zone where the price previously had significant liquidity. My prediction is that we may see a retracement before a strong push to our point of interest. Thank you for supporting my analysis. Best regards,
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by RocketMike111
SPYLOVERS ! The Pullback is here ! What to do next.... Good morning everyone and welcome to another weekend session. For those following the SPY, we can see that the institutional rejection did indeed occur with a double top, and it was unable to break the Al Time High (ATH), leading to a pullback that we had already predicted weeks ago. The question is: How far will the pullback go? I have two levels: a liquidation zone limit and a historical demand zone. Warning: DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CATCH A FALLING KNIFE ! The idea here is to let the price do what it needs to with this drop. Once it reaches one of these two zones, we will start to see bullish volumetric candles indicating the beginning of an upward trend. For now, this analysis has been unfolding as we have been forecasting the movement. Let the price fall, and be very alert to determine whether this is just a small pullback or a longer one. We already know where the price will likely land. Sending greetings and thank you for supporting my study.
AMEX:SPY
by RocketMike111
TSLA 120 minutes Chart Moving Average pullbacks for Short EntryTSLA has been trending down in a channel since it marked the first trading day of this new year. The chart is set up on a 120-minute time frame with the Williams Alligator indicator of SMA10 SMA20 and SMA50 ( offsets 10, 5, & 2). In a strong downtrend, the averages are parallel with SMA50 higher then SMA20 and SMA 10. For a good short entry, the price should pullback ( and up) through the SMA10 but not through the SMA20. An entry is taken when price falls back through the SMA10. The supertrend may be reversing if any of the lines cross in a golden fashion or price crosses the SMA20 or SMA50. On the chart, red down arrows mark the best six entries YTD. There have been no exits despite any shorting pullbacks such as the past day or so more or less from some news catalyst delivered by a certain fund manager to protect her glut max and maybe wallets of clients. This strategy is well suited for a low intensity low effort & minimal screen time type trader of shares or options to strike a balance overall and profitable one at that with more simplicity and less complexity with noise and indicator overload tuned out.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by AwesomeAvani
6
Buying $TAO Retrace with Fibonacci LevelsKUCOIN:TAOUSDT had an incredible move up last month, nearly 2x from the mid-300s to a high of $480. We've hit a short term high, and seem to be in a consolidation phase. How low will this go? Well, if we look at the Fib Retracement levels from the start of this run up to the recent high, we can identify three likely entry points: $385 $360 $315 If you want to invest in Bittensor's innovative AI technology, you can buy at market price right now; or, you can set limit orders for the levels above, to DCA into your position. Just keep in mind, the price may not reach these lows, and could turn bullish again at any monent. If/when Binance lists this token, or Coinbase finally changes its flawed ranking on it, or a major tech company announces a partnership, this token could moon. 🚀
Long
by tokentradertv
1
of Fibonacci RetracementsIn this article, we delve into the intricacies of the Springboard Effect of Fibonacci Retracements , drawing parallels between the trading world and the physics of a springboard. 💜 If you appreciate our guides, support us with boost button 💜 The Springboard Analogy: Imagine a scenario with four different springboards, each with varying degrees of stiffness. Now, drop an identical weight from the same height onto each board. The resulting bounce illustrates the concept of retracement and extension in the context of momentum trading. Barely Any Springs (0.236 Retracement): A bounce at the 0.236 retracement level is seen as a potential trend failure. Buyers may step in, but the bounce is likely weak. Traders shift focus to shorter-term scalping opportunities, targeting other fib levels within the retracement as potential resistance. Few Springs (0.328 Retracement): Here, the bounce on the 0.328% retracement is viewed with caution. While a good bounce may occur, traders remain vigilant about a potential double top, closely monitoring candlestick reactions and utilizing the CCI to identify divergence if momentum falters. Moderate Springs (0.5 Retracement): A bounce at the 0.5 retracement level signifies continued bullish momentum. Buyers are willing to enter at a relatively lower point, maintaining optimism. Targeting the 1.272 extension, traders consider this a bullish signal. Aligning with nearby resistance or front-running the level becomes a strategic move. Lots of Springs (0.618 Retracement): This scenario represents a strong market extension. A bounce at the 38.2% retracement level indicates a plethora of buyers eager to enter the market promptly. This serves as a positive sign, suggesting a robust extension. The target? The 1.618 extension, potentially aligned with a nearby resistance level. The Springboard Effect provides traders with a tangible framework for interpreting retracements and anticipating market extensions. By aligning retracement levels with the stiffness of a springboard, traders gain insights into the potential strength or weakness of a continuation. Whether aiming for robust extensions or preparing for short-term scalps, understanding the nuances of the Springboard Effect adds value to a trader's toolkit. Embrace this strategy, and may your trades be propelled to new heights.
Education
by Vestinda
2
Tesla Pullback Targets + Major Bull Signal NearingHi Guys! This is a Technical Analysis on Tesla (TSLA) on the 3 Day Timeframe. So we are continuing the move on Target from our Rejection, our Downtrend held by the Resistance Trend Line. A break and confirm above the Resistance Trend Line will indicate a "Trend Change". Till then we are being pushed DOWN in track on hitting our Targets: 1. 0.618 FIB level, around $224 2. Blue Moving Average, the 100 SMA 3. Green Moving Average, the 50 SMA 4. 0.5 FIB level, around $200 Our 1st target is the 0.618 FIB level, but notice how the 100 SMA is hovering just below it. So its likely that we test both. So the natural order of things is that when Price moves above a Moving Average, we need to test it as SUPPORT before moving higher. So this is why i believe we test both 0.618 level and 100 SMA, since we have not yet tested SUPPORT. Watch how we interact with this moving average. Depending on when momentum comes in (indicated by indicators), we may have a strong bounce here due to convergence of 100 SMA & 0.618 FIB and continue upwards. For this reason, this would be my 1st BUY ZONE. Also Note the 50 SMA: We are currently curved upwards, indicating further movement UP. So this line is continuosly changing. Since currently its ABOVE 0.5 FIB level, this area would be my 3rd target to watch. If we end up breaking the 50 SMA, we may go to the 0.5 FIB level. But for now its less probable. A Major event is also nearing. The 50 SMA/ 100 SMA GOLDEN CROSS. Notice on your own charts, how everytime this occurs, TSLA explodes in price. This cross may also prevent TSLA from reaching the 0.5 FIB level. We would need to keep an eye out on the Macro timeframes for further specifics as well. To get details on the Momentum lets look at the MACD. We have recently crossed BEARISH on the MACD. With increasing size and number of RED histogram bars. We need to see lighter colored RED bars. Eventually seeing GREEN bars for momentum to change BULLISH. Also NOTE -> I'd prefer the BLue/Orange lines stay ABOVE the 0 level, indicating the continuation of the overall BULL trend in TSLA. The STOCH RSI -> Also a momentum indicator. We have moved below the 20 level. It's crucial to watch out for the BULLISH cross (Blue line over Orange line) back above the 20 level. This will indicate injection of momentum back into TSLA. The RSI -> Notice our current pattern where the Orange line has CROSSED below the Black line. Normally this indicates Price Declines. So watch where the downward curve of the Black Line and downtrend of Orange line stops Look for a Bullish cross of Orange line getting ABOVE Black line. And just to give perspective, the Price we are at right now while i post this idea. We are 20% cheaper from th current highs. TSLA has out performed many stocks in 2023. So this pullback presents great opportunity. Continue to watch these levels. Take action accordingly. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. ***Read my Previous Analysis BELOW From 08/03/23 For More Context! Stay tuned for more updates on TSLA in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by SafofAllTrades
Pullback Buy in CRWDThis cybersecurity stock has been a top performer in 2023. After a vicious Stage 4 downtrend that wiped out 70% of its value in the 2022 bear market, CRWD has come ripping off the low this year. It reclaimed its 200-day moving average last month and continues to advance higher. The dashed line on the chart above shows a key support/resistance level in CRWD. The stock found resistance here earlier in the year and it has so far served as support after getting above the 200-day. The stock is also sitting on its 50-day moving average which should serve as additional support. I would consider buying here with a stop just below the 200-day line at $133. This would represent a 7% risk on the trade.
NASDAQ:CRWDLong
by rossgivens
Top 3 Pullback Trading StrategiesAs traders, we all know the market can be unpredictable, but by understanding and utilising pullback trading strategies, we can take advantage of temporary price reversals to enter positions at more favourable prices. In this article, we’ll dive into the world of pullback trading, explain the concept of mean reversion, and look at how to use tools like the moving average indicator and Fibonacci retracements to identify potential pullback levels. What Is a Pullback? In the past, you might have seen stock traders discussing their plans to wait for a pullback to load up on shares and wondered, “but what is a stock pullback?” In fact, pullbacks occur in prices of all tradable assets, including commodities and forex trading pairs, such as EUR/USD and AUD/USD, not just in stock prices. A pullback refers to a temporary reversal in the price of an asset after a period of upward or downward movement. If you’ve ever heard of “correction” or “retracement,” these are just other terms used to describe pullbacks. It's where the price cools off slightly before continuing its overall trend, and it is often the result of profit-taking by traders and technical factors, like key areas of support and resistance. Why Do Pullback Trading Strategies Work? Trading pullbacks in trends plays into the notion that “the trend is your friend.” In other words, trading in the direction of the higher-timeframe trend will typically yield the best results. But why does this strategy work? The easiest way to think about it is in the context of “discount” and “premium” pricing. Discount and Premium Pricing Imagine you have a bullish trend, like the one in the example above. Here, traders run the risk of buying at one of the many highs that make up the trend, paying more for a single unit of an asset than is potentially necessary (paying a premium) and resulting in sub-optimal risk/reward. Given the premium pricing, the number of buyers will taper off until sellers take control and push prices lower. Conversely, pullbacks allow traders to get in once the price cools off, meaning they can enter at a discount. At this point, buying pressure will be at its strongest as many know these low prices often won’t last and that they can offer much better risk/reward ratios, maximising the profit for traders from the overall bull trend. Mean Reversion This concept relates to the idea of mean reversion, which states that prices tend to return to their average over time. By entering a position during a pullback, traders can buy an asset at a lower price, or at a discount, with the expectation that the price will eventually return to its average. Notice that in the chart above, for example, the retracements typically fall below the midpoint of the previous retracement and the 50-period moving average before continuing higher. Additionally, we can see that the further the price moves away from these two averages into areas of previous premium or discount, the more likely it is to reverse. As you’ll see, these ideas form the basis for several commonly used pullback trading strategies. Understanding how the concepts work, however, will help you develop your skills as an effective pullback trader and allow you to trade under a variety of market conditions. Using Pullback Strategies in Forex and Other Markets The following strategies can form the basis of a solid stock pullback strategy, but their uses aren’t limited to just stocks. You can use them while forex trading or in the commodities and crypto* markets. Just note that pullback trading will be most effective in trending markets and less so in ranges. To get the best understanding of how these strategies work, you can try applying them to live charts using the TickTrader platform. Strategy #1: Moving Average Pullback Strategy Using the principle of mean reversion, we can start putting it into practice with moving averages. Moving averages often provide ideal areas of dynamic support and resistance and are a versatile tool in any pullback trader’s arsenal. Requirements: You can use a simple moving average (SMA) or an exponential moving average (EMA), which gives more weight to recent prices. It may be a good idea to try experimenting with both to see which one you prefer. Traders often use a 21, 50, or 200-period moving average, so again, you can try experimenting to find the most suitable one for you. We’ll use a 50-period MA, expressed as MA(50). Entry: First, a trend will need to have been set in motion. Traders usually either set a limit order at the moving average or enter with a market order based on price action that supports their idea. Stop Loss: Stop losses are typically set above the high or below the low that originated the leg before the pullback, as seen in the example above. Given that these trends can last for a long time, you may trail your stop just above or below key swing highs and lows as the trend progresses. Take Profit: Some traders begin to take profits at the high or low that originated the retracement, denoted by “Potential Target” in the example. So, when entering during a bullish pullback in an overall bear trend, traders can use the low that started the retracement as their first target. Subsequent levels of support or resistance are also commonly used as profit targets. Strategy #2: Fibonacci Retracement Pullback Strategy Using Fibonacci retracements is also a common way to find entries in pullbacks. Recall that the price will often cross above or below 50% of the retracement. Sometimes, it’ll reverse to the key Fibonacci levels of 0.618 and 0.786 in a larger bull trend or 0.382 and 0.236 in a bear trend. Don’t forget that 0.5 itself is a Fibonacci level. Requirements: You just need the Fibonacci retracement tool that can be found in most charting software, like TickTrader. In a bullish trend, apply the first point to a swing low and the second to a swing high. Apply it to a swing high and low for a bear trend. Entry: Entries here can be adjusted to your preferred style of trading. Some traders will simply set a limit order at 0.5, while others will place them at 0.786 or 0.236 to maximise risk/reward. Alternatively, you can break up your order into three, setting limits at 0.5, 0.618, and 0.786 to cover all bases for a bullish trade or 0.5, 0.382, and 0.236 for a bearish one. Stop Loss: Like the Moving Average strategy, traders often put a stop loss above the high or low that originated the leg before the pullback. For instance, the second entry above would mean placing the stop at the 0.618 level of the Fibonacci retracement. You can also try putting stops above or below nearby engulfing candles for better risk/reward. Alternatively, you could choose to trail your stop below swing lows or above swing highs for bullish and bearish trades, respectively. Take Profit: Some traders will start taking profits at the nearest major swing points, while others use the 1.618 extension of the pullback to set their profit target. Strategy #3: Breakout Strategy Finally, in markets where the overwhelming trend is too strong to allow for a deeper pullback, you may try to trade the breakout. In a bullish breakout, for example, the price might quickly back up to test the resistance-turned-support before shooting higher. Note that some breakouts are merely false breaks designed to trap traders and force prices into a deeper retracement - just look at the significant highs in the first picture in this article. To counteract these traps, you can look for high volume on the movement that caused the break, as well as the close of the candle. Candlestick patterns, such as shooting stars and hammers, can typically signal false breaks. Entry: After a bullish breakout above a recent swing high on high volume, traders will usually set a limit order at or just above the high or wait for price action to confirm that the high is now acting as support before entering with a market order. Conversely, traders will enter in the same way for a bearish breakout but use swing lows instead, setting orders at or just below the low or looking for price action confirmation to enter. Stop Loss: Traders can choose to set stops below the range that the breakout occurred from or above or below an engulfing candle, like in the Fibonacci strategy. Take Profit: As with the two strategies mentioned, some will just trail their stops above or below key swing highs and lows to ride the long-term trend and maximise their profits. Others choose to use the most recent swing high or low to take partial profits before closing their position at a suitable level of risk/reward. Closing Thoughts Pullback trading can be an effective strategy for traders looking to ride trends. By taking advantage of the concepts of premium/discount pricing and mean reversion and using technical analysis tools like moving averages and Fibonacci retracements, traders can get involved at optimum points in the market before the trend continues. It’s also worth remembering that any pullback can signify a market reversal. Always be cautious and use these pullback strategies in conjunction with other forms of technical analysis before considering making a trade. Once you feel ready, you can try opening an FXOpen account to put your skills to the test. Happy trading! At FXOpen UK and FXOpen AU, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules and Professional clients under ASIC Rules, respectively. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Editors' picks
Education
by FXOpen
2
Bitcoin Looks so BearishHello friends. i saw a big and bad shape marobuzu candle. did you see it? we back under MA55 and after a pullback to it (22100 level) i think we should preapre to breakdown 20500 level and go toward 19000 again. please control your Risks. Protect from capital is the first step for any trader and investor. be patience... we dont have good economic conditions. and winter is coming... the weather will be cold and europe cant be warm... when you cant warm yourself , you cant buy bitcoin certainly. and US interest rate will grow another 0.75 in coming months... share me your opinion please. hope all of you enjoy my analysis.
BShort
by TraderAmin-KZ
8
BTCUSDT ready for the pullback?The price is testing the monthly support where the price has a confluence as you can see on the daily timeframe. On the 4h timeframe the price could get new liquidity in order to create a new pullback if the price is going to have a clear breakout from 33k. How to approach? If the price is going to have a breakout, According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order ––––– Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ––––– Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Long
by InkyGrip
20
LUNAUSDT reclaims the weekly supportThe price had a nice bull run until 97$ on 1.13 Fibonacci level. On the daily timeframe, the price lost the 88$ support. on the 4h timeframe, the price could retest the 78$ thee weely support after a retest of the previous daily support now the new resistance around 87-89$ where the price finds the 0.618 Fibonacci level. How to approach? we will expect a retest of the daily resistance and a new rejection until 78$ weekly support. bearish short term, bullish after the bounce on 78$ According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order ––––– Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ––––– Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Short
by InkyGrip