BUY QUBT PUTS NOWWWW!!!!The quantum computing hype is real. Incredible short term gains and incredible mid to long term risk. Companies such as NASDAQ:RGTI and NYSE:IONQ have promising technological/industrial prospects that justify the excitement but NASDAQ:QUBT Quantum Computing Inc. is not one of those companies. They are not a quantum computing company as the name suggests. The same entity has changed their "business model" multiple times with each coming trend to no success. Before quantum computing they were involved with beverage distribution as "Innovative Beverage Group Holding, Inc.", selling printer ink, and they made a brief attempt at AI.
Notes :
- Iceberg Research discovered that the foundry Quantum Computing Inc. listed on their website and cited in a press release was actually just a small office building clearly incapable of producing TFLN wafers (or any sort of mass production for that matter).
"In September 2023, QUBT told investors that the location for its “new facility is on five acres within the extensive 320-acre research park hosted by ASU”. However, the entire entire 2050 building is barely more than an acre, let alone Suite 107 in the building. At that time, production was supposed to start in the first half of 2024."
I encourage you to read the full report (link below).
- QUBT's revenue for 2024 was only $300K. Their market cap is currently $1.5 Billion.
Technical Analysis
While the fundamental analysis was enough to convince me to enter a put position, the TA is also promising. The "pump" caused by recent quantum computing hype is not the only pump and dump in QUBTs recent history. There are two very similar patters that have occurred since Jan 2018.
Interestingly, the 50 SMA crossing above the 200 SMA on the weekly timeframe has signaled the peak of both movements. As for the current movement, the SMAs are expected to cross by next week at the latest.
As you can see in the chart, the cross (and peak) are followed by a drastic rejection and then a retracement to the 38.2 fib level. As of today, price is currently between the 50 and 38.2 retracement levels.
In the short term, it is possible that price will enter the volume gap created on 08 Jan and potentially fill up to $16.25. This break above the 38.2 fib level will be of key interest to anyone seeking entry into a short or put position. As you can see in the 2021 movement, price did indeed break above the level, fell short of retesting highs, and initiated a reversal and 78% drop. Only after this did QUBT retest and reject off of the 38.2 fib level and proceed to drop another 86%.
iceberg-research.com
www.globenewswire.com
