FIT and seemingly woes to come11/13 - POSSIBLE PLAY
FIT 11/16 $5.50 PUT 0.11 IV 87.61%
Volume 434 Open Interest 1,627
Add to this the lawsuit, may help push the PUT along
Put
AAPL your turn to fumble??11/13 POSSIBLE PLAY
AAPL 11/16 $175.00 PUT 0.13 IV 53.41%
*what's scary is the 200EMA is lurking just below*
however grim news out of Japan RE: AAPL may play here and drive the option to a whole nuther level south!!
*Let's see what happens*
*DISCLAIMER - I am not a professional trader. I do this playing around with my own money. Seek professional brokerage help for all your needs.*
Potential 10% drop in RDS.ALast 2 weekly forecasts were reached. Now a drop in price is suggested on the monthly. Option pricing isn't great based on the suggested duration and leaves a small margin for error. Could be a play to buy puts if earnings estimates miss tomorrow.
Bullish Trade of the Week Part Two EA credit spreadWell the Big Hands knew we were looking to get into SO this week so they took the market down and kept Utilities strong...I take full responsibility for this !! ;) ;)
No matter EA IVR % just posted 100 and the new Call of Duty will be in full swing come XMAS time 72d 100/95 p cr spread looking for 1.40
Tasty stats 65% POP 82% P50 theta .50 with a delta of 9.32
Bullish Trade of the Week selling put SNAPIf Pandora was a good candidate for a buyout then SNAP surely can be scooped by the big dogs in the Tech space . Selling a Dec21 6 put for .60 Tasty stats POP 57% P50 70% theta .48 Willing to take the shares at this price and sell calls against especially with current IVR at 91%
SNAP: Crackle & PoopA silly bet I made with my friend turned into an extremely profitable venture with SNAP down every week since July. Looking to buy more and continue to hold put options with $5 strike expiring Jan 2019. As long as there is no trend change on the weekly Ashi candles, I will continue to hold this to expiration.
$SPY $SPX $ES1! Another ATH this year - earnings season strong!I reviewed my previous SPY analysis and made a few crucial mistakes. Do not follow my previous spx, spy ideas.
I spent more time studying the charts, the VIX and the products inside S&P 500. I'm expecting another all time high this year before a larger correction.
Here is the chart and targets I'm quite confident with and will be playing. Follow along for updates.
I'm expecting the correction to start end of Nov or early Dec. I'm betting on 26-29 November.
Good luck!
PS. If you see my other SPY, SPX, ES Analysis on Trading View. Ignore it. I've closed older ideas.
PANIC - AMD Initiates Fibonacci Retracement Phase 2AMD -7.03% has formed a sharp downward triangle on the 1h chart (looks like the beginning of a Gartley). Lots of sell strength, only people buying are the ones who missed the pump and think they are buying the dip - BIG MISTAKE. Proof? Check out the Accumulation/Distribution , and you will find the beginning of a new peak, a new era if you will...
AMD -7.03% historically initiates a pump and dump ritual every decade or so. What is interesting this go around is that AMD -7.03% did not make it quite as high, which in my opinion is a good thing for the stock overall (shows that people's expectations for AMD -7.03% , although overblown, are factoring in irrational exuberance). If this thing follows the historical trend (confirmation bias has a tendency to instantiate the past) we could go down as much as half value from here, to around $15. I would like to see AMD -7.03% stabilize around the $20 mark, which would be a first for the stock, and a very healthy sign long-term.
XPO - good potential to come down tomorrow 8/15Looking at the moving average on the daily charts, you can see that the stock is starting to trend down. MACD, StochasticRSI, and the Directional Movement indicators all agree with the movement down. The weekly chart is also showing a movement down still and has hit a ceiling on the middle bollinger band. Good opportunity to watch and get in if the stock shows a downward movement in the next day.
BAC SHORTBAC (and the rest of the banking industry) has a rough few months ahead. The major institution has seen solid gains over the past year and is about to relinquish them all. The major indication this downtrend is about to pick up steam is seen as the 50 day moving average is ready to cross below the 200 day moving average, a major bearish sign known as the death cross. Price on the weekly candle has managed to close significantly below this intersection point, a sign that a significant decline could come sooner than later as there is very little support below the current price. Seen on the chart above, RSI is also headed south with no sign of retracement anytime soon. Money Flow is in a steep downtrend as well. I anticipate BAC seeing at least a 20% decline in the coming months. The last time BAC had a similar set up with the 50 day moving average crossing over the 200 day moving average, the stock fell 33% in 6 weeks. I have picked up November and December puts for BAC (and JPM because the chart and my prediction is basically the same).
Citi Is In For a Technically Bumpy RideI did this analysis really elucidate what an "extended ceiling" looks like. The annotations are pretty straight forward AND if you look well enough you'll see an upside-down cup and handle forming and if you squint just right you'll see a head and shoulders forming. I would've shown it on the diagram but the drawing would've become too busy to make sense. Notice too, that the 21-day moving average is working well as a support and as a resistance. Admittedly, I haven't done any fundamental analysis but preliminary, doing things in reverse, we see that Citi, technically, is in for a rough ride. If there's a stock you're fixing to take a position, put the ticker in comments section also what position, long or short, you want to take.