Put
MRO Short Term BearishOn November 07, 2017 MRO had a high wick reach $16.59 before closing down for the day. I believe this to be a good resistance line for now due to that same price range (give or take a few pennies) acting as Resistance in April 2017, March 2017, February 2017, November 2016, September 2016, August 2016, and September 2015; as well as acting as Support briefly in October and November 2015. Even though the past couple of days (November 09-10, 2017) have seen green candlesticks , they have been moving down in price. I purchased a December Put, Strike 17, on 11-09-17 for $1.65 (the spread at the time of purchase was $1.62-$1.65). The Stock price at time of purchase was $15.70.
$14.12-$14.16 has been a general line of Support in August 2015, Resistance in December 2015, Support again in September through November 2016, Support in March and May 2017, and then acting as Resistance for a couple weeks in October 2017. Due to that activity I believe it possible for MRO to retrace to that area again; and because of that I have targeted that area as my sell point. I expect it to take no longer than three weeks to reach that area of Support.
If you draw lines of Support at $14.12/$14.16 and Resistance at $16.60ish I can see a channel/rolling pattern from August to November 2016 and briefly from March to April 2017. If MRO does hit my estimated Support I will wait a few days to see if once again it rises in price to repeat that pattern and becomes ripe for a "double dip," or the opportunity to enter a Bullish/Call play almost immediately after exiting a Bearish/Put play.
QQQ BullPut spread ROI 47% and 3.2RRRReward 0.64
Cost = 2 - 0.64 = 1.36
Target ROI = 47%
Risk @SL = 0.92 when price hit $2 ITM
= 0.92 - 0.72 = 0.20
RRR = 0.64 / 0.20
= 3.2 : 1
OTM Credit spreads with 2RRSell OTM credit spreads at interim and strong resistance /support.
ATM place your SL, where the price is half of spread ~ 0.53
PUT end of day Expiration, PUT Fin del día expiraciónPUT end of day Expiration, PUT Fin del día expiración
Why selling OTM spreads is guaranteed to wipe out your profitsTrading without a risk management is gambling. Gambling relies on hope.
Selling OTM spreads depends on a 75% success rate and surviving a few big losses. The RR is very low if you are aiming to collect 25% of the spread. I traded 12 months solely on BullPut and this has taught me well. It's a losing strategy based on the misconception of high win rate and "consistent" income.
Using ITM spreads, you can enjoy higher RR and live to make another trade. I took a calculated loss on AAPL with RR 1.6.
PUT USD/CAD Expiration NYork (13:30) Expiración España (19:30)PUT USD/CAD Expiration NYork (13:30) Expiración España (19:30)
