Options Indicator Explained - so you can SEE what you tradeEver since we created this indicator back around 2020 on the TradingView platform it is so far the best platform for our analysis, research, coding, and development of different trading tools. This was 4 years ago, but we have been with TradingView almost for a decade !
The whole concept of this indicator came when a long time ago we read the big big book of options, and could not understand how come the stock price moved up but our calls are losing money ! Yes, we have been there too. And then came this indicator to life. We don't make a trade without it ever since. If you saw the video, you clearly know why.
Let's delve into some key concepts that can elevate your trading game:
### 1. Visualizing Profit and Loss
One of the most powerful tools in an options trader's arsenal is the ability to plot profit and loss lines on a chart. This visualization helps you understand the time decay of the options you buy or sell. By seeing how your potential profits or losses change over time, you can make more informed decisions about when to enter or exit trades.
### 2. Moving Beyond the Greeks
The Greeks—Delta, Gamma, Theta, and Vega—are often emphasized in options trading, but their standalone value can be limited. What truly matters is how these metrics impact your profit and loss curvature. Think of it like driving a car: while an acceleration meter provides some information, what you really need is the speedometer and a clear view of the road. Focusing on the profit and loss curves allows you to grasp the real impact of these factors on your trades.
### 3. Identifying Pivot Points
By observing profit and loss lines, you gain insights into optimal entry and exit points. Placing trades at pivot points can enhance your reward-to-risk ratios. Certain options offer generous room for stop-loss placement and quick profits if you choose pivot points where price rejections are likely. Seeing these lines helps confirm that your trading idea has a high probability of success.
### 4. Conducting Volatility Simulations
Professional volatility testing with your indicator is crucial. It allows you to anticipate how changes in volatility will affect your options' profit and loss. Each case is unique and dependent on the underlying stock, so it's vital to have contingency plans and avoid trading blindly. You must always take into account that the volatility can drop or rise against you, and you need to see that even if it happens, you will still be okay, and not be a dreamer. Reality is everything, trade realistically.
### 5. Timing Your Trades
Boost your performance by understanding how much profit you can lose (when buying options) or gain (when selling options) over the duration of your trade. This knowledge helps you make better timing decisions and manage your trades more effectively while you are inside the trade. In some trades you can clearly see that you just don't have the time to survive a correction and then wait for the next pulse wave to come and save you, you can see clearly that it is better to take profit today, since you just do not have enough time for a correction and a bounce back to the current profitable price. In options, what it is profitable today is NOT profitable tomorrow. I show you this in the video.
### 6. Simplifying with Profit Lines
You don't need to rely heavily on the Greeks anymore. Profit lines already account for these metrics, freeing your mind to focus on price action. This approach eliminates the confusion often associated with the non-linear behavior of options, rooted in complex models like Black-Scholes.
### 7. The Black-Scholes Model and Implied Volatility
Understanding the Black-Scholes model and implied volatility is fundamental. These concepts help you grasp how options are priced and how market conditions can impact their value. Using the indicator, you don't need even to know who or what is the Black-Scholes Model, since it does all the work and heavy lifting for you, by plotting you exactly what you truly need... Where you make a profit, where you will make a loss, and how much (profit lines).
### 8. In the Money vs. Out of the Money
Knowing the difference between "in the money" and "out of the money" options is crucial. In-the-money options have intrinsic value, while out-of-the-money options are more speculative and rely on price movements to become profitable.
### 9. Short-Term vs. Long-Term Options
Short-term call options offer quick potential gains but come with higher risks due to time decay. Long-term call options, on the other hand, provide more time for your trade to work out, reducing the impact of time decay but often requiring a larger capital investment. I show a clear example in the video.
### 10. Maintaining Reward-to-Risk Ratios
You should make sure you always maintain the reward-to-risk ratios in your favor BEFORE you enter the trade, this is what keeps you in the game and makes you thrive and not just survive. Do you think they let a pilot to land an airplane, just with his "gut feeling" or do they give them an indicator to SEE the runway? If you don't see your profit and loss lines, you don't see the runway when you land your plane. We've all seen those wallstreetbets BLIND crash landings in options and know how they end before they started. This can and should be avoided, always know your risk, and your potential reward.
### 11. Proof of Accuracy
Finally, reliable indicators provide proof of accuracy, showing you the same profit or loss you'd experience given stock movements and implied volatility changes. This consistency gives you confidence in your trades, eliminating confusion and preventing unexpected losses.
In the end of the video, there is proof of the accuracy, that the indicator in did shows you the same profit or loss you will have in the position, given the stock movement and implied volatility changes, so you can rest assured that your landing indicator will not surprise you no matter the weather, you will have full control on your options trade. No more the feeling of confusion and then your fast profit crushes to zero or even a loss and you don't know why.
Master these concepts, and you'll have a robust framework for navigating the complexities of options trading with precision and confidence.
Putoption
How to PROTECT your profits while letting them runIn the trading business you need to let your profits run while also managing your risks that means to cut your losses short.
Losses of unrealized profits are real profits that are lost. What if you could save them?
Well, there is a way...
It is not always available but it is one you want to know since if you can save 3 points of wiggle room and pay 1 point or less, over the long run it adds up to HUGE chunk of profit to your bottom line.
The reason I applied this method is because TSLA was doing 3 days in a row a push and gap up, so it seems likely people will want to take profits... but this is TSLA... it can shoot up above 500 and reach who knows where... (she did it before...).
So I want to TAKE MY HUGE profit, while giving it the option to continue to the moon, if it will want to do so...
You can never take the very top anyway, so if you "give back" 1 point of profit it is considered reasonable, but if in case the price falls down sharply or gapped down I can give back maybe 3 points with this strength of volatility, which is undesireable.
So what I did?
I sold the PUT option at strike 470 at a price of $15 (my point was $17) so for me it is even less than a point so it is very attractive deal to me...
Then... if the price had crushed down it meant for me that I sold my stocks at a price of 470 while paying the hedge cost of the PUT option of 15 so it is equivalent to me that I sold my stock at a price of 455, which is ALMOST the top. Making sure ~90% of the profit stays in my pocket. So I WIN.
If the price would continue to shoot up, then I making SUPER HUGE MONEY, while sleeping like a baby, that I already realized my HUGE profit. So I WIN.
So either way, I WIN !
Since the price did not crushed the next day and hold, and my stop loss advanced, so there was no longer need to my PUT option hedge since if price will fall I will get out with the stop loss with the same profit. So I sold the PUT hedge for a small loss, so the hedge cost me 0.25 a point overall. SUPER WORTH IT !
FYI, this comes from years of experience, but I give you some of my experience, you could do it too.
The moral of the story... when you have HUGE profit, and you feel itchy to take profit, don't ! and try to hedge yourself with options ! this way, if you were wrong and you have GME, AMC on your hand, you don't let them go, and you WIN either way ! Sleeping like a baby.
KEY KeyCorp Options Ahead of Earnings If you haven`t sold KEY before the selloff:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of KEY KeyCorp prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 15usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-8-16,
for a premium of approximately $0.21.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
SPY does a rising wedge suggest a reversal? SHORTSPY on a 30 minute chart shows a rising wedge over the past week. Price is now under a nearly
flat upper trendline of resistance while the support trendline is rising. The dual TF RSI
indicator shows strength about 70 while the zero lag MACD shows a K /D line cross.
Because of this I believe, SPY may retrace to 468 or the level of the Fib 0.5. Since SPY is a high
volume high liquidity slow spread instrument I see a buying a put option or s short swing trade
short on the shares as strong consideration for the next trading day if the breakdown is
confirmed.
JNJ Johnson & Johnson Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought JNJ before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of JNJ Johnson & Johnson prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 145usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $7.55.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
SMPL The Simply Good Foods Company Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SMPL The Simply Good Foods Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 35usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-4-19,
for a premium of approximately $1.90.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
GIS General Mills Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought GIS before the rally:
nor sold the potential selloff:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GIS General Mills prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 62.50usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-4-19,
for a premium of approximately $0.60.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
SMCI Super Micro Computer Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought SMCI ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SMCI Super Micro Computer prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 480usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-3-1,
for a premium of approximately $42.90.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
In-Depth Analysis of Nifty Market Trends and Future PredictionsMarket Analysis Overview:
In this comprehensive analysis, we delve into various indicators and market dynamics to provide insights into the current and future state of the Nifty market. By examining key factors such as Dow Zone, SJX Nifty, trading volumes, option chain data, and the behavior of different market participants, we aim to uncover potential trends and opportunities for traders.
Key Points:
Market Trends and Predictions:
Anticipation of a decline in the Dow Zone and SJX Nifty signals a cautious market sentiment.
Significant shopping activities, totaling Rs 1834 crore, indicate investor interest, but underlying secrets within this data require closer examination.
Heavy call writing observed at the 22300, 22400 level, while substantial put writing at the 22300, 22000 level suggests a range-bound market.
PCR ratio of 1.15 and India VIX indicate mixed sentiment, with potential for both upside and downside movements.
Nifty's side suggests volatility, with the market oscillating between positive and negative territory.
Current Market Position:
Nifty market is currently trending at 22301, with a pivot level identified at 22376.
Buy reversal level stands at 22355.8, while the sell reversal level is at 22392.
Breakout level to watch for is at 22418, whereas the breakdown level is at 22337.
Potential Targets:
Lower side targets are identified at 22316 or 22307, offering potential support levels.
Upper side targets stand at 22432 or 22440, indicating potential resistance levels.
Trading Strategy:
Based on the provided levels and targets, traders can formulate their strategies as follows:
Long positions can be considered near the buy reversal level (22355.8) with targets at 22432 or 22440.
Short positions may be initiated close to the sell reversal level (22392) with targets at 22316 or 22307.
Traders should closely monitor breakout and breakdown levels (22418 and 22337, respectively) for potential trend confirmation and adjust their positions accordingly.
Continuous testing and confirmation of support levels crucial for sustaining positive momentum.
Market's ability to maintain above key levels essential for retesting lifetime highs and avoiding breakdowns.
Expiry Dynamics:
With Nifty expiry approaching, attention shifts to identifying key levels and zones.
Bottom zone creation indicates potential for market recovery, contingent upon successful testing of support levels.
Retailer, DI, and AI Strategies:
Analysis of retailer, DI, and AI positions reveals shifting market dynamics.
Retailers predominantly taking long positions, while DI shows significant purchasing activity, influencing market sentiment and direction.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the Nifty market presents a mix of opportunities and challenges, influenced by various factors including global cues, trading volumes, and investor sentiment. By carefully analyzing technical indicators, option chain data, and the behavior of different market participants, traders can better navigate the market and capitalize on emerging trends and opportunities.
Note: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any investment decisions.
ZS Zscaler Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought ZS ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ZS Zscaler prior to the earnings report next week,
I would consider purchasing the 185usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-12-15,
for a premium of approximately $6.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 115usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-12-15,
for a premium of approximately $5.40.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
WOW OH WOW. Minus $1 to target please!!INTC is failed the most recent high, it broke its uptrend and sold off right below the point of control (yellow line). I would expect a sell-off to continue to the .382 (white line which is also the next area with the most amount of volume traded.
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
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This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
SIRI Sirius XM Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SIRI Sirius XM Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 4usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-11-17,
for a premium of approximately $0.32.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
CVX Chevron Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought CVX here:
or sold it before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CVX Chevron Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 157.50usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-11-17,
for a premium of approximately $3.42.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
LOGI Logitech International Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold LOGI here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LOGI Logitech International prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 80usd strike price in the money Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $11.05.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
LW Lamb Weston Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold LW here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LW Lamb Weston Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 90usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $2.02.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
VALE PUT OPTION and VOLUME storytellingVALE has a nice possible put play, but it needs confirmation to fulfill its potential. Wait for the open/confirmation/retest of 13.09 before committing to the buy put option.
Put Volume Total 4,738
Call Volume Total 997
Our target if the buy puts prevail, is inside the green box.
I'm just looking to get in and get out. Volatility is king in this unstable world economy, inflation and world conflict.
My strategy
- buy VALE $13 Put 10/20 0.22 then look for exits at;
*Target 1 - sell for 0.29 31.8% winner, and if it is moving further in my put direction, then
*Target 2 - sell for 0.38 72.7% Winner!!
Why Buy Put Option?
- All EMAs are upside down, adding hard resistance to any bullish move
- Stochastic has now turned bearish
- RSI is now flat
- Volume is showing Buy Puts are the play to make
NOTHING IS CERTAIN! This stock could find its footing on the GREEN 8 EMA and hold, requiring paytience to look for the direction
**Let's see what happens**
DISCLAIMER - I am not a professional trader. These are merely my thoughts and possible moves; i enjoy watching these stocks validate my process or slap me across the face lol. If you are in need of professional assistance with your trades, don't look here. I am not that guy.
$WBA 11DTE SHORT PUT 10% profit target #WBA #options10% TP for my cap in 10 days? It's good....
Any kind of naked PUTs on big instrument are my favorite at high IVR with divergence.
My choice for today: Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc.
Reasons:
- RSI is already oversold with big divergence
- breakeven point is little close, but allowed loss ($50 max) is manageable
SETUP:
NAKED PUT for NASDAQ:WBA , because IVR is high, for 0.7cr
* Sell 2 NASDAQ:WBA OCT13 '22 PUT
Max profit: $152
Probability of 50%Profit: 72% (TP: $95)
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 10%
Req. Buy Power: $1035 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 84 (very high)
Expiry: 11 days
SOLD OCT13'22PUT @ 0.76cr
THO THOR Industries Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of THO THOR Industries prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 105usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $0.97.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
FDX FedEx Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought FDX here:
or ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of FDX FedEx prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 220usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-11-17,
for a premium of approximately $1.96.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
PSTG Pure Storage Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PSTG Pure Storage prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 36usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-9-15,
for a premium of approximately $2.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
TLYS Tilly's Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TLYS Tilly's prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 7.50 usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $1.55.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.