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Puts

C+H into H+S as left shoulder is the top right side of the CupThis particular formation is something I seldom experience in my daily chart readings, but when it arises tends to guarantee a profit given this entry. First time I ever saw this I questioned, can two patterns be combined? I would have to agree. Proper confirmed entry would be at 328, as soon as I witnessed the potential first indication of a reversal of trend, a lower high in a previous uptrend. Another thing that added conviction was the appearance of larger than the other wicks in the formation of the H+S specifically that right shoulder. I entered Friday in this situation because of the conviction I had in regard to experiencing this formation previously. 5 min time frame is my preference for day trades. Hope this helps.
NYSE:HDShort
by phelan42
A look at $SPYHere is a look at $SPY since the beginning of this year. It looks to me like were in the last leg of this rally, about to finish w5 right at the months long DTL, as we approach a bunch typical w5 fib levels, the A=C 1:1 extension of the oct 13-nov 1 swing, and the 200 MA. The daily RSI is also approaching overbought territory. If we get a rejection at the 410-415 level, i expect we'll start another months long trek down to the low 300's, probably somewhere around 320-340. 323 is the 50% retracement of the entire post covid rally and 320 is a 100% retracement from the sept 2020 low. Some long dated 400 or 410 puts may pay out really well if bought above 400. A mistake i've made in the past is jumping in too early, so it would be wise to wait for a confirmation of rejection before going hamtaro. Counterpoint If we can break past this year long DTL, the equation obviously changes. If we somehow cross 430 convincingly, i would become a lot more bullish on SPY.
AMEX:SPYShort
by ir-rizzle
3
$COST Short Idea - First target 465Market has been rallying but today seemed suspect and pop in VIX implies smart money possibly hedging under the hood. Time to start looking for hedges / short opportunities , whether we get a large move down or just a pullback before going higher, IMO in the near term we see some selling. Costco is at trend line resistance and therefore I see it as a good hedge/ short candidate. Also at the top of the BB , implying as a mean reversion trade we at least see 495, with 465 being the max profit taking level for me. For the less risk adverse can trade a 525/530 call credit spread or a 525/520 put debit spread, although all out short / long put is also an option ... I'm looking at DEC opex. Cheers - Frisco
NASDAQ:COSTShort
by FriscoTrades
SPY 52 WEEK LOW INCOMING?With the fed set to continue raising rates through 2022 I do not see a bottom in sight. Presented above I map out the two most possible scenarios in my opinion. The December fed meeting is the most important meeting coming post midterms. The November meeting this week will answer a few short term questions but the real question is do we begin slowing in December? If I had to answer the question above today the answer would be no! Based off the data we have received this month inflation is not slowing and unemployment is still low. The dollar has began to cool off, bonds & equities are getting some relief which provides more liquidity to the downside. The next week may become volatile or even a bit ranged bound as we wait on new data but I believe the end story is all the same. Spy breaking above the bear trend and 200ma invalidates my thesis. Fed rate slow also invalidates my thesis.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Ericc100k
3
UPS United Parcel Service Options Ahead of EarningsMy recent experience with those global package delivery companies was extremely painful. The have raised their prices a lot, on some occasions you pay the same price to send something to another country than taking the trip yourself and deliver that package in person. So i have tried to avoid UPS, like many of you, and go for smaller unknown companies. I think this attitude will reflect in the upcoming earnings. Looking at the UPS United Parcel Services options chain, i would buy the $160 strike price Puts with 2022-11-4 expiration date for about $4.85 premium. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:UPSShort
by TopgOptions