$SPY is *blindly bullish* and I'm not falling for it anymoreThe last 16 days of SPY have been this ever ending bullish movement. We're almost at the Pivot point, but I'm taking put options early.
Expiration - March 15 2019 (56 days)
Strike - 260 puts
Stoploss - If SPY goes above 270.36
Target - 245 by EoM February
Puts
AMZN news over the weekendHey fellow traders, haven't done this since last year but I'd like to go ahead and point out a couple things. At the very moment we are at very important key levels for a major move in either direction of the overall stock market. If I were to have to pick a direction for the following 2 weeks according to all the indexes and all the record breaking overbought parameters being shown all over the place, looks like an incredible opportunity to short almost everything. There is a catch though, amzn and other individual stocks look to have been taking a breather for the past week instead of completely cliff diving downwards. What does this mean? Doesn't really mean much except that bulls do have a chance at another move higher. With tons of FOMO (fear of missing out) and short volume, we could be looking at a very good sized squeeze upwards. Going into the weekend it feels as if some sort of very vital news will arrive that completely pushes the market another leg higher or carries on with the bear thesis of the market going lower. Could very well be the shutdown being lifted or china trade talks going well or could be the complete opposite. I personally have a few calls of some names and I have a few strangles in play on the indexes for next week. If things absolutely go wrong into Monday my strangles should help capture the move from either direction if we go higher my calls should drive up nicely. All in all a very great week for many who captured the big moves and also the pot stocks, be very careful into next week and hedge your positions in case of things going against you. I am personally long biased looking for a pop higher into next week before we head much lower into February but that's just me.
$AAPL Death Cross on Daily - HUGE Near Term Put Buying$AAPL Apple - Over $250M in December Puts purchased today with another $100M+ in January Puts. A major fund with deep pockets is expecting additional downside in the very near term. I'm targeting the 200d ema on the weekly chart or about $150 by January. If that doesn't hold, next major support would be around $133.
Note: Informational analysis, not investment advice.
$NVDA Nvidia 5th Wave - HUGE Near Term Put Buying$NVDA Puts led Calls today 100 to 1 . Roughly $530 MILLION DOLLARS of $NVDA Puts purchased today deep in-the-money. The biggest red flag is they were all near-term expiration December and January.
The daily chart supports a continuation of this final 5th wave down. Depending on the severity of the move I see two possible targets by January - $120 Long-Term Support Level / $103 Gap-Fill from May'17.
Note: Informational analysis, not investment advice.
Short or buy puts BA Short term profitWhat im clearly seing here is that BA was buy above the trend, obviously is going to be sell out also, im seing lower highs, so maybe it could back to $355-350 by the next week i bought a put $365 today at $366 and cash in tomorrow, patience is everything. GL to everyone.
Facebook having a hard timeWatching for the bearish movement to continue on FB as the market continues downwards. The weak close and movement of the market allowing much insight into this. We will watch the key level of 150.75 for entry after rejection on Monday. We can watch for more stable movement as a bottom presents itself around 113.54 however with movements of this size we would expect additional panic and selling which could easily result in movement far greater than this (ei SQ )
If there's any interest in understanding the market or learning to capitalize on these lucrative opportunities feel free to contact me for more info.
Netflix Leading the charge downwardsNFLX like many of these setups, there's plenty of room to come down. NFLX appears to be ahead of the game as it's pushed it's lower high earlier than most and could help lead the charge downwards. Key level 318 will be watched for possible recovery above however we are more than likely expecting the bears to take charge below 269.21
Bear move coming for NFLX, 26% drop by FebI'm actually long on NFLX stock but I think it'll drop over the next quarter. Overvalued compared to the other streaming services but lots of original content and a huge expected increase in subscriptions to streaming services over the long term.
This chart is based on a monthly consolidation but I am showing the weekly candle to show that my last 5 forecasts with NFLX all hit their targets, although they were shorter term targets.
Ponzi Tuesday strikes again...Get your FD putsWell well well...another gap..another call for FD puts...this is too predictable...notice how the correction didn't gap down at ALL and now when we move up we start making gaps again??
Sounds like PONZI to me. I'm not saying we going to SPY 270 or anything...just gotta fill this gap. Also today has been ultra-low volume pumping.
Puts on/Short XOM Into EarningsChart scale is normal and candles are three day
XOM has been in a massive triangle formation pattern for years now and just this week it looked like it was about to break out to the upside, before it ultimately failed and the market rejected the breakout. XOM has been one of the weaker stocks in the energy sector and with higher interest rates, falling oil prices and rising steel costs, the energy sector has three major headwinds against it for the short term at least. My inclination is to buy some at the money puts expiring the week earnings are released. It is possible but I doubt XOM will go down all the way to the lower bound trendline of the triangle before earnings, so the day before earnings are released you can either close the trade, roll it down (and out) or turn it into a put spread by selling a downside put to take advantage of the heightened implied volatility, depending on your convictions on how XOM will react to the earnings release of course.
$JD - JD.com $10M Bearish Bet$JD - JD.com saw a big $10M+ bearish bet today via the Jan'19 $70 Puts (very deep in the money - current stock price ~25.50) with 2,400 contracts purchased for ~$4,400 per contract.
The chart supports the bearish prediction with the price having been respecting the 50d ema for the majority of the summer on the 2H chart.
Medium term target - $23.00-23.50 area by mid-October (long term support levels)
TWTR - TwitterTwitter cratered a bit after earnings, so taking advantage of the IV spike.
-1 Sep21 $33/38/39 Jade Lizard for $1.63. No upside risk on this play (will make $63 if expires over $39), $31.37 downside breakeven.
Risk: 2x cr received or continue to roll the put out.
Profit: 50% cr received
Netflix's epic run is over: SHORTWhenever an asset grows at an exponential rate, that is a red flag that a major correction is imminent. Netflix has seen unbelievable growth (along with the other FAANG's) in the past year, and signs are now showing that correction time has begun. Last week, Netflix reported earnings and user expansion slightly lower than the sky high expectations 'analysts' had created for their quarterly report, and the stock fell over 14%. That is a very bad sign. Yes, it recovered extremely strong the next trading day, but fell back to the original 14% decline in the days following.
The chart also shows signs that a correction is in store. Bearish divergence, even before the earnings report, showed weakening strength as the RSI fell and the price double topped around the $420 region. MACD has crossed over issuing a 'sell' signal, and is extremely high, increasing the possibility for a big tumble.
This is a weekly chart of Netflix, which gives the broader outlook for the coming months. There is a possibility Netflix rallies back towards the $400 region in the short term, but I highly doubt it will make a new high in the coming weeks.
Exponential rallies always end poorly, as they show growth is unsustainable at that rate.