Putsale
Cautiously Bullish on SHOP by selling Put Credit SpreadsSell the Feb 16 SHOP 100/95 Put Credit Spread for $0.65 or better, for a 13% (not counting commissions) return within 35 days.
Stop loss should be if the spread increases to $1.30.
SHOP has held the 61.8% retracement of the Sep 17 high to Oct 17 low and is clearing the way for higher moves.
Playing it with selling a put credit spread and receiving $65 for every $5 wide contract sold, for a potential 13% Return on Risk over 35 days.
Happy Trading
Lindosskier
Put sale on MU for February normal expiry?MU opened and closed below its 100 day SMA on the daily time frame. I can definitely see some more downside down to $39 and maybe even the 200 day SMA on the daily time frame, which is also the 50 day EMA on the weekly time frame.
Weekly chart:
Considering a $37 Feb put sale for a limit of $0.40 or better. I wouldn't mind owning shares in MU :-)
PETS Put SalePETS had a good gap down on earnings. They beat earnings, raised their dividend from .20 to .25 but traded down on their guidance. It is bouncing off the 20EMA a bit intraday. I do not mind owning shares down at $40 which is almost another 20% down, past the 50EMA/prior support, and would be right at the 100 SMA as well as more support. Let's see how it works.
HMC / Bearish Retest / Short-Strategy / Short-TermThis is a chart I made mapping out some Support/Resistance lines for HMC which is on a downward trend long-term. The Old Support / New Resistance candles, as well as Old Resistance / New Support candles, are all marked and match with a connection line displaying the correlation. There are 23"soon-to-be" bearish old support candles which I think will have bullish new resistance candles in the next 2-3 days.
Planning for a Bearish Retest Bounce (based on the 3 previous day black candles) so I can later short the stock. Thinking of entering STO at $27.80-ish area for the bounce and then exiting BTC at $27.50-ish, shorting the stock. I'm assuming this trade will take roughly 2-7 days based on previous data.
I'm extremely new to trading, just started learning June 25th, so please let me know what you think of the plan and if you have any ideas about what I could do differently or change. I am also open to ideas on PUT orders.
Why selling OTM spreads is guaranteed to wipe out your profitsTrading without a risk management is gambling. Gambling relies on hope.
Selling OTM spreads depends on a 75% success rate and surviving a few big losses. The RR is very low if you are aiming to collect 25% of the spread. I traded 12 months solely on BullPut and this has taught me well. It's a losing strategy based on the misconception of high win rate and "consistent" income.
Using ITM spreads, you can enjoy higher RR and live to make another trade. I took a calculated loss on AAPL with RR 1.6.
Sell puts on volatility spike post earningsSIMPLE STORY
Stock down on the back of disappointing earnings
Expect further weakness closer to the US open, as US institutions adjust their portfolios
This remains a quality defensive stock, quite compelling in the current toppish market context
SIMPLE OPTIONAL STRATEGY
Selling the June 16 puts with a EUR 69 strike indicatively brings in some EUR 2.00/share, or 8.5% annualized
If assigned, the put seller becomes long the shares at a net EUR 67.00/share, a compelling price some 6.5% away from here
BX - Great way to Own Apartments, Hotels and Office SpaceBX Bottoming Process + High Vol Support + IPOs to Resume + Private-Equity / Venture-Capital to SUCCEED. Great Dividends. Put Sell and Call Sell while making money on Dividends. ALL of this without owning any apartments or hotels or office space. I am long the stock right now, but getting ready to do a Call sell on it since up move seems to have ended as of 11/30/2016. As it starts to move down, and the stock bottoms, it is time to do an aggressive Put Sell and get your stock back if you lost it. Remember, you might have double ownership of the stock, so do NOT go in with a full position. Start with 1/3rd position.
Selling Puts on AKS: Low Risk Very High RewardAKS Published good earnings 2 days ago
The stock made an intermediate high at $5.75 on this occasion
Today the company is announcing a stock issuance at $4.90
The stock price is down some 8% in adjustment to this news
Opportunity to SELL NOV 18 '16 $4.50 PUTS at c. $0.14/share
If exercised, the reward/risk will be a very compelling 2.8x
Adjusted for the risk premium, this would be more than 5x
If not exercised, pocket a 2.76% premium ($0.14/$5.07) in 3 weeks (+48% annualized)
KC shortUpdate on a upsloping trendline (blue) which acts as resistance
On the 5 hour chart, we should have generated a sell signal.
I still remain short via puyt spread 1x2s, as frost is no longer an issue. It appears the market is still digesting this from last week and should correct lower IMHO as physical supplies out of Brazil remain steady.
Warehouse stocks in EU and US plenty as well.
Dont get me wrong, as shown in the blue channel, even if we have a correction lower, the blue trend channel might indicate a change in trend, however the frost damage is simply not there and in order to rally, this market would need breaking news like that.... without anything of that sort coming out, I see a correction lower before making new highs.
Still, knowing coffee, I remain short with 1x2 calendar spreads, buying the downside 1 leg in one month and selling 2 lower puts in a month further back.
Looking for a short that wont go up as the S&P recovers? KODK is circling the drain. Their balance sheet and quarterly income is very unimpressive; they don't look like the books of a company on a rebound but rather a company winding down operations. Q4 2014 they had $260m~ assets over liabilities, that number is down to a scant $75m~. During the same period, cost of revenue is down about 17% vs revenue being down 'only' 13% but that's not terribly impressive.
Don't get me wrong, I like film cameras. Working in a dark room to print your own photos is great. But it is a niche market that doesn't match up with Kodak's half billion market cap (they don't even make cameras mind you!) The film market is dominated by Polaroid, toy cameras, and pre-owned sales. Film and paper are not a monopoly for Kodak in the 21st century with Fuji, Ilford and others long pushing Kodak out of frame.
This chart shows Kodak's next slide. The 1 day MACD is already breaking negative and the chart below is the 3-day MACD showing that the leveling/upturn from the start of this year is over. Kodak may as well have agreed to sell their wares exclusively at Radioshack. Much of what their current business is (business services etc) doesn't have the same economies of scale that Xerox and others have. They could have held some patents and licensed the remainder to get some revenue streams but it's too late now. Maybe Kodak is already "winding down" and doesn't want to acknowledge it publicly. They don't have to wind down to zero; they can still be a single factory film manufacturer, making a tidy profit for a few dozen employees. But a half billion dollar multinational? Sorry, but that image is fading fast.
Bottom line:
Buy put options for as far out as possible and sit on them---Take a higher strike price (>$8) if you are looking for a cheap bet, low strike price if you are looking for a super cheap bet.
Weekly put sale SPWRI'm basing my more bullish than bearish put sale on the Gap, wick, volume, candle, bounce off the EMA's on the 5 min, and the put sale is below the 200 SMA.