$PVH going down is this a sign for $XLY to follow suit$PVH is a company that brings you the brands like Tommy Hilfiger for example. I am looking for this to head back to the down side as we are starting to get into the new year.
Bullish case: crossing above the psychological level of 70 this will make some noise as we are currently in high low territory. If there is a strong amount of support, it will retest 72 and 77 levels.
Bearish case: My general thesis, after breaking this support that imbalance candle could lead it into 64-65 level before a retracement. With all indicators pointing to the downside here, I think this is the most probable situation.
PVH
THE WEEK AHEAD: CHWY, LULU, PVH EARNINGS; GDXJ, XOP; VIXEARNINGS:
CHWY (71/85/17.34%)* announces Tuesday after the close.
The June 19th 41.5/60 17-delta short strangle pictured here pays 2.55 with break evens wide of the expected move. The similarly delta'd July 17th 39/65 gives you more room to be wrong, but doesn't pay that much more for the wait -- 2.48 at the mid.
LULU (36/57/10.01) and PVH (57/85/14.8) announce Thursday after market close, but have less than ideal volatility contraction play metrics.
SECTOR EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS SCREENED FOR >35% 30-DAY WITH JULY SHORT STRADDLE PRICE AS A FUNCTION OF SHARE PRICE:
EWW (37/38), <10%
GDXJ (36/53), 13.74%
GDX (33/43), 11.12%
TQQQ (30/77), 17.7%
XLE (30/39), <10%
EWZ (29/48), 11.75%
XOP (17/49), 12.4%
GDXJ looks to be the most productive from the premium selling standpoint, although we're getting on the short side of duration for July (40 days until expiration).
BROAD MARKET EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS WITH JULY SHORT STRADDLE PRICE AS A FUNCTION OF SHARE PRICE:
IWM (39/35), 8.66%
EFA (28/25), 5.50%
QQQ (22/25), 5.93%
SPY (21/24), 5.43%
IRA DIVIDEND EARNING EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS SCREENED FOR 30-DAY >35%:
EWZ (29/48)
VIX/VIX DERIVATIVES:
The /VX July contract finished the week at 27.21, with the VIX July 22nd 27/29 short call vertical paying .75 at the mid and the 27/30, nearly a buck at .95. Going out farther in time to take advantage of contangoized term structure here doesn't net you much additional juice, unfortunately. /VX August finished the week at 27.25 -- only .04 above August. September traded at 27.70, but the 27/29 pays only .65, probably due to the fact that the VIX of the VIX (i.e., VIX implied), slopes away, with nearer term implied being higher than those of longer duration.
In "derivative land," the VXX July 29/30 is paying .38, the 29/31, .71, and the 29/32, .99. UVXY is probably also paying 1/3rd the width for similar setups, although options pricing is showing wide in the off hours ... .
* -- The first metric is implied rank; the second, 30-day implied, and the third, the percentage of share price that the nearest monthly at-the-money short straddle is paying (i.e., the LULU June short straddle is paying 10.01% of share price, the PVH June short straddle, 14.8%).
$PVH Steady Increasing Volume and MoreAfter the huge volume in September of last year, volume dropped off.
It took some time, but then volume started to crescendo and price followed.
Then it dipped again on November 29th during that E.R..
Volume is increasing again now after a huge bottom signal from the CM_Williams_FIX_VIX...
There's a slight divergence in the Chaikin Oscillator on the OBV, but it is barely there. OBV also just took out a prior resistance level.
I also liked an unusual order of options in the stock. A trader opened a $252,000 position into the March 15th expiry $100 strike expiry (traded mid-mkt). The stock was $93.03.
Based on the chart I thit get there's pretty easily by March. I operened a small equity position on Friday but may add Monday.
BTC Ensuing Tug of War Bullish Components "Symmetrical Triangle"We are starting to see "Perfect" vibrations within the Symmetrical Triangle formed on BTC.. This 13800 approx axis will be one for the history books and for us Heartbeaters we will range BTC Bullish and Bearish from her..
Best of luck and note that these are generally bullish or at least you´ll see a solid throwback allowing you to recoup if you don´t get shaky hands (you might just have to wait is all poor soul)
We only recommend DCAing now because we are currently averageing peeps in general until we work out how the Heartbeats system of pattern recognition can help us margin trade to perfection..
Merry Christmas !!
PS see the link for a lame vid on the first PVH being discovered !
BTC Tug of War Produces Incredibly Formed PVHI´m taking some poetic license calling her a PVH but the volume does look incredibly flat in comparison to spike of late and it could be the ominous H but then I could argue her form is jagged.. and she has a beautiful nested BFW PVMM right on her heart.. The flatlining tug of war trapped in a symmetric triangle means the Heartbeater pirates have found treasure for their new Ranger !!
Go Heartbeaters !! yeahhh !! Feeling bullish as !
Here is the chart..