2022_07_14 Mr. $DJIHello everyone,
This a Basic Personal Setup for DJI at this precise point in time. I believe we have reached maximum peak or at least we are standing on a major one.
I would accumulate shorts on different ranges from now on ( personal opinion, not financial advice! You are on your own out there )
All metrics and calculations have been created based on basic mathematical theorems, some with more advanced mathematical functions, the useful Prime Numbers, Theory of Cycles and supported as well with traditional TA techniques.
I have been trying to improve my TA for the last couple of years. I've been looking for my own path and techniques and trying to use standard or common techniques to support my owns not the other way around.
You see, I believe that when people use same techniques for a long period of times, things get more predictable and even be easy target of more manipulations. Is kind a complex subject to explain so wont get into that.
But i think is part of a Trader's job ( or any market participant as well ) to see out of the box constantly, specially if that person wants to survive any condition of any market. On one side, and in the other, the markets are in constant change, so we need to be able to end with gains even if the market turns against our entries. For that, there are some complex techniques but another extend and complex subject.
This type of techniques i'm using are based from a mathematical point of view, at least in this graphic. For indicators i use more standard analysis ( at least standard for me ).
For some years, i have been noticing the presence of patterns through time. As mentioned before, i even started to had this feeling or sensation that the movement of the prices in markets corresponded to just a big one mathematical equation or function running one over again expanding through time. Yes, i do know how it sounds, but for average people ( no offense ). I also know how the face of a person with a very high IQ would be and what would that person ask.
I have been seeing lot of movements according to prime numbers. That's why i saw a lot the number 83 on measures from peak to peak on "high" timeframes but i did not even realized until some days ago working on Reimann Hypothesis that it came to me the idea that maybe i'm just seeing prime numbers expanding ( or distributed through time ), in a sort of way. Yes, i confess lol i'm going for the 1 million dollar prize, why not? i'm bored with a lot of free time and want a personal challenge lol. But since i know i do need more knowledge to prove it, i guess i wont be able to explain it until quite some time. Another whole story :P
Anyway, i noticed that that in a specific timeframe, there were 83 periods from a peak to peak in price on a specific instrument. But when changing to major timeframes, that 83 bacame less periods (obvious), but the result was another prime number, and in other major timeframe it bacame another prime number.
Just wanted to share that to explain why i'm using Prime numbers as well.
That's why you will probably see this measures in time: 3,7,11,23,31,37,41,61,73,83 periods. This are what i have seen in most cases. Some time are near this numbers, probably for a human factor (or external) it changes a bit.. like 38 ( near 37 ).
In this case, we are talking about a market with more than 100 years. So in this case we are on major prime numbers. That's why i'm using for now this measure.
We have Pythagoreans Triangulations, and Euclides Theorem setup.
Since this only for big timeframes, ill comeback once every 6/12 months or when a major moves appears, to any side.
Now from a macro economic point of view, jajaja i think we all know how f. up things are getting and what to expect. Not trying to scare or fud or anything. I'm being objective here.
Ill post some indicators above as soon as i have some time.
Cheers,
-CharterX
// Personal ideas and knowledge i have gathered after thousands of hours of study. I share this for free but should not be considered as Financial Advice. Use at your own Risk //
Pythagorean
Cross Ladder Quantitative Analysis ExampleUsing the Harmonic Mean (Pythagorean Means), we focus on "three values" using the Cross Ladder Problem by drawing the geometric shape - vectored R/S points. These values are taken from the harmonic mean of "B" "A" "h". The calculation inputs are Log Normal, Exponential, and Skewness. (Arithmetic mean gives higher data points that will error your weight); Harmonic Mean gives equal weight to each data point. This is in part; a computation set in our Optimal Geo-Ratio (OG) Model. One would want to incorporate the Intrinsic/Time Value to carry out the time horizon price target. We typically apply the STDEV*SQRT(45 days/252) equation to the two outcomes. You may use a short cut divisor 1/16 per incremental price input for jump diffusion if preferred, integrated with a Beta stochastic volatility model. Square Time Value and Excess Kurtosis are not shown in this example.
Just remember volatility is the standard deviation of expected returns. Volatility is proportional not directional. Peace.