Qualcomm (QCOM): Waiting for Long EntryQualcomm (QCOM): NASDAQ:QCOM
For Qualcomm Inc. on the weekly chart, we now assume that after the significant rise during the Dotcom Bubble for Wave (1), and having observed Waves (4) at $101.47, we are approaching the completion of Wave (5) / the first 5-wave cycle towards Wave I. We expect this Wave (5) to be in the range of 50 to 61.8%. This places us at a level of $184 to $203. The maximum for Wave (5) is at $266.5, which is less typical. The more common range is between 50 and 61.8% in the Fibonacci extension. Thus, we anticipate surpassing our all-time high slightly, and specifically, the Wave B of the correction wave (4) before $193.85. Please note that there is a not so small possibility that we have not seen the wave (3) and (4) yet and we are going to surge even higher.
In the short term, we aim to make entry into Qualcomm. We assume that we have completed Wave 3 and will see a downward correction. For the Wave 4, we expect to reach between 38% and a maximum of 50%. The 50% level coincides with the level of Wave 1, so we do not expect to fall below this. The level of Wave 1 is at $140, setting our stop-loss below $140. We anticipate an increase from 50 to 61.8%, and going beyond this would be unlikely.
We are going to wait again before we share our limit order because we want to be sure and see some weakness.
QCOM
Qualcomm Positions for Growth Amidst Chip Glut ChallengesQualcomm Inc., (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:QCOM ) the global leader in smartphone processors, is charting its course for growth despite facing challenges in the form of a chip glut and sluggish demand for internet-connected appliances. As the company reveals its expectations for a modest recovery in 2024, a closer look at its recent fiscal first-quarter earnings report provides insights into the strategies employed by Qualcomm (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:QCOM ) to navigate the industry-wide inventory drawdown and capitalize on emerging opportunities.
Key Insights from Qualcomm's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:QCOM ) Fiscal First-Quarter Report:
1. Modest Recovery Projections:
Qualcomm (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:QCOM ) anticipates a modest recovery for the industry in 2024, particularly in smartphone shipments, which are expected to be "flat to up slightly." The company acknowledges the challenges posed by oversupply in its second-largest business – providing chips for connected devices.
2. Industrywide Inventory Drawdown:
CEO Cristiano Amon highlights Qualcomm's commitment to positioning itself for growth while navigating the industrywide inventory drawdown. The company is proactively working to address oversupply issues and capitalize on the potential rebound in phone shipments.
3. Diversification Efforts:
To mitigate dependence on the phone market, Qualcomm (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:QCOM ) is diversifying its portfolio, making strategic forays into automotive and personal computer chips. The fiscal first-quarter results indicate success in these endeavors, with automotive sales rising by 31%.
4. Positive Signs in Handset Revenue:
Despite challenges, Qualcomm (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:QCOM ) reports a 16% increase in revenue from handsets in the last quarter, signaling potential positive momentum in the smartphone market. This comes after a 27% decline in the previous three months, providing some relief to investors.
5. Strategic Partnerships:
Qualcomm (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:QCOM ) announces an extension of its patent licensing agreement with Apple Inc. by two years, now extending until March 2027. Additionally, a new agreement with Samsung Electronics Co. positions Qualcomm processors as the foundation for future Samsung devices.
6. Challenges in Connected Devices Segment:
While smartphone-related revenue shows promise, Qualcomm (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:QCOM ) faces headwinds in the market for internet-connected appliances, with a 32% decline in revenue from chips for such devices. The company is actively addressing this weakness to ensure a more balanced revenue stream.
Conclusion:
As Qualcomm (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:QCOM ) grapples with the aftermath of a chip glut and works towards a recovery in 2024, the company's strategic initiatives, diversification efforts, and positive partnerships position it as a resilient player in the tech industry. While challenges persist in the connected devices segment, Qualcomm's focus on growth, innovation, and adapting to industry dynamics will likely play a pivotal role in shaping its future success. Investors and industry observers will be closely watching Qualcomm's moves in the coming quarters as it navigates the evolving landscape of technology.
Qualcomm Invests Further In Mobile AI With Chip Qualcomm (QCOM) rolled out a number of key AI announcements today, as the company seeks to cement itself as a major player in mobile chips.
Those announcements include a new compute platform, called Snapdragon X Elite; a new central processing unit chip, called the Qualcomm Oryon CPU; and a new smartphone chip, named the Snapdragon 8 Gen 3.
Though Qualcomm makes chips, it doesn't produce the sought-after GPUs that have become standard for training AI models. That field is dominated by Nvidia (NVDA), though players like Intel (INTC) and AMD (AMD) are racing to catch up amid the GPU shortage.
Qualcomm, throughout the AI boom, has sought to carve out a niche that's linked to mobile and about increasing efficiency. The Snapdragon 8 Gen 3, Qualcomm's mobile platform for Android smartphones, was designed to emphasize generative AI — for example, offering the ability to run large language models, like Meta's (META) Llama 2.
The chip will begin appearing in major Android devices over the next few weeks, and will also bring enhanced gaming and audio features.
The company's Snapdragon X Elite compute platform is designed to give Windows computers an AI boost. Devices with Snapdragon X Elite aren't set to launch until the middle of 2024 — but the platform will feature a new chip that Qualcomm is expected to emphasize moving forward, the Qualcomm Oryon CPU.
According to Qualcomm, the Oryon CPU is faster than Arm-based (ARM) competitors, a group that includes Alphabet's Google (GOOG, GOOGL), Samsung, and TSMC. The chip purportedly matches the peak performances of both Apple's (AAPL) M2 chip and Intel's 13980Hx, with less power.
The product is an implicit shot at AMD and a multilayered stab at Intel, both of which use Arm intellectual property in some of their chips.
Despite the hype around semiconductors, Qualcomm shares have underperformed the S&P 500 this year. The company is wrestling with slowing smartphone sales and an increasingly competitive landscape.
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QCOM
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Qualcomm unveils new PC and smartphone chips focused on AIScroll back up to restore default view.
Alexandra Garfinkle
Alexandra Garfinkle·Senior Reporter
Tue, October 24, 2023 at 10:11 PM GMT+1·3 min read
In this article:
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Qualcomm (QCOM) rolled out a number of key AI announcements today, as the company seeks to cement itself as a major player in mobile chips.
Those announcements include a new compute platform, called Snapdragon X Elite; a new central processing unit chip, called the Qualcomm Oryon CPU; and a new smartphone chip, named the Snapdragon 8 Gen 3.
Though Qualcomm makes chips, it doesn't produce the sought-after GPUs that have become standard for training AI models. That field is dominated by Nvidia (NVDA), though players like Intel (INTC) and AMD (AMD) are racing to catch up amid the GPU shortage.
Qualcomm, throughout the AI boom, has sought to carve out a niche that's linked to mobile and about increasing efficiency. The Snapdragon 8 Gen 3, Qualcomm's mobile platform for Android smartphones, was designed to emphasize generative AI — for example, offering the ability to run large language models, like Meta's (META) Llama 2.
An photo provided by Qualcomm.
(Qualcomm)
The chip will begin appearing in major Android devices over the next few weeks, and will also bring enhanced gaming and audio features.
The company's Snapdragon X Elite compute platform is designed to give Windows computers an AI boost. Devices with Snapdragon X Elite aren't set to launch until the middle of 2024 — but the platform will feature a new chip that Qualcomm is expected to emphasize moving forward, the Qualcomm Oryon CPU.
According to Qualcomm, the Oryon CPU is faster than Arm-based (ARM) competitors, a group that includes Alphabet's Google (GOOG, GOOGL), Samsung, and TSMC. The chip purportedly matches the peak performances of both Apple's (AAPL) M2 chip and Intel's 13980Hx, with less power.
The product is an implicit shot at AMD and a multilayered stab at Intel, both of which use Arm intellectual property in some of their chips.
Despite the hype around semiconductors, Qualcomm shares have underperformed the S&P 500 this year. The company is wrestling with slowing smartphone sales and an increasingly competitive landscape.
"Near term, demand for handsets remains extremely depressed amid a severe channel inventory drawdown while orders from China Android manufacturers have yet to snap back," wrote CFRA analyst Angelo Zino, who rates the stock a Hold. "Although we like Qualcomm's potential to diversify over time, we are wary of its position given structural share loss across the Android ecosystem."
Qualcomm's partnership with Apple is also vital to its near-term prospects — and fragile, as Apple has chipmaking ambitions of its own. In September, Qualcomm and Apple re-upped an iPhone deal that sent Qualcomm's shares surging.
"The deal marks a second time that Apple has had to strike a multiyear contract to source thin modems from Qualcomm, in a contractual relationship that Apple sees as unfair but necessary," Argus Research director Jim Kelleher wrote in September. "For Qualcomm, the agreement locks up a key high-volume customer at a time when financial pressures and modest gains in smartphone function and efficiency are limiting demand for new phones."
QCOM Continuation Play [PUTS]Here is a strong down trend proceeding a channel break to the downside. An Inside Bar/3 Bar Play has formed on the 4h at close giving an opportunity for entry below the low of the inside candle. Can expect (but not guarantee) another leg down to follow up the current consolidation to possible test and or fill the gap below.
$INTC - Rising Trend Channel [MID-TERM]🔹Between support 32.86 and resistance 37.24 in Rectangle Formation.
🔹In case of a NEGATIVE reaction, it has support at approximately 33.
🔹Technically POSITIVE for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern:
◦ DT: Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
◦ DB: Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
◦ HNS: Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
◦ REC: Rectangle | 🔵
◦ iHNS: inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
AFRM - Rising Trend Channel [MID-TERM]🔹Breakdown support of rising trend channel in the medium long term.
🔹Support at 13.81 and Resistance at 19.99 in Rectangle formation
🔹Slightly risen above the resistance level of 17.
🔹Technically POSITIVE for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern:
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
QCOM - Falling Trend Channel🔹Breakout resistance at 123 in inverse head and shoulders formation.
🔹Tests resistance at 126, potential NEGATIVE reaction; upward breakthrough signals POSITIVE.
🔹Technically NEUTRAL for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
QCOM Prediction using Fixed Range Vol w/ S&RSo - I've been playing a new tool (to me it is), the 'Fixed Range Vol' I only recently realized is available in TradingView's arsenal.
I'm not exactly sure if I am using the correct way that it's intended to be used but so far, it's been a pretty reliable tool for my chart analysis attempts.
1.) I start by selecting the HH's and LL's on a higher time chart, let's say for example either the D or 4H and then again on a smaller time frame, let's say 4H or 1H and then again on the same or similar time frame as the last except this time I'd select points that are relevant to the symbols last noticeable trend movement.
2.) Then I would correlate the outcomes from those Fixed Range results withthe Supply & Demand areas generated from the indicator 'FluedTrades-SMC Lite' .
More times than not - there is a fairly clear pattern or indication as to what the chart's next movements might be. So far - I've actually been quite surprised with the number of times this unusual method I somehow started using has been correct.
Or is this a commonly used strategy that I just don't/didn't know of?
NVIDIA - A Scenario Few Are Considering. Few. Few. Few.NVIDIA's price action last week was a historic event in the markets, and at a very strange time. Whenever you see such an outlier, it's time to perk up and really give a deep think to what's going on in the world at large.
For me, I had long since anticipated NVIDIA would print a new ATH, but I did not believe it would do it until the markets at large had started to moon, which I stated in a March call, which turned out to be pretty accurate.
NVDIA - Expect Sideways Until Bear Puts Expire Worthless
The fact that a megacap could take out the November of 2021 highs before the Fed started hiking is extremely indicative of what's going on, namely that the indexes and the market at large are sure to follow.
I've heard some pretty good theories that NVIDIA being able to do what it's done has a lot to do with Chinese Communist Party entities running a "boomerang" through Cayman Islands-based proxies that are shuffling liquidity through big enterprises like the US banks located in Hong Kong.
NVIDIA also reportedly relies on Taiwan-based TSMC to make its processors, and right now, Taiwan is the springboard for the western globalist interests to attempt to take control of Mainland China when the CCP collapses in the upcoming future.
The Party has recently stated that the mainland is scheduled to get hit up by 60 million new cases ***per week*** of the nouveau variant of the Omicron version of the Wuhan-originating Coronavirus Disease, and yet the Communist Party is not reporting any hard figures on case counts and death through the global faucets, and has not since Xi dropped the Zero COVID social credit scheme in January.
And on top of that is the soon-to-be 24 year long persecution of Falun Dafa by Jiang Zemin and its Shanghai faction combining with the CCP itself, a persecution that targeted 100 million people and committed the unprecedented sin of live organ harvesting.
The sin of the persecution is so enormous that once brought into the public eye, no matter who you are in this world, you'll be brought down as retribution for evil.
So there's a lot to watch out for in geopolitical tensions, and a lot at play. The biggest thing right now is that the markets are set to pump to provide people with a new distraction as they try, once again, to get rich, and quick, instead of paying attention to what is important in life.
Everyone is now convinced that NVIDIA is unshortable, and some are even looking for a mild pullback to go long on the "parabolic trend line."
Frankly speaking, there's a lot of risk in buying ATHs when you're dealing with something governed by a clever MM, and if the Q2 ER scam doesn't convince you that NVIDIA's MM is clever, "Sorry, I don't have time to explain it to you."
In making this call, I would like to say that NVIDIA going parabolic is pretty likely.
I'd also like to say that some formation like this, which we saw on Sun Microsystems in the Dotcom bubble, is also pretty likely:
If the Sun fractal is valid, then this call is invalid. How it would play out is kind of like what Boeing did in 2018-19:
Or what BTC CME Futures has already done
Meaning that shorting will remain extremely risky, but going long won't necessarily have any opportunities to meaningfully pay.
However, if the MMS are intending to conduct a turtle soup into a three drives/three Indians pattern, you do actually have the opportunity to Shortgod the top, get long at the bottom, and collect an even bigger trade.
What this would involve is that starting in June NVDIA begins to retrace, and if it were to be so, it would likely retrace with a consistency that is as good as selling volatility has been in the last 9 months.
It would refill the May gap completely, and rebalance the unbalanced March gap, which coincides with the recent market structure's range equilibrium at $250 and the week of April 24's pivot.
Many have said that the debt ceiling crisis being resolved by the Federal government often results in a stock market crash since the market has to absorb all the new TBonds that the Treasury has to issue to keep the government afloat.
If you couple that with how the market didn't go down at all during the debt ceiling crisis itself, a bear impulse appears more and more likely.
If it were to do this, NVIDIA would also never print a $1 trillion market capitalization despite being so close.
NVDIA likely would quickly bounce at this point and then the target would be one standard deviation above the May high, coming in at $540, which would also take the psychological $500 level.
Doing this will encourage and trap bears all the way down, and then slaughter bulls over $500. Doing this will slaughter the bulls that have already bought the top, and at present, the bears have literally all been killed.
Projected time frame for this to happen would be something like a September bottom and the top would come in the middle of '24 with the next U.S. Presidential Election on the horizon.
Of course, that assumes that the world remains in good enough shape to be stable in any way a year from now.
I do not have conviction that this will be the case it will play out, but I wanted to post this theory because the timing, logic, and price action all support it strongly, and it's the one scenario that nobody is considering, which also happens to generate a lot of alpha if you can get on top of it.
QCOM - Rising Trend Channel [MID TERM]🔹QCOM shows weak development in a falling trend channel in the medium long term.
🔹QCOM has broken a resistance level in the short term and given a positive signal for the short-term trading range.
🔹QCOM is approaching's resistance at 120, which may give a negative reaction.
🔹Overall assessed as technically negative for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
Is the bullish run on tech stocks done? check out QCOMAfter taking out the October and November lows, QCOM has surged to activate a Fake Break Down reversal pattern, as well as an odd looking island reversal pattern, leaving behind almost the entire month of May's trading days. It might need a breather here as it runs into some short term resistance, but I'm long.... 🤷♂️
2000 vs 2020 Tech crashesQCOM was the hottest stock of 1999, and had a similar fall from grace as the biggest tech names of the time, if not faster. Some of the top tech stocks by market cap were: MSFT, CSCO, INTC & IBM
I believe in a 2-3 year bear market, but we are pretty close to 2000 levels in a lot of major Tech stocks already. A lot of people wanna sell it to the floor as fast as possible, but that's not what the bear market really looks like. It's the white box.
FOMC Summary | QQQ & SPY Analysis | KRE & PACW Bust | QCOM ER- FOMC Summary: 0.25bps hike today, Powell saying no cuts this year may made the market a bit red but he said that last time too. I personally think it was because market participants this time wanting to hear a pause due to it being so price in but he didnt say any of that so market went down.
- QQQ bounce off of Key support yesterday but broke below today
- NASDAQ:QQQ and AMEX:SPY both below 12 EMA
- NASDAQ:PACW NEWS wanting to sell its entire bank AH, causing market to drop
- NASDAQ:QCOM ER saying lower demand on phones made NASDAQ:AAPL drop
In a sea of red there still some bulls standing Just talking walk down wall street AKA the HeatMap looking at a sea of red I notice a small pace of green as i zoomed in long behold it was QCOM as i started my top down analysis i seen it was breaking its down trend as i made my way to the daily chart i stumbled upon a Cup & Handle at the neckline looking ready to take off any moment with a measured move of 17 points if it fully play out so that's a very juicy target for trades to pass up !!!!