A Simple Method Of Evaluating Trade Setups For Everyone - PART IThis is a simple example of how anyone can attempt to understand price action, trade setups, and determine if the current trade setup is valid for any trading action.
Unless you have a trading system that helps you identify highly successful trade setups, most people struggle to find opportunities before they turn into breakout trends (up or down). Ideally, most traders want to get into trades before the big breakout, or breakdown, happens.
This video, part I of an extended series, will help you learn to use simple tools to identify qualified trade setups from invalid setups.
You can trade whatever you want. But remember, the trend is your friend, and learning to understand price theory, trends, channels, and support/resistance is all you need to make better decisions.
Watch this video to see if it helps you. Over the next few weeks, I'll create more videos highlighting simple techniques to help you become a better trader. I'll review dozens of charts and highlight what works and what doesn't.
Trading is a matter of managing risks while attempting to generate profits. This will be a great way for me to share my thoughts with all of you while trying to help you learn techniques to help you build solid skills.
Hope you enjoy this first video.
QLD
NQ Reverts Off 618 Support ($11,6389)If you are short, stay very cautious.
This base/bottom in the NQ may be the start of a breakout rally phase after months of consolidation below a strong downward sloping trend line.
Far too many people are failing to understand the market dynamics at play right now. Shorts are getting slaughtered as the reversion/reflation trade is happening.
Follow my research. This is just getting started.
🩸 Big drop in NASDAQ: Today loosers are tomorrow winners!Hi mates here is my play in nutshell for next 1-2 days on CME_MINI:NQ1!
NDX gearing to EXPLODE higher??Judging from past oversold readings, those were excellent opportunities to get long the Nasdaq 100 and aim for new record highs.
Getting ready to take long positions here shortly on the NQ contract. Profit target is above new all time record highs.
Nasdaq could lead the way on the correction - Techs Not So Hot!Our researchers believe the NQ and YM chart illustrates a very different dynamic which is currently at play in the US Stock Markets. The NQ, the Technology heavy NASDAQ futures, appears to have stalled near the 75% Fibonacci price retracement level whereas the YM, the Blue Chip heavy DOW futures, has already rallied past this level and is setting up a “double top” formation near 26268. It is our belief that the US Stock Markets are already nearing an intermediate top rotation price area and that traders need to actively protect their long trades/profits right away. We believe a downside price rotation may take place very quickly over the next 5~10+ days and that the markets may rotate downward by a minimum of 4~6% in what we are calling a “momentum rotation setup”.
Weekly charting basis shows how dramatic the upside price move since December 24th has been It also shows the current high prices are very near to the high price levels near the end of November 2018/early December 2018. We believe this “intermediate double top” formation will prompt a downside price rotation towards support near 24985 (or a bit lower). This represents a -5.5% price rotation and will likely frighten a few long traders. It will also embolden the shorts to start to power back into the markets expecting “This is IT! – the Big One”. We believe this downside price rotation will become a very healthy moderate downside price swing that will revalue equity prices, re-establish support and prompt a new upside momentum move that may eventually break all-time highs later this year. In other words, we believe this rotation will be an excellent buying opportunity for skilled traders. We show our volatility VIX setup forming here.
Be prepared for a moderately large, -4~6%, downside price rotation over the next 5~15 days where support will likely be found near the -5 to -6% levels for the YM and ES. The NQ may fall a bit further towards 6295 ~ 6773 (-6% to -12%). We believe the weakness in the technology sector will be much greater than the Blue Chips and Mid-Caps.
QQQ SQQQ TQQQ QID PSQ QLD QQQX
NQ Futures Long Trade IdeaWell - volatility has been crazy but the bulls are coming back as strong as the bears were last week.
The 7320 target reached and has even been exceeded.
Here is a price action scenario I can see occuring and would be looking for the following trade setup:
Directional Bias: Long
Price Target: 7420
Good Entry: 7200-7220
Risk/Reward: 30 points max risk (below 7170 invalidates) / 200 point reward.
NDX Nasdaq 100 QQQ Possible Trading zoneI believe we may be near a market top, if you are like me you may be wondering where to sell. This is my attempt to analyze the current moves. I do think that the stock market is nearly in danger but that being said, it is definitely not a certainty that we have hit the top. I am not counting on any new highs though because in my opinion, we have already hit the high. I am looking for a bounce upwards from here which may occur over the next couple of weeks.
In this analysis I have put some potential buy and sell areas, please see the chart. This is a 1 hour candle chart.
I do think if we make a new short term low point it puts us in the danger zone. This does not mean I am advising you to sell - or to buy at that matter. It may still bounce back up. But if we are going that low, it is seriously concerning in my opinion. That being said, buying low is always safer than buying high, right? And if we just have a quick dip into the danger zone and it bounces above, it is not so worrisome as getting a 1 day candle close inside it.
My longer term outlook for stocks is negative though. Even if we bounce back, I expect sometime this year to have a real crash, if not now. Be very careful for long positions. This is all just my opinion.
What are your thoughts? I would love to hear from you.
If you liked the analysis, please show your support by clicking like.
This is not advice to buy or to sell. You should do your own research and make your own investment decisions.
Using a "meaningless" ratio to identify areas of support for XIVSo, I had this strange idea:
I took XIV (long volatility ETF) and divided its value by the corresponding value of QLD (x2 NAS100 ETF) to create this chart. To my knowledge the daily value of XIV is calculated based on the price of ES options, so there shouldn't be any relationship with QLD, yet this chart has a clear structure and beauty to it.
It's peculiar how the region around 1.2 used to serve as support in 2013 and first half of 2014, then became resistance in 2015, and then again support in 2017
QLD: Long the breakoutWe have a legit breakout in the Nasdaq 100, we can long QLD here safely.
Good luck!
Ivan Labrie.
QLD: Buying at market open, buying dipsSimple, let's buy dips to 84.98, and also buy at market open tomorrow. Risk 1% between both entries with stop at 83.91.
Today's events pave the way for uptrend continuation in equities, as I had suggestes previously. Now we have firm confirmation with VIX retracing 75% of the recent spike. We only need QLD to sharply rally off this juncture, so be ready to join this trend. Target is a rally above 100 at least.
If interested in access to my trading signals or tuition services, message me privately.
I'm offering a discount for trading signals and tuition for one year.
Contact me for details.
Good luck!
Ivan Labrie.
QQQ: Monthly time at mode analysisIn this chart we can observe the currently active time at mode signal in the monthly QQQ chart.
The uptrend has a long way to go still, so I expect further upside.
You should be long a few stocks by now, or at least long QQQ or QLD, or SPY.
Let's see how this evolves.
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.
