seeking over $200 soon for this semiconductor stocknvda has made a quick return over the past couple months, and theres no reasont that if the broader market continues bullish that nvda should not participate. if we get higher lows in daily qqq i would imagine over $200 for nvda, or around the highest horizontal is in play. if we resist from the first horizontal and set lower highs daily qqq breaking pivot to the downside nvda i would go for thoelse lower horizontals.
Qqe
the last time this chart pattern happened we consolidatedthe 4hr picture on qqe and sss is short. the last time this happened we had to revisit some area of supply/movingaverage in order to continue. theres nothing saying the dollar cant squeeze and bitcoin experience a little snapback to recent lows, and i would be cautious entering long here hoping to bump higher on the weekly. the picot price ive marked out here in the middle is critical, and i would look to target upper horizontals if we can hold that level, and the lower horizontals if we start resisting there.
semiconductors could be in for a huge bull moveif we stay above pivot, there is nothing stopping the top of the sss supply zone from being reached, and qqe rsi signaling bull with a green sss on the weekly. if we pivot higher i would aim for upper horizontals, if we fin ourselves making a bear cross at this key resistance i would aim for lower horizontals if sss stays red.
aapl showing how broader market will fareim depending on this large cap value in tech to lead the way for the rest of the market as a bellweather in technology. if we fall beneath pivot to start testing sss signal as resistance and it turns red were headed for daily consolidation in tech and the broader market, probably testing that ma as support. if we keep a green signal, and hold pivot testing as support we should move toward upper horizontals as long as we do not h/s around potential neckline.
false break or trend changethe reversal pattern is in if we close above the key levels marked out. we have tested this sentiment a few times in the past month, but each time its proven resistive. if that pattern turns green and we close in a bullish pattern breaking out of this wedge to the upside daily id imagine were in for the upper horizontals, and if we stay with sss and qqe in the red treating this area as resistive id imagine it gets shorted back down to the lower horizontals. bulls really want to hold that orange line (high volume area), and bears want to move below it.
PEACOCK INDICATOR USAGEPeacock Indicator settings and Usage.
Please do Enter Trades when there are gray color in any part of the histogram line of indicator.
Entry Condition when all the Colors are inline.
Buy Sell Signals can be plotted in settings
MACD Histogram indicates trend
Zero line indicates Additional Trend Indicator like Super trend, QQE, MACD, HULL
Additional settings will be updated
SSL HYBRID Advanced IndicatorIndicator symbols and usage.
RED/BLUE diamonds- ADX Cross
Grey Background - Low ADX
Green/Red Circles- EMA 5/30 crossover
purple Background- Bollinger Squeeze
green line- EMA5
red line- EMA30
blue/pink triangles below bar- QQE indication with PSAR direction
Buy Sell Signals are QQE + SSL Hybrid + WAE combination strategy.
Take trades when Buy/Sell signals are supported by QQE MOD indicator with same direction and Color.
Exit Trades when opposite signal of SSL Hybrid is met.
Use higher T/F HMA for Reference and Trend Direction along with Supertrend
Looking down the road for a NKE reversalI hate talking about water under the bridge, but this time I will bring up the case of NKE. What I am disgruntled about is that I I didn't head my own (documented) thoughts on NKE that I had posted on Jan 19:
Depending on how you look at it, there has been 4 times that puts below 144 would have worked out wonderfully. The time, I thought I push to 135 would hold as support but that has proved wrong. I hate to chase so I am looking forward to a reversal. I do want to point out a possible future long....
**__Price History: __**
**YTD** -24%
**1 Month** -14%
**3 Month** -26%
**6 Month** -23.5%
**1 Year** -7%
**5 Year** +121%
+01% off 52 week low
-30% off 52 week high
Recently a gap was filled - previously created in June 21' and fully filled Feb 21'
Dividends are here! Historically over the past year NKE has seen a sell off proceeding ex-dividend periods. I won't speak too much on this outside this isolated observation - MM hedging around this period can make the options chain hard to read.
Ex-Div. Date Amount Type Yield Change Rec. Date Pay. Date
3/4/2022 $0.305 Quarter 0.9% N/A 3/7/2022 4/1/2022
**__Indicators__** - 3 Day Chart
**Moving Averages**
Easily summed up as trading below all MA's, the 12/26 EMA, 50/200 SMA, and 9 HMA
The most import to note is the break of the current 3 Day candle below the 200 SMA. A failure to recapture the 200 SMA by the close of this candle could set up NKE for further selling pressure before earnings.
**RSI** Showing signs of being oversold on its current candle and has been hovering right above oversold for over 30 days now - no divergence present currently
**SO** Shows oversold conditions since early Jan 21' and the break below its 50 SMA. The SO remained relatively the same since.
**QQE** Shows momentum to the downside. When compared to the ATR and RSI, the QQE makes sense in this case. There are very little signs of a momentum shift that is imminent.
**ATR** Specifically the decomposed ATR we see that the stock (recently) has had increasingly bearish range with decreasing bullish range - there is no divergence apparent (yet). 1 year ago NKE was trading at SIMILIAR price levels with about less $2 of bearish price movement as compared to today. The important thing to note here is that there seems to be compounded bearish pressure present causing additional volatility on red days.
**OBV** Tracking price closely with no signs of major divergence, although the OBV is declining telling us that volume on down days is getting stronger - thus influencing the ATR (IMO)
**__Thoughts on Price Momentum and Direction__**
**Candles**
The 1 month chart shows a current candle that has opened below and trading below the open of the June 2021 monthly candle - I would look for 122.44 to act as support if bearish momentum continues. This is a level that a reversal could be looked for. Any CLOSE of the March monthly candle below 122 would make me feel like the selling pressure would continue. The 50 MA on the monthly chart could also be used as a level of (possible) support. $122(+-
The 3 day chart shows a current candle with 1 more trading day left - Bulls would want this to close above 128 ( Local Support from 1 year ago) and bears would obviously want to close the candle below - again, closing below $122 would indicate continued selling pressure. Since the gap is filled, the biggest highlight here is holding support (122) or not.
**Earnings**
Historically, NKE has had a beat on earnings for the past 6 reporting periods. EPS reporting turned $0.90, $0.93, $1.16, $0.83 were reported period ending Feb 21, May 21', Aug 21', and Nov 21' respectively. Although the Nov 21' earnings beat, it was down from Aug 21. Estimates now show $0.72, a slightly higher bar than Novembers' expectations but down from what was reported. This to me just says that analysts are expecting the effects of COVID, the labor market, and overall transportation costs to weigh heavily on NKE's earnings. It is also important to note that no dilution has occurred in the last year.
**Insiders**
According to **__Fintel: __**
Shares Outstanding 1,581,295,273 shares
Insider Shares 251,328,587 shares
Insider Ownership 15.89%
Total Insiders 48
"**Insider Accumulation Score**
According to Fintel:
"The Insider Accumulation Score is the result of a sophisticated, multi-factor quantitative model that identifies companies with the highest levels of insider accumulation. The scoring model uses a combination of the the net number of insiders buying the prior 90 days, the total shares bought as a percentage of float, and the total shares owned by insiders. The number ranges from 0 to 100, with higher numbers indicating a higher level of accumulation to its peers, and 50 being the average."
Score: 8.88 (12942 of 13931) - as reference the top rated ticker REFI has a score of 99%+
Although higher insider ownership typically signals more confidence in a company's outlook and ownership in its shares. The more insiders that hold shares the more they would be (in theory) incentivized to do good for the company and help increase its profitability and shareholder value.
**Net Number of Insiders Buying (Rank)**
-3 (3.38%)
13784 out of 14266
Net Number of Insiders Buying is the total number of insiders buying minus the total number of insiders selling in the last 90 days. The percentile rank is shown here (range from 0 to 100%).
**Options**
TOTAL OI -527K
Call 272K Put 255K
P/C RATIO - 0.94
Most significant chain activity on 3/7/22 :
The 3/25/2022 strike P $135.00 had a previous day volume of 930, OI of 1,583 and a current OI of 2,243 for a overall charge of +660 (+41.69%)
The 3/18/2022 strike P $125.00 had a previous day volume of 1,376, OI of 3,655, and a current OI of 4,309 for an overall change of +654 (+17.89%)
Top 10 chains by OI
**Chain Bid-Ask Low-High Vol OI**
3/18/2022 C $160.00 $0.00-$0.03 $0.02-$0.06 24 23,946
3/18/2022 P $160.00 $35.25-$35.90 $34.90-$35.70 25 18,805
1/20/2023 C $180.00 $2.35-$2.73 $2.40-$3.25 108 11,596
3/18/2022 C $150.00 $0.03-$0.04 $0.03-$0.15 1,220 11,313
1/20/2023 C $165.00 $4.10-$4.40 $4.10-$5.00 17 11,107
3/18/2022 C $140.00 $0.14-$0.21 $0.19-$0.72 267 10,462
6/17/2022 C $125.00 $10.00-$10.40 $9.85-$10.40 217 10,433
3/18/2022 P $140.00 $15.40-$15.90 $9.60-$16.02 123 10,040
3/18/2022 C $155.00 $0.01-$0.02 $0.02-$0.08 58 8,876
3/18/2022 P $150.00 $25.00-$25.95 $21.07-$25.30 22 7,218
What is important to note here is the $160 Puts and Calls holding the highest OI - premium heavily favoring the Put side.
**__Further Observations__**
I see NKE continuing its downward trend to test 122. This is a critical level that could start to form support in order for a reversal. An official reversal to me would come with a 3Day candle closing opening above 122 and a close above 135-137. On the monthly, to be more conservative, confirmation would come with a candle close above $150. The QQE on the monthly chart has just flipped (negative) showing (again) bearish momentum - this I do not like if I were to look for a long position too close to the (assumed) $122 support level. I do think, with the right patience, a comfortable long could be taken at confirmation of reversal (early at 135, late at 150) to test ATH's again (179.10). This could equate to a 20-30% gain in full - this is what I will be targeting.
**__NFA Disclaimer__**
This is NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE. These are my own unique opinions based on MY observations and MY experience. I only wish to document and share my thoughts on NKE. DO NOT take this is as a buy or sell signal, you must manage and take responsibility for 100% of your own trades.
[Crypto] Shiba Inu (SHIB)A 3-part analysis for day traders in regards to cryptocurrency Shiba Inu (SHIB).This chart tracks: Qualitative Quantitative Estimation (QQE) indicator, Moving Average (MA) and the relative strength index (RSI). QQE tracks momentum and trend, MA tracks the continued momentum but removes excess noise and lastly the RSI tracks the magnitude of that moving average.
$JETS Weekly MACD CrossJETS weekly from a technical perspective has bullish momentum with QQE buy signals and MACD curling.
Bullish on the weekly close above 21EMA and in a nice volume gap with room up to 26/27 supply zones.
From an options flow perspective, there was a buyer of the 11/19 21C for $2M in premium. I followed and am currently up +77% and still holding with $26PT
If you're not long, I think an idea would be to swing calls for the move up to $26.
$UBER Bullish DivergenceClosed out last Uber trade with profits. Re entered here as I noticed 11/19 calls sweeping.
Indicators showing bullish divergence and trading well below respected AVWAP.
Looking for a reversal and move back up towards the AVWAP/middle of channel. Run up to earnings also in play with the 11/19
11/19 45C 1.77 avg 21K OI
11/19 47.5C 1.2 avg 4K OI
MashumeHullTV and QQEMoMoTV Strategy on ETH Daily ChartMashumeHullTV and QQEMoMoTV Strategy Example on ETH Daily Chart
Shows an example of how the MashumeHullTV and QQEMoMoTV can be used together for trend analysis of possible entries and exits on the ETH Daily chart.
MashumeHullTV as well as QQEMoMoTV with Fast and Slow settings give Buy signal on the ETH Daily chart around 2418.67 on April 26, and does not give a Sell signal until around 3950.73 on May 12.
However, we can see the Sell signal is not given at the same time on all indicators, which is why it is best to use the indicators together to confirm the trend direction.
2900 is a key Support/Resistance level for ETH, and we see QQE Fast is around 50, which is the zone to watch for Tests of Support/Resistance Levels. Previously we see that MashumeHullTV and QQEMoMoTV Fast had Buy signals to
"Buy the Dip" on ETH, but the QQEMoMoTV Slow shows a flat line around 50 indicating a flat trend. As long as we are in this area we should see ETH trading sideways in range, until ETH gets above the key 2900 level. But once we are through 2900 on ETH looks like clear skies to be long again after having bought that dip previously.
NZDJPY Short - Day Trade Using Ichimoku, ATR and QQEPrice has broken and closed below the Kumo(cloud) with the Tenkan below the Kijun and the Chikou confirming. Using the ATR for position management with a 1.6x ATR stop loss and first take profit(usually 1.5x but tend to use 1.6x on hourly chart to allow more breathing room). Using a slowed down QQE cross aas an exit indicator.
QQQE, Hit All Time HighNasdaq equal weighted index hit all time high. The index is helpful to watch. When it hit all time high it presented a short term opportunity in Nasdaq futures (NQ1!). The index is equal weighted, it means no large caps like AMZN, AAPL, and such could skew the real picture.
03/18/2019
USD/Yen since QQE with negative interest rateBesides raising stock prices, the main idea behind QQE with a negative interest rate was to further weaken the Yen.
This effect could not be seen since the Introduction of QQE with a negative interest rate.
It is assumed that because of the "risk-off mode" of global investors demand for the "safe haven" Yen has increased, leading to an appreciation of the yen.