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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-12: Base Rally PatternAlthough I believe the Base Rally pattern is still valid, the markets have been wound tightly near recent highs and I belive this unwinding/breakdown is what I have been suggesting (the Deep-V breakdown) for more than 35+ days. I believe the sticky inflation data (CPI) will overpower the Base Rally pattern today and we will see the SPY/QQQ move downward into the Deep-V lows - likely setting up by Friday/Monday of this week. I'm sorry I'm not able to create a morning video. I'm taking my disabled VET father to his annual checkup this morning. He is still sleeping and I don't want to wake him up. So, you get this content as a substitute. Be prepared for the markets to FLUSH OUT a low and try to grab some easy profits throughout today and tomorrow as the markets struggle to find support. Remember, the broader cycle patterns can sometimes overpower the Daily Cycle Patterns. This happens when NEWS overpowers a Daily cycle pattern construct. In this case, the CPI data is overpowering the Base Rally Daily Cycle Pattern. Ultimately, the markets will find support and move into a brief recovery phase. Get some.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by BradMatheny
2
$IWM Trending UpThe Russell 200 Index is clearly in an established uptrend as you can see on this weekly chart. The CPI number out this morning looks like it will push it back to the lower trendline. If recent history is still intact (it is for now), there may be an opportunity for a long trade on a reversal. All TBD. My plan is to wait for a reversal back to the upside then look for a low-risk reward entry. There is an area of resistance around that horizontal line as well. Let me know your thoughts in the comments.
AMEX:IWMLong
by jaxdog
$BA Getting Ready to Resume the Uptrend?Boeing had formed a cup with handle formation that it “tried” to breakout from at earnings. That breakout failed but not by much. It broke out again on February 6th and has since been forming what looks like a bull flag. I had an alert set on the horizontal line of resistance (breakout area) and I took a long position with a stop just below today’s low. To confirm the continuation of the uptrend, it needs to break above the bull flag. If it does that I will look to add to my position. This is my idea of how I look to make trades. If you like it, please make it your own trade, and follow “your” trading rules.
NYSE:BALong
by jaxdog
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-11 : GAP DefenderThe GAP Defender pattern is where price struggles to maintain a recent open GAP - attempting to defend against closing that GAP. In my mind, this is the lower GAP window between 601.30 and 602.75 (yesterday's opening GAP range). If this recent gap is filled, then I suggest the SPY will attempt to move downward (into my Deep-V breakdown) trying to target the lower GAP near 584.29. Watch Gold and Silver as they continue to breakdown. Any big breakdown in metals should be considered a warning sign the markets are moving into a PANIC phase (selling). We have lots of news today (Powell and other Fed members testifying) while we just found out Trump initiated a larger tariff on steel. I believe the strength of the US Dollar will continue to put pressure on global currencies - possibly leading to even more foreign market distress. This may result in a broader global market breakdown over the next 5-10 trading days. Remember, we have the Deep-V pattern setting up this week and another Major Bottom pattern setting up on Feb 21. I interpret this as a dual-breakdown event - where price attempts to move downward and tries to identify solid support. Bitcoin will likely follow this trend downward over the next 5 to 10+ days. Buckle up. It looks like today may be the day my Deep-V breakdown starts to drive prices lower for the SPY/QQQ and other major sectors. We'll see how things play out. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
13
Your Vote Counts - Help Build the Ultimate Index Watchlist!Hey, I need your help again - this will only take a minute! I’ve said it before, here and to my Substackers: I want to be your reminder to invest . Because let’s be honest, steadily growing your wealth might not be thrilling but it should be your goal! Yes, individual stocks have their place (and I’ll keep sharing ideas on those too), but indexes should be a key part of a solid portfolio. Today’s focus? Maximizing your index purchases. 📊 Proven strategy: A few weeks ago, I ran an experiment comparing QQQ (Nasdaq-100 ETF), SPY (S&P 500 ETF), and IWM (Russell 2000 ETF). Using technical analysis, I outperformed two of them. The tests showed that blind purchasing could be costly: for instance, regular SPY purchases would have left $100,000 on the table, and IWM even more. But here’s the point: this isn’t about blindly picking an index - it’s about timing, risk optimization, and smart diversification. 💡 Now, it’s YOUR turn! Drop two indexes in the comments that you want me to analyze every single month. You decide the final list (likely 4-5 indexes), and I’ll cover them consistently. Whether it’s S&P 500, Nasdaq-100, DAX, Euro Stoxx 50, Russell 2000, or others - you pick, I deliver. 📈 How this helps YOU? ✔️ No overthinking : "What should I buy this month?" - just wait for my post and see the TOP picks ✔️ Keeps you engaged and active in the market ✔️ Builds consistency in your investing ✔️ Ensures every allocation works harder for you ⬇️ Comment your picks below, and let’s make every move count! 🚀 Cheers, Vaido
SP:SPXLong
by VaidoVeek
17
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update - Watching Paint Dry...Today's market seems to be trapped in a "go nowhere" zone. Get thread though. The markets will react to my Deep-V and Breakdown patterns with some aggression in the near future (24 to 48+ hours). Buckle up. This is going to get very interesting as the SPY attempts to move down to 585-590 - or lower. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-10: EveningStar Island PatternThroughout the past week and a half, I've been watching the markets as I prepare for what I believe will be a sudden and fairly aggressive Deep-V setup between 2-10 and 2-13. Yes, that means RIGHT NOW we are sitting on top of a potentially aggressive type of FLASH market move to the downside. Will it come from news, or someone's comments (think Fed comments or news), or will it come from some other source - if it shows up at all. I'm sticking to my Deep-V analysis because I have no reason to believe it is wrong. We may see a mild type of Deep-V pattern, but I believe it will happen anyway. So, as we move into this week's trading, I want to urge everyone to stay very cautious of a potential FLASH breakdown into my Deep-V type of price activity. As you may get trapped into longs and feel comfortable entering some solid bullish price trends/trades, be aware that this FLASH breakdown (Deep-V pattern) may still be lurking behind what appears to be a solid uptrend (for now). Gold and Silver are falling - which is perfect for my Expansion Phase rally to $4400+ (gold). Bitcoin is stalling - preparing for a breakdown. This is the time to prepare for the rest fo 2025. Follow my research to know when you JUMP INTO the markets for greater success. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
2
CRASH - CRASH - CRASH - Don't believe a word of it...I created this video because I'm seeing a bunch of content/videos where everyone is suddenly calling for a CRASH. and I laugh about it. If you want to believe the markets are going to CRASH - go for it. Sell everything. Bet the farm on the CRASH. Leverage your house and everything you own to bet on the CRASH. It's not going to happen soon. My research is very clear. I believe the first opportunity for a deep (more than 25-35%) market pullback will happen after late 2029 and into 2030. Until then, we are going to see moderate pullbacks in a very solid uptrend. Watch this video and learn why real research and modeling systems don't react to the Crash-Dummies that continually push out CLICK-BAIT. It's time to get real about your trading and investing. If you are following someone who continually calls for a market crash - good luck. At some point, you are going to come to the realization they are wrong 90% of the time. Try to find someone you trust who provides clear, timely, and ACCURATE forecasts. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
FX:NAS100Long
by BradMatheny
64
$QQQ Wedging on the 65 Minute Chart (VCP)NASDAQ:QQQ is clearly in a wedging pattern. These types of patterns “usually” resolve in the direction of the larger trend. In this case that trend is still up. This is a news driven market now so anything can happen. I have an alert set at both the top and bottom of the wedge lines. I do not plan to short this market, but should it break down, I may want to reduce my exposure. And if it breaks to the upside, I may add more exposure. I am giving my observation of the market. Nothing more.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by jaxdog
$CWAN Ready to Break Out of The Flat Base? NYSE:CWAN is a name most of us have never heard of. They serve hedge funds, asset managers, and insurance clients with Analytic software. It looks like it is in the process of putting in a higher low. It has regained the 8 and 20 EMAs and the MACD has turned positive. It can still go either way. There is overhead resistance at both the upper horizonal line on the chart and the now downward sloping 50 DMA (red). I have an alert set on the upper resistance line around 29.50. Should that trigger, I will go to a lower timeframe like a 5-minute chart to see if I can get a good entry. My stop, if I take the trade would be on a close below the 20 EMA (green). Making for a tight and good risk reward trade. I do not set targets, but I do think it has a chance to get back up to around 32.00 – 32.50. Which is around a 13% gain if that were to happen. If you like this idea, make it your own trade that fits your trading style.
NYSE:CWANLong
by jaxdog
$QTUM Maybe Trying to break out of This Wedge (VCP)I have been long this name for a few months now in my investment account. I have added more today with a stop on the added position size just below today’s low. There are some very big names in this ETF, it invests in AI learning as well as Quantum Computing. It looks to me to be in a Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP), more popularly called a wedging pattern. I went long more shares as indicated above in anticipation of a break above the declining upper trendline. It also is supported by both the 8 and 20 EMAs and has consolidated to get more inline with the 50 DMA (red). If you like it, make the trade your own and make sure it fits your trading plan. Look at the fund holdings in “More About Fund” link supplied by TradingView. Here are some of the names you might recognize: NASDAQ:KLAC NYSE:IBM NASDAQ:PLTR NYSE:RTX NYSE:BABA From Defiance ETF Website: QTUM Index Description: The BlueStar® Machine Learning and Quantum Computing Index (BQTUM) tracks liquid companies in the global quantum computing and machine learning industries, including products and services related to quantum computing or machine learning, such as the development or use of quantum computers or computing chips, superconducting materials, applications built on quantum computers, embedded artificial intelligence chips, or software specializing in the perception, collection, visualization, or management of big data.
NASDAQ:QTUMLong
by jaxdog
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-7-25: Where's The Deep-VShortly after I created the morning video, the markets opened with a BANG. First rallying, then rolling over - just as I predicted. Granted, I never expected the markets to rally above 606 before rolling downward, but the breakdown move into a potential Deep-V looks to be playing out very nicely right now. Come Monday (2-10), and possibly carrying into the 13th, we could see a very sharp deep-V type price move that pushes the SPY below 580 for a period of time. That could be a very big move from the 606+ levels we saw this morning. And you know I'll be saying, "Just as I predicted," for at least 3 to 5 days starting early next week if that happens. Again, I put my research out to the public like this to either live or die by my work. Very few people are able to do this - or they flip/flop all the time (every 2-3 hours). My research is different. I'm really trying to make a difference by telling traders what to expect now and in the future. I know I'm starting to make a difference for many people because I'm getting emails and messages from individuals who use my research to identify great trade opportunities. Are you going to be the next person to share your success story with me? Remember, have a safe weekend and GET SOME come Monday morning. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
$TAN Is This Getting Ready for a Stage 2 Breakout?Clean Energy (Solar) has been in a downtrend since January 2021! Every time it looks like it is setting up for a stage 2 breakout, it has broken down. Will this time be different? Here is what I see on this chart. TAN was in a clear downtrend until mid-December 2024. Then it challenged its previous high from the beginning of December. That failed BUT, it seems to have found a bottom as here we are in early February, and it has not sunk any lower than the December lows. I am optimistic that we may be ready to enter a Stage 2 uptrend. However, it has work to do. The first step is to get up and over the 50 DMA (red). Next it needs to break the Downtrend line. It also needs to put in a higher high and finally put in a higher low. As I said, it has work to do. Having said all of that, I have an alert set just over the 50 DMA where I will look for a good entry where I can put in a tight stop should I decide to make the trade. IF, it is going to enter a sustained uptrend it “could” be a big winner. All TBD. These are my ideas, if you think it makes sense for you, please make it your own trade that fits within “your” trading plan.
AMEX:TANLong
by jaxdog
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-7-25: Carryover PatternAs many of you know, I'm still expecting a breakdown in the markets leading to my Deep-V pattern on the 9th and the secondary Major Bottom on the 10th. Why haven't we started to move downward yet? I really don't know. I suspect the markets are being pushed higher by Market Makers trying to crush the shorts (premium). Either way, we'll know how this is going to play out over the next 5+ days. If I'm right, we'll see the SPY break downward towards 580-590 over the next 5+ days. The QQQ should move down 510-515 throughout that same breakdown (possibly a bit lower). I expect Gold and Silver to also move downward if this breakdown in the SPY/QQQ happens as I expect. Metals tend to move downward when the SPY/QQQ makes a sudden impulsive breakdown move. Bitcoin also appears to be poised for a breakdown event. It seems that all the indexes and symbols I follow in the morning video are already standing near the edge of a cliff, just waiting to jump off. I urge traders to move into a protective mode (protecting open longs and hedging against any breakdown event) over the next 5-10+ days. We'll eventually see another bounce/rally off some lows, but right now, everything looks ready to JUMP (off the cliff). Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
10
Weakness in $TSLA when $QQQ and $SPY are strongAfter hitting an ATH NASDAQ:TSLA has lost the momentum. The NASDAQ:TSLA stock has lost the 50 Day SMA and the next stops are the 100-Day @ 330 $ and then the next stop is the 200-Day @ 280 $ . For all the Fib Retracement fans check out for the levels 0.786 @ 345 $ and 0.618 @ 293 $. In contrast S&P 500 and NASADAQ100 are making new ATH and holding on to the gains. So, we might see NASDAQ:TSLA underperforming the NASDAQ:QQQ over the next few weeks. But long NASDAQ:TSLA when it reaches 200-Day SMA.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by RabishankarBiswal
t-bonds x alt season.t-bonds are primed for lift-off. we just witnessed the largest decline in the history of the treasury. since march 2020, t-bonds have looked like they’re in a correction. most are calling it five waves down, signaling a deeper bear market. but they’re seeing the surface, not the structure. i'm building a case that says otherwise. the five-wave drop from all-time highs? that wasn’t the start of the bear market. it was the end of wave c in an expanded flat that began in 2016. most think the t-bond bear market started in 2020. i’m saying it started in 2016,,, and if i’m right, it just ended. --- as the market prices-in future interest rate cuts, fueled by artificial suppression of gas prices and inflation stabilisation, t-bond values will climb throughout this next year. normally, stocks and bonds move inverse to each other. not this time. this time, they move together. 1:1. why? because the us dollar is about to get wrecked. quantitative easing is coming back. liquidity will expand. the global liquidity index will rise. the way we make that happen is by crushing the dxy. --- tldr; - rate cuts incoming - making t-bonds go up - quantitative easing - nukes the dxy - making stocks go up - risk-on environment returns - risk assets go parabolic - alt season is triggered. 🌙
CBOT:ZB1!
by notoriousbids
1
750 dolla spy.gm, wanted to share my outlook on the stock market today. --- fear is accelerating. uncertainty is going parabolic in a way we haven’t seen since the covid crash. people are running. insiders are exiting. the herd is collectively turning bearish. but i’m bullish. --- here’s exactly why: -quantitative easing is coming back. -rate cuts are on the horizon. -the us dollar is depreciating. -economic expansion is inevitable. -the artificial intelligence boom is just getting started. --- while most people fumble their bag up here, drowning in fear, we look for significantly higher prices into 2026. --- ps. i left out upside targets and timeframes because none of that matters at the moment. only the structure does. if you like the structure, use it. don't give me any credit. i don’t need it. if you make a dolla this next year, donate a tenth of it to someone who needs it more than you. the universe will handle the rest. 🌙
AMEX:SPY
by notoriousbids