$RUT FANTASTIC STRENGTH, $NDX is the opposite!WOW what a phenomenal day!
There was HUGE volume on the TVC:RUT AMEX:IWM & it closed near the highs of the day!!!
NASDAQ:NDX on the other hand had heavier than normal volume and closed near the lows of the day
Add to the misery, bearish engulfing was formed today. NASDAQ:QQQ
Did we just see the initiation of money rotation?
QQQ
QQQ Nasdaq Drop Analysis July 11, 2024Everything that goes up must come down! Many people get scared on days like today when the NQ dropped around 10% out of nowhere, but if we expand the chart, we can see that since mid-April, the Nasdaq has only gone up and up! We call this a state of institutional liquidation.
Today, the CPI results were favorable, and there was no economic news that could have taken down the Nasdaq, so naturally, the market has to go down. The question is, for how many days? We really don't know, but if we average the last pullback, we can see that it will be at least 4 to 5 days.
Thank you.
IWM Rally Around the Corner?Bullish divergence is spotted on the IWM/QQQ chart, IWM is being dragged down because of Fed hawkish comments and KRE underperformance. This is a weekly chart so we need time for this to play out, I remain bullish on IWM for the remainder of the year, even just 1% of inflows from QQQ into IWM could make it go up 10%.
Short QQQ, Long IWM?The long tech trade seems to be coming to an end here. If we continue to reject this trendline, then I think the Mag 7 and Nasdaq trade could be over and you'll be better off longing "value" going forward.
On an individual stock basis, there's a number of names that look to be forming bottoms in the value space and a number of stocks (META, NFLX, NVDA, etc.) that all look to be forming tops.
Time to rebalance the portfolio around value?
The chart should be the guide should it reject and fall from here.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7/10 - EOD Followup AnalysisWell, what a crazy day.
Did you guys see that momentum rally carry into today's Gap Up/High pattern? Boy, sure would have hated trying to short this market trend and watching my account collapse.
This video shows you why I believe the momentum behind this move may carry into and through the big data hitting tomorrow. We may see a very strong rally tomorrow after the data hits that could push the SPY price up into the $565~568+ level.
For those of you capable of executing quick shorts, I think you may have an early morning opportunity with price volatility tomorrow - but I would be cautious of getting too aggressive in shorting until closer to the 15th (Monday).
Thank you for all your great comments and boosts. Remember, I do this to help traders become better skilled at executing their own trades.
Now, we've still got 10+ more days of my predictions to work through. So, we get to see if my research/analysis is worth anything compared to the others out there.
I firmly believe most of the people pushing out research are simply pushing out click-bait. Me, I'm a little different.
SPQ/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 7/10 - Gap Up/Higher PatternToday's Gap Up/Higher pattern in Trend mode may provide a strong price rally attempt after yesterday's somewhat non-existent Momentum Rally pattern.
I believe the lack of price movement yesterday resulted from markets waiting for Powell's comments and not wanting to get too far ahead of themselves.
Today, I believe the markets will resume trending to support the continued bullish price move and possibly make up for some of the missing price trends from yesterday.
We'll see - one way or another.
We need to see a solid upward opening price gap today - leading to a moderate melt-upward type of trend. Today's price trend may be explosive - even though we have limited data/news.
Remember, if you like my research, content, and info, share, boost, like, and visit my website to learn more.
Get some.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade - Momentum Rally Day Is HereToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Momentum Rally pattern in TREND mode.
This suggests price will rally today - possibly targeting $558-559 or higher.
The next 2-3 trading days should be very powerful for LONGS. My SPY Cycle Patterns have predicted the past 2+ weeks of price movement and continue to suggest upward price trending until July 15th or so.
Then, we move into an exhaustion peak price action - eventually rolling back downward to find support.
Get ready. The next big move will take place after July 23-24, setting up another great opportunity for skilled traders.
Get some today.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7/8 Followup AnalysisI couldn't have predicted today's price trend any better. The SPY Cycle Pattern, Flat-Down pattern, worked out perfectly today. Although I expected a bit more downside price activity earlier in the trading day, the fact that today's price action in the SPY & QQQ is generally FLAT-DOWN is perfect.
Remember, this pattern was predicted more than 24 months ago. It warned us that today would likely be a narrow-range price bar, and tomorrow, Wednesday, and Thursday will be strong upward-trending bars.
Are you ready for the next big price move? How nice would it be to know 5+ days in advance what price is likely to do so you can plan your trades more efficiently? Learn to wait for the best setups, then go get them.
Watch this video. Now, we will see if the current price FLAG resolves to the upside, as I expect.
Why do I expect price to move higher into the close? Because tomorrow's pattern is a Momentum Rally in CARRYOVER mode.
Go Get Some.
QQQ: Approaches Psychological Resistance! (D&W charts)In the daily chart of the QQQ, the price is steadily climbing within a well-defined uptrend, supported by the 21-day EMA and an ascending trend line. The ETF is approaching a critical psychological resistance level at $500, marked by the red line. This level is significant as it often acts as a barrier due to its round-number nature, where traders tend to set sell orders. A decisive close above this level would signal a continuation of the uptrend, potentially leading to further gains.
The daily chart also shows a recent breakout above the previous resistance at 486.86, which now serves as a support level. This breakout, accompanied by higher lows, reinforces the bullish sentiment. If you are looking for entry points, then you might consider buying on pullbacks to the 21-day EMA or on a breakout above the psychological resistance at $500, confirming bullish momentum.
On the weekly chart, QQQ is displaying strong bullish characteristics with consistent higher highs and higher lows. The 21-week EMA has been a reliable support, indicating the overall trend remains bullish. The recent bullish candle indicates strong buying interest, suggesting that any pullback might be limited and serve as a buying opportunity.
Integrating both the daily and weekly charts, QQQ is showing robust bullish momentum. The key level to watch is the psychological resistance at $500. A successful close above this level would open the door for further gains. Conversely, failure to break above this resistance could lead to a minor pullback to the support levels around 486.86 or the 21-day EMA. For now, we should monitor these levels closely to determine the strength of the uptrend and make informed trading decisions.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 7-8-24Back by popular demand - here is the Plan Your Trade video for July 8, 2024.
Today, I will highlight my expectations and warn you that no one is able to accurately predict future market trends 100% of the time. I will tell everyone that I can't accurately predict anything related to future price trends/moves. I can use my skills and technology to "estimate" what I believe is a likely outcome for future price.
I want to try to make this very clear. I'm not some special person who can see into the future. I am simply using my skills and my SPY Cycle Patterns to try to estimate what I believe could happen in the future.
Based on that information, here you go. I've highlighted 3+ weeks of market trends, showing you where I believe opportunities exist and where to avoid sideways market trends.
I see three very clear opportunities over the next three to four weeks. First, the continuation of the uptrend. Then, the pullback to support. Then, the renewed rally phase near July 23-24.
Let's get some this week and prepare for what comes next.
A Simple/Consistent Trading Strategy Using AnchorBars For AllI was talking with a friend today and he stated he just wanted something simple and consistent.
He stated he was using Weekly, Daily, and 30 Min charts to try to confirm his trade setups.
He did not want to swing for trades too often - only when the Weekly, Daily, 30 Min charts aligned.
I've build multiple systems somewhat like the one I'm showing you in this video. The trick to managing this system is to avoid consolidation periods. When price settles into an extended sideways range - you want to cut your trading down to almost NOTHING and wait for a more defined trend.
Here you go. Simple and easy.
If you don't understand AnchorBars, you can learn more on my other TradingView videos.
Go Get Some...
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade July 7 thru July25 - 3 Weeks AheadThanks for all your comments and boosts.
Remember, it is almost impossible to predict price range/movement 3~4 weeks in advance accurately - as I'm trying to show you with this video.
What I see happening over the next 3+ weeks is a continued rally phase for about five days, then an exhaustion peak sets up (a Last Engulfing pattern), followed by a short (2~4 day) contraction in price, leading to a FLAGGING pattern (sideways), before price attempts to move higher again on July 24~25.
If my analysis is accurate, there are two or three very opportunistic trading moves over the next three weeks. Additionally, for day traders, we will see some considerable price volatility start to set up after July 15.
Many of you have asked how I'm able to do this accurately. The simple answer is that I've been training myself to use my SPY Cycle Patterns and research/TA skills to attempt to "see into the future" with some degree of accuracy. Of course, I'm not 100% accurate all the time, but I think I provide incredible value for skilled traders.
Knowing what to expect over the next two to three weeks can provide incredible insight into planning and trade decisions. That is what my SPY Cycle Patterns are all about.
Combine that with some skills related to TA and Fibonacci Price Theory, and I think anyone could attempt to do what I'm doing on this chart with some practice.
I will state this as clearly as I can... When my analysis aligns with YOUR analysis (regarding price trends/direction/range), I believe you can be more aggressive in your trading style. Otherwise, if I tell you, the price will be choppy and consolidated, cut your allocation levels to 25~50% and trade only for quick price objectives.
I fully believe in waiting for prices to develop the best opportunities and not trying to trade every day.
I'll be updating this outlook every morning with short videos.
Go get some.
BTCUSD Rejecting Downward Trend @ $57k - Watch What Happens NextThis is a followup video to my earlier BTCUSD analysis - suggesting BTCUSD would find support near $57 and rally (eventually) to over $90k.
I found it interesting that I received a few comments on that last video - some in support and others thinking I was wrong. But, now, with BTCUSD clearly attempting to reject any further downward price action near the $57k level - we get to see how this plays out in REALTIME.
Watch this video to learn why I believe the big move for BTCUSD won't happen till after August 15, 2024 (a +$6k move). Then, we'll have to wait till later in September for the major FLAG pattern to complete - leading to an even bigger upward price breakout.
I love this type of analysis and I love sharing it with everyone. Watch my other videos if you want to learn more about what I do and how I help traders prepare for the biggest opportunities.
Watch this play out in realtime with BTCUSD. If I'm right, we'll see $62k again before August 20th, then move into a broader FLAG formation before the next big breakout happens.
Go get some.
AI Bubble grows above resistance for QQQThe gap up and follow through today shows a clear break above the 2010 trading channel that has provide resistance so far. I see a pattern very close to that of July 6, 2020. The is not confirmation yet that price is out of the channel and that resistance has become support, but for the bulls this is a very good start. I would expect the bulls to try and run with it now that price is above the channel. I will also be watching for a pullback to test for support in the near future. If that can hold, the AI bubble may get really pumped. We can never know what will spook the market, but right now it feels like the sky is the limit.
Today
July 6, 2020
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update - Markets Will Retrace 7/15-7/20Afternoon everyone,
As I continue to prepare more research for all of you going further into July, I wanted to share my belief that the SPY/QQQ will retrace shortly. I expect this retracement to happen near 7/15~7/20 and possibly last 1~3 weeks.
Price trends don't always go straight up or straight down. That's why you must learn to take advantage of my research on these types of trends.
When the markets hand you this type of opportunity, you must be ready to pounce on these easy moves.
I try to teach everyone the hardest thing to learn is patience. You have to wait for the markets to give you these opportunities.
Watch this video to learn what to expect next week and the potential for a parabolic price trend going into the end of 2024.
I'll return with a new Plan Your Trade video for Monday and beyond.
Have a safe holiday weekend. I know lots of people are already traveling and visiting family.