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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7-28 - Vortex Rally Phase InitiatesGood afternoon everyone, This Sunday update highlights my SPY Cycle Patterns for next week and discusses my belief that the US stock market has entered a new Vortex Rally Phase. For those unfamiliar with my extended research, every weekend, I spend more than 10 hours creating Custom Index charts and reviewing other proprietary data points while attempting to determine an outcome related to capital flows, expectations, and global market trends. It's not like I sit here trying to study every global market. I have about 20+ Custom Index charts/data points that show me most of the data I need to see; then, I attempt to verify my expectations by looking at other data points/charts. I'm seeing the start of a Vortex Rally (as I call it). This is something very important for traders to understand and is clearly defined in this video. Get ready. We will see a solid US Stock market MELT-UP over the next 12+ months. Get some #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
SPX | The Sleeping PilotTraders have made the ultimate mistake, they were caught sleeping on the steering wheel. And after missing the trend, they attempt to enter it again, only to realize that they have trapped themselves. A question arises: Were they sleeping or are they performing a suicide attack? SPX is like a sharp kamikaze plane. Perhaps of Japanese origin, closing in to Perl Harbor. A wise one should never cut towards them. A knife pointing upwards can only kill bulls. If they wish prices to go up, they must turn the knife down, to kill any bears that step in their way. But it seems though the markets are not wise right now. A successful kamikaze is a fearless kamikaze. All was well when the soldier was certain of their attack. SPX has been moving in perfect correlation with fearless index, aka VVIX / VIX ratio (orange line). But now they have second thoughts. And that is their weakness. SPX is heading upwards with growing fear right now. VVIX/VIX is the thought, SPX is the action. We are in a jet lag, in no mans land. The seconds before the pilot moves the joystick back instead of forward. This is not the first time we are dealing with a soldier who is having second thoughts. Once in 2018... ...another one in 2020... ...and finally in 2021. This fight is almost over for the bulls. Question is: Who will win the war? Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori P.S. Many have made jokes about the POTUS as being sleepy. Never call someone something you don't want to be called yourself.
SP:SPX
by akikostas
9
QQQ Massive Long! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the QQQ next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 463.00 Bias - Bullish Safe Stop Loss - 454.70 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 475.34 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by AnabelSignals
4
QQQ --- AI Tech Bubble Keeps GrowingRight now, not much seems to be stopping the bubble in Tech. You can see we broke above resistance on June 11th and have not looked back. I was expecting some form of test of support, like back in July 2020, but instead any pullback has been bought up. Volume is low and that means that everyone is long to go along for the ride. If we get a run up like back in August 2020, we could top out at the $550 range. We are in the region of extra hard to predict what will happen next. Without a clear reason to sell, this can keep going. I would expect to see some form of profit taking that could make for a bigger pullback, but so far nothing. I think the saying "The Market Can Remain Irrational Longer Than You Can Remain Solvent" comes to mind. I am curious if we are in for a case of "buy the rumor, sell the news" when it comes to interest rate cuts. Maybe this will keep going up until we actually get a rate cut. 1D
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by Dr_Roboto
3
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7-26 Base/Support Rally PatternThe markets are struggling to break away from the morning congestion. I, personally, want to see the SPY move above $550-551 (filling the gap) before I'm going to consider any potential upward trend. The past few days have been frustrating for me and my Cycle Patterns. The Kamala-Crush, as I call it, came out of nowhere and crushed the market trend. The SPY was holding up fairly well on Monday/Tuesday this week but was crushed on Wednesday - the Day of Biden's resignation and Kamala's take-over. I see this as traders/investors actively moving capital away from risks and profits. Now that we are nearing the end of the week, the dust will settle, and we'll move back to more normal types of trading/trending. In the next few weeks, SPY Cycle Patterns show moderate upside trending. It should be fun. Remember, stay focused on your objectives and learn to develop proper risk containment for your trading. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
1
NVDA is below the split lows and the daily 50 SMA.NASDAQ:NVDA confirmed the daily 50 SMA down today, following the NASDAQ:SMH last week. NASDAQ:NVDA also lost the split lows in similar fashion to NASDAQ:AVGO last week. The weakness in semiconductors contributed to the sell-off in technology names today, which provided an excellent opportunity for shorts. Watch for any gap ups in technology names to get sold off and confirm the previous day's lows, which will confirm the short for further trades to the downside, as we enter a seasonally weak time for technology.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by DMT_Doctor
2
TSLA weekly chart shows confluence.NASDAQ:TSLA weekly chart shows that it is coming into key demand areas around $205 to $215. The weekly chart shows a Wyckoff accumulation phase since the 2021 all-time high at $414.50, with a spring during Phase C at the recent lows below $140. This corresponds to the bottom of the cup, with Phase D of accumulation corresponding to the handle. A close over the weekly 200 SMA, currently at $232, will give room to the weekly 150 SMA supply. Reclaiming these weekly supply zones may lead to a break of the weekly handle, and a push up to the final weekly supply zones of the weekly upper Bollinger Band and upper weekly 100 linear regression channel ahead of $300 during Phase E, which may start at the end of this year or into next year. The trade is invalidated below the weekly 20 SMA, which is currently at $187.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by DMT_Doctor
4
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 7-26 - Top/Resistance Counter-TrendToday's Counter-trend pattern is a Top/Resistance pattern. This pattern usually reflects a price peak setup - rolling into a downward price trend. But it is in a Counter-trend formation today - so we should expect a base/bottom setup rolling into a bullish price trend. This video covers the SPY/QQQ/Gold, and I expect the "Kamala-Shakeout" may be nearly over in terms of market disruption (at least for now). I strongly believe this is a moderate price shakeout. Traders are reacting to the new Democratic nominee (Kamala Harris) and the sudden change in expectations related to the Presidential election outcome. I could be wrong, but it makes sense to me that this sudden change would be reflected throughout the global markets as a repositioning of capital (related to risks). Let's see if the markets can hold this base/bottom setup over the past 2 days. I really want to see the SPY above $550~551 to settle above my A/B level related to risks. A move back above $550-551 would indicate price has rejected the current downward swing. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
NQ | QQQ | Day trading plan 7-26-2024CME_MINI:NQU2024 Bullish Scenario Immediate Resistance Levels: Bullish Line: : 19,115.75 Target Price 1: 19,168.75 Target Price 2: 19,278.50 Strategy: Entry: Consider entering a long position above the immediate resistance at 19,115.75. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the nearest support at 19,041.75 to minimize risk. Targets: Set targets at the resistance levels mentioned above. Partial profit-taking can be considered at each target level. Confirmation: Look for bullish candlestick patterns or confirmation from volume indicators before entering the trade. Bearish Scenario Immediate Support Levels: Bearish Line: 19,065.00 Target Price 1: 19,041.75 Target Price 2: 18,998.75 Target Price 3: 18,932.00 Strategy: Entry: Consider entering a short position if the price breaks below the Bearish Line at 19,065.00. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the nearest resistance at 19,115.75 to minimize risk. Targets: Set targets at the support levels mentioned above. Partial profit-taking can be considered at each target level. Confirmation: Look for bearish candlestick patterns or confirmation from volume indicators before entering the trade. Summary Bullish Entry: Above 19,115.75 with targets at 19,168.75 and 19,278.50. Bearish Entry: Below 19,065.00 with targets at 19,041.75, 18,998.75, and 18,932.00. Stop Losses: Adjust according to the nearest support/resistance levels to manage risk. This analysis should be used in conjunction with other indicators and market conditions for a comprehensive trading strategy.
CME_MINI:NQU2024
by shkspr
8
Weekly Recap & Market Forecast $SPX (July 21st —>July 26th)Market Forecast (Updated 07/21/2024) **SPX**-Rotation into small caps and industrial stocks continue, which led to more sell off in SPX We have a lot of earnings coming up this week so that can shift the direction of the market as well. Next resistance $5655and $5688 Next support $5521 and 5428 Weekly Sentiment = Bearish **Chart Analysis:** () **Dollar Index:** DXY- Looks like the dollar index found support as the euro weakens. Which means we could see further drop in SPX. Next resistance $105.90 Support $104 Sentiment = Crossover to upside **Put to call Ratio: 1.31 —> 1.15 Next FOMC date: July 31, 2024** **Fear & Greed Index: 56—>49**
SP:SPX
by WallSt007
Is the market crashing? The SPY and IWM have completely diverged. On the back of rate cut expectations, many investors are piling back into the junk and high beta names. A clear relative strength move has occurred in small caps: IWM Whilst the megacap stocks have been sold off. The SPY sliced through the 50 MA yesterday and cofirmed the break below. Although this is typically bearish, we are getting into an area of oversold support. If the SPY gaps down tomorrow, I think traders will be buying the dip with both hands. The IWM has blasted above the 50MA, basically moving the exact opposite of the S&P500. The question remains....are small caps going to hold their gains inside of the weekly topping tail?
AMEX:IWM
by Trading-Capital
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7-25 EOD Wrap-up - Kamala-CrushThis is an End Of Day wrap-up related to the continued downward price trends the US markets are experiencing. As I continue to research why the US markets are contracting so suddenly, the only thing that makes sense to me is what I call the "Kamala-Factor." Suddenly, last weekend, Kamala Harris went from the sidelines to front-n-center. Monday, everyone talked about Kamala Harris as the new Dem candidate after Biden pulled out of the race. By Tuesday night, Kamala Harris had secured enough delegates for the Dem nomination. Wednesday morning - the markets CRASHED. Today, we saw a little bounce near support, but the markets continued to sell downward into the close. As far as I'm concerned, this is actually FEAR related to Kamala's policies, plans, and leadership. Traders/investors are suddenly moving capital away from sectors they believe could be at risk of a further collapse. This is the only reasonable response to the sudden collapse of the major US indexes—gold, Silver, Oil, Transportation Index, and others—while the VIX suddenly shot up to 18+. The short story Kamala Harris scares people, particularly investors/traders and large investment firms. As a result, they are moving capital away from risk factors before the US POTUS election. We need to see the US markets find support, or we could be in for a deeper market downturn. Get some... #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
MidCap vs. LargeCap. Technical & Fundamental Levels to WatchThe Russell 2000 trailed the S&P 500 significantly in 2023, gaining about 17% compared to a gain of about 24% for the large cap index. That underperformance has spilled over into 2024. As of July 10, 2024 the Russell 2000 YTD is about Zero compared to a 17.75% gain in the S&P 500 (SPX) and 23.50 gain in Nasdaq Composite Index (IXIC). By the way, that valuation measures make the small cap Russell 2000 index much more compelling when compared to the S&P 500. Small caps relative to the S&P 500 on a price-to-book basis is back to where it was in 1999. As of June 30, 2024 small caps price-to-book (P/B) ratio is 2.10, as it described on FTSE Russell 2000 Index Factsheet, while Total US Market (Russell 3000) P/B ratio is 4.42. I'll be brief. Perhaps it will be the briefest brief over the past ten god years I'm here on TV. DON'T MISS IT, AS IT ONE PER LIFE OPPORTUNITY. The main technical graph is ratio between RUT (Russell 2000 Index) and S&P500 Index, and it back to support that was never seen over the past 25 years, since March 1999. What's happened with market at these times? ⭐ Nasdaq Composite Index doubled in price over the next 12 months (March, 1999 - March, 2000), than turned 4x down. ⭐ S&P500 Index printed +20 per cents (March, 1999 - March, 2000), than turned 2x down. ⭐ March 1999 was the absolute low and was a launch point of 12 years of outperformance for Small caps vs Large caps. Will history repeat itself..? Who knows... But personally I believe - Yes, it can.
TVC:RUT
by Pandorra
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7-25 : Temp-Bottom UpdateGood afternoon everyone, Today's Temp-Bottom pattern played out perfectly after what I'm calling the Kamala-Shakeout on 7/24. The SPY price is struggling to find support near the 2x StdDev lower channel and appears to have bounced higher into a new short/intermediate-term Bullish price trend. If you've been following my research, you already know how powerful and accurate my SPY Cycle Patterns are and how they do not take into account news, politics, or other outside crisis events. They are psychologically reflective of Fibonacci/Gann price cycles/structures—nothing else. I believe the SPY will attempt to squeeze higher into the close today, setting up another bottom-reversal pattern tomorrow (a counter-trend Top Reversal). The Counter-trend type suggests the pattern will be inverted. If my analysis is correct, we'll see the SPY move into a more solid Bullish price trend by tomorrow and then continue to try to break above the $560 level again. Here we go... Get some #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
1
SPY on weekly stays the course LONGSPY on the weekly chart is up 25% in the past six months. This is beyond its historical norms even during a presidential election year. While there has been some volatility in both directions the climb is consistent and persistent. The indicators serve to document this. The predictive algo predicts more of the same. A price cut when the fed gets around to it will serve to sustain the trend. Lack of it through the summer may cause a fade of momentum. Make hay while the sun shines.
AMEX:SPYLong
by AwesomeAvani
3
QQQ Intraday $100 to $2500 with options RECAPQQQ is shown here on the 15 minute time frame. Overlaid are a HMA 7 and SMA 5 to provide moving average crosses. QQQ made a "M" pattern. Options charts are shown in the updates. First Trade SQQQ is opened at 9:48 for $ 6.00 per call contract times 16 contracts. It is closed at 10:05 less than 20 minutes later at $20.00 per contract. $96 dollars the only risk in the trade is waiting to settle as is the $ 224.00 in profit. ( This is a same day expiration intraday trade) Second Trade QQQ as QQQ has topped and is pivoting down. The second trade of the day is not a same day expiration as it is now Friday afternoon, a put option in the direction of the trend is taken for Tuesday the 20th, there being no puts for the Monday holiday. The floating profit is $ 224 and the strike is set for below the money in the current direction of the trend. A strike of $ 429 selected. The options chart is shown in the updates. The premium was 0.37 so $37 per contract so six contracts were taken for a total of which is $222 or slightly less than the profit on the first trade. The trade is taken at 14:47 market time and closed about 90 minutes later at 15:52 before the close. The contracts sold at close for $ 1.41 each yielding $ 141 per contract or $ 2256 overall. Between the two trades $100 was risked and $ 233 + 2256 or 2489 overall. The Reward to Risk ratio was about 25. The profit and the initial $100 into the trades awaits settlement after the holiday. This trade was made to teach a mentee about the power of options leveraged with narrow expirations to optimize profits and not spend a lot of time in the trade to minimize risk in the market from any number of potentials. Alerts and notifications centered on moving averages and rise or fall of intraday low time frame relative strength are used to lessen screen time. Twenty baggers may not be everyday but then again with practice and patience they can come along often enough.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by AwesomeAvani
QQQ rangbound bearish bias SHORTQQQ on the daily chart hit a hpivot high on 3/21 followed by a slight downtrend of 1-1.5 % overall this past week. Buying volumes are low. The Price Momentum Oscillator has reversed to bearish and the Raltive Trend Index has entered the chop zone and is heading bearish. Price is presently one standard deviation above the intermediate-term anchored VWAP. Reversion to the mean suggests another 1% move downside before VWAP support exerts itself. Price is compressing in a symmetrical triangle. Accordingly, I am expecting a move down before a potential reversal in a VWAP bounce from that support.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by AwesomeAvani
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 7-25 - Deep Low Bottom (Gap Fill) This is a rather long video (about 23 minutes) - but I wanted to go over the unique situation presented to us with what I'm calling the "Kamala Shakeout" related to yesterday's deep selling trend. This video is very clear. We are still in a technical Bearish trend, and I've highlighted the levels needed to switch to a Bullish trend. Today's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Temp-Bottom. I'm expecting the SPY to attempt to identify support and roll upward - starting a price reversion that may see the price move above $555 over the next 2~5+ days. But, right now, I'm more concerned with early morning selling pressure trying to fill the GAP Window from early June. Remember, I'm trying to suggest a pattern reaction (a Temp-Bottom pattern) while highlighting the KEY Ultimate382 levels as confirmation levels for Bullish or Bearish trending. Yesterday's big selling move was, in my opinion, related to unknowns focused on Kamala Harris' run for POTUS. I believe the markets were waiting for any catalyst related to the uncertainties of a Harris Presidency, and those concerns were reflected in the selling pressure we saw yesterday. Here we go. Get some #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPY
by BradMatheny
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade - 7-24 : Review & The Kamala ShakeoutAfter a long drive and trying to get through LA, I wanted to discuss what I believe is taking place in the US/Global markets. What I call the "Kamala Shakeout". Over the past few weeks, there has been much news related to Trump/Biden and the potential election consequences. But all of those expectations changed because of two rather large events.. _ the assassination attempt on Trump _ Biden's withdrawal from the race - resulting in Kamala Harris's rise. Now, I believe the markets are starting to digest the amount and scale of uncertainty related to a new POTUS candidate (with almost no knowledge of her policies, plans, and expectations) and the outcome in November (only 90+ days away). IMO, what we are seeing right now is actual FEAR related to the unknown factors centered around Kamala Harris. I believe voters and businesses already had expectations related to Biden/Trump (either outcome) based on the past 8 years. Now, with Kamala Harris, who knows what the expectations are related to plans, policies, and expectations? That is why the markets rolled as hard as they did today. The markets are pricing a new degree of uncertainty and will continue the Kamala Shakeout until the dust settles. I'll fill you in with more details tomorrow morning. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
5