QQQ Double Top on Bearish DivergenceIf you haven`t bought the dip on QQQ:
Then it's important to understand that it's currently exhibiting a double top formation, known as one of the most bearish chart patterns, along with a substantial bearish divergence. I foresee a retracement soon, possibly to $416, but I still expect it to finish the year on a positive note!
QQQ
This is and has been my wave count as a TOP115% short now The posted best reflects my view within the wave structure . as The VIX has entered the 12.74/12.4 For months I been calling for two targetin the based on 2000 peak and the 2007 peaks they were 5261 gann 2000 peak of 1555,5 and 2007 peak 5331 I am net long puts in qqq and spy till I see otherwise
$TSLA Reclaims All Major Moving AveragesNASDAQ:TSLA I have taken a full sized long position pre-market on CPI news coming in at to under expectations.
I like that it has regained all major moving averages, and this gives me a very good risk reward entry. My stop will be below yesterday’s low of $174. It is even possible that I may close it out before that if it starts dropping today. All TBD.
See chart for more details.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
SPY Tracking Heads and shouldersTracking head and shoulders along with wave 5 of 5 completion to bring this into play.
Two pieces of information to watch as the days progress.
Feels bullish and it is
But market moves in waves
We care coming up on a correction when we complete 5 0f 5
Update as we go
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QQQ What Next? SELL
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the QQQ next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 442.04
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 433.35
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Pre-Market Analysis: May 9th, 2024 $ES & $SPYMarket Observations:
The S&P 500 futures NYSE:ES and S&P 500 ETF AMEX:SPY have consolidated with low volume over the past two days.
Trading Strategy:
Given the current range-bound price action, I am not actively seeking trades around the 5200-5210 level.
Instead, I am looking for a breakout from this range accompanied by increased volume to establish a directional trend.
Bullish Scenario:
A sustained breakout above 5210 suggests a potential rally towards 5240.
Entry: Long after a pullback that finds support above 5210.
Note: Short positions may be considered if weakness emerges around 5210.
Bearish Scenario:
A sustained break below 5200 could lead to a decline towards 5180 and potentially 5150.
Given the recent buying pressure, this decline would likely be swift.
Entry: Short positions may be considered, but with limited size due to the potential for quick reversals.
Overall:
This analysis provides a framework for potential trading opportunities based on the current market conditions.
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Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
2024-05-08 - a daily price action after hour update - nasdaq
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
overall market comment
Markets went sideways again which means balance. Currently most indexes fight for the 1h 20ema and oscillate around it. Bears got a deep pull-back which probably ran many stops just to quickly trade back up again. We are high enough to qualify for a proper lower high so the minimum bullish targets are met imo. Does not mean we sell-off now. Have to see more price action and bears would need to make another lower low. Patience pays.
nasdaq e-mini futures
comment: Same as for dax. Market closed around the 50% most recent low to high and we have to be patient for the next impulse to manifest.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 18000 - 18270
bull case: Bulls bought the low of the day which was a perfect double bottom with the open of the week at 18074. They barely managed to close above the 1h 20ema and they could not make a higher high today. So bulls are not as strong as they could be. On the daily chart it’s still only a minor pull-back and we have to see more price action tomorrow to determine if we get higher prices or a deeper pull-back to the daily 20ema around 17900. Next target for the bulls is a higher high above 18267. Invalid below 18070.
bear case: Bears got a deep pull-back but no follow through. We are oscillating around the 1h 20ema at 18170 and that’s also exactly where we closed. Coincidences huh. Bears need a lower low below 18070 for more bulls to cover longs and think this might be a top and we trade back down. We also made a decent double top with yesterdays highs. On the daily chart you can draw a trend line from the ath to the recent highs and it’s reasonable to see this as resistance.
short term: Sideways to up - Invalid below 18070. If we break 18300, we will most probably trade 18500 after.
medium-long term: Bearish - 16500 over the next months and probably 15000 in 2024.
trade of the day: Long from US open, bar 35 was too strong to not be long. Before that 18080 was clear resistance after the sell-off.
QQQ Bear Flag (Potential Correct Start)Classic trend reversal retracement
-Bear flag directly into one of the last imbalances (on 30m timeframe)
- Breakdown to 393 area very possible in the next month or two
- ~10% drop from current levels, would put QQQ squarely in correction territory
- Upside is that 393 area looks to be a very strong (and fresh) support
CQQQ May 7th TTR UpdateTheTradersRoom is very long #CQQQ from much lower levels and looking to hold this one till at least we see 2-3x gains on it.
We have entered it first days of Feb and very happy with the result.
China is recovering and Im expecting a perfect inversion alignment to QQQ here into the end of the next year.
It was a clear breakout from the downtrend channel last week. If the broken channel gets tested from above, it will be a perfect opportunity to add into our long position.
NASDAQ Futures I see the Nasdaq futures taking a pull back through the month of May down to bounce off the highs from 2022 (~16500). I think this will happen as the dollar increases due to the EU Bank cutting interest rates or at least hinting at cutting rates later this week before the US Fed does. CME_MINI:NQ1! NASDAQ:QQQ
Trade Plan NQ Futures: week starting May 5th, 2024 Trade Plan NQ Futures: week starting May 5th, 2024
Based on the provided levels for the NQH2024 futures contract, here's a weekly trade plan focusing on trading from the pivot to the upside or downside targets:
Weekly Pivot: 17847 Current Price: 18000
Upside Targets:
First Target: 18090
Second Target: 18348
Third Target: 18605
Downside Targets:
First Target: 17731
Second Target: 17560
Third Target: 17378
Trade Plan:
Long Trades: Look for buying opportunities if the price remains above the weekly pivot (17847).
Entry: Consider entering long positions on pullbacks towards the pivot (17847) or if the price breaks above the current price (18000).
Targets: Target the upside levels of 18090, 18348, and potentially 18605.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the pivot or below significant support levels identified during the week.
Short Trades: Consider shorting the market if the price breaks below the weekly pivot (18847) or the current price (18000).
Entry: Enter short positions on breakdowns below the pivot (17731) or the current price (18000).
Targets: Aim for downside targets of 17731, 17560, and potentially 17378.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the pivot or above significant resistance levels identified during the week.
Risk Management:
Ensure proper risk management by sizing positions appropriately based on the distance to target and stop loss levels.
Consider using trailing stops to lock in profits as the price moves in your favor.
Monitor the market closely for any changes in price action or news events that could affect the trade.
Note: Always adapt your trading plan based on real-time market conditions and adjust your approach as necessary to manage risk effectively.
QQQ: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the QQQ pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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QQQ Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for QQQ below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 435.48
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 429.45
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
QQQ Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for QQQ is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 431.06
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 423.50
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
QQQ pull back done or another leg down?QQQ had a bad week last week after trying since February to break long term resistance of the Blue trading channel. There was a lot of momentum but ultimately after being squeezed between resistance of the blue channel and support from black channel midline, it was time to take profit for the big guys. Clearly, inflation readings and uncertainty about interest rate cuts were the main factors.
A hard sell off last week to establish a clear down channel with the biggest selling on Friday. Using the channel from August to November last year and with some minor tweaks, you can see that it ended Friday right on the support line.
Another thing I was looking at were several of the most recent pullbacks over the last few years. You can see them overlayed on the peak of March 21st. Going by them, QQQ has already come close to extent of the smaller pullbacks.
In my limited experience, these two indicators are usually a good sign for a rebound this week. The RSI is also in the oversold range and in line with other bottoms. The rebound could just be a short-term rally in the down channel like back in Aug and Sept last year with another leg down in the coming month or so. Or we could see a new attempt to break out of the blue channel.
Either way, I was brave enough to open a few positions Friday before the close. Hopefully I don't regret that.
$FSLR Entering Stage 2 Breakout?NASDAQ:FSLR I have been watching FSLR since Feb 27th earnings. It has been whipping around in a range but in doing so it has managed to keep putting in Higher Lows. The pure definition of an uptrend. They reported earnings again on May 1st and beat expectations. Their guidance was simply in line with future estimates. However, they have gotten several upgrades to Buy or Outperform in the last 2 days, most in the $220 to $250 range.
I have started a full-sized position today with a stop just below the lower band of the current consolidation. “If” the market holds up I expect that FSLR will outperform and could easily run 20% to 30%. Only time will tell.
For a true breakout to happen it will have to get above that flat line on the current flat base. However, I like early entries closer to the 20 EMA. If you decide this trade looks good to you, please make sure it fits your trading rules. My idea but your money.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.