QQQ
$WMT 10D, $56 incoming, Tower Top BreakdownTower Top Breakdown in the works. Seems like whatever or whenever it happens, it will be close to next Friday. Remain Bearish unless new highs are established. Seemingly easy Trade here. MACD in same positioning as well as RSI. Seems like WMT doesn't get much volume in general. Not necessarily a bad thing. Options could pay well here.
Members Daily Analysis - May 22 2024Markets Sold off: IWM (Small caps) underperformed.
Most commodities hit on the downside: Gold, Silver, Copper, Oil
Natural Gas surging & squeezing
NVDA pumping on earnings: Our SOXL calls will print.
SemiConductors i'll be trading tomorrow. NASDAQ:ON , NASDAQ:SMCI , NASDAQ:ARM
SPX STORYAs you can see, the S&P 500 index closed at a higher price on March 2nd, 2008 than it did on August 1st, 1996. However, it closed at a lower price on March 1st, 2000 than it did on March 2nd, 2008. This means that if you had bought the S&P 500 index on August 1st, 1996, you could have bought it again on March 2nd, 2008 for slightly cheaper. However, if you had bought it on March 1st, 2000, you would have had to wait until February 2013 to see a new market high.
The S&P 500 index has seen a strong upward price movement since breaking out of a 13-year consolidation period in February 2013. The index made a new post dot-com high in February 2013, and then went on to make an all-time high of 4818 in January 2022. As of June 2023, the index is trading at 4282.
I understand that many people believe the S&P 500 index is in a bubble and that we are just experiencing a bear market rally. However, it is important to consider all possibilities, as the market can be humbling. Investors not too long ago lived through a period of over a decade where they saw no new market highs, but were able to buy stocks at a lower price after 13 years.
QQQ Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on QQQ and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 451.77 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 440.08
Safe Stop Loss - 458.64
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
QQQ Double Top on Bearish DivergenceIf you haven`t bought the dip on QQQ:
Then it's important to understand that it's currently exhibiting a double top formation, known as one of the most bearish chart patterns, along with a substantial bearish divergence. I foresee a retracement soon, possibly to $416, but I still expect it to finish the year on a positive note!
This is and has been my wave count as a TOP115% short now The posted best reflects my view within the wave structure . as The VIX has entered the 12.74/12.4 For months I been calling for two targetin the based on 2000 peak and the 2007 peaks they were 5261 gann 2000 peak of 1555,5 and 2007 peak 5331 I am net long puts in qqq and spy till I see otherwise
SPY Tracking Heads and shouldersTracking head and shoulders along with wave 5 of 5 completion to bring this into play.
Two pieces of information to watch as the days progress.
Feels bullish and it is
But market moves in waves
We care coming up on a correction when we complete 5 0f 5
Update as we go
www.tradingview.com
QQQ What Next? SELL
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the QQQ next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 442.04
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 433.35
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Pre-Market Analysis: May 9th, 2024 $ES & $SPYMarket Observations:
The S&P 500 futures NYSE:ES and S&P 500 ETF AMEX:SPY have consolidated with low volume over the past two days.
Trading Strategy:
Given the current range-bound price action, I am not actively seeking trades around the 5200-5210 level.
Instead, I am looking for a breakout from this range accompanied by increased volume to establish a directional trend.
Bullish Scenario:
A sustained breakout above 5210 suggests a potential rally towards 5240.
Entry: Long after a pullback that finds support above 5210.
Note: Short positions may be considered if weakness emerges around 5210.
Bearish Scenario:
A sustained break below 5200 could lead to a decline towards 5180 and potentially 5150.
Given the recent buying pressure, this decline would likely be swift.
Entry: Short positions may be considered, but with limited size due to the potential for quick reversals.
Overall:
This analysis provides a framework for potential trading opportunities based on the current market conditions.
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Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
2024-05-08 - a daily price action after hour update - nasdaq
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
overall market comment
Markets went sideways again which means balance. Currently most indexes fight for the 1h 20ema and oscillate around it. Bears got a deep pull-back which probably ran many stops just to quickly trade back up again. We are high enough to qualify for a proper lower high so the minimum bullish targets are met imo. Does not mean we sell-off now. Have to see more price action and bears would need to make another lower low. Patience pays.
nasdaq e-mini futures
comment: Same as for dax. Market closed around the 50% most recent low to high and we have to be patient for the next impulse to manifest.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 18000 - 18270
bull case: Bulls bought the low of the day which was a perfect double bottom with the open of the week at 18074. They barely managed to close above the 1h 20ema and they could not make a higher high today. So bulls are not as strong as they could be. On the daily chart it’s still only a minor pull-back and we have to see more price action tomorrow to determine if we get higher prices or a deeper pull-back to the daily 20ema around 17900. Next target for the bulls is a higher high above 18267. Invalid below 18070.
bear case: Bears got a deep pull-back but no follow through. We are oscillating around the 1h 20ema at 18170 and that’s also exactly where we closed. Coincidences huh. Bears need a lower low below 18070 for more bulls to cover longs and think this might be a top and we trade back down. We also made a decent double top with yesterdays highs. On the daily chart you can draw a trend line from the ath to the recent highs and it’s reasonable to see this as resistance.
short term: Sideways to up - Invalid below 18070. If we break 18300, we will most probably trade 18500 after.
medium-long term: Bearish - 16500 over the next months and probably 15000 in 2024.
trade of the day: Long from US open, bar 35 was too strong to not be long. Before that 18080 was clear resistance after the sell-off.