Get started

QQQ

META ~ Snapshot TA (Daily / Nov 2023)NASDAQ:META chart mapping/analysis. Bullish consolidation higher within an ascending parallel channel (white). Bull target(s) Breakout above descending trend-line resistance (white dotted) Overhead gap fill (~361.59) Prev ATH + upper range of parallel channel (light blue) confluence resistance zone Bear target(s) Ascending trend-line support (green dotted) Golden Fib Pocket Lower range of ascending parallel channel (white) 50% Fib Underlying gap fills (~214.11 / ~201.03 / ~183.78) 38.2% + gap fill (~201.03) confluence support zone
NASDAQ:META
by BlueHatInvestor
GOOGL ~ Snapshot TA (Daily / Nov 2023)NASDAQ:GOOGL chart mapping/analysis. Multi-year consolidation/pennant pattern formation. Bull target(s) Overhead gap fill (~137.42) Descending trend-line resistance (white dotted) - plus breakout? TBC Previous ATH + upper range parallel channel (light blue) confluence resistance zone Bear target(s) 23.6% Fib + gap fill (~126.49) confluence support zone Ascending trend-line support (green dotted) Underlying gap fill (~117.71) 38.2% Fib + gap fill (~112.94) confluence support zone Ascending trend-line support (white dotted) 50% Fib Golden Pocket Fib
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by BlueHatInvestor
AMZN ~ Snapshot TA (Daily / Nov 2023)NASDAQ:AMZN chart mapping/analysis. Consolidation within ascending parallel channel (green). Bull target(s) Ascending trend-line resistance (white dotted) Upper range of parallel channel (green) + 78.6% Fib confluence resistance zone Overhead gap fill (~163.27) Bear target(s) 61.8% Fib Underlying gap fills (~133.57 / ~121.64) 50% Fib lower range of ascending parallel channel (green) 38.2% Fib Upper range of descending parallel channel (light blue)
NASDAQ:AMZN
by BlueHatInvestor
AAPL ~ Snapshot TA (Daily / Nov 2023)NASDAQ:AAPL chart mapping/analysis. Clear breakout of descending parallel channel (white). Bull target(s) Overhead gap fills Previous ATH (~197.70) Ascending trend-line resistance (green dotted) Upper range of ascending parallel channel (light blue) Bear target(s) Descending parallel channel (white) aka "return to scene of crime" 23.6% Fib Ascending trend-line (green dotted) + 38.2% Fib confluence support zone Descending trend-line (white dotted)
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BlueHatInvestor
US100 ~ November TA Outlook V2 (4H Intraday)CAPITALCOM:US100 chart mapping/analysis V2. Always good practice to revisit your chart(s) after couple days with a refreshed perspective, to determine whether your initial TA has complimented developing price action, or your drawings need to be updated/overhauled. Revisit updates: Re-adjusted ascending parallel channel (green line) + highlighted middle trend-line (white dashed) to emphasize potential resistance of breakout price action Extended descending trend-line (light blue dotted) to connect pivot points from Nov 2021 Dec 2021 peaks Remaining TA drawings have held up so far, TBC.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by BlueHatInvestor
S&P500 Total Return Index: Reading Market Between the LinesThe 1st half-year of 2023 is near the end, so the June Triple Witch quarterly expiration on the financial markets just took place the business day before. The S&P500 index ( SP:SPX ) has added 14.44% in net prices since the beginning of 2023 and 15.36% in its total returns ( SP:SPXTR ), back to levels above 4,400 that were not seen in the past 12 months since the second quarter of 2022. Historical backtest analysis indicates that the result achieved by SP:SPX Index year-to-date is the second largest in the last 25 years, second only to the pre-Covid 2019, where the return of the S&P500 index was 19.12% by mid-June (net prices) and 20.30% (total return). This publication proposes to dwell in more detail on the definition and formula for calculating so-called market "Total Return", when measuring the performance of financial markets. As no single idea has been published for the S&P 500 Total Return Index ( SP:SPXTR ) neither on any local version, nor on the International version of the TradingView , to the author's surprise.. So.. Let's be the first 😀 What is Total Return, or "Total Return"? In general, the Total Return is the actual value (or rate) of profit from investments for a certain evaluation period. Total return in certain markets includes various categories: accrued interest (accrued interest in bond markets), capital gains (paper P/L based on the change in the market price of an asset), dividends, as well as other mandatory distributions due to regulation, for a certain period of time. Main conclusions 👉 Total return is the actual return on an investment or basket of investments over a given period of time. 👉 Total return includes interest, capital gains, dividends and distributions, calculated as a percentage of the amount invested. 👉 Total return has a stronger performance vs. Net prices performance, when the amounts that an investor earns on a security over a certain period (in the form of interest, dividends and distributions) are reinvested back into the purchase of additional securities, making higher investment returns over time, according to the principle of compound interest. 👉 Total return are more important when investing in dividend stocks/value investment assets, which have generally low capital appreciation potential relative to Growth assets. But still often outperform them, following a long-term capital reinvestment strategy. 👉 The total return can be formed by the investor both individually, that is through the purchase of additional securities (for the amounts of received interest, dividends and distributions), as well as through mutual and exchange trade funds (ETFs). Of course, bearing in mind and taking into account significant risks, common to all collective investment schemes. Average annual total return It is important to analyze the average annual total return for different periods. Comparison of returns against a benchmark of the risk-free rate and inflation shows how efficient or inefficient the issuer of the security has been vs risk-free investments (for example, banking deposits). When analyzing the average annual total return, it is also important to remember: 👉 Even small discrepancies in the average annual returns on Net prices and Total return prices over time will significantly affect the overall result. 👉 The influence of commissions and exchange fees is also large, despite the fact that they often look like a small amount of a few tenths or hundredths of a percent. Examples and General Meaning of Net Price Returns and "Total Returns" 👉 At 2.08 percent of the average annual dividend yield of the S&P500 Index over the past 35 years, the return of the corresponding "full return" index SP:SPXTR amounted to 35.98x during this time, while the net price index SP:SPX added only 17.11x, more than 2x down vs yielding of the reinvestment strategy. 👉 Full return reinvestment strategies are important in conditions where financial markets and securities are long-term settling in in wide price (zone) ranges, due to unfavorable or modest general market (macroeconomic) conditions that pushing down stock market and capital growth - for example like in the past 12 - 24 months in SPX as a result of upgoing inflation and Fed interest rates.
S
by Pandorra
6
Apple - Sick Fundamentals Mean a New All Time HighI have recent calls on the SPX SPX ES - Welcome To The Fourth Quarter Rodeo The Nasdaq Nasdaq Futes - You Wanted a Dip For That 'Santa Rally,' Aye? SPY SPY - Did We Bottom, Or Is Manipulation Coming? And Tesla Tesla - Remember, The Ponzi Always Continues Which generally have a bullish-into-year-end thesis accompanying them, but caution that an October bottom for the second year in a row and a mega three day rally to start November may be something of a trap. When it comes to Apple, we have reservations that we topped under $200, for really obvious reasons, especially considering that on the monthly, the last three months of bearish price action haven't been that bearish. Yet, because the weekly shows us that there are two bars under $150 and $140 from last year that never printed a low, that those areas are probably protected until Apple starts to seriously deflate and enter an end-of-life cycle bear market. If Apple is going to enter an end of life cycle bear market, the MMs will 100% take out the $200 range and sell everything there first. So, fundamentally, why would Apple be at the end of its life? The answer is simple: the company, all these years, wed itself to the Chinese Communist Party, which is the scourge of humanity, The Beast, and the benefactor to Babylon (Shanghai). There's lots of really horrific data involving Apple numbers and the Chinese market right now, and the CCP under Xi Jinping is also rushing to replace other phone companies with domestic product, like the notorious Huawei. The elephant in the room when it comes to cellular and computer purchases in China is that they're down because there are less people in China as a result of the enormous damage the novel pneumonia pandemic that originated in Wuhan City has caused. SARS 1 in 2003 was covered up by the Party. The CCP made it seem like only a few thousand people died, when in reality, some accounts have stated that several million people died. Today, the Party still claims that less than 122,000 people died from COVID-19, despite China being the epicentre of the disease. You don't need an expert, or even a calculator, to figure out what's really going on and why the Chinese economy is in trouble. What's at stake for Xi and his faction is the 24-year-long organ harvesting genocide and persecution against Falun Dafa's 100 million practitioners. Although Xi has not participated in the persecution, and has, to the contrary, been killing via his Anti-corruption Campaign the Jiang Zemin faction who started and maintained the persecution all these years, the problem is that Xi is the head of the Party. When you kill a dragon, you decapitate it. But first, you start with its tail. And it's telling that former Premier Li Keqiang died a few weeks ago, merely in his 60s, at the hands of "an heart attack." So the fundamentals on Apple are bad because of China. So, with great faith in the principle of reversed logic, we actually look for longs with the chance to sell over $200. But the charts, as they stand, are not giving us a long signal. Everything, including Apple, bounced so hard in the first three days of November, and for Apple this came on the back of an earnings report, that we have to view the situation with major reservations, expecting that the candle painting of the low for the monthly bar has not yet been completed. Last October, Apple pretended to bottom, pretended to double bottom in November, and then gave it all back and set the low of the year at the end of 2022, and all of this happened while the indexes had properly bottomed in October. There was none of that "Magnificent 7" talk back then. So, how to trade this? I think it's wiser to go long on a breakout over $183 in a size that allows you to take partials at $198, $205, and $215 than it is to have bought in the last three days. And if we do dump, where we're looking for reversal patterns is at or below the April of 2022 low at $159.80~. But if we're about to moon for manipulation, we're actually likely to see a sweep just below the current November low of $167.90. So long as you can buy there without getting expired worthless on some short dated options, you'll have the best chance to ride the manipulation wave. But be careful. When it's time for the CCP to fall, all the bigger dominoes go with it, because they're all really lesser dominoes. Gap down overnight because of the time difference between Beijing and Manhattan means margin calls that scale in brutality, because Wall Street won't be in the mood to go risk on anything ever again. Nor will it have the money or the breath to.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by LordWrymouth
Tesla - Remember, The Ponzi Always ContinuesSo, you've realized that Teslas aren't particularly great cars, EVs becoming a worldwide trend is a hoax, and that Elon Musk isn't any kind of very saintly very MAGA saviour of humanity during the end times. And now that price is down a lot, we want to victory lap and short, because the public relations firms that are running the campaign needed to produce liquidity for banks and big money funds to buy told you to. The problem with the short Tesla thesis right now is that Musk pledged a significant volume of his shares as collateral to get big money to finance his acquisition of Tweeter, (now known as Xeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeter), which by some accounts is worth some painful $15 billion compared to the $45 billion he (they) paid for it. And so what this means is that there's been significant incentive to sell in the $250 range and buy back lower as a form of risk hedging, with the ultimate purpose of selling higher. All for the sake of just making all the money without losing any of the money when Xeeeeeeter inevitably goes public in the future because Musk made it the manifest Western form of the Chinese Communist Party's social credit apparatus, WeChat, because Shanghai Gigafactory bro just loves the way the Party does things. But the risk for bulls, and the economic system alike, is that "the best laid plans of mice and men oft go awry," which is to say that when it comes to gambling on Xi Jinping and his Chinese Communist Party, a fool is a fool. One should oppose the CCP because it's responsible for the 24-year persecution against Falun Dafa's 100 million practitioners, and the campaign of live organ harvesting genocide that came with it. Although that campaign was launched, and continued, at the hands of former Chairman Jiang Zemin, and Jiang is dead now, Xi is still the head of the Party, and the first thing you do when slaying a red dragon is sever its head. Actually, the first thing you do when slaying a red dragon is sever its tail. Former Premier Li Keqiang, who was Xi's right hand man for a lot of years, recently died "of a heart attack," which is likely code for "was knocked down by Wuhan Pneumonia." If the pandemic in Mainland China is killing the Xi Faction, the world has big time problems. And it seems to me the recent conflict in Israel and the war that's being launched into Syria and Iran is probably to create a gateway to Mainland China, since Iran connects to Pakistan and Afghanistan, which are already U.S. controlled. Everyone wants control of China and its 5,000 year history when the CCP finally falls. So back to Tesla. The logic is fairly simple. Because 2023 started uppy, we expect 2023 to finish uppy. We do not expect things that start the beginning of the year on a moon mission to correct into the end of the year, because generally speaking the scam isn't played like that. Which means that all dips are a dip to buy, and especially when we're finally printing prices under "$200," it's a dip to buy. But the MMs are the most annoying of the most annoying people and like to run things to lows that are less comfortable. Shipping under $180 from $197 is a further loss of another 10%+, which means options expire worthless/devalue effectively, and everyone is a winner, winner, chicken dinner, except for you, who gets to finance happy hour, strippers, and cocaine at 1:31 p.m. on Halloween Tuesday. Either way, it's worth expecting the May pivot to hold as a low, a higher low to form, and then we really do see the $320 parade into the end of 2023. Ho, ho, ho, Happy Santa Rally. Remember, the Ponzi always continues. By the time the ponzi stops continuing, all the bears will have long since been liquidated. The disaster sequence is when they take down bulltards who buy the dip, buy the dip, and buy the dip as it races towards zero. And Tesla doesn't have that MULN-style landslide apocalypse pattern. That only happens when big bags are empty and nobody ever buys something again. So all the price action is just shareholder printer selling. Yet.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by LordWrymouth
1
SPY - Did We Bottom, Or Is Manipulation Coming?In my preceeding posts, I'm actually "bullish" on equities in the fourth quarter. SPX ES - Welcome To The Fourth Quarter Rodeo Nasdaq Futes - You Wanted a Dip For That 'Santa Rally,' Aye? And while I think this price action, coming on the back of news that the US Treasury will "only" issue $10 billion more worth of bonds this quarter (compared to like $160 billion last quarter), indicates that not only are we bullish, but going to take out the all time highs before year end... I have reservations on this SPECIFIC price action being "The Bottom". Before we go further, I will use the early space for those with low attention spans to warn you about the situation in Mainland China. The Chinese Communist Party is the scourge of humanity that seeks to use all beings to destroy all beings. Xi Jinping is its head, and the Party will fall. When you kill a dragon, you kill it by chopping of its head. But before you chop off its head, you often cripple it by chopping its tail. Former Xi Premier and right hand man Li Keqiang was killed by "a heart attack" recently, which is almost certainly code for the "Wuhan Pneumonia Pandemic." The Party's 24-year persecution, and organ harvesting genocide, against Falun Dafa's 100 million practitioners is a sin that 100.00% guarantees the Party's destruction. And that means it guarantees Xi's destruction, so long as he doesn't drop the CCP Gorbachev-style in time. It does not look like Xi is that intelligent of a man to do that. And so whatever bullish nonsense is arranged by Wall Street, who frequently sleeps with and transfuses blood to the Jiang Faction of the CCP, who are the architects of Falun Gong's persecution and the real evil force behind the Party and "China," to make sure that Communism globally can stay alive until the ruthless end, is subject to abject, merciless, brutal, and sudden truncation. Meaning any rally can be annihilated by international events that are beyond the control of the so-called "controllers" at any time, for we fundamentally exist in a Cosmos that is inherently Divine. There's some flaws on the SPY ETF, which is meaningful, because as I say many times, life revolves around banks and funds selling options and making sure they expire worthless. When we look at the monthly: October took out the June low, as I predicted earlier, but came up like a dollar shy of entering into the April wick. Moreover, when we look at the weekly: Which shows us more clearly the April-May double bottom is just 1%~ lower than the October low, and the $400 psych level is just 2% lower. With this kind of a squeeze happening only 3 trading days into November's candle, and failing to take the high, we're primed to set up for an "outside bar" November that takes out BOTH the low AND the high of October. But what this would mean is we're about to dump below the October low, where the real buying opportunity is. But two problems with the theory are: 1) There's no news drivers next week except for Jerome Powell talking on Thursday. 2) The bull thesis has to complete by December 31 and we're running out of time But that being said, when we had the October bottom last year, we had a 3-day 6% rally to open October before it turned around and took out the low and then rallied. And when we had the COVID bottom because the Fed slashed rates to zero and started buying equities, the market had a 10% rally over the course of a few weeks and gave almost all of it back before setting the biggest highs of all time. So this kind of manipulative behaviour is consistent with the market makers. How to trade it? Well, if it doesn't go down next week then just blindly long anywhere and so long as you aren't buying calls with 0 or 3 days to expiry, you should be okay. If it does go down, buy near the October low and under the October low. The problem is no short setup has manifested as of Friday close, and so we can only sit on the sidelines and look for longs. Whoever was bigly long from Monday or last week should really have taken significant money off the table, cashing in and realizing those gains, this afternoon. Don't forget the Dollar Index stopped just short of $108 and that's a big sign of coming manipulation and that we're too early. This is how algorithms are programmed. Good luck.
AMEX:SPY
by LordWrymouth
2