SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4/8 : Bottom/Rally Start - CounterFirst off, today's pattern is in a COUNTER TREND mode. Think of that as the pattern being INVERTED to the current price trend.
Next, the Bottom/Rally Start pattern is usually a base/bottom type of pattern that prompts a fairly strong bullish/rally phase in price.
This time, because it is inverted (in Counter-trend mode) and is forming within the broad consolidation phase of the current EPP pattern, I believe this Bottom/Rally Start pattern will really be a Top/Selloff start type of pattern.
Where price will find resistance in early trading, form a rollover top, and start to move back downward towards the 500-505 level on the SPY.
I don't believe this downward price move will attempt to break below 480-485 today. I believe today's move will be a moderate pullback in the trend.
Although any BIG news could disrupt the current support near $480, so be aware that any big news event could crush the markets (again) and send the SPY trying to retest the $480 support level.
Gold and Silver appear to be basing - perfect. I'm watching for Metals to really start to reflect the FEAR in the markets and rally above $3200 (Gold)/$39 (Silver).
BTCUSD appears trapped in the breakdown stage of the current EPP Consolidation phase and the new CRADLE pattern. No matter how I try to identify if I'm wrong with BTCUSD, I keep seeing the breakdown as the more dominant trend.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
QQQ
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade EOD Review : POP PatternToday's pattern played out perfectly.
I'm really amazed that the SPY rallied up to my resistance level ($520-525) and stalled/bottomed exactly near my $480 support.
Absolutely PERFECT reflection of the data I presented this morning and from my research over the weekend.
Now, if my analysis is correct, we move into a sideways consolidation pattern for the next 3+ weeks where price will attempt to establish a range (moving slightly downward in trend) before we get to the late-June breakdown (setting up the July 2025 low), then another big breakdown in October 2025.
I can't tell you how pleased I am with the comments and messages I get every day. Some of you are KILLING IT and I'm so happy to be able to help.
Remember, we are all trying to find the best way to profit from these market trends. So remember to share your success with others and let them know how to find the best tools for trading (on TradingView).
Now, let's get busy trying to get ready for the next phase of this market trend (which will come in June).
I'll keep you updated.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
$SPX Flirting With a Bear Market alongside $QQQ NASDAQ fell another 4% touching down 26%
S&P 500 walking a tight rope falling 21% to play with the idea of a Bear Market, but has rebounded a bit.
NASDAQ:QQQ did have a stronger response from buyers than SP:SPX
Nonetheless, we would need several WEEKLY closes sub 20% losses to enter a textbook Bear Market.
$QQQ Recap of Last Week Historic DrawdownA historic week with unprecedented tariffs not seen since right before the great depression.
NASDAQ:QQQ We broke many supports and are looking for Support
Stay Tuned - Today's Trading Range is coming out.
Don't rush into a trader just to trade - But also, if you see a great opportunity take it.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-7 : POP In Counter Trend ModeToday's POP pattern in Counter Trend mode suggests the markets will find support and attempt to POP upward a bit.
I expect the SPY to attempt to reach levels above 505 today. Possibly trying to peak near 510.
The same thing will happen with the QQQ - a potential rally (POP) higher targeting the 420-425 level.
Watch this video TWICE if you really want to understand what is taking place in the markets right now.
The tariff issue will settle over the next 15+ days. The SPY/QQQ are moving into the EPP Consolidation Phase (just like I've been telling you for months now).
BTCUSD is moving into a BREAKDOWN phase and will likely target $63k over the next 30+ days.
Gold and Silver reacted to the breakdown of the SPY/QQQ as they always do - PANIC SELLING.
Now that the panic selling pressure appears to be subsiding, Gold and Silver should build a base and begin an explosive move higher - targeting $4200-4500 for gold and targeting $41-44 for silver.
We live in exciting times and I still believe the US markets will DOUBLE or TRIPLE over the next 5-10+ years.
Get Some.
Some stocks do +1,650% verticals while the rest of market dropsNot all stocks follow overall market direction, just 80% of them. NASDAQ:AREB wasn't one of them.
We focus on the other 20% which are having massive verticals no matter the overall market or economy situation.
TOTAL Week: +121.4% realized profit from alerts posted in chat 💯
To good to be true?
Been doing it for 20+ years.
When should one beat the market with perfected strategy if not after 2 decades and nearly 100k hours invested?
Ever heard of 10,000 hours invested to master something.
Then what does 100k make you?
Master Jedi?
Sure feels like it if your 2 stocks are doing +70% +300% in a day while the world is crashing 🤷🏻♂️
All fully verified with timestamps, feel free to check and verify.
QQQ Selling Just StartingIf you have any illusions this will be a buy-the-dip market, you are taking on a major risk!
1. Last time QQQ sold off it lost 84%
2. It took 17 years to break even
3. It took much longer to break even inflation-adjusted
You can't buy low if you don't sell first. You don't have infinite money.
WARNING!
SPX500 & Nasdaq: Confluence! Confluence! Confluence!With consumer confidence off at circuit breaking levels, the market, technically, has reached extreme levels of support. Let's look at it:
Technicals:
(1) Horizontal Levels of support
(2) 50%/61.8% fib confluence
(3) exDiv1
(4) extreme indicators
(5) Chikou span testing cloud support
(6) 28% drop is SPX
All of these levels are lining up around the same location. And just like in real estate "Location! Location! Location!" is the adage; in markets, "Confluence! Confluence! Confluence!" is the adage!
3-MONTH THE SQUID GAME II 'JUBILEE'. WHAT IS NOW & WHAT IS NEXTIt's gone three months or so... (Duh..? WTF.. 3 months, really? 😸😸😸) since "The Squid Game" Season II has been released on December 26, 2024.
Nearly month later comrade Trump entered The White House (again).
Still, everyone was on a rush, chatting endless "Blah-Blah-Blah", "I-crypto-czar", "crypto-capital-of-the-world", "we-robot", "mambo-jumbo", "super-duper", AI, VR and so on hyped bullsh#t.
Here's a short educational breakdown, what we think about all of that, at our beloved @PandorraResearch Team.
Trading can easily resemble gambling when approached without discipline, strategy, or proper risk management. Here are key reasons to avoid gambling-like trading behaviors, supported by real-world examples:
1. Lack of Strategy and Emotional Decision-Making
Trading becomes gambling when decisions are based on emotions, intuition, or market hype rather than thorough analysis. For instance, Geraldine lost £15,000 on a spread-betting platform after attending a workshop that taught ineffective strategies. She believed the platform profited from her losses, highlighting how impulsive, uneducated decisions can lead to significant financial harm. Similarly, traders who overtrade or ignore risk management often experience devastating losses, as they rely on luck rather than a structured plan.
2. Overleveraging and One-Sided Bets
Overleveraging—opening excessively large positions—is a common gambling behavior in trading. This approach increases stress and the likelihood of substantial losses. A trader who lost $400,000 on a single Robinhood bet exemplifies this. He overinvested in a call option, hoping for a quick profit, but the trade turned against him, wiping out nearly all his capital. Opening one-sided bets or adding to losing positions further compounds risks, as traders attempt to recover losses through increasingly risky moves.
3. Ignoring Stop Losses and Risk Management
Failing to set stop losses or refusing to exit losing trades is another form of gambling. Traders who cling to their biases and avoid cutting losses often face irreversible damage to their portfolios. For example, many traders refuse to take stop losses, leading to catastrophic losses that erode their confidence and capital. This behavior mirrors the destructive cycle of gambling addiction, where individuals chase losses in hopes of a turnaround.
4. Psychological and Financial Consequences
Gambling-like trading can lead to severe psychological and financial consequences. Harry, a trader with a gambling addiction, repeatedly lost money despite asking his trading platform to restrict his account. His inability to control his trading behavior highlights the addictive nature of high-risk trading and its potential to ruin lives. Similarly, excessive gambling has been linked to increased debt, bankruptcy, and mental health issues, such as anxiety and depression.
5. Long-Term Sustainability
Smart trading focuses on steady gains and minimal losses, whereas gambling relies on luck and high-risk bets. Traders who chase big wins often lose their profits in subsequent trades, perpetuating a cycle of losses. Studies show that frequent trading, driven by overconfidence or problem gambling, reduces investment returns and increases financial instability.
In conclusion, avoiding gambling-like trading requires discipline, education, and a well-defined strategy. Real-world examples demonstrate the dangers of emotional decision-making, overleveraging, and ignoring risk management. By adopting a structured approach and prioritizing long-term sustainability, traders can mitigate risks and avoid the pitfalls of gambling.
--
Best 'squid' wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team
Are We Witnessing a Black Swan Event?I’ve spent most of the day digging through charts and studying past crashes — because what we’re living through right now might be a once-in-a-decade opportunity.
This current market crash feels eerily close to a black swan event.
No one really expected Trump to push tariffs this far, and the consequences are already rippling through global markets. If this escalates into true economic isolation, the effects could be both tremendous and long-lasting.
That said, there’s another possibility:
This might just be a blip in history — a bold negotiating tactic that works out, shocks the system temporarily, and fades away.
There’s even speculation this could mirror the 1989 crash, with some analysts warning of a potential 20% drop by Monday.
If that happens, I’d rather not be frozen by fear. I want to act with intention. I want my plan in place and my orders ready.
Before I share stock ideas I believe can outperform in the long run…
Let’s first walk through what I believe might be playing out — at least for now. (Keep in mind, these theses can change fast.)
Before the crash, it looked like a replay of 2022:
Markets were clearly overvalued and due for a correction — back then, it was driven by regional bank failures, and the Fed quickly stepped in to stabilize things.
But now, selling pressure is accelerating.
This looks less like 2022 and more like 2020 — where markets broke down in response to a larger, fast-moving, global crisis.
Even though we’re seeing similarities, things can shift very quickly.
We still haven’t seen key reversal signs — like a Doji candle — and more importantly, there’s been no intervention yet from the government or global forces.
Until that happens, panic may continue to snowball.
And as we know from history, panic doesn’t operate on logic.
Source:
📚 2020 Stock Market Crash en.wikipedia.org
TSLA Weekly Chart Analysis-Bearish Scenario. NFATSLA Weekly Chart Analysis-Bearish Scenario. NFA
-Weekly structure making bearish rising wedge
-This week's candle closed below 200Days SMA and also EMA9/21 cross down on weekly.
-Price rejected from weekly resistance zone(Red iFVG-W rectangle)
- if market continues to drop next week I am expecting Sellside($138ish) as next target
How bad will it get? Let's talk about it!🌟 My Market Probabilities: 🌟
1⃣ 15% chance of a V-Shape recovery with a bottom at $410–$425
2⃣ 45% chance of a COVID-like Flash Crash resolving at
$385–$400
3⃣ 33% chance of a 2022-level bear market down to
$330–$350
4⃣ 5% chance of a 2008-level crash hitting $250–$260
5⃣ 2% chance of a crazy Dot.com-level crash dropping to $90–$110
💡 No matter which scenario unfolds, it’s a blessing in disguise! These dips create incredible opportunities to invest in great companies or indexes like the AMEX:SPY or NASDAQ:QQQ paving the way for massive, life-changing wealth over the years and decades to come.
🚀 Think long-term as an investor, friends, and stay focused on the bigger picture!
WOW Two +2,000% stocks during crash week? $ICCT and $AREBNASDAQ:ICCT from $0.33 to $7.60 🚀
NASDAQ:AREB from $1.15 to $22.80 🚀
🚨 7 Buy Alerts sent out on ICCT this week, first two at $0.75! Wrote and posted about them continually through the week
14 Trades made total this week
12 Wins ✅
2 Losses ❌
TOTAL Week: +121.4% realized profit 💯
Not counting CBOE:UVXY swing pick buy alert at $21.65 reaching $41+ also posted many times in trading view chats
Monday: +46.2%
Tuesday: +17.7%
Wednesday: +34.1%
Thursday: +14.4%
Friday: +9.0%
Total March: +358.0% awesome month thanks to many big movers triggering. The overall market turn is helping bring more volume to our type of stocks which showed nicely with AREB, normally when you see a stock like that do $4 to $20 in a day and drop to $10 it's over, but with all green-hungry traders out there they bought it right back up to new highs bove $20 again. Expect more of such power next week.
All of trade alerts fully verified with timestamps in chat ✅
04/04 aka Doomsday Daily Trade RecapEOD accountability report: +$725
Sleep: 6 hour, Overall health: rly bad
**Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System **
9:49 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
11:00 AM VXAlgo NQ 10M Buy Signal (triple buy signal)
1:02 PM VXAlgo ES 10M Buy signal,
1:25 PM VXAlgo ES 10M Buy signal,
Another wild day, market went extremely bearish and has been rejecting the 1 min resistance and playing out as expected.
QQQ: Tariff ReactionNASDAQ:QQQ As China strikes back with a 34% tariff on U.S. goods starting April 10, the global trade landscape could see some serious turbulence. This follows Trump's tariff moves, and the market's already feeling it: QQQ’s daily chart shows capitulation volume on the table, suggesting a potential bounce— IF tariffs ease.
But until these trade tensions subside, it's likely to be a rocky ride. Tariffs push prices up, inflation lingers, and the Fed finds itself boxed in. The outcome? A market crash, recession, and stagflation—yet, there's still hope for a bounce, depending on how these factors play out.
Manage the levels with us at ChartsCoach.
Using Fibonacci/Measured Moves To Understand Price TargetThis video is really an answer to a question from a subscriber.
Can the SPY/QQQ move downward to touch COVID levels (pre-COVID High or COVID Low).
The answer is YES, it could move down far enough to touch the pre-COVID highs or COVID lows, but that would represent a very big BREAKDOWN of Fibonacci/ElliotWave price structure.
In other words, a breakdown of that magnitude would mean the markets have moved into a decidedly BEARISH trend and have broken the opportunity to potentially move substantially higher in 2025-2026 and beyond (at least for a while).
Price structure if very important to understand.
Measured moves happen all the time. They are part of Fibonacci Price Theory, Elliot Wave, and many of my proprietary price patterns.
Think of Measured Moves like waves on a beach. There are bigger waves, middle waves, smaller waves, and minute waves. They are all waves. But their size, magnitude, strength vary.
That is kind of what we are trying to measure using Fibonacci and Measured Move structures.
Watch this video. Tell me if you can see how these Measured Moves work and how to apply Fibonacci structure to them.
This is really the BASICS of price structure.
Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-4 : Breakaway PatternToday is a very interesting day because my MRM investment model turned BEARISH on the Daily chart. That means we have broken through major support because of this tariff war and the markets are not OFFICIALLY (based on my models) into a Daily BEARISH trend (or a Daily Broad Pullback Phase).
What that means is we need to start thinking of the markets as OVERALL BEARISH and trying to identify support - or a base/bottom in the near future.
This is no longer a BULLISH market - everything seems to have flipped into a BEARISH primary trend (OFFICIALLY).
So, watch this video to understand how Fibonacci price levels will likely play out as the SPY targeting the 500-505 level (possibly lower) and where the same Fibonacci price levels will prompt the QQQ to target 395-400.
BUCKLE UP. This is a BIG CHANGE related to overall market trend.
Gold is holding up much better than Silver. But I still believe this is a PANIC selling phase in Gold/Silver and they will both base/recovery and RALLY much higher.
The funny thing about the cycles in Gold/Silver is this:
In 2007-08, just after the major expansion phase completed, the Global Financial Crisis hit - prompting a large downward price rotation in metals.
Maybe, just maybe, this forced tariff war issue is a disruption that will "speed up" the process of metals rallying above $5000++ over the next 60+ days.
I see this move as PHASES and it appears the tariff disruption may prompt a faster Phase-Shift for metals over the next few months. We'll see.
BTCUSD seems to be in SHOCK. It's really going nowhere on very low volume.
If BTCUSD is a true hedge or alternate store of value - I would think it would have an upward reaction to this selling.
We'll see how this plays out.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Welcome to the real world Uncle Sam!The market can withstand a lot of pressure.
It can handle:
the dawn of "fake news" and outright "lying"
the pollution and "enshitification" of social media
imperialist ideas of a Gaza takeover
partnering with a Russian totalitarian state
overhyping of AI and Nvidia's overpricing
populist politics
unworldly valuations of tech stocks
What it cannot handle is:
Upsetting the world order
Undermining of NATO, Europe, and allies
Starting trade wars with your best friends
Establishing tariffs which will harm the US economy
I love the US stock market, and US animal spirits, it's the best in the world.
But when risk rises, then secure investments like bonds/treasuries become the smart money move. Stocks become "risk off"
Risk is rising, tariffs will pressure inflation, inflation kills economies and markets.
The European defense industry will benefit, the US consumer will pay higher prices.
Higher risk, could mean a lack of confidence, and confidence powers the stock market.
Batton Down the Hatches.
Trading Note: I sold all my US holdings on Tuesday, at the break of the double top neckline (see chart).
My target price is the 2021 high, before the one-year bear market. Its a big drop, I give it a 60-70% chance.
RSI & ROC Negative Medium-term divergences
Of course this could all change if Trump backtracks on trade wars, tariffs and imperialist rhetoric.
But until then, enjoy the ride.
NYA THE ONLY BULLISH WAVE COUNT 4th WAVE TRIANGLE on NEWSThe chart posted is that of the NYSE NYA this is the only Elliot wave Structure that is BULLISH I have now moved into calls in the SPY 540 and QQQ calls 450 dec 2026 . This is a HIGH RISK TRADE BUT I AM WILLING TO TAKE A 25 % position the sp cash was at 5415and qqq were at BEST at 452 put call above 1 and vix above 28.5 the fear greed was at 9 best of trades WAVETIMER