pt1 TSLA NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN META GOOGL Price ForecastTSLA NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN META GOOGL Price Forecast
00:00 Rate hike Data, Sentiment Data, Earnings, Economic data
04:08 QQQ Forecast
10:28 Sp500 ETF analysis
13:40 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
16:26 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
19:00 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
22:13 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
25:22 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis
27:04 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis
29:23 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
QQQ
QQQ NEW LOWS INCOMING!Hello, fellow traders and investors! There has recently been a leg up in our bearish channel creating what we anticipate to be a lower high. There is plenty of uncertainty in the economy at the moment whether it be the wars in Russia/Ukraine or Israel/Palestine, upcoming interest rate decisions, the fed's approach to their balance sheet and applying quantitative tightening, etc...
All that to say Rise Capital believes we are at overbought levels and are actively pursuing strategies to take advantage of the bearish movement that is soon to come. We will be taking different approaches like shorting qqq, getting put contracts on qqq and buying shares of sqqq.
SHORT QQQ
Entry: 367.71
Take Profit: 342.20 (Partial profits can be taking off depending on price action)
Stop loss: 373.75
Risk/Reward: 4.3
Opening (IRA): QQQ Dec 29th/Jan 15th 321/315 Short PutsComments: Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market.
Adding two rungs here, since I no longer have anything in the Dec 29th expiry or in Jan. Will naturally look to add at better strikes and in shorter duration should IV expand at some point.
Opening (IRA): QQQ Jan/March 305/280 Short PutsComments: Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market.
January 19th 380: 4.19 credit
March 15th 280: 3.06 credit
There currently isn't a February monthly yet, so I'll add that in later, assuming I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on.
VIX WARNING RALLY is SHORT COVERING SQUEEZE like I said The chart posted is the VIX of the VIX the VVIX has the cycle which I stated on monday and friday last week a short squeeze is now setup as the13.8 to 15.2 week decline would see a sharp rally. And that the IYT RSP BA and TNX were making a ending of a 5WAVES pattern we are only going to see an ABC rally and the last 5 days have been wave A so CAUTION I think the wave strurture in TLT is that of a wave 4 it should not get above 88.3 if that is the correct count then we will see a print of 81.5 to 79.6 and the VIX will be well into 29.6 to 38 so take any profits NOW
TSLA NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN META GOOGL Price Forecast00:00 QQQ Forecast
05:58 Sp500 ETF analysis
07:58 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
10:20 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
13:37 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
15:16 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
17:16 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis
18:46 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis
19:55 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
pt2. TSLA NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN META GOOGL Price Forecast00:00 QQQ Forecast
05:58 Sp500 ETF analysis
07:58 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
10:20 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
13:37 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
15:16 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
17:16 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis
18:46 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis
19:55 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
Nasdaq Futes - You Wanted a Dip For That 'Santa Rally,' Aye?The equities markets have spent the last three months liquidating bulls, and then liquidating bears, and then liquidating bulls, because the markets are primarily a scam for big money to sell options and have them expire worthless.
No matter what system you use or whose ideas you follow, you're always just guessing, because the computers can take price and do whatever they want at any time, because there's more stocks than there are money and more money than there are stocks, all concentrated in the hands of a few select banks and funds that are really just running crowdsourced cloud algos that communicate with time stamps and decimal fractions.
It's just another scam to bankrupt people and then blame you for being bankrupt.
There's nobody this society hates more than poor people and depressed people, and no Communist Party-funded causes are paid to campaign on behalf of the poor and sad, unless it's to lead them to "Medical Assistance In Dying" (MAID; see Canada).
2023 started off uppy in a straight line, and there's no reason to believe that's going to correct until the timestamp on the market making algorithms has a year date of 2024.
Which means that this bearish impulse is just that, a bearish impulse, that may be seeing its likely finale as early as this coming week to end the October monthly bar, as the next FOMC rate decision is October 31 and November 1.
I'll provide my warning to bears and bulls alike at the early stage of the post, because I know social media and drugs have given people the attention span of children addicted to sugar and cartoons.
Did you know that Li Keqiang, former Premier of China and second in command of the Chinese Communist Party behind Xi Jinping died on October 27, "of a heart attack"?
I have been warning for years of two things:
1. The CCP is actually about to fall, and is almost entirely certain to take Xi, an idiot, to its grave with it.
2. The death toll from the Wuhan Pneumonia pandemic (not to be confused with SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) is insanely scary and completely covered up by the regime.
And now we're seeing public evidence that even the Xi Faction's main network are being dropped. Keqiang was only 68 years old, which is not very old for a CCP member.
Former Chairman Jiang Zemin, the architect of the persecution and organ harvesting genocide against Falun Dafa's 100 million students, allegedly lived to 96, by comparison, before turning to a pile of crematorium ashes and being thrown out of the very Cosmos by the Wind itself.
All of the above is to say that the year end rally is likely arranged by "the controllers," and yet they're just mice and men, and what can actually unfold before we see 2024 is entirely in the hands of Heaven Himself.
Let's look at monthly bars:
Three mediocre red months after a series of bigly big green months isn't bearish. To the contrary, it's bullish, but it's a question of how you can finance your timing to stay solvent while the market is irrational.
Weekly bars give us more clarity:
What we're really dealing with is a meagre 12% dump over 15 weeks.
And you're going to say to yourself that 12% is actually a lot on the indexes, and I will agree with you. However, it's really not when you take a look at a pair of twin 6-7% bounces that occurred over the span of 6 and 10 trading days in the mix.
And when you pair this with the reality that the market turning around and taking out the July high is just a paltry 17% rally from the 13,750 potential reverse point, over the course of two months, bears are set up to get absolutely annihilated before the real show starts in 2024.
Nothing about the way the markets have traded indicated we have bottomed *yet*. So what we do is, instead of GoInG LoNg oN ThE DiP and getting into the same trap as Disney, Paypal, and AT&T longtards, we simply look for reversals at 13,750, because it's the August of 2022 high, and 13,480-13,550, because 13,500 is a psychological number, and go long on a reversal pattern.
If this theory pans out, not only will the indexes take out the July high, but, the Nasdaq especially, may very well take out the All Time High.
If you were to have bought a QQQ $380 call on Friday expiring January, it would have cost you ~$3.25 ($325) with a 19% delta.
If we get another 4% dump on the indexes, you can pick one up for a little more than $2 and be looking at $9-12~ after theta decay for it to be merely at the money by the end of November.
That's equivalent to going long on some penny garbage like MULN or Gamestop and lotterying into a 4 bagger on the MoThER oF aLl ShOrTSqUeEzEs.
The above is to tell you to stop following Wall Street Bets, Wall Street Silver, Stocktwits, and other public relations firm/marketing department-managed dumpster fires, stop gambling on 0DTEs, make less trades, go outside more, and enjoy your life while this planet still lasts.
Once everything is gone, it's gone forever.
Just like Atlantis, the Mayans, and the Dinosaurs.
Should I do a FOMC strangle/ straddle play? Read here.So, what's the best way to play FOMC? Probably a strangle. According to last FOMC on 9/20 your NASDAQ:QQQ calls would have printed around +50% or more.
Assuming you sold and held your puts, your puts would have given you an extra 200% to 300%.
You can do this on any stock obviously. Don't get greedy. Best decision might be to stay out of course.
Choosing a definite direction (i.e. holding calls/ puts only without a hedge) is pure gambling.
Good luck. Welcome to follow for trade ideas.
FOMC chart 9/20:
$PCAR On watch for U&RNASDAQ:PCAR Beat Earrings and revenue and has been building a base for about 4 months now. I have this on my watchlist for an Undercut and Rally trade. All TBD.
See chart for notations and thought process. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
PACCAR (PCAR) reported earnings of $2.34 per share on revenue of $8.70 billion for the third quarter ended September 2023. The consensus earnings estimate was $2.07 per share on revenue of $7.99 billion. The Earnings Whisper number was $2.18 per share. The company beat expectations by 7.34% while revenue grew 23.20% on a year-over-year basis.
PACCAR Inc designs, manufactures and distributes light, medium and heavy duty trucks and related aftermarket parts.
🎯 Palladium to Platinum Metal Spread vs. American BigTech IndexThe breathtaking rally in palladium appears to be coming to the end.
Rising supply and slowing demand are undermining the price of a metal used to neutralize car exhaust emissions.
Palladium, once the cheapest of the major precious metals, soared from under $500 an ounce in 2016 to over $3,400 last March, leaving platinum and gold far behind.
The reason for the rally was growing demand from automakers who needed more palladium per vehicle to meet tightening emission standards.
However, supply could not keep up, resulting in huge shortages for some. And no less huge profits for others.
Now this is changing.
Electric vehicles (EVs) that don't need palladium are gaining more market share, and automakers are replacing some of the palladium with cheaper platinum in ICE vehicles.
Meanwhile, the supply of recycled cars is growing as those with more palladium are being scrapped more and more.
Palladium has fallen to around $1,600 an ounce, shedding more than 50 percent from its 2022 highs, and analysts are predicting an average price of just $1,150 an ounce in 2027.
Analysts at Morgan Stanley predict that demand from automakers will fall by about 400,000 ounces between 2022 and 2027, while supply from car recycling will increase by 1.2 million ounces, with demand for palladium almost 90% dependent on automotive industry.
This will push the market at around 11 million ounces per year to a near-million ounce surplus in 2027, they said.
Russia's Norilsk Nickel, which accounts for appr. 38-40% of the world's palladium supplies, said its palladium production will fall by 8-14% this year.
Techical picture indicates Palladium to Platinum metal spread erases as much as 50 percent vs. its peaked near 3.0 in 2022, whereas the Bearish market in Palladium has fully launched.
The similar case has happened in early 00s when Palladium to Platinum ratio lost more than 90 percent over decade, as well as Nasdaq - major american BigTech index.
Will the history fully repeat itself. Or will be written in a rhyme. Lets see.
$SPY breakout incoming? 👁🗨️*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
!! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !!
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part 2 NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN GOOGL META TSLA Price ForecastNASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:GOOGL NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:TSLA Price Forecast
00:00 Economic Data Psychology, AAII Sentiment Data, Earnings, Fear & Greed Index
04:00 QQQ Stock Price Forecast
07:18 Sp500 ETF Price Forecast
11:43 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
13:45 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
15:48 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
17:02 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
20:03 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis
24:42 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis
27:19 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN GOOGL META TSLA Price ForecastNASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:GOOGL NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:TSLA Price Forecast
00:00 Economic Data Psychology, AAII Sentiment Data, Earnings, Fear & Greed Index
04:00 QQQ Stock Price Forecast
07:18 Sp500 ETF Price Forecast
11:43 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
13:45 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
15:48 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
17:02 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
20:03 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis
24:42 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis
27:19 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis