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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-7-24 : Rally PatternAs many of you know, I've been expecting the SPY/QQQ to find support (seeking a base/bottom) for the past 3+ days. The amount of selling has been somewhat extreme. We are currently in a downtrend. So, my expectation of a base/bottom is related to the breakdown of the Excess Phase Peak pattern and the previous support levels (pre-election and recent lows) that suggest price will attempt to hold/base/bottom near recent support. As of yesterday's close, price had broken downward, still within the support range. So, again, I urge caution as I believe price will be very volatile while attempting "hammer out a base/bottom" (if it happens). Overall, my bias is to the downside because of the current trend. Yet, The RALLY pattern today suggests we may see a recovery above 577 on the SPY which may lead to a rally targeting 580+. Gold and Silver are holding up well and should setup a base/bottom today on the Counter-Trend Top/Resistance Pattern. I don't expect Gold and Silver to rally very strong today. I expect more of a melt-up in trend for metals. Bitcoin is still consolidating and moving into a very tight Flag Apex range. As I pointed out in today's video, a shorter-term Flag apex will be reached on Sunday (3-9). I believe Bitcoin will become very volatile over the next 3+ days - attempting to break away from a GETTEX:13K consolidation range. This apex volatility could drive the SPY/QQQ into extreme volatility as well. Unless you are very skilled at targeting short-term price swings - stay very cautious of this volatility as it could end up turning and biting back. It's Friday. I'm planning on watching and only trading when I believe there is a very clear opportunity for profits. I got dinged around (took some lumps yesterday) trying to trade while driving and handling family issues. Lesson learned - don't force it. The markets will settle into a trend next week. So, be prepared to sit and watch if you don't like what you see on the charts today. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
NVIDIA Stock Goes Diving-Dressed ahead of Dotcom Crash RepeatingNvidia’s stock recently experienced a significant decline, tanked to 6-month low reflecting a mix of investor sentiment shifts, market dynamics, and company-specific concerns. Here’s our @PandorraResearch Team ̶M̶u̶m̶b̶o̶ ̶j̶u̶m̶b̶o̶ fundamental and technical breakdown of what is going on with Nvidia stock NASDAQ:NVDA and why: 1. Cooling AI Enthusiasm Nvidia has been at the forefront of the AI boom, with its chips powering advanced AI platforms. However, investor optimism about AI-related stocks has begun to wane. While Nvidia reported impressive revenue growth (122% in recent earnings), its future guidance failed to meet sky-high expectations. Investors are increasingly concerned that the returns from AI investments may take longer to materialize than initially anticipated. This cooling enthusiasm has led to a reassessment of Nvidia’s valuation, contributing to the stock's decline. 2. High Valuation Concerns Nvidia’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio had soared to levels significantly higher than industry averages, reflecting lofty expectations for its future growth. At its peak, Nvidia was trading at 45 times expected earnings, compared to the S&P 500’s average of 22 times. Such high valuations often make stocks vulnerable to corrections when market sentiment changes or growth slows. The recent sell-off suggests that some investors are beginning to view Nvidia’s stock as overvalued. 3. DOJ Antitrust Investigation Another factor weighing on Nvidia’s stock is news of a U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) subpoena investigating potential antitrust violations. The probe reportedly focuses on whether Nvidia’s business practices limit customer options or stifle competition. While no formal charges have been filed, such investigations create uncertainty and make investors jittery about regulatory risks. 4. Broader Market Pressures The decline in Nvidia’s stock also coincides with broader market challenges. Rising interest rates and concerns about the U.S. economy have led many investors to shift away from high-growth tech stocks like Nvidia toward more stable, rate-sensitive investments. Additionally, a general downturn in the Nasdaq Composite index has amplified the pressure on Nvidia shares. 5. Profit-Taking After a Massive Rally Before its recent drop, Nvidia had seen meteoric gains—its stock surged over 120% in one year and briefly became the world’s most valuable company. Such rapid growth often attracts profit-taking as traders sell off shares to lock in gains. Analysts described this as a "routine selloff" after an extraordinary rally. Technical challenge The main technical 3-month log scaled graph for Nvidia's stock indicates on unattainable highs never seen before since Dotcom crash, reached through a massive long term path inside upside channel. Conclusion Nvidia’s stock decline is driven by a combination of factors: tempered AI optimism, valuation concerns, regulatory uncertainty, broader economic pressures, and profit-taking after an exceptional run-up. While some analysts remain bullish on Nvidia due to its dominance in AI hardware, others see the pullback as a natural correction in response to overextended valuations and shifting market conditions. -- Best schadenfreude wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
NASDAQ:NVDA
by PandorraResearch
NEW BULL MOVE IS NEAR Wave 4 cycle low SETUPI am coming into the major and minor spiral cycle Low is has been due into 3/8 3/13 focus on the 10th for sometime . But the Crash cycle is in day 10 today and over the last 112 years data back to 1902 the crash cycle has been from 8 to 12 days long we are in day 10 Now .I have taken up a 75 % long deep in the money Calls into this morning drop I this give the market a chance of 30 % to drop to the lower target of 5644 But Put Call models are bell ringing now .I will move to 100 % long calls at 5723/5713 and move to 110 % long at 5644 MIT . after the low print and we break above 5909 on a close I have a confirmed LOW and we short see a major 5th wave blow off it should take 26 TD and the target min is 6183 and max to 6430 with 6235 being focus in the math In the QQQ 552 is a focus with 545 as the min max based on the Math 564 Tight range for the QQQ as it should be The DJI will see a minor new new above 45040 best of trades WAVETIMER
SP:SPX
by wavetimer
7
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-6-25: Breakaway PatternToday's Breakaway pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move away from yesterday's open/close price range. Given the fairly strong downward pre-market trending in the SPY/QQQ, I'm cautiously optimistic we will see a fairly strong MELT-UP in price related to the recent support/rejection levels near 575. I'm urging my followers to be cautious of the first 30-60 minutes of market activity today. Jobs data (or other data) could disrupt price after the open and I believe price will be very volatile in the first 30-60 minutes of trading today. In other words, price may try to SHAKE-OUT early positions with wild volatility before settling into a MELT-UP or MELT-DOWN trend. As I shared in my video, today's BreakAway pattern could break upward or downward. I believe the upward trend potential has about a 60-70% chance of happening IF the 575 level holds as support. If not, then we will probably break downward. The fact that BTCUSD is holding up quite well suggests the SPY/QQQ may actually MELT-UPWARD. Again, we need to see how things play out in early trading today. Gold & Silver are consolidating into a range which may continue over the next 3-4 days. The current bias for Gold and Silver is an uptrend. So, I do believe metals will continue to appreciate throughout this 3-4 day consolidation phase. The only reason I urge traders to stay cautious for the first 30-60 minutes is because of the Jobs data and how the markets may react to news items. You can't kick the markets to go in a certain direction. So, often, it is better to let the morning SHAKE-OUT happen, then wait for more clear trending to setup. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
$ROKU Bullish Reversal?I have taken a 1/2 size position here on $ROKU. It had a nice big earnings gap and has since pulled back. It looks to me that it is now ready to reverse higher. See notes on chart. I have taken the fact that it broke (just barely) the Downtrend Line and put in what looks to be a reversal candle. My stop will be just below yesterday's low. This is my idea. If you like it, please make sure it fits within your trading rules. While I consider this a low risk trade, you may not. Thanks for looking. Comments always welcome.
NASDAQ:ROKULong
by jaxdog
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-5-25: Flat-Down PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will move into a sideways type of stalling pattern. Based on yesterday's rejection off the lows, I suspect we may see some continued upward reversion trending, then we'll likely see the SPY move into a stalling pattern near 579. Ultimately, the Flat-Down pattern does not suggest big trending will take place today. Yesterday's price rejection off the lows adds a bit to the overall picture that the SPY may attempt to move away from that lower support level - thus, we may see some upward "melt-up" type of trend today. But, overall, I'm not confident we'll see any big price trends today. I expect the SPY to stay somewhat flat/muted today. Same thing with the QQQ. If we do see any big price move today, it will likely be news-related. Gold and Silver are both sitting near 618 pause levels and continuing to try to push higher. I believe both gold and silver will make an expansion move over the next 5 to 7+ trading days and begin a very solid rally phase. Where gold will attempt to break above $3000 and Silver will attempt to rally above $35. Bitcoin is still struggling in the Consolidation phase. This wide-range consolidation should continue until sometime near March 19-24. Don't expect Bitcoin to do much except consolidate into the flagging sideways price trend for the next week or two. Go get some today. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
7
S&P500 Index Goes 'Draconian', ahead of Roller Coaster ExplosionThe S&P 500's "roller coaster" behavior stems from its sensitivity to various economic, geopolitical, and market-specific factors that influence investor sentiment and corporate performance. Economic Factors: Changes in interest rates, inflation, and Federal Reserve policies significantly impact the index. For example, rising interest rates can reduce corporate earnings and valuations, leading to market sell-offs. Conversely, expectations of rate cuts can boost optimism and drive rallies. Investor Sentiment and Volatility: The S&P 500 is closely tied to the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), often called the "fear gauge." The VIX rises during market downturns as investors seek portfolio protection, amplifying price swings. This inverse correlation highlights how fear or optimism can drive sharp movements in the index. Global Events: Geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, or pandemics can disrupt markets by creating uncertainty about future economic performance. Such events often lead to sudden spikes or drops in the S&P 500 as investors react to perceived risks. Valuation Cycles: Overvaluation or bubbles in specific sectors can lead to corrections. For instance, high price-to-earnings ratios combined with slower economic growth can result in prolonged periods of stagnation or volatility. These factors collectively create the "roller coaster" effect begun in the S&P 500. // Life is like a roller coaster, as you don't know what's going to be thrown at you next, so all you can do is give us your best shot. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
CBOE:SPX
by PandorraResearch
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-4-25: Top Resistance PatternToday's pattern is a Top Resistance pattern. Usually, these types of patterns reflect a market where price moves higher - attempting to find a peak/resistance level, then rolls downward (confirming that resistance level). Because of yesterday's strong selling after Trump's Tariff comments, I suggest the peak in today's price activity may be set in very early trading. We're going to have to watch the charts to see how price reacts to more news and the continued restructuring of global economies. One thing is obvious: the markets are resettling based on Trump's expectations and tariff comments. I checked out TLT and a few other symbols last night, and it appears the Predator Fed comments I made over the past 12+ months are still holding up very well. Inadvertently, the US has moved into a position of being the 900 lb gorilla of the global markets. Higher Fed rates for longer are putting pressure on global currencies and many global economies. If Trump is able to secure more US manufacturing and a more secure US economy (reducing deficit spending), I can see the next 3+ years being very disruptive for the global markets. Ultimately, though, building a strong US economy and going through this disruption will lead to explosive growth in 2026 and beyond. You may not see it now, but if we are able to organize our government/finances better going forward - start to think about how powerful that could be for the next 15 to 25+ years. Next, thank you for all the great comments. Love it. Gold and Silver are starting to make that recovery rally move after the last 7+ days of selling. This could be a very powerful move to the upside for metals and miners. Bitcoin is still struggling and will likely stay trapped in a sideways range. that range could be $10k to GETTEX:13K in size - so stay cautious of wild volatility in BTCUSD if you are trading it. Again,I want to urge all of you to consider your trading as "taking calculated risks" - not gambling. I talked to a friend just yesterday, and he told me how I changed his life by helping him to stop the gambling-style of trading he was doing. Once you realize that trading is not about those HUGE WINS (sure they are nice) - but it is about staying agile, getting in and out with decent profits, and growing your account efficiently. So, I urge you to step back and consider every new trade you take as "how much am I really risking if things go wrong". When you do that, you'll find you can still take the trade, but you'll teach yourself to manage your capital more efficiently. Ok. Go Get Some! #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
8
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update for 3-3-25 : Absolutely PerfectThis quick little update is for everyone who follows my research. Today was absolutely PERFECT in terms of my expectations and how the SPY moved so far today. A nearly perfect downward price trend targeting the 588 level. Now, we'll see if we get a base and a squeeze higher before the end of trading today. I'm so impressed with my ability to pinpoint these type of opportunities for everyone. Remember, trading is about taking the opportunity to position your assets for gains. Get some. And please share your success stories if you have them. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
16
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-3-25 : Up-Down-UP Pattern CounterToday's pattern, and Up-Down-Up in counter-trend mode, suggests the markets will attempt to move downward after the open and attempt to retrace some (or most) of Friday's gain. I do believe this downward price move is essential for the markets to build a moderate base before attempting to move higher into the march 11-16 topping pattern my research suggests will prompt another breakdown in price. Ultimately, these moves up and down over the past 30+ days are establishing a sideways (mega-phone type) price structure that I warned was likely to happen more than 90+ days ago (back in December 2024). What we are seeing right now is a rolling of price while uncertainty continues to drive capital away from technology, semis and innovation - moving into safety and security. This will continue until July or August 2025, then capital will suddenly shift back into risk-ON in my opinion. By the time everyone thinks the markets are breaking downward (crashing), that is when I think the markets will make a sudden shift toward growth and innovation as the US resumes a growth phase in late 2025 (carrying into 2026). Currently, we are in a minor little "pause/rally" phase after the last bout of selling. This rally will likely end sometime after March 11 - leading to a breakdown in price starting between 3-14 and 3-17. This is a trader's market. Gold/Silver appear to have found a footing and seem to be bouncing. We'll see if Gold/Silver move above critical resistance and continue to rally higher. BTCUSD has rebounded back to support/resistance, but has also moved into a new DUAL Excess Phase Peak pattern that suggests increased price volatility for Bitcoin. I still believe we are moving into a very side-range consolidation pattern for Bitcoin. I suggest staying fairly cautious today and setting up some trades for the pause/rally I expect to carry through this week for the SPY/QQQ. No need to get too greedy on a Monday. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
6
QQQ On The Rise! BUY! My dear subscribers, QQQ looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 508.17 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 520.29 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by AnabelSignals
1