BULLISH OR BEARISH?Nasdaq is currently in a strong bulls market - all though there are a lot of signs both technically and fundamentally for it to go down, the bulls have taken over this area in the market. Today we will go with market direction rather than fighting the market.
We will wait and see what price does at 13130 - if it respects ema and tl then we will go long to resistance (13205) and ideally end off at 13315.
If price breaks ema and TL we should see price head down to 13044 and potentially lower.
Overall today should be clear for a 700-1000 pip move.
Qqqforecast
QQQ I Short-term short from resistance zone Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF 2023 Forecast. CPI Report PredictionAfter the last price target was reached:
My timeline for QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF after the CPI report on Feb 14 is this:
1. CPI data will come better than expected. The medium forecast in 6.2, I expect 6 - 6.1.
- The market will be exuberant afterwards and QQQ will reach $317 by March 1st, thinking that the FED won the fight against inflation .
2. While inflation continues to be sticky in March, the FED will continue increasing interest rates and won`t stop until something cracks in the economy. Another 25bps increase.
- The market is expected to react and the QQQ will reach $288.
3. The year will end in a positive note, the was in Ukraine will end and the supply chain disruption that was one of the factors of high inflation , will be restored. Inflation down to 3%.
My prediction for QQQ by the end of the year is $332, a 25% increase YOY.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
SPY & QQQ 15m Trend Change Back to Bulls, Need 1h trend change - After this mornings hourly bear flag with no follow through from bears bulls try to play defense and we had a megaphone pattern play out in the morning.
- QQQ was holding SPY up for the entire day, then the last 30mins bear sectors in SPY joined Bull sector QQQ.
- need to confirm a hourly uptrend to set the daily higher low for bulls.
- would like to see bulls play offense tomorrow.
QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF Price PredictionOn March 7th we have the Fed Chair Powell Testimony, that could reveal that the FOMC is going to hike the interest rates for a longer period of time, and maybe give us a clue if it`s the case for a 50bps increase after the next meeting.
On March 10th we have the Non Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate that could also fuel a potential 50bps hike if they come better than expected.
In this context, my price target for QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF is $285 by Mid-April.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
QQQ Could See A Bounce Very SoonThe Invesco QQQ Trust has had a good run up. What we're seeing now is a normal 5% pullback following a 20% gain.
In the most bullish scenario, we've already seen the bottom of this correction. Prices have reached the first zone's support line, and we're already witnessing a tiny recovery on the lower timeframes. The most bullish case is still valid if we touch the lower trendline. of the first zone.
Another scenario is a bigger correction, giving back half of the latest uptrend.
QQQ Pump & Dump Idea Just Speculation... only because I think the Markets haven't finished this Correction---Bull to Bear set-up Idea : current Cup and Handle Short Squeeze rip to $290 area then Drop....
because of: Bad Earnings Season... Seasonal Market Movement in line with current dates , Fed Manipulation....etc
Is the Carnage over? Have We Bottomed or are we going down for final leg?
Thoughts?
QQQ - NASDAQ Long Term CorrectionAfter a wild bullrun for more than a decade it is time for a correction and for the markets to cool down for the coming years.
This analysis is what I suspect most likely to play out. Let me guide you trough it.
From this point I expect a lower low during this summer (2022) reaching the MA200 weekly / MA50 monthly (yellow cirle).
Between September 2022 and May 2023 I expect that regulators are lowering interest rates (again), getting people exited what sets up a bulltrap with the top in May 2023 without creating a new higher high.
After may 2023 I expect a steep decline in price and the real recession begins. This brings us to the next floor (orange circle). This floor happens to be the top of 2018 and the MA100 monthly.
Eventually the will be some relieve from this downward movement making a lower high and then the last wave down begins and potentially brings us all the way to the previous ATH of the Dot Com bubble in 2000. This is also the area where the MA200 monthly will be.
I realize that IF this analysis takes place the world economy has a lot to digest but we will come out stronger eventually, as like we always do.
Prepare yourself. Stay safe out there.
QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF Santa Rally U.S. stocks tend to rise during the Santa Claus rally period.
The Santa Rally is considered the last five trading sessions of the year and first two of the new year.
Since 1950, the S&P 500 has traded higher 78% of the time during the Santa rally period for an average gain of 1.3%.
My price target for QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF is $273.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Buying TQQQ @ $18.00 I am starting a small hedge on TQQQ. If you don't know, I flip from buying SQQQ and TQQQ.
Our 4-hour chart is signaling a slow of momentum downward, as well as what may be the start of a pullback.
We're currently in a major area of support. We just broke underneath the Keltner Channel and we'll have to retest resistance to move back into it to signal the start of a reversal.
Our MACD and TSI indicators are signaling a slow down and potential crossover, which will be bullish.
I believe we'll retest the resistance of the 200-day EMA. We also have a thin band of resistance in our Ichimoku indicator to take into consideration.
Nasdaq Analysis 18.12.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis:
QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF Options Ahead of the CPI ReportThe U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for the month of November 2022 on December 13, 2022, at 8.30am ET.
The rate of inflation is the most important data that will impact the Fed’s coming rate hike decision.
The last price target was reached:
Now looking at the QQQ options chain Ahead of the CPI Report, i would buy the $276 strike price Puts with
2023-1-20 expiration date for about
$7.67 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the CPI Report, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Nasdaq Analysis 11.12.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis:
Nasdaq Analysis 05.12.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis:
Nasdaq 100 - Something feels terribly wrongOver the past few weeks, there were quite a lot of things happening - “the market bottom,” “crypto bottom,” “trend reversal,” and so on and on. Again, people rush to make hastily conclusions as the market turns from extremely bearish to fearful of missing out on the real primary trend reversal. Before the CPI, we came forward when QQQ stopped its decline 0.11$ above our price target of 260$ and said we would abstain from setting a price target and wait for the data to come out.
Yesterday's price action is exactly why we did that. The market participants' desire to see the market go higher after a horrible year of underperformance pumped up the Nasdaq 100 index by 7% before the market closed. However, the reality is that inflation continues rising, despite a small surprise in regard to analysts' expectations yesterday. Indeed, in our opinion, it makes no change for the FED, which will continue to tighten the economy further; merely, it will give it more room not to crash the economy right away.
This development comes as a temporary lifeline to the market, which is still seeing the unwinding of the FTX insolvency issues. The stock market and cryptocurrencies continue to see gains across the board today. Despite that, we can not unnotice that something is still terribly wrong; this applies to both the stock and cryptocurrency markets.
First, yesterday's move continues to be characteristic of the one in the bear market. For example, in the 2020 crash, there were at least three days with a daily range of more than 10% (for NQ1); examples are shown in Illustration 1.02. Second, volume declined dramatically toward the end of yesterday's session. In addition to that, the peg between the USD and Tether continues to be destabilized, despite retracing much of the move. This development worries us as it might foreshadow another “unexpected” event in the cryptocurrency market, which will also inadvertently affect the stock market. Therefore, we voice a word of caution as we are not yet convinced this is the market capitulation everyone has been waiting for. With that being said, we maintain our price target for NQ1! at 10 000$.
Illustration 1.01
The image above shows examples of down and up days during the 2020 crash before the FED cut rates to stop the drop.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic all turned bullish with the market bounce. DM+ and DM- performed a bullish crossover. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish; however, the trend is weak.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 displays the declining volume prior to yesterday's close, which shows signs of exhaustion. We will pay close attention to whether it will be sufficient in the coming hours/days to sustain the rally.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI and Stochastic point to the upside. MACD tries to reverse to the upside. DM+ and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.03
Illustration 1.03 shows a setup for NQ1!; if the price will manage to hold above the level, then it will be bullish for NQ1!.
Illustration 1.04
The above is a link to the article about Tether, which we published during the Luna crash.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
NASDAQ Weekly Volatility Forecast 31/10 - 04/11 2022 NASDAQ Weekly Volatility Forecast 31/10 - 04/11 2022
Currently the volatility for this week is around 4.9% , up from expected 3.8% last week.
According to ATR calculation, currently the volatility is located around 80th percentile.
Under this circumstances the expected movement of the candle is :
BEAR : 3.5% from the opening point of the weekly candle
BULL : 3.25% from the opening point of the weekly candle
At the same time, currently there is 10.8% that the movement within this weekly candle is going to
break and close either above or below the next channel:
TOP: 12040
BOT: 11150
Lastly, taking into account the previous weekly high and low there is a :
75% chance that we are going to touch the previous week high
25% chance that we are going to touch the previous week low
LONG QQQ BASED ON CHART PATTERNTechnical analysis of QQQ. Using daily bar chart i am explaining how i plan to trade QQQ. I cover various stocks which can be profitable based on the stock charts and technical indicators. I try my best to explain as detailed as possible but your feedback is also appreciated