$QQQ- To $343 Or Back To $300?After pulling back sharply off of all-time highs, growth stocks have started to point upwards once more. However, this might not be good for the Q's. I see two potential outcomes here:
Outlook #1:
$QQQ is showing strength after a minor pullback to an important trendline and a fibonacci level with a volume shelf. The stochastic oscillator and the MACD are both pointing toward all-time highs, and that's exactly where we are headed.
Outlook #2:
$QQQ needs to complete the ABC correction wave and test the $300 level again, which happens to be a 50% retracement and a key level of structure. The RSI has found a resistance trend line, which is another bearish sign.
Personally I think that Outlook #2 is more likely, given the overall look of the chart and the similar scenario that played out in 2020. Leave a like and comment your thoughts :) Good Luck!
Qqqforecast
QQQ most likely to test 332 and then decide the direction QQQ Weekly chart looks still bit weak. Friday's action saved it from meltdown. Thursday's bounce from long term trend line (more evident on NQ Futures) was big saver. Going forward, QQQ needs to close above 332 to push bears to sideline. If close below 322.80, would be big red flag as it may start weeks of downside action. Must hold trend line support in any case. Chart shows two possible paths it can take from here.
QQQ: Long SetupThe daily chart shows that price is at the 21 EMA
which is likely to act as support.
And on the hourly chart, price is coming to test
a support level around 335. Today, just printed
two low volume sell bars near that the 335 support
level.
A good entry price would be between 335-336. I would
place my stop at 332.60 and my profit target at 342. I think
it could go past 342 but it would depend on how the next 10-15
bars look. 342 still gives you a decent risk reward ratio.
(Note: This is not a trade I'm personally taking right now
because I have other trades going on but this is a logical
and compelling long to take.)
QQQ Repeat of March 2020 Crash?The fractal I pulled from last march really seems a nice fit, its been following well since I've had this sitting on here for a couple of weeks.
Looked specifically for those big volume days we had, we just had the biggest volume day in QQQ on March 5th that we've had since the bottom of the crash last March so that's where I looked to pick up this fractal.
And we got the hard reversal just like this time around.
If it keeps playing out we should see some great results over the next few months
Bullish on NDX but correction in store..NDX looks set to resume its long-term uptrend with a target over 15,000 in the next few months. If one looks at the behavior of the NDX after a sizable correction (evidenced by the 10/50 EMA daily cross), a pullback should occur back toward the 50 EMA level soon. This would equate to a retest of the 13200 area before resuming higher. No guarantee but just a pattern recognition of what may occur given the NDX has pumped very hard, very quickly...
QQQ 50% decline by EOY 8500 If QQQ has a 50% decline and goes to 8500 by end of the year(see chart), then TQQQ will have 150% decline and wipe-out entire positions. I think we all knew this was coming, just hope the newbies understand that TQQQ can go to 0 when you are dealing with 3 times leveraged funds. They had a great ride but the train is coming to a stop!!! Take cover!!! Feel free to express your opinions.
Time to short QQQ again!! 1st target 12,400Many things pointing to lower QQQ. The probability of QQQ going to 12,400 is much greater than QQQ breaking resistance. This is looking to me that it will selloff in the next two trading days. What are your thoughts? Please understand that this is for my own personal trading style. Please do your own due diligence and trade safe!!
QQQ Short Idea Hey everyone. Few thoughts on the previous moves on QQQ this past week. Looks like from our previous swing low to 297 in early March we have completed another swing high to 324 now in a corrective pattern moving down. Regarding fib levels, we had a meaningful bounce off of the 618 fib coming above the 38 fib. Previously we've seen this shoot up past the 23 fib before coming down to test the 786 fib... Of course, there is a potential to break this with more upset momentum but as it struggles around the 200 EMA + talk of a pullback in the tech sector overall + the Suez canal issue we may be set to visit 302-305 as soon as 3/31.
On a more macro scale, QQQ movement since November peaked at 338 in February... moving down to bounce off the 50 fib level of 297 in early March. We then shot up past the 23 fib and are now sitting right above the 38fib. I suspect we will still need to see our move down to the 618 fib (~294) before seeing any meaningful potential upside movement. Thanks and let me know your thoughts!
02/26 QQQ / TQQQ Bounce -RSI don't lieYou can see from the Daily chart going back to last Feb 2020 that all the Highs and Lows have been supported exactly when they touched RSI channel. To me this is buy-time but please do your own research. This is for my own personal trading. Covered my shorts yesteray and switched to long until the chart tells me otherwise. Comments welcome.
TQQQ next target 121. RSI and price support achieved. Those who have followed my last posts on shorting hopefully have made some $$. We have had 4 great swing days down. Tomorrow let's swing our partner back up after that 4-day dip.
We should bounce tomorrow and start climbing to achieve our next high around 121 to complete wave 5. Divergence on price and rsi with charts lining up perfectly to support our next high. Catalyst will most likely be approval of Government stimulus or decrease of long-term Treasury yields that will give it enough of a push to the next high around 121 before plunging to new lows. This could be a slow up and down climb that could take the majority of the year before we crash!!!
This is NOT investment advice. Please do your own due diligence!! Questions or comments welcome.
TQQQ Next stop 95! Charts don't lie!!Some great 5% shorts the last 2 days. Rinse and repeat. Tomorrow we are looking for it to touch at least 100 maybe 95. The big guys that move the market are slowly bringing this back down to reality. You can see the green down candles, the last two days. Definitely a pullback, but could be more.
I marked two key areas on the chart that will likely be hit tomorrow (price point and RSI).
Charts don't lie, so do not be fooled by the big boys manipulating your thoughts through the media and forums. Be careful what you read. There is most likely a motive. This year is a perfect example. Try learning before paying for a service. To win you have to learn and be disciplined.
Please do your own due diligence as this short is for my current situation. Question or comments are welcome.
Trade to Win!! Protect your profits!! Hard work = Good Luck
TQQQ if you don't short you might be in for an atomic Wedgie!!!Since Sept TQQQ looks like it's formed mini Wedge patterns inside possible Wedge ready to Form. The downside is calling to complete this atomic Wedgie Sandwich!!! Don't be tricked by the long play or the atomic wedgie will hurt!! This is only an incredible idea so please do your own due diligence! Comments welcome!
Listen to the TQQQ Megaphone "SHORT ME"Looking at the TQQQ hourly chart, you will notice that the megaphone is showing reward to the downside around 56. The upside is limited to about 114 area. What is the logical play? Comments?
Also the Yearly RSI is touching 80. What happened last time yearly RSI touched 80? Feb 20, 2020, Sept 2020 Kaboom!
Please do your own due diligence these are just fantastic recommendations!
Triple QQQ Triple Color Fractal Frenzy I started looking back for areas in time where the volume profile specifically looked very similar.
We've kind of got an interesting volume profile going on right now with recently almost all buying volume and a very clean diminishing buying profile followed by a sudden approximately double selling volume from the next most recent candle.
I pulled those fractals I found where the volume profiles looked the most similar and scaled them to fit the most recent moves.
The dates are kinda fuzzy cuz I wasnt paying close attention but the general time frames are there if you want to look.
The yellow fractal seems interesting as once I scaled it to fit the most recent activity its peak hits the channel and its pull back lands almost right on the dotted support line.
Which fractal will it be!
NASDAQ 35,000!!! But not yet, & surprise election correctionCheck the fractaloid there, fits nicely in our new bullish channel
Couple gap lines of above for resistance
Makes sense to correct at election anyway for the uncertainty of who's the new winner
Nasdaq 35,000 or bust!
Just one possibility, a tremendous possibility..
Got my hat on
#NASDAQ35000hat
Nasdaq could see some buying BEFORE BEAR MARKET! Nasdaq was the leading index this year and we found out why pretty recently. The FAANG index was being propped up by nonother than SoftBank with a $5Bn options positions on big tech.
SoftBank got their hands on OTM calls for big Tech which did a few things:
1) Forced the options market makers to hedge the position against them meaning they had to buy the stocks. Tying up about $50 Bn in shares on the big Tech companies. This alone pushed US Tech stock prices higher.
2) Created interest in order flow for large traders that saw the options interest and the transaction quantity somewhere OTM on big Tech which caused buying to take advantage of the potential move higher from the big fish.
3) Caused a rally in tech and piqued the interest of a lot of traders that saw tech stocks rallying, jumping in blindly, or calculated entries for the continued push higher.
Which means the recent sell off was profit-taking from Tech and understanding what had happened and selling. To return major stocks to "value"
That caused the Nasdaq to drop nearly 15% from its highs and it seems that there is more downside to come out even though it seems that the support is being held up for now. Support is now at $260 and the 100-day moving average is very nearby.
If this level breaks we're going to see a temporary bear market in the Nasdaq, as we saw the year prior. We could see a pop into $280 on QQQ before we get the downside though! There is a key resistance there. under $260 and the 100-day MA we will see a big sell stop run into the prior broken top and volume profile block.
The volume is worth noting as well, it's decreasing on every rally. Most recent rally at least, with big sell volume. this is a bear sign.
This is an idea, for educational purposes, that doesn't constitute investment or trading advice.
QQQ All-Time LevelsIn an uncertain market it is hard to find footing. NASDAQ:QQQ is currently testing a jumpy support level right now. The biggest factors that will play into the outlook of the NASDAQ and the market as a whole is government stimulus and the upcoming election. Many analysts are comparing this years election to Gore-Bush election and the uncertainty could be detrimental for our market. If support begins to break and there is no positive news on a COVID vaccine, QQQ could face some major downside before leveling out. Many analysts have also compared the boom in tech "post-COVID" to the .com bubble in 1999. Furthermore, the news of Europe begining to take preventative measures is creating more fear globally. If the market doesn't quickly move to fill the gap down or support is broken there is room for a lot more sell-off. It's a long way down.