QQQ AI FrenzyIf you are not familiar with this channel take a look at our previous ideas as this is a continuation of our QQQ trade. Originally QQQ presented a great risk to reward opportunity and we entered a position in that trade.
QQQ has out performed our top target, and hopefully at this point you have taken some or most of your position of the table. QQQ still continues going up even when I thought it was due to a break. This came as the result of an unlikely surge in AI stocks that has given energy back to the market.
This movement was not forecasted(By most, myself included) however has taken the market by storm. This is the unpredictability of markets should teach you this lesson. I don't advise shorting unless you are a true subject matter expert and are comfortable holding a high risk position. Estimating tops is hard, even harder then bottoms. I have made most of my money by keeping positions for a long time and having conviction. Its one of the reason i stopped posting much in the last few years.
Adopting a strategy of holding your position can prove to be a more prudent and profitable . With that being said, i favor QQQ to the downside very short term, but i do have confidence that long term QQQ will trend up. We can sell our position or hold some of it. The next dip presents the next buying opportunity. Until then we wait patiently with a small position long.
While we wait we earn 4.6% on our cash investments with decent brokers.(Robinhood gold offers 4.65% on cash) . The trading we perform around QQQ is only to optimize our long term position.
Best of Luck
Ecicic
Qqqlong
SPY & QQQ Market Update | Support & Resistance Guide- SPY 1h &4h Equilibrium likely breaking in the next 2 days
- QQQ rising wedge getting really close to end of its pattern, continues to trade its the upper resistance of the rising wedge
- Retail Earnings Week
- Core retail sales data tomorrow 8:30am EST
Daily $QQQ Market Breakdown, Potential Bull flags in Tech Sector- SPY and QQQ have been very choppy due to sectors rotating around may potentially continue unless we start seeing XLF forming daily uptrends and joining team bull.
- Or we see XLF / KRE go sideways and QQQ and SOXX/ SMH join team Bear.
As of now there are zero red flags for QQQ and SMH daily time frame so i am slightly more bullish in my intra-day scalp trades. Wont be holding anything overnight until we get a clear direction in the market i am open to both bearish or bullish trades just want a clear direction.
XLF Triple Bottom Support for SPY Bulls, QQQ Daily Bull Flag, - XLF holding triple bottom support 15m, holding above yeseterdays low bounce off of it 3 times today, first initial sign for the bulls. Now bulls need the hourly trend change for XLF back to an uptrend to help SPY
- QQQ's drop may seem a lot today due to how fast we pulled back from the morning but we are still way above 0.386 fib retracement on daily therefore QQQ is still in a bull flag zone.
- if XLF starts bouncing and changing trends i am likely going to swing some short term bull positions in the leverage 3x SPXL TQQQ TNA
CPI, QQQ Triple Top, KRE / XLF sector, Rate Hikes- CPI data tomorrow will likely determine if we can break that triple top on QQQ
- money rotating around today to tech sectors no a complete FEAR day where money is leaving the market.
- KRE / XLF ETF needs to bounce for SPY to bounce
- 0.25bp current priced in at 62%, and a pause at 38%
- if we break that triple, im looking for a daily bounce and would liking be more long bias then.
SPY & QQQ 15m Trend Change Back to Bulls, Need 1h trend change - After this mornings hourly bear flag with no follow through from bears bulls try to play defense and we had a megaphone pattern play out in the morning.
- QQQ was holding SPY up for the entire day, then the last 30mins bear sectors in SPY joined Bull sector QQQ.
- need to confirm a hourly uptrend to set the daily higher low for bulls.
- would like to see bulls play offense tomorrow.
15m 12EMA Perfect Guide For Both Long & Short QQQ & SPYLast week i mentioned the 15m 12 EMA guide for holding onto profits for both SPY and QQQ which we bounced off again this morning. After we broke the 15m 12EMA today i took a day trade on SQQQ and sold it close to the end of the day because we are still in a strong hourly uptrend and I do not want to hold overnight playing countertrend.
Notes:
- still need to change 4h and daily trend to uptrend, currently in neutral trend
- Even thought i shorted today im still leaning bullish on SPX and NASDAQ for longer time frame in 4h / daily and weekly. until price action tells me otherwise so would likely be looking for another TQQQ entry.
- Powell speaking this week
- we shot straight up 5.5% on QQQ into resistance a pull back for consolidation was very likely
$14,600 Profit on TQQQ Swing Trade, What to look for next week. A deep technical analysis as to why I took profit on my 8000 shares of TQQQ and some mistakes I made on my trade that I could of done better.
- Also what to look for on Monday, Monday is likely a buying the dip opportunity day for the next move up on SPY and QQQ, i explained what we should be looking for to be buying in again.
- the weekly higher low is set and i will be playing off of it
- bulls are still in a weekly uptrend and now we have to change 4h and daily trend back to the bulls.
HOW TO RIDE Your Profits FULLY - 12 EMA BULL TRENDING $QQQ $SPYYesterday I talked about how bears had no follow though at market open and bulls took over after we broke above resistance and that we will very likely get another bull move today higher.
- Both SPY & QQQ were trending on the 12 EMA super strong and did not break below it at all
- bull 100% comfortable holding their positions throughout the entire day with zero signs of any red flags so far
- likely due for a 4h consolidation i'm looking for a 5m or 15m oversold bounce play Monday/Tuesday and ride continue to ride the bull move up until price action tells me otherwise.
- took some profit off my TQQQ position at 23.38, still holding some shares will likely add them back on a consolidation for another move up.
The Impact of Interest Rates on the Stock MarketWe have the 50 EMA at 295 and the 34 EMA at 293. The fact that the price is currently trading above both of these EMAs suggests a bullish trend in the market. This means that buyers have been in control and pushing the price higher.
One important concept to keep in mind when trading with EMAs is the idea of support and resistance. In an uptrend, the EMA can act as a level of support, as we saw with the 34 EMA at 293. Traders can look for buying opportunities when the price pulls back to this support level and starts to bounce back up.
Another concept to consider is the idea of trend following. Since the price is currently trading above both the 50 EMA and 34 EMA, traders may look to enter long positions in the direction of the trend. This means looking for buying opportunities and avoiding selling opportunities.
However, it's important to note that no trading strategy is foolproof, and there are always risks involved. Traders should always use proper risk management techniques, such as setting stop losses, to protect against potential losses.
In summary, the trading situation for QQQ suggests a bullish trend in the market, with the price currently trading above both the 50 EMA and 34 EMA. Traders may look for buying opportunities when the price pulls back to the EMA support levels, and should always use proper risk management techniques when making trading decisions.
$SPY & $QQQ Market BEARS NO FOLLOW Through, V shaped bounceYesterday i talked about 3 scenarios where one of them was we break below the double bottom support at 290 area for QQQ and bears have no follow through and we V shape.
Essentially its exactly what happened bears had a nice overnight drop and pre-market control, the moment market opened bulls took over filled the gap within the first 30minutes.
- Red flag for bears was when we re-tested that 290 support becoming resistance bears couldn't bring the price down to new low of the day, we hovered close to it and re-tested again and broke bull back above it. That's when shorts started covering here and we get a nice move up.
- looking for a 4H trend change to the bulls to have any meaningful bull follow through.
- still holding my TQQQ $21.57 entry.
QQQ Could See A Bounce Very SoonThe Invesco QQQ Trust has had a good run up. What we're seeing now is a normal 5% pullback following a 20% gain.
In the most bullish scenario, we've already seen the bottom of this correction. Prices have reached the first zone's support line, and we're already witnessing a tiny recovery on the lower timeframes. The most bullish case is still valid if we touch the lower trendline. of the first zone.
Another scenario is a bigger correction, giving back half of the latest uptrend.
QQQ Cup & Handle Set-UpQQQ looks bullish, classic C&H on micro time frame - Volume matches pattern
4:1 Profit potential. TQQQ for 3xLeverage= 18%-20% possible profit / 4-5% possible losses
***Be Careful -Negative CPI data on Thursday will cancel any bullish moves - lots of volatility & market manipulation to finish this week
Everyone is so Bearish right now.. this is the contrarian move... watch out for the composite man or woman
Proper entry: wait for break above resistance with large buying volume - *set your stop losses
QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF Santa Rally U.S. stocks tend to rise during the Santa Claus rally period.
The Santa Rally is considered the last five trading sessions of the year and first two of the new year.
Since 1950, the S&P 500 has traded higher 78% of the time during the Santa rally period for an average gain of 1.3%.
My price target for QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF is $273.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
$QQQ (Nasdaq 100) – Similar Range Breakout From July 2022 May BeThe tech-heavy $QQQ surged 8.84% last week, compared with the S&P 500's 5.9% in its sharpest weekly rally of the year. This welcome inflation news, combined with a huge drop in the dollar and market rates, launched an epic rally. The $QQQ for its part soared 7.4% on Thursday alone, reclaiming its 10,20 & 50-day moving averages within the single session. Many of the beaten-up growth stocks made double-digit percentage moves, including Amazon. ($AMZN), but just about every stock came along for the CPI ride.
$QQQ have currently broke out of a consolidated 6 weeks range in similar fashion to to July 2022 period. During the time, $QQQ staged a continuous rally along its rising 10/20-day moving averages towards its medium term downtrend line.
The support level to watch for $QQQ this week is revised up to 270, undercutting its current 10/20-day moving averages.
Bull Case: Reclaim above 310 declining 20-day moving average.
Bear Case: Breakdown of 270 level, undercutting its current 10/20-day moving averages.. The next support level is at 260.
QQQ weekly bullish hammer at the end of wave 5 wave 5 downtrendOrder BUY QQQ NASDAQ.NMS Stop 274.21 LMT 274.21 will be automatically canceled at 20230401 01:00:00 EST
QQQ weekly bullish hammer at the end of wave 5 wave 5 downtrend. Either ABC correction to MA 100 or beginning of uptrend. My only concern we didn't panic and capitulate yet, so probably ABC correction.
TLT island bottomWow! I certainly did not expect this, but it should be in everyones best interest to flip long for short to mid term. TLT showing signs of a potential bottom (at best a local bottom). Island bottoms are super bullish and SHOULD NOT be faded. Pick your favorite meme stocks and go all-in longs. I think this is a bigger deal than most people think, especially before earnings and GDP news. Obviously this could flip on a dime; however, if we see any continuation our of this in the next couple days, I'd get ready for a fairly large short squeeze. STAY NIMBLE FOLKS
My favorite longs are:
TSLA
COIN
AMC