Bullish on Tech/GrowthThis chart is a clear breakdown on the performance of the NASDAQ (QQQ ETF) (Tech/Growth Heavy Index ETF) relative to the performance of the S&P500 (SPY ETF).
The Chart is a simply relative performance calculation by taking QQQ ETF and dividing it by SPY ETF
How to read this chart:
If it's going up - Nasdaq outperforms the S&P500
If it's going down - Nasdaq underperforms the S&P500
We've seen several periods in the past where the QQQ ETF has outperformed the SPY ETF on weaker breadth from the Relative strength Index (RSI). As it moves higher, we've seen a bearish/negative divergence resulting in a period of underperformance from the QQQ ETF relative to the SPY ETF. The trend has lasted from a few months to few years but eventually the money has flowed back into tech/growth. Right now, we are in a very similar phase of underperformance from QQQ ETF as it continues to trail behind the SPY ETF and I expect this trend to reverse soon as the market gains more clarity on inflation, unemployment, and interest rates.
Qqqlong
QQQ most likely to test 332 and then decide the direction QQQ Weekly chart looks still bit weak. Friday's action saved it from meltdown. Thursday's bounce from long term trend line (more evident on NQ Futures) was big saver. Going forward, QQQ needs to close above 332 to push bears to sideline. If close below 322.80, would be big red flag as it may start weeks of downside action. Must hold trend line support in any case. Chart shows two possible paths it can take from here.
QQQ: Long SetupThe daily chart shows that price is at the 21 EMA
which is likely to act as support.
And on the hourly chart, price is coming to test
a support level around 335. Today, just printed
two low volume sell bars near that the 335 support
level.
A good entry price would be between 335-336. I would
place my stop at 332.60 and my profit target at 342. I think
it could go past 342 but it would depend on how the next 10-15
bars look. 342 still gives you a decent risk reward ratio.
(Note: This is not a trade I'm personally taking right now
because I have other trades going on but this is a logical
and compelling long to take.)
SPY PT 04/2021 Week 14 UpdateJPOW holding up this great American market like Atlas with the world on his shoulders. Good economic projections, good month historically & statistically, and according to wave theory you have to break previous highs in any major trend. Rising wedges to infinity while the boomers feed off the interest.
Took my previous PTs and ate them in a bowl without any milk.
Bullish on NDX but correction in store..NDX looks set to resume its long-term uptrend with a target over 15,000 in the next few months. If one looks at the behavior of the NDX after a sizable correction (evidenced by the 10/50 EMA daily cross), a pullback should occur back toward the 50 EMA level soon. This would equate to a retest of the 13200 area before resuming higher. No guarantee but just a pattern recognition of what may occur given the NDX has pumped very hard, very quickly...
Blue Skies Plan - So Far So Good! We bounced off the .38% perfectly for the completion of a mini 4 which coincided with a retest of one of the channel trend lines. Looks like next stop is 4004-4034 for a small wave 3. It'll look like a rejection off of those numbers when we reverse down for another wave 4 which could retest the same channel trend line we bounced from today. After that we'll start to see some crazy action both directions. Our 5 will look like it's blowing through the 4000 range and could possibly break out of this channel we've been in since November. After 5 completes, this could be a good profit taking spot or time to buy a hedge via uvxy/vxx calls.
Our 2 down could make this move look like a failed breakout from the channel depending on if it's a standard 2 or a shallow 2. If it's a 23% 2 (which we've commonly seen this year), it'll simply retest the channel and resume up. If it's a deep 2, people will think we're crashing again but we won't be. This will be an excellent buying opportunity again for a wild 3/4/5.
Banks & energy are incredibly strong right now and I think this is why we're headed up instead of into a deeper correction. The time WILL come. It just doesn't seem like it's now. Until then, we continue to defy gravity. Happy safe trading, not investment advice, just my 2 cents.