QS
$QS UpdatedMade a great trade on QS calls and decided based on the reaction of news to execute 100 shares @25 to hold for mid term swing. Great volume and price action.
"California-based EV battery startup QuantumScape and a second top 10 global automaker agreed to partner"
Based on Volume Profile, we want to see a break of $32. She might need to cool off (RSI slightly over bought) and consolidate but really like the positive MACD and bull cross.
After $32 theres's a nice volume gap, so if you're not long already an idea would be to watch for a breakout of $32 with the next target (supply) at $42.50.
Trailing mental stop below 21EMA
Powerful movement in QuantumScapeQuantumScape is an American company that researches solid-state lithium-metal batteries for electric vehicles. The company is headquartered in San Jose, California, and employs about 400 people. Investors include Bill Gates and Volkswagen.
Yesterday, very large volumes were traded in the stock, the price rose by 16 percent, breaking through the level of 23.34 and stopped at the resistance of 25.
Earlier, the price broke through the downward trend up.
You can wait for the level 25 to break through or open from the current positions.
Goal 1:$ 40 (65.5%)
Goal 2: 83.64 (241%).
$QS!! 1000% RETURNS... WATCH THIS SHORT SQUEEZE **High Watch Alert**
-Getting into some longs this thing squeezing hard AF here's a few things to look at:
-massive squeeze on the daily meaning we need to look for long contracts
- 15% short float
-above $32.05 is the green light for us but I am scaling into long positions.
-the bounce can possibly take us to new highs but this needs a little more time to pop
-I'm getting in while I have the chance
QS Long - Fibonacci TradeDaily Chart - Swing Trade - Fibonacci Retracement Strategy
QS retraced significantly from its ATH and is currently consolidating at the Point of Control (POC) also a Demand Zone right around $50.00. ADX is below 25, meaning QS is not trending right now. You'll notice on the left that the fib retrace level shows, just over 78.6% price retraced, which is big and a good opportunity to take a position for this kind of strategy when the price moves up to retest that Supply Zone in Purple.
MACD crossed so we should see some price action to the upside. RSI is good, not overbought, not oversold.
Earning was today and was... o k.
Looking long term QS has potential with the solid-state battery technology for EVs.
This was the first significant retrace and I've taken a position on this trade with a target of 150%.
I am speculating but maybe by mid-summer, we could see this.
Trade at your own risk. This is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor.
PLTR - DELAYED ROCKETContrary to what the loudest Karp fanboy is saying, this stock (and other similar ones... QS, SPCE, CCIV) are still correcting. But there's plenty of opportunity to make GAINS.
I show a clear 5 waves down which would be completion of A to the 786 retracement. You broke divergence which is more evidence of a C leg down. Clear EW subdivision shown.
Right here we see an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forming.
NO - iH&S does not always mean bottoming pattern, it is just something to look for to know how to trade the neckline. In this case, we are anticipating it to serve as the bottom but FYI HS and iHS is never absolutely a bottoming/topping pattern.
We anticipate the nearest high before the head to serve as the neckline. We see that w3 failed to hit the 1.618 extension, so we don't expect w5 to hit the 2.272. However, we notice it failed to hit even the 2.0. For this reason, I wouldn't be surprised if we poked above the neckline for a relative high up near $27. But we don't care. We are not long currently, and not interested in longing with this type of uncertainty and RR.
What we are interested in longing on a retracement which we would expect with the completion of this impulse. Keep note of the inverse HS pattern with defining neckline and slope to to serve as reactionary points. Sometime you get false breakdowns of the iHS because everyone is watching it. I expect something similar, but will continue to monitor/update as subdivision plays out for this small ABC. Target $23 for a retrace to land on top of a pretty critical defining channel line (red). SL at $21.50 marked by critical price level (somewhat critical, somewhat arbitrary... need to define the trade some way to stay diligent).
For this last leg, I really like the $30 target as you have a critical price level. There's also confluence by the 618 extension. However, typically we see ABC's play out to the 1-1.272, so that target is also listed near $33. It's going to take a lot of momentum to get up there. Targeting $30 gives a 4:1 RR which is favorable. Playing this with normal shares because why would you need more than a 25% gain capped at ~6% loss?
$QS PT $32 (up to $39) [End of Year]There has been a lot of negative media around $QS but this is because they adjusted their approach to developing those batteries, transitioning to a safer and more practical method of battery development. With that said, QuantumScapes CEO stated in an interview on April 28, 2021, that his firm expects to have major deliverables by the end of the year.
Fundamentally, $QS is a sound start-up that continues to meet milestones; financials and operational cash-flow is healthy, suggesting higher intrinsic value than what is present. There is much more information but for the sake of time, they are meeting the major criteria to be considered a quality stock.
Technically, they have stepped into accumulation phase with buy signals coming from the bollinger band, oscillators, RSI, and MACD. As well, volume depletion has weakened, suggesting that buyers will re-enter the market soon!
Happy Investing!
Probability theory: Independence, Psychology: Regret theorySocial media provides access to quality content analyses, but you see rookie traders who make good money, losing it all in one trade!
In the past few days, I predicted 4 potential stocks to be candidates for the next pump and one call option with decent gains.
WISH, VLDR, QS, and OCGN, made double-digit returns, and the AAPL call option made a +100% gain. A minority of my followers invested in these ideas and won big. Those who are chasing a higher level of adrenalin bought options on some of these ideas! Now I see this phenomenon creating a bigger problem for the majority of my followers. The famous sense of FOMO(Feeling Of Missing Out). This Feeling Of Missing Out could become a dangerous situation!
How?
let me explain it from a mathematical point of view:
Probability theory: Independence
Independence is a fundamental notion in probability theory, as in statistics and the theory of stochastic processes.
Two events are independent, statistically independent, or stochastically independent if the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of occurrence of the other (equivalently, does not affect the odds). Similarly, two random variables are independent if the realization of one does not affect the probability distribution of the other.
When dealing with collections of more than two events, a weak and a strong notion of independence needs to be distinguished. The events are called pairwise independent if any two events in the collection are independent of each other while saying that the events are mutually independent (or collectively independent) intuitively means that each event is independent of any combination of other events in the collection. A similar notion exists for collections of random variables.
The name "mutual independence" (same as "collective independence") seems the outcome of a pedagogical choice, merely to distinguish the stronger notion from "pairwise independence" which is a weaker notion. In the advanced literature of probability theory, statistics, and stochastic processes, the stronger notion is simply named independence with no modifier. It is stronger since independence implies pairwise independence, but not the other way around.
A simple Example:
Rolling dice:
The event of getting a 6 the first time a die is rolled and the event of getting a 6 the second time is independent. By contrast, the event of getting a 6 the first time a die is rolled and the event that the sum of the numbers seen on the first and second trial is 8 are not independent.
Psychology:
What Is Regret Theory?
Regret theory states that people anticipate regret if they make the wrong choice, and they consider this anticipation when making decisions. Fear of regret can play a significant role in dissuading someone from taking action or motivating a person to take action. Regret theory can impact an investor's rational behavior, impairing their ability to make investment decisions that would benefit them as opposed to harming them.
Regret theory refers to human behavior regarding the fear of regret, which stems from people anticipating regret if they make the wrong choice.
This fear can affect a person's rational behavior, impairing their ability to make decisions that would benefit them as opposed to those that would harm them.
Regret theory impacts investors because it can either cause them to be unnecessarily risk-averse or it can motivate them to take risks they shouldn't take.
During extended bull markets, regret theory causes some investors to continue to invest heavily, ignoring signs of an impending crash.
By automating the investment process, investors can reduce their fear of regret from making incorrect investment decisions.
Conclusion:
No matter how you trade or who you follow, the odds of success in any trade are independent..! It means even though we had 5 successful trades in a row, the next one has a 50% chance of being a failure!
What saves us is Risk Management, and having a stop loss which works as emergency exits in the building!
Do not let FOMO overrule your trading strategies
Kenny Rogers:
You got to know when to hold 'em, know when to fold 'em. Know when to walk away and know when to run.
Moshkelgosha
Reference:
1- en.wikipedia.org(probability_theory)
2- www.investopedia.com
RYCEY ROCKETAlright, yeah, yeah, yeah Yeah believe in yourself
As 2 CHAINZ said - believe in yourself! Believe in the Rolls.
Finally we look poised to breakout to those $2 targets. Riding this breakout zone for too long!
We are all aware of the building divergence on the charts, but the sellers look gassed.
ABC seems complete, for the corrective wave B.
I am holding a conservative view and calling this an ABC up rather than w3. Again, remaining conservative for the lower fib targets for the next wave up.
TLRY :/wimpy play here, but pointing out the obvious compression after the exponential run up.
We tagged the long term trendline and are bouncing in a corrective ABC structure.
2 potential target zones identified depending on the size of this bounce.
Using other SPACs, Us major indices, and DXY as a proxy for this play, I actually favor the higher targets near $19.
Ultimately I think this compression breaks down, either using the top of the gap or filling the gap as a bounce zone at $10 before continuing higher.
More often than not you actually break out of triangle compression, but sometimes you pierce through the bottom, as I am anticipating