What I have done here is split up the first quarter of the year into 4 quarters. Think of a bullish daily candle, it opens, makes a low, expands to make a high, and then reverses after making a high. This happens in 4 different steps. Everything I look at in these times consists of breaking things up in 4 quarters. Inside this 3rd quarter of the fist quarter of...
Federal Reserve Balance Sheet Update ⚠️DECREASE of $47.1 billion week ending Jan 31st⚠️ ▫️ $1.34 Trillion Reduction since Apr 2022 ▫️ We are $0.436T away from the long term trend line (Red Line). The current trajectory means we could reach this level by Sept 2024
The classical Bitcoin theory about halvings is that they "cause" bull-markets because the supply mined gets halved, leading to a negative supply shock and therefore increasing the value per Bitcoin. This is not a surprising theory since it makes a lot of sense and has worked in the past. But, is the halving really that important for the Bitcoin price? I've...
The S&P500 has had a major bounce and rally off the lows. The bull market trend is on the near precipous of being recaptured, however it still has work to do. Much of the chop recently has left many market participants confused. If you're confused about the market it means that the market makers are doing their job well. Most ecnomic data is turning...
We're probably going to bounce from here (maybe muck around for the rest of the week and bounce next week higher); I think the BOE's QE decision is going to have people hoping that perhaps the Fed will do the same. The fact that a central bank can flinch and go the other way is a huge psychological change. This is somewhat of an exogenous event to the positive, to...
Easy idea... Long against the DXY pullback... should we not get it then i'm out before stops but thinking 28-30k and or 200 day MA easy targets if it can get above trend lines. DXY could easily make another pop to around 114.40 IMO but that would be the top for me... that is my line in the sand to remain in long positions: $BTC $MARA $ARBK $BTCM $ZIM
Hot take: we see a crash all the way back to mid-covid lows / pre-covid prices. Get ready for 300$ TSLA, 8000$ BTC, 400$ ETH. (That’s about the price level where this bearish divergence started from the QE fed infinite money printing machine….. wildly dubious speculation to be sure definitely not advice DYOR) What do you guys think?
A simple look at more recent boom and bust periods of the S&P500 Thinking Out Loud Is the QE Bubble bursting before our eyes? Will we see an all time high before a huge collapse and more Stimulus/QE? Opinion Outlook seems bearish for the long-term. These market levels are not sustainable, and inorganic, we are in the last phase of the QE bubble...
I've recently been looking over long term charts of USD pairs. Technically they show setups for a possible strong move up in DXY. I'm going to post a series of these charts because I believe they may be supportive of a much stronger USD.... This is contrary to my opinion that the USD should weaken given a number of reasons... Freeze in interest rate hikes /...
One year into the runoff and already the rumors is the FEDS may pause more? So,like january, is that a buy the rumor sell the news? Stopping already,must be a huge problem like a global slowdown on the horizon,what a minute, duh.. Is to much being red into the Quantitative Tightening? If they do not end QT then the volatility will be like no other ever...