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Qt

Something bad will happen. Quarterly TheoryWhat I have done here is split up the first quarter of the year into 4 quarters. Think of a bullish daily candle, it opens, makes a low, expands to make a high, and then reverses after making a high. This happens in 4 different steps. Everything I look at in these times consists of breaking things up in 4 quarters. Inside this 3rd quarter of the fist quarter of the year, I split it into 4 more cycles. The blue zone is the best time to trade, that's when price should expand to make a high/low. I am identifying the previous green cycle traded to make a high so now I will be framing shorts from here until most of march.
CME_MINI:NQH2024Short
by I_AM_LPTrades
Quantitative Tightening Effects on the Markets This video tutorial discussion: • What is QE and QT? • Each impact to the stock market • The latest QT, how will the stock market into 2024? Dow Jones Futures & Its Minimum Fluctuation E-mini Dow Jones Futures 1.0 index point = $5.00 Code: YM Micro E-mini Dow Jones Futures 1.0 index point = $0.50 Code: MYM Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
FRED:WALCLEducation
by konhow
2
🔥 Is The Bitcoin Halving Causing Bull Markets? New Theory!The classical Bitcoin theory about halvings is that they "cause" bull-markets because the supply mined gets halved, leading to a negative supply shock and therefore increasing the value per Bitcoin. This is not a surprising theory since it makes a lot of sense and has worked in the past. But, is the halving really that important for the Bitcoin price? I've plotted the balance sheets of the largest central banks in white. If this line goes up, it indicates an expansion of the balance sheet (Quantitative Easing / QE), which can roughly be interpreted as printing money. It appears that Bitcoin bull- and bear-markets are highly correlated with central banks expanding their balance sheets. White line goes up, BTC goes up, white line goes down (or sideways) BTC goes down. I've marked two previous occurrences where the central banks started QE in purple. Bitcoin arguably started the bull-market from those points, and not once the halving (yellow) took place. From this chart we can conclude that the Central Banks are a decisive factor in the start and end of Bitcoin bull markets. Sure, the halving is a highly anticipated event among retail investors and manages to revive the interest into crypto, but I'd argue that QE (= a better investing climate) is the main reason why Bitcoin goes up and down in cycles. In other words, we can have a BTC bull-market during a period of QE without the halving taking place. We can't have a bull-market after the halving without QE. If you enjoyed this analysis, please give it a like. Share your thoughts below 🙏
ECONOMICS:USCBBSLong
by FieryTrading
8
BOE, CPI and the FedWe're probably going to bounce from here (maybe muck around for the rest of the week and bounce next week higher); I think the BOE's QE decision is going to have people hoping that perhaps the Fed will do the same. The fact that a central bank can flinch and go the other way is a huge psychological change. This is somewhat of an exogenous event to the positive, to an already oversold market. Rally is going to continue (this is also area of the 200 weekly MA support). Then ahead is the CPI, and i think this may come in lighter than expected and the markets may rally even higher; hoping that the Fed will back off the 75bp hike and ease up going in to the end of the year. Of course it can be a terrible double digit number, in which case the markets will tank; basically translates to 'what the Fed is doing is not working, and they're driving the economy to the ground anyway'. But despite the data, and any easing of raising, since the Fed has pretty much said that they want to reach a certain target (despite what they say about being data dependent and whatnot), they're gonna plow ahead with the 75bp raise, then 50, as expected. I think this will be a big downer for the markets, and they will, despite fairly solid communication by the Fed, lose faith in the FED and find them to be stubborn and unwavering, leading the economy in to a recession in 2023. Having said that, there's always exogenous events that can change the course of this, mostly to the downside, whether that be Ukraine, Taiwan, or a worsending housing/real estate market condition in China, etc.
SP:SPX
by grenadetrade
The 10 Year QE Bubble - "To Infinity, and Beyond!"A simple look at more recent boom and bust periods of the S&P500 Thinking Out Loud Is the QE Bubble bursting before our eyes? Will we see an all time high before a huge collapse and more Stimulus/QE? Opinion Outlook seems bearish for the long-term. These market levels are not sustainable, and inorganic, we are in the last phase of the QE bubble before it goes pop. COVID19 Wave 2 seems guaranteed at this point... Economic recovery is not going to be a V... Positioning I'm continuing to add on more shorts at these levels and above, long-term, mostly through inverse ETFs. I will continue trading the market pops and drops, while adding on to my long-term shorts. *Fundamentals seem forgotten, but at the end of the day, they ALWAYS rule the markets... this Market is in Mania.
SShort
by jb_skis
2
Long term charts of USD pairs support DXY bulls?I've recently been looking over long term charts of USD pairs. Technically they show setups for a possible strong move up in DXY. I'm going to post a series of these charts because I believe they may be supportive of a much stronger USD.... This is contrary to my opinion that the USD should weaken given a number of reasons... Freeze in interest rate hikes / possible cuts Halting QT program Record high US deficits I'm going to let the charts speak for themselves as technical setups often defy rational reasoning. Also, technical patterns that date back 50 years are being traded by people with much more money than you or I..... And the lines seem clean. Everything in this modern economy is manipulated.... SPY, Gold, Silver, Currencies.... USD bulls might not be ready to give up without a fight...
by cccpKGB1
SPX Short QT 2019 BreakDown Are you Ready?One year into the runoff and already the rumors is the FEDS may pause more? So,like january, is that a buy the rumor sell the news? Stopping already,must be a huge problem like a global slowdown on the horizon,what a minute, duh.. Is to much being red into the Quantitative Tightening? If they do not end QT then the volatility will be like no other ever witnessed, by a long shot. But if the do end it how will the remaining trillion from the last crisis ever get off the books? You tell me.. Funny Money..Do you have any more of those dollar bills..Ha. WTH Nomura is the primary dealer for all the bonds purchased for the U.S. Of course the Japanese company was only approved after they purchased Lehman's Asian & European Assets. Hmm Even though they applied in 1985. It's all in who you know.. Mama Said So what is you thought great people of the world? Do you continue or do they stop? Trade safe SP:SPX
SP:SPXShort
by Marcus2018
5