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Crude Oil - The Manipulation of Trend LinesIn this example on Crude Oil I give some insight into how trendlines and traditional support & resistance theories may be used by "smart money" for the purposes of facilitating their positions via inducing liquidity. Basically, trendlines are drawn along the highs or lows of price movements and help to identify the direction and strength of a trend. They serve as visual guidelines for traders, highlighting potential turning points or continuation patterns. Support and resistance levels are areas where the price historically finds a floor or ceiling, leading many market participants to place their entry and exit orders around these zones. Because these levels are based on historical price action, they hold significant psychological value among retail traders. The Mechanism of Liquidity Manipulation Liquidity Pools and Stop Loss Clusters: Retail traders often cluster their stop losses near prominent support or resistance levels. Smart money is aware of these liquidity pools and can engineer price moves to trigger these stops. For example, by intentionally nudging the price through a known support level, institutional players can trigger a cascade of stop-loss orders. This “stop run” injects a burst of liquidity into the market, which can then be absorbed as positions are liquidated at less favorable prices for retail traders. False Breakouts and Reversals: Another common tactic involves creating false breakouts. A price move that breaks above a resistance level (or below a support level) might initially appear to signal a new trend. However, smart money can deliberately drive prices just past these technical barriers to trigger stop-loss orders and entry orders. Once sufficient liquidity is collected from the triggered orders, they may reverse the move. This reversal traps traders who anticipated a sustained breakout, leaving them with positions that quickly turn against them. Exploiting Herd Behavior and Market Sentiment: The widespread reliance on technical analysis means that many traders have similar expectations about where price will reverse or accelerate. This collective mindset, or herd behavior, creates predictable zones of liquidity. Smart money can capitalize on these self-fulfilling prophecies by anticipating the mass reaction around key trendlines and support/resistance levels. They use this insight to position themselves ahead of the crowd, executing large trades that move the market in their favor. Strategic Benefits for Smart Money By manipulating these common technical levels, smart money participants can: Maximize Efficiency: Accumulate or distribute large positions with minimal market impact by tapping into pre-existing liquidity pools. Control Market Direction: Influence short-term price movements to create advantageous conditions for larger trades. Enhance Risk-Reward Profiles: Trigger stop losses at critical junctures, effectively reducing their own risk while capitalizing on forced exits from retail traders. Conclusion While trendlines and support/resistance are invaluable tools for assessing market structure and potential price movements, they also serve as instruments for liquidity manipulation by experienced market participants. The predictable nature of stop-loss placements and entry orders around these levels creates opportunities for smart money to trigger cascades of orders, generating liquidity in their favor. As a result, retail traders must be aware of these dynamics and consider them when planning their trades, acknowledging that what appears to be a genuine breakout may, in fact, be a carefully orchestrated move to capture liquidity. This nuanced understanding highlights the double-edged nature of technical analysis tools in modern trading. By appreciating both their utility and potential for manipulation, traders can better navigate the complex interplay between market psychology and institutional strategy.
TVC:USOIL
by Road_2_Funded
1
TRUMP COIN: An Objective PerspectiveA US President creating a meme coin just as he is inaugurated. That is something I never thought I would live to see. Donald J Trump created a meme cryptocurrency coin called TRUMP. In a matter of hours since launched, this coin blasted sky high. TRUMP coin is now the 25th most valuable cryptocurrency coin with a value of around $8 billion USD, according to the website CoinMarketCap. There are both positive and negative remarks surrounding the launch of this coin, but needless to say, there is massive hype around crypto at the moment. In the video I go through my thoughts on the chart analysis, as well as personal opinion on what may possibly happen. Trade safe out there, guys! - R2F Trading
by Road_2_Funded
2
Welcome The New Yearly Candle!We have another yearly candle print, the 2024 candle. It is an especially interesting one due to the US elections and the how the candle printed. In this video I go through analyzing the charts starting with the yearly candle, all the way down to the daily and hourly. I begin on the Dollar Index (DXY) and then have a look at the EURUSD chart, with some intermarket analysis on USDCAD and NZDUSD. So as to make the video not too long, I just demonstrate how I would do my analysis on these pairs. With that framework, you can perform the same analysis on the assets of your choice. Good luck this year and may it be a prosperous trading year for you all! - R2F Trading
by Road_2_Funded
1
How to tell which swing high/low will hold?In this video I attempt to give a little bit of insight into determining which swing high or low will hold based on the current location of price in relation to the candle formations (PD Arrays) on multiple timeframes. I will be analyzing GOOG (Google) with the limited info in terms of past price action, as most of the chart is in a continuous uptrend. However, I do my best to determine the possible trajectory of price in the coming weeks. - R2F Trading
NASDAQ:GOOGEducation
by Road_2_Funded
1
AUDUSD - Short Trade IdeaThis is a short idea on AUDUSD. I'm anticipating lower prices towards a higher timeframe ascending trendline, after price took out buyside liquidity from a descending trendline and then displacing lower. The trendline in the image is one isolated to around these timeframes, and not the HTF narrative. Besides that, I'm basing it off a Daily iFVG and Daily -OB. First target is the most recent low that price made. Stoploss at immediate swing high, but completely possible for price to come up during a high impact news event to take out the buyside liquidity above. Either a sweep, or this idea is completely wrong. Good luck and safe trading. - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
2