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R2f

Riding The Wave - The Importance of Top-Down AnalysisIn this video I explain why a top-down analysis is important when it comes to increasing the odds of price moving in your favour. I know it is extra work, but it isn't much, especially in terms of being a part of the most lucrative industry in the world. Trading from the higher timeframe simply allows you to "ride the wave" by going down to trade on the lower timeframe. Now, this is all relative to the timeframes you are on and not based on what is considered high or low timeframes. But simply put, if the higher timeframe is trending or being drawn to a specific price or level, then the displacements in price towards that direction will outweigh any displacements via retracements in the opposite direction. So, I hope this video gives some insight into this topic if you were wondering if it is really something you should do. If you desire higher win-rates, then the answer is yes. - R2F
Education
by Road_2_Funded
GBPUSD - Short Trade IdeaHello hello, We have a short trade idea on GU for the coming week, anticipating the next 12h candle. I am expecting a move into at least one of the iFVGs on 12h timeframe before a move lower with multiple targets graded by my probability hierarchy. Last week we had NFP which took price to a relatively high level. As is said, "The bodies tell the story and the wicks do the damage". And as usual, during these super high impact news drivers, the wicks can go above and beyond what is normally expected of them. As the bodies are being respectful, I am keen to anticipate the aforementioned trade. There is more imbalances below that I anticipate price will be drawn to, creating more structure on the sub-weekly timeframes in order to move higher, which is still my current overall bias for XXXUSD pairs until price shows me otherwise on the DXY. For now, I will still follow what the PD Arrays are printing. In terms of stoploss, the swing high would be a bit far, but as usual I would be waiting on the lower timeframe for a higher RR trade at least to Target 1. From there I would have to see what PD Arrays are being formed on the lower hourly timeframes. Let's see what happens! - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
XAUUSD - Short Trade IdeaThis trade idea is based on buyside liquidity being induced in the form of equal highs, before a retracement into my signature R2F gap on the weekly timeframe. Regardless of what happens when price gets there, this trade is relying on the scenario of it trading down into it before moving higher. My current POIs are the two 12h iFVGS. Price either only trades into the lower one or reaches into the higher one. I will leave that to your own study and PD Arrays, structure, and candles printing on the lower timeframe to determine that. However, it is important to also consider time of day and upcoming economic news events as well. Stoploss above the equal highs above if not using a lower timeframe analysis. If they get run, then I will have to reconsider this trade idea. Target 1 is the 12h candle low. Target 2 is the equal lows into the 1W R2F gap. Good luck - R2F
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Road_2_Funded
1
USDCHF - Short Trade IdeaThis a short trade idea I have for the USDCHF. It is pretty straight-forward. Trade back into a Weekly iFVG and SIBI then move lower from there. First target is the immediate swing low, and the second target is the older low to the left. Entry somewhere in the gap, and stoploss above the high that entered the previous SIBI. Sometimes I feel as though I should make my analysis more complicated so it can get featured, but truth be told, there is nothing useful about having a complicated analysis. In terms of technical analysis, this is as accurate and simple as it gets. And usually if a trade is wrong, there is unanticipated news or the tides have turned and a trade in the opposite direction is warranted. - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
2
BTC - Long Trade IdeaBTC looks prime to continue up to take out the plethora of BSL above it's ATH after recently trading into a 3-month BISI. On the lower timeframes, my POI for an entry with the current candles is the 2-day iFVG. On the hourly timeframe, the 4-hour gap within that POI would be interesting to monitor. My stop is below a reasonable swing point that should not be traded into unless a large liquidation is on the cards, but the bodies should respect that I have outlined. My first target is ATH, after that it is completely discretionary as there is nothing on the left side of the chart. For prediction's sake, I am anticipating 100k to be the next milestone for Bitcoin. - R2F
Long
by Road_2_Funded
WTI - Short Trade IdeaThis is a short trade idea that fades the recent expansion upwards. I did an analysis all the way from the yearly timeframe down to the daily, and all arrows still point lower. WTI came into a yearly BISI, which is generally a big deal, but I have a feeling (also based on analysis) that we will come lower into a 6-month BISI and take out the ascending SSL below. The inefficiencies on the daily timeframes are also indicating a move lower. However, caution will be expressed in observing the creation of bullish PD Arrays on the way to my short POI. If price continues up from my short POI and closes candles above on the daily, then we may be looking at higher prices first. USDCAD, which is negatively correlated with WTI to a high degree, has some a large double top on the higher timeframe overview. This would coincide with a move lower on WTI. That being said as a USD pair, how much of a recovery can we expect on the US Dollar is this happens? - R2F
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by Road_2_Funded
NZDUSD - Top Down Analysis (ICT)Quite interesting chart on NZDUSD. I give my analysis and opinion on what is likely to transpire next. Let's see what happens today (Friday) as I'm expecting the weekly to close below certain levels if I am correct in price coming for the SSL first. However, it may not happen today as there is no high impact news offering a catalyst for a manipulative move lower. We could see a weak close lower and then more aggressive action on PPI and CPI next week. Again, this is under the assumption that my bias of price wanting to go for the SSL first is correct. - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
2
BTCUSD - "Prediction"This is just a fun prediction for Bitcoin in the coming days and weeks. I don't trade predictions, I only trade anticipations. So, we have a trendline that is likely to break, but not before a small fakeout and retracement into an inefficiency before continuing lower into a 3D Bullish Breaker, in which will be the catalyst to send price to ATH. I'm fairly certain of the move down and then the move up. All the intermediate structure in-between is mostly just a "prediction" based on ICT Concepts. Trade safe! - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
VOLATILITY DRAG - The Hidden ThiefThis is a super important subjective to touch on.. And that topic is Volatility Drag, also known as Percentage Loss Trap. I believe that most traders do not consider this in their trading. They know about win-rate, risk/reward ratios, compounding, and perhaps even the fact that losing 50% of your account will require you to make 100% just to get back to break even. But few take into acccount Volatility Drag. It can be a sneaky thief, eating away at your PnL, causing you to lose money even though it seems that you are profitable. Volatility Drag is basically the percentage loss of your account that occurs from the volatility in your wins and losses. In this video I illustrate it on a spreadsheet and graph for your understanding. This is why slow and steady wins the race in trading. Anyone that presents you otherwise is a fool and you should absolutely stay clear of such people. One cannot have a volatile equity yet not have volatile emotions. Either that, or they have not considered the math. Safe trading! - R2F
Education
by Road_2_Funded
1
Power of 3 - ICT Concept ExplainedIn this video I cover the topic of Power of 3 or otherwise known was PO3. This concept is also the same as AMD, which is Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution. PO3 is the basis in which Smart Money approaches the market. As we have covered before, liquidity is the lifeblood of the market. To maximize efficiency for Smart Money, liquidity is engineered for the purpose of trapping uninformed money on the wrong side of the market and assuming the counter-party to their trades. At the open of a candle, Smart Money is accumulating positions, usually in some sort of range. The next stage is the manipulation, where price makes a fast run towards liquidity, usually in the opposite direction of where price is intended to go, and then reversing rapidly. The final stage is distribution, where Smart Money is offloading their positions above or below the marketplace depending on whether it is a buy or sell program. The whole purpose of understanding this concept is to be able to anticipate the future direction of price, and to ideally buy below or above the open of a candle, again depending on what type of candle it is. I show how I anticipate the PO3 in this video. - R2F
Education
by Road_2_Funded
2
4 Stages of Price Delivery (ICT Concepts)In this video I go through the 4 stages of price delivery as it pertains to ICT Concepts. Generally, the market is going through either of the following: Consolidation Expansion Retracement Reversal Price starts from a consolidation, where Smart Money accumulates their position, and then an expansion, where price is trending in a direction for the purpose of seeking liquidity and/or manipulating sentiment. From an expansionary phase, price will either retrace to re-accumulate orders and expand again, or have a complete reversal. Now, it is important to note that price is fractal, meaning the signatures you see on a lower timeframe perspective could also be seen on a higher timeframe perspective. In a singular candlestick, there can be multiple phases of price delivery happening. Once one can fit all these pieces together in regard to how market makers book price, one can have a clear insight into where price is likely going and where it likely won't go again, all with a high degree of accuracy. Thanks for watching and reading! - R2F
Education
by Road_2_Funded
2
What the ATH is Bitcoin doing??Hi guys, Bitcoin was lookin' real interesting so I decided to make an updated analysis. Price dipped into a 3-month BISI with a nice rejection. It also make some clean PD Arrays to trade off. Currently, i'm looking at a close above the weekly SIBI and then wait for a retracement. If we get new FVGs before then, I may keep an eye on those as well. Either way, I think we are going to infinity and beyond. For more info, just watch the vid. Happy trading! - R2F
Long
by Road_2_Funded