USDCHF - Short Trade IdeaThis a short trade idea I have for the USDCHF.
It is pretty straight-forward. Trade back into a Weekly iFVG and SIBI then move lower from there. First target is the immediate swing low, and the second target is the older low to the left. Entry somewhere in the gap, and stoploss above the high that entered the previous SIBI.
Sometimes I feel as though I should make my analysis more complicated so it can get featured, but truth be told, there is nothing useful about having a complicated analysis. In terms of technical analysis, this is as accurate and simple as it gets. And usually if a trade is wrong, there is unanticipated news or the tides have turned and a trade in the opposite direction is warranted.
- R2F
R2f
BTC - Long Trade IdeaBTC looks prime to continue up to take out the plethora of BSL above it's ATH after recently trading into a 3-month BISI.
On the lower timeframes, my POI for an entry with the current candles is the 2-day iFVG. On the hourly timeframe, the 4-hour gap within that POI would be interesting to monitor.
My stop is below a reasonable swing point that should not be traded into unless a large liquidation is on the cards, but the bodies should respect that I have outlined.
My first target is ATH, after that it is completely discretionary as there is nothing on the left side of the chart. For prediction's sake, I am anticipating 100k to be the next milestone for Bitcoin.
- R2F
WTI - Short Trade IdeaThis is a short trade idea that fades the recent expansion upwards.
I did an analysis all the way from the yearly timeframe down to the daily, and all arrows still point lower. WTI came into a yearly BISI, which is generally a big deal, but I have a feeling (also based on analysis) that we will come lower into a 6-month BISI and take out the ascending SSL below. The inefficiencies on the daily timeframes are also indicating a move lower. However, caution will be expressed in observing the creation of bullish PD Arrays on the way to my short POI.
If price continues up from my short POI and closes candles above on the daily, then we may be looking at higher prices first. USDCAD, which is negatively correlated with WTI to a high degree, has some a large double top on the higher timeframe overview. This would coincide with a move lower on WTI. That being said as a USD pair, how much of a recovery can we expect on the US Dollar is this happens?
- R2F
R2F Weekly Analysis - 18th August 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
- R2F
How R2F Frames Trades Using ICT ConceptsHere I use USDJPY to illustrate how I would perform a top-down analysis in order to visualize the PD Array Matrix, and thus frame possible trades.
I have 2 perspectives. From a candle science approach, and a price action approach.
Ideally, I do not want to go lower than a 4h timeframe for my candle science perspective.
I hope the video is insightful.
- R2F
XAUUSD - Gold Analysis using ICT ConceptsHere is a an analysis on XAUUSD using ICT Concepts based on our most recent price action. I take a top-down approach in analyzing price and anticipating future movements. Everything is explained in the video so watch it, and feel free to share your thoughts and ideas on what may be in store for Gold in the coming days, weeks, or months.
- R2F
R2F Weekly Analysis -10th August 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
- R2F
NZDUSD - Top Down Analysis (ICT)Quite interesting chart on NZDUSD. I give my analysis and opinion on what is likely to transpire next. Let's see what happens today (Friday) as I'm expecting the weekly to close below certain levels if I am correct in price coming for the SSL first. However, it may not happen today as there is no high impact news offering a catalyst for a manipulative move lower. We could see a weak close lower and then more aggressive action on PPI and CPI next week. Again, this is under the assumption that my bias of price wanting to go for the SSL first is correct.
- R2F
USDCAD - Short Trade IdeaHere is my short trade trade for USDCAD.
Price took out trendline liquidity and a swing high on a broader outlook. Now we have reversed, creating a Unicorn model and equal lows as a target. I am waiting for a retracement into this area to confirm a trade. I would look at the lower timeframes at that point to determine if price isn't poised to trade higher.
- R2F
R2F Weekly Analysis - 3rd August 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
- R2F
BTCUSD - "Prediction"This is just a fun prediction for Bitcoin in the coming days and weeks.
I don't trade predictions, I only trade anticipations.
So, we have a trendline that is likely to break, but not before a small fakeout and retracement into an inefficiency before continuing lower into a 3D Bullish Breaker, in which will be the catalyst to send price to ATH.
I'm fairly certain of the move down and then the move up. All the intermediate structure in-between is mostly just a "prediction" based on ICT Concepts.
Trade safe!
- R2F
R2F Weekly Analysis - 27th July 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
- R2F
VOLATILITY DRAG - The Hidden ThiefThis is a super important subjective to touch on.. And that topic is Volatility Drag, also known as Percentage Loss Trap.
I believe that most traders do not consider this in their trading. They know about win-rate, risk/reward ratios, compounding, and perhaps even the fact that losing 50% of your account will require you to make 100% just to get back to break even. But few take into acccount Volatility Drag. It can be a sneaky thief, eating away at your PnL, causing you to lose money even though it seems that you are profitable.
Volatility Drag is basically the percentage loss of your account that occurs from the volatility in your wins and losses. In this video I illustrate it on a spreadsheet and graph for your understanding.
This is why slow and steady wins the race in trading. Anyone that presents you otherwise is a fool and you should absolutely stay clear of such people. One cannot have a volatile equity yet not have volatile emotions. Either that, or they have not considered the math.
Safe trading!
- R2F
Power of 3 - ICT Concept ExplainedIn this video I cover the topic of Power of 3 or otherwise known was PO3. This concept is also the same as AMD, which is Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution.
PO3 is the basis in which Smart Money approaches the market. As we have covered before, liquidity is the lifeblood of the market. To maximize efficiency for Smart Money, liquidity is engineered for the purpose of trapping uninformed money on the wrong side of the market and assuming the counter-party to their trades.
At the open of a candle, Smart Money is accumulating positions, usually in some sort of range. The next stage is the manipulation, where price makes a fast run towards liquidity, usually in the opposite direction of where price is intended to go, and then reversing rapidly.
The final stage is distribution, where Smart Money is offloading their positions above or below the marketplace depending on whether it is a buy or sell program.
The whole purpose of understanding this concept is to be able to anticipate the future direction of price, and to ideally buy below or above the open of a candle, again depending on what type of candle it is. I show how I anticipate the PO3 in this video.
- R2F
4 Stages of Price Delivery (ICT Concepts)In this video I go through the 4 stages of price delivery as it pertains to ICT Concepts.
Generally, the market is going through either of the following:
Consolidation
Expansion
Retracement
Reversal
Price starts from a consolidation, where Smart Money accumulates their position, and then an expansion, where price is trending in a direction for the purpose of seeking liquidity and/or manipulating sentiment. From an expansionary phase, price will either retrace to re-accumulate orders and expand again, or have a complete reversal.
Now, it is important to note that price is fractal, meaning the signatures you see on a lower timeframe perspective could also be seen on a higher timeframe perspective. In a singular candlestick, there can be multiple phases of price delivery happening.
Once one can fit all these pieces together in regard to how market makers book price, one can have a clear insight into where price is likely going and where it likely won't go again, all with a high degree of accuracy.
Thanks for watching and reading!
- R2F
EURUSD - Another Trade Analysis Using ICT ConceptsVery beautiful again today.
With the expectation of higher prices, I took a long on EURUSD. As I illustrate in the video, there were very nice algorithmic price action and sentiment manipulated. All the things I love to see in a high-probability setup.
I hope you enjoy the video and found it insightful.
- R2F
What the ATH is Bitcoin doing??Hi guys,
Bitcoin was lookin' real interesting so I decided to make an updated analysis.
Price dipped into a 3-month BISI with a nice rejection. It also make some clean PD Arrays to trade off. Currently, i'm looking at a close above the weekly SIBI and then wait for a retracement. If we get new FVGs before then, I may keep an eye on those as well. Either way, I think we are going to infinity and beyond.
For more info, just watch the vid.
Happy trading!
- R2F
R2F Weekly Analysis - 14th July 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
My short-term bias for DXY has switched to bearish and continues to be. We had a big displacement down during CPI. Now I am looking for a retracement on all pairs in order for a trend continuation. There should be some juicy trades coming! See my video analysis for a full breakdown of my thought-process.
- R2F
Compound Interest - A Trader's Secret WeaponIn this video I give you a perspective that traders often neglect - Compound Interest.
Compounding is probably the most important part in terms of becoming a trader that survives in the long run. Social media is filled with traders nowadays, and some of them are pretty good at trading. However, shortsightedness gets to them as they forget about the one thing that ensures longevity in this game. It is way easier dig yourself into drawdown than it is increase your wealth, it is just math. The technique that greatly rewards the disciplined and patient trader is COMPOUNDING.
As Albert Einstein said according to some sources although not verified is that "Compound interest is the 8th wonder of the world".
- R2F
Liquidity is KEY to the MarketsIn this video I go through more about liquidity and why it is important.
The markets move because of liquidity. Without liquidity, there is no trading. The larger the trader, the larger the liquidity required. Understanding the concept of liquidity and the fractal nature of price, trading becomes very interesting. A whole new world opens up to you and you no longer have to keep guessing where price is going. You no longer have to keep chasing candles.
I hope you find this video insightful.
- R2F
R2F Weekly Analysis - 8th July 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
My short-term bias for DXY has switched to bearish. I am looking for a possible lower move on the Dollar Index this week, which should offer some shorts on EURUSD and GBPUSD, the pairs I usually trade. Check out my analysis in the video. I hope you found it insightful.
- R2F
ICT Breaker & Mitigation Blocks EXPLAINEDToday, we’re diving into two powerful concepts from ICT’s toolkit that can give you an edge in your trading: Breaker Blocks and Mitigation Blocks. There are one of my favourite PD Arrays to trade, especially the Breaker Block. I’m going to explain how I interpret them and how I incorporate them into my trading. Stay tuned all the way to the end because I’m going to drop some gold nuggets along the way"
Ok, so first of all let’s go through what both these PD Arrays look like and what differentiates them, because they are relatively similar and how they are used is practically the same.
On the left we have a Breaker Block and on the right a Mitigation Block. They both are reversal profiles on the timeframe you are seeing them on, and they both break market structure as you can see here. The actual zone to take trade from, or even an entry from, in the instance of this bearish example is the nearest down candle or series of down candles after price makes a lower low. When price pulls back to this area, one could plan or take a trade.
The defining difference is that a Breaker raids liquidity on its respective timeframes by making a higher high or lower low before reversing, whilst a Mitigation Block does not do that. For this reason, a Breaker is always a higher probability PD Array to trade off from. As you should know by now if you are already learning about PD Arrays such as these is that the market moves from one area to liquidity to another. If you don’t even know what liquidity is, stop this video and educate yourself about that first or you will just be doing yourself a disservice.
Alright, so let’s go see some real examples on the chart. Later on I’ll give you a simple mechanical way to trade them, as well as a the discretionary approach which I use. And of course, some tips on how to increase the probability of your setups.