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R2f

NZDUSD - Long Trade Idea (ICT)Price is close to some juicy equal highs, so I will be anticipating a retracement into a POI to catch a trade on a lower timeframe to that area as my low hanging fruit objective. I see price either coming into a 2W Bullish Breaker (Coupled with a NWOG), or a 2D Bullish Orderblock. The annotated stoploss is for illustration purposes only. Price can very well wick down there, albeit a more extreme scenario. If price closes below that 2D Bullish OB, then this long idea would be no longer valid until the equal lows are taken out. - R2F
Long
by Road_2_Funded
USOIL - Short Trade Idea (26th Sept 2024)This is my analysis on USOIL. So, what my eye catches is the ascending sellside trendline liquidity being build up. We have a recent touch on it, retracing into a weekly SIBI. Based on this, I am anticipating us trade quickly down into a monthly BISI as my initial target. The stoploss I set is based on the current swing high. A wider stoploss could be adopted to weather any sort of wick damage happening during high impact news. Let's see how this plays out. - R2F
TVC:USOIL
by Road_2_Funded
Riding The Wave - The Importance of Top-Down AnalysisIn this video I explain why a top-down analysis is important when it comes to increasing the odds of price moving in your favour. I know it is extra work, but it isn't much, especially in terms of being a part of the most lucrative industry in the world. Trading from the higher timeframe simply allows you to "ride the wave" by going down to trade on the lower timeframe. Now, this is all relative to the timeframes you are on and not based on what is considered high or low timeframes. But simply put, if the higher timeframe is trending or being drawn to a specific price or level, then the displacements in price towards that direction will outweigh any displacements via retracements in the opposite direction. So, I hope this video gives some insight into this topic if you were wondering if it is really something you should do. If you desire higher win-rates, then the answer is yes. - R2F
Education
by Road_2_Funded
GBPUSD - Short Trade IdeaHello hello, We have a short trade idea on GU for the coming week, anticipating the next 12h candle. I am expecting a move into at least one of the iFVGs on 12h timeframe before a move lower with multiple targets graded by my probability hierarchy. Last week we had NFP which took price to a relatively high level. As is said, "The bodies tell the story and the wicks do the damage". And as usual, during these super high impact news drivers, the wicks can go above and beyond what is normally expected of them. As the bodies are being respectful, I am keen to anticipate the aforementioned trade. There is more imbalances below that I anticipate price will be drawn to, creating more structure on the sub-weekly timeframes in order to move higher, which is still my current overall bias for XXXUSD pairs until price shows me otherwise on the DXY. For now, I will still follow what the PD Arrays are printing. In terms of stoploss, the swing high would be a bit far, but as usual I would be waiting on the lower timeframe for a higher RR trade at least to Target 1. From there I would have to see what PD Arrays are being formed on the lower hourly timeframes. Let's see what happens! - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
XAUUSD - Short Trade IdeaThis trade idea is based on buyside liquidity being induced in the form of equal highs, before a retracement into my signature R2F gap on the weekly timeframe. Regardless of what happens when price gets there, this trade is relying on the scenario of it trading down into it before moving higher. My current POIs are the two 12h iFVGS. Price either only trades into the lower one or reaches into the higher one. I will leave that to your own study and PD Arrays, structure, and candles printing on the lower timeframe to determine that. However, it is important to also consider time of day and upcoming economic news events as well. Stoploss above the equal highs above if not using a lower timeframe analysis. If they get run, then I will have to reconsider this trade idea. Target 1 is the 12h candle low. Target 2 is the equal lows into the 1W R2F gap. Good luck - R2F
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Road_2_Funded
1
USDCHF - Short Trade IdeaThis a short trade idea I have for the USDCHF. It is pretty straight-forward. Trade back into a Weekly iFVG and SIBI then move lower from there. First target is the immediate swing low, and the second target is the older low to the left. Entry somewhere in the gap, and stoploss above the high that entered the previous SIBI. Sometimes I feel as though I should make my analysis more complicated so it can get featured, but truth be told, there is nothing useful about having a complicated analysis. In terms of technical analysis, this is as accurate and simple as it gets. And usually if a trade is wrong, there is unanticipated news or the tides have turned and a trade in the opposite direction is warranted. - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
2
BTC - Long Trade IdeaBTC looks prime to continue up to take out the plethora of BSL above it's ATH after recently trading into a 3-month BISI. On the lower timeframes, my POI for an entry with the current candles is the 2-day iFVG. On the hourly timeframe, the 4-hour gap within that POI would be interesting to monitor. My stop is below a reasonable swing point that should not be traded into unless a large liquidation is on the cards, but the bodies should respect that I have outlined. My first target is ATH, after that it is completely discretionary as there is nothing on the left side of the chart. For prediction's sake, I am anticipating 100k to be the next milestone for Bitcoin. - R2F
Long
by Road_2_Funded
WTI - Short Trade IdeaThis is a short trade idea that fades the recent expansion upwards. I did an analysis all the way from the yearly timeframe down to the daily, and all arrows still point lower. WTI came into a yearly BISI, which is generally a big deal, but I have a feeling (also based on analysis) that we will come lower into a 6-month BISI and take out the ascending SSL below. The inefficiencies on the daily timeframes are also indicating a move lower. However, caution will be expressed in observing the creation of bullish PD Arrays on the way to my short POI. If price continues up from my short POI and closes candles above on the daily, then we may be looking at higher prices first. USDCAD, which is negatively correlated with WTI to a high degree, has some a large double top on the higher timeframe overview. This would coincide with a move lower on WTI. That being said as a USD pair, how much of a recovery can we expect on the US Dollar is this happens? - R2F
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by Road_2_Funded
NZDUSD - Top Down Analysis (ICT)Quite interesting chart on NZDUSD. I give my analysis and opinion on what is likely to transpire next. Let's see what happens today (Friday) as I'm expecting the weekly to close below certain levels if I am correct in price coming for the SSL first. However, it may not happen today as there is no high impact news offering a catalyst for a manipulative move lower. We could see a weak close lower and then more aggressive action on PPI and CPI next week. Again, this is under the assumption that my bias of price wanting to go for the SSL first is correct. - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
2