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R2f

EURUSD - Time to trap the herd going long?As mentioned in my previous analysis on EURUSD, what I was looking for came to pass. The large swing move did not occur yet, so i'm anticipating one more spike up higher before we head to the downside. I have a few things leaning towards my short bias: 1. Seasonal tendency for the USD is stronger. This is suspect for XXXUSD pairs to be going up. 2. May's monthly candle barely went lower in terms of Power of 3 manipulation, meaning i'm leaning more towards the manipulation being on the upside rather than downside. 3. DXY has my signature R2F Gap where I anticipate a reversal on EURUSD, and EURUSD has a nice area of inefficiency and a Breaker, which are both my favorite models. 4. Other EURUSD correlated assets are engineering Sellside Liquidity for later. A long could be taken higher, but I will be stalking the short setup i've been waiting for. I was open to it being the recent spike lower, but I see now the market is trying to do a multiple switcheroo. This will likely be the last one. So let's see what happens! Exciting times! - R2F
TVC:DXYShort
by Road_2_Funded
Crude Oil WTI - Long Trade IdeaHello hello, My bias is still long. I will link that analysis to this one. So, I am looking for a continuation to the upside. At the moment, everything looks good for a continuation to the upside. The Monthly candle closed above the annotated Monthly SIBI, and a new Monthly BISI was created. What i'm looking now is for price to come into any of those areas, but it will likely enter both. I have annotated 2 POIs for a trade on the Daily timeframes. My "R2F" and "Megaphone" setups are ready to go. The stoplosses illustrated are standard, so the safest thing to do is to wait for confirmation before solidifying a stoploss. The Monthly candle only JUST opened, and as we know the wicks can paint outside of the lines. Anyway, I'm looking forward to see how this pans out. I don't usually trade Oil, but futures are generally cleaner than some Forex pairs like USDJPY. - R2F
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by Road_2_Funded
2
EURUSD - Long Trade IdeaHello folks, I am generally bearish on EURUSD at the moment, and I am still waiting for lower prices, but we could see more bullish momentum first. The logic behind this is of course to lure more bullish traders into the market, but I also do not see any significantly high impact news yet. However, if you see my other analysis, I am looking for a monthly close below the Monthly iFVG in order to be used as resistance, as mentioned in my previous analysis. That being said, take this trade idea as less than a A+ setup. Most of the probability of this trade lies price being at a ranged Discount, and in the efficacy of my R2F Gap coupled with a possible London Judas Swing. Safe trading! - R2F
Long
by Road_2_Funded
NZDUSD - Short Trade Idea (ICT)Hello hello everyone, I see a potentially nice trade forming on NZDUSD. A possible 500+ pips to be had as a swing position. As you can see, my bias is bearish. I believe we will target the Relative Equal Lows below. I would have to see price start to move lower in the general vicinity of the illustrated path lines. If I don't get an entry in that area, then I would be keen to take one at the Bisi 2W R2F gap should we get a 2W close below it and then a retracement back into it. Let's see how it goes! - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
GBPJPY - Long Trade IdeaI like the long idea here. If the current day can form a Bisi, that would be fantastic. After that I would just be looking price to trade back into the Bisi, into one of the key Breaker levels annotated, at the right time of the day, then STRIKE. The highest-probability target would be the recent high, and the next discretionary target would be my Wick Chair model (out of view), which basically also has some EQHs as well. A runner could be left for even higher prices should both targets be hit. The stoploss is discretionary for a better RR as this is the Daily timeframe. The safest option would be the protected low annotated on the chart. - R2F
Long
by Road_2_Funded
EURUSD - Short Trade IdeaThis is just a "prediction" on what may occur on EURUSD. Price has reversed to the upside since bottoming out on the 2nd of April 2024. This coincides with the US Dollars seasonal tendency. However, I have been bullish dollar and expecting a continuation of lower prices on XXXUSD currencies. Currently, I am waiting for a reversal to occur, preceded by a final fake-out to bait the herd into going long. This would likely happen at a high-impact news driver such as the upcoming CPI or PPI. There is a Hidden Bearish Orderblock on the 4h timeframe, so that currently is my area of interest for this event to happen. Of course, this is all just anticipation. If the sequence of events in time and price do not align, I will just wait on the sidelines for more confirmation in market structure. - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
FOREX Pre-Week Analysis by R2F (Monday, 15th April 2024)Hello hello, guys! We have a new week ahead. Here is my analysis for my bias moving forward. For those who are lazy, I am basically bullish on the Dollar and bearish for XXXUSD pairs. But I suggest going through the video as I explain how I came to this bias as well as offer analysis for each of the major Forex pairs. We are in turbulent times, so trade safe out there. Protecting your capital is your NO.1 priority. It is not the time to go turbo mode all-in kamikaze style. - R2F
by Road_2_Funded
USDCAD - Long Trade IdeaThis is a long trade idea I have, based on the abundance of buyside liquidity in the form of relative equal highs that extend beyond the left of the chart, as well as the trendline resistance building up below it. Whilst it is possible for price to make new lows, my focus is on HOW and WHEN price reacts when it gets to this POI. Although the DXY seems overextended, many of the XXXUSD pairs have yet to reach their draw on liquidity, furthermore, they have created even more relative equal lows. This further adds to my USDCAD bias. My only concern is that the DXY generally sees more seasonally bearish sentiment during the month of April. Let's see what pans out. - R2F
Long
by Road_2_Funded
AUDUSD - Bullish Outlook (ICT)Here is my outlook on AUDUSD. Price recently got rejected at a Monthly Bisi which is also a Weekly Orderblock, and started to shape some up movement. My bias for this to continue is that buyside trendline liquidity residing above, coupled with the significance of a higher timeframe Discount Array. On the lower timeframes there is more buyside liquidity engineered on the way up, along with some whipsawing price action which signifies to me a shakeout before displacing to the upside. This is just a prediction. Price can very well make another low first to around the 0.6425 level first, and if it does that and displaces one more time back to the upside, I will feel very confident in that narrative. - R2F
Long
by Road_2_Funded
EURUSD - Short Trade IdeaBearish trade idea on EURUSD. The next DOL/Target from my point of view is the REQLs below 1.0795 at the first objective. My POI to look for a short is within the 12h Sibi residing not too far away which is also a Unicorn setup. There is news on Tuesday, either to initiate the manipulation and reversal, or continuation of the reversal that will happen today (Monday, 25th March 2024). This is what I am anticipating and will wait for price to show evidence of a reversal before initiating a short. - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
4
Crude Oil WTI - Analysis (ICT)Simple analysis on the Monthly timeframes. There is trendline liquidity residing above, which I believe is the next draw on price. With that in mind, I noticed price react nicely off of a 5-Month FVG and Orderblock. With that in mind, I'm anticipating price using the current Sibi that it is in to become an iFVG. I would like to see a Monthly candle close above it and then use it or a created Bisi as support to trade higher. Life is simple, don't complicate it. - R2F
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by Road_2_Funded
DXY - Bearish Outlook? (ICT)This is my analysis on the Dollar Index. It seems to me that DXY is finally ready to move lower, at least in the short-term. The seasonality of the DXY peaks about now and weakens all the way until the start of May. Whilst this is not the core of the analysis, it helps add more confluence. Price-wise, I notice that last week's high took out the bodies of the previous 2 weeks before displacing to the downside, leaving a lovely Unicorn setup. In my eyes, this is already good to look for a short in that area. Further confluence is there is trendline sellside liquidity building up, so for a narrative we may be looking for price to touch/pierce or come close to it first before entering the Unicorn setup. If more sellside liquidity is created before entering the setup, even better. Let's see how it goes! - R2F
TVC:DXYShort
by Road_2_Funded
GBPUSD - Analysis (ICT)This is a possible scenario for GBPUSD, annotated on the 1h timeframe. Price just took out sellside liquidity and reversed back up rapidly during news on the 1st March 2024. There is much trendline liquidity residing above, but there is also a 3-week and monthly FVG below (off screen). The narrative I have in mind is for price to at least either make one more high near the C.E of the NDOG or slightly piercing the trendline, then heading to the downside. Or, for a bullish scenario, price breaks convincingly above the trendline, then finds support to move higher. Let's see what unfolds. - R2F
by Road_2_Funded
USDJPY - Short Trade Idea (ICT)This is a short trade idea for the Gopher. There are equal highs as a target above, but I believe we will possibly head to the downside first towards the sellside liquidity and a signature Weekly R2F Gap, coupled with a refined Daily and 6h gap. What I will be looking for is a convincing shift in market structure and displacement on a lower timeframe to validate this narrative, of course, at an appropriate day of week and time of day. Let's see how this plays out! - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
1
EURUSD - Trade Idea (ICT)Intraday trade idea on the EURUSD. I see a reaction off a signature 2-day R2F Gap to give me a bullish bias to take price possibly to the highs. For narrative, I see a signature 30m R2F Gap as a possible entry to take me up to the relative equal highs where my "low hanging fruit" objective lies. I have added confidence for the 2nd objective due to the trendline buyside liquidity on GBPUSD. However, this bias/narrative is still not ironclad as there have been a lot of N(D/W)OGs on the chart, at least for the FXCM data which I usually use. Trade with caution. - R2F
Long
by Road_2_Funded
1
Top-Down Analysis (The CORRECT Approach!)In this video I go through how to effectively do a top-down analysis, and avoid common mistakes. This can apply to any type of trading methodology, but here the focus will be on ICT’s liquidity and inefficiency concepts. This topic is important to traders who are keen on improving their win-rate and catching those higher RR trades. Whilst those things don’t define a successful trader, only consistent profitability and sound risk management do, I believe an effective top-down approach to framing trades is a worthwhile endeavor. Better trade setups give you less stress, more profits, and more freedom of time. What is a "top-down analysis"? It is basically doing your analysis on a higher timeframe to get in line with where you or your strategy is showing price is likely moving to, then on a lower timeframe to wait for your trade setup to form, and then either entering on that timeframe or going to an even lower timeframe for an entry signal. For example, if the weekly chart is bearish, and you see a bullish candle on the hourly chart, you may be fooled into trading in the wrong direction. For the highest probability, you need to be in sync with the higher timeframe. My approach is split into 3 parts: 1. I have my BIAS which is built on the monthly, weekly, and daily timeframe. This helps me determine the direction I want to trade in. If my analysis is bullish, I want to look for longs, and vice versa for shorts. 2. Then I have my NARRATIVE, aka my ‘story’ of how my setup may form on a lower timeframe, usually the 1-4h timeframe. For example, I may be looking for a specific pool of liquidity to be swept at a certain time of the day. 3. Thirdly, I have my CONFIRMATION, which is usually based on the 5-15m timeframe. I hope you found this video insightful and that it helps enhance your trading. If you need clarification about the content, or you are still struggling with finding your groove as a trader and need personal guidance or mentorship, feel free to reach out to me via TradingView’s private message or on X (formerly known as Twitter). Til next time, happy trading. - R2F
Education
by Road_2_Funded
GBPUSD - Trade Idea (ICT Concepts)I'm anticipating lower prices on GBPUSD. The CPI move yesterday confirmed this bias. I am now looking for continuation lower. I don't believe price will move too much higher to fill the inefficiency. There is a signature Gap on the 4h timeframe that I will be framing this short on. Possibly adding confluence with a Judas Swing coupled with the Classic Tuesday High of the Week. The stoploss is for illustration only. I would wait for a lower timeframe shift in market structure along with BISIs being disrespected and SIBIs being created. - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
Understanding the ICT BREAKAWAY GAPIn this video I go through the ICT Breakaway Gap and how YOU can use it to your advantage. I include some tips and tricks with a real trade setup demonstration. The Breakaway Gap may have been an elusive concept to understand, but I present a simple way you can spot them on the chart and frame your trades around them. It is a powerful weapon that can be used to snag some awesome trades. Simple put, the Breakaway Gap is a gap that does not get traded into with the NEXT FEW CANDLES. Emphasis on the last part because price is fractal, and the best way to frame a trade with ICT's Concepts is by taking a few candles on the higher timeframe for your bias, and going to a lower timeframe to form your narrative, and either entering on that timeframe or even going to a lower timeframe for your entry. Hopefully this gives you some insight into one of the many concepts that ICT has bestowed upon the public. If you need clarification about the content, or you are still struggling with finding your groove as a trader and need personal guidance or mentorship, feel free to reach out to me via TradingView’s private message or on X. Happy trading and happy studying! - R2F
Education
by Road_2_Funded
4
USD - FULL ANALYSIS [ICT Concepts]In the video I go through the timeframes in a top-down analysis, starting all the way from the yearly timeframe, down to the hourly timeframes. I share my thoughts on what I am looking for in order to build a bias for taking new trades. The key indicator for me is the creation of new Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and the disrespect of previous Fair Value Gaps. Occasionally, I add the confluence of Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks. Hope this is insightful. - R2F
TVC:DXY
by Road_2_Funded