Bitcoin projection for this bull runLooking for short positions at the upper limit , that is when i usually enter short.
Around the 91k region there is a resistance.
I expect a 25-30% correction from that region. After that bull run will resume its run and stop at around 115k .
It can go higher ,nobody knows how high it can go but this is what trendlines are telling us.
Rally
AVAX vs BTC | ALTCOINS | Life Changing IF This Pattern Plays OutFractals have been used for years as possible suggestions to map how money moves in the financial market.
This is what gives them significance; they draw out a sort of map. The hard part about fractals though, is that they often appear cross markets and it is no easy feat to spot similarities on large scale. However, to the seasoned eye, fractal-spotting becomes easier over time.
There is a misconception that fractals can only be used in the same timeframe. This is simply because, as with Bitcoin, there is a large history of candles (data) that plays out in an elaborate pattern. Daily candlestick patterns become lost in weekly patterns, even though the general direction / macro is the same.
In the case for AVAX, a similar pattern has been observed in BTC before the COVID pandemic - and it has been playout out perfectly, so far.
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSD
BINANCE:AVAXUSDT
Silver - Just Starting The Parabolic Rally!Trading update on Silver ( TVC:SILVER ):
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Silver just perfectly completed the bullish break and retest and is about to reject the next horizontal resistance level. However everything is still significantly bullish and I honestly do expect a breakout soon. Following the previous cycle, Silver might rally another +35% from here.
Levels to watch: $34, $45
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
SPY/ES1! Flagging In Bullish Carryover Trend - Squeeze PosssibleCheck out the APEX FLAGGING formation in the SPY and ES chart; they are aligning perfectly.
If my analysis is correct, the SPY and ES should move into an upward price squeeze after the Flag Apex volatility period (roughly 20+ minutes) is complete.
That means the SPY and ES should move into a more defined upward price trend as we close out the day today - possibly carrying into tomorrow.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SEI FOLLOWING SUI??SUI has been on a great run in the last few months being a first mover in the altcoin space while BTC has been chopping for 6 months, now SUI is on the very edge of pushing above above the local high.
The chart on the right is SEI and looks like the chart lines up perfectly just lagging behind by a month. This could be a great trade opportunity going into the end of the year/Q4. If the trajectory is the same as SUI we could look to expect a +218% move, and structurally even without a comparison to SUI the chart TA suggests a new higher high and higher low bullish structure which will naturally want to climb back up the chart.
Bitcoin generally has a big part to play in the altcoin world, however SUI has made this rally on its own without the pulling power of BTC, could SEI do the same???
Federal Reserve Cuts Interest Rates by 50 BPS, Crypto RalliesMarket Update - September 20th, 2024
Takeaways
The Federal Reserve cuts rates: The Federal Reserve announced Wednesday it will cut the federal benchmark interest rate by a half-percentage point (50 basis points), lowering the range to between 4.75% and 5%. Crypto markets responded well to the move, with the price of bitcoin pushing past $63,000.
US crypto legislation still possible this year: US senator Cynthia Lummis (R-WY) said in an interview Tuesday she thinks crypto legislation could be passed during the lame-duck session of Congress.
US spot bitcoin ETFs pull in $187 million in inflows: US spot bitcoin ETFs drew $187 million in inflows Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of inflows after a significant drawdown.
Republicans ask for clarity on crypto airdrops: US representative Patrick McHenry (R-NC) and other top Republican lawmakers sent a letter to SEC chair Gary Gensler asking for clarity on crypto airdrops.
Federal Reserve Cuts Interest Rates by 50 BPS, Crypto Rallies
The Federal Reserve announced Wednesday it is lowering the benchmark federal funds rate by a half-percentage point (50 basis points) to between 4.75% and 5%. It marked the first interest rate cut in more than four years and signaled the Federal Reserve is ready to ease up on its fight against inflation.
The move marked the first time since 2008 the Federal Reserve had cut interest rates by 50 basis points at one meeting. Many analysts had expected a quarter-point percentage cut, but cooling inflation and a soft labor market allowed Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell to be more aggressive. In August, the Consumer Price Index (CPI), a key inflation metric, dropped to 2.5% year-over-year, roughly hitting Powell’s 2% inflation target.
The long-anticipated move sparked the broader markets. And crypto prices also rallied, with bitcoin pushing to roughly $63,500 and ether increasing to roughly $2,350 respectively.
A low interest-rate environment is widely viewed as a greenshoot for risk assets including crypto, but it remains to be seen if a rate-cutting campaign will ultimately shoot bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies to all-time highs.
🌐 Topic of the week: Global Stablecoin Ecosystem
🫱 Read more here
Apple - Still Outperforming Everything!Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is stronger than 99% of stocks:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Despite the recent stock market weakness, Apple is trading at new all time highs. This clearly indicates that buyers don't let this stock down but are rather buying every dip. Even though Apple is retesting a channel resistance, a breakout followed by a rally is definitely possible.
Levels to watch: $230, $280
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Fall Rally Patterns Setting Up: GMNYSE:GM was driven down way below its fundamentals by panicky retail. It is now back up into its fundamental level, well ahead of the Fall Rally. The fast recovery indicates that the selling was not aligned with fundamentals. Auto sales have an annual cycle with the highest number of sales in the final quarter of each year.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update 8-13 : Perfect Breakaway RallyToday's SPY Cycle Pattern, the Breakaway in Trending mode, appears to have been a perfect call for today's price action.
We have seen an impressive rally take place all morning long.
I know it's hard to believe my SPY Cycle Patterns can predict a market trend/rally like this, especially when you consider these predictions are made months and years in advance.
But when you look at how price plays out most of the time, these patterns actually predict market price characteristics as long as some type of panic or crisis mode doesn't intervene.
Tomorrow's rally pattern should be more like what we see today.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BTCUSD Appears To Complete Final Leg Of Flag FormationI believe BTCUSD will attempt to rally back above $60.5k and attempt to settle above the flag support level before rocketing higher in late August or early September - possibly setting up a very big price advance above $80k.
Watch this video to learn more.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
US Labor Market Cools and Inflation Pulls BackTakeaways
US labor market and inflation showed signs of cooling in June: The unemployment rate rose to 4.1% and CPI, a core inflation measure, increased just 3.3% year-over-year.
US House can’t override Biden veto: US lawmakers fell short of the two-thirds majority needed to overturn Biden’s veto of a Congressional resolution to overturn an SEC bulletin that puts additional pressure on firms that custody crypto assets.
The Labour Party won a decisive victory in the UK general election last week: The win ended 14 years of Conservative rule and left the direction of crypto regulation somewhat uncertain.
Spot bitcoin ETFs experienced nearly $300 million in net inflows on Monday: It was the highest since early June, with buying led by BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC.
VanEck and 21Shares have updated their S-1 registrations with the SEC to list spot Ethereum ETFs: The ETFs are expected to begin trading shortly after approval, which should come later this summer.
Doja Cat's Twitter account was hacked to promote a Solana-based meme coin named $DOJA: The breach prompted the star to alert her Instagram followers that she was not responsible for the tweets.
🔄 Topic of the Week: The Render Network (RNDR)
🫱 Read more here
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade - Momentum Rally Day Is HereToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Momentum Rally pattern in TREND mode.
This suggests price will rally today - possibly targeting $558-559 or higher.
The next 2-3 trading days should be very powerful for LONGS. My SPY Cycle Patterns have predicted the past 2+ weeks of price movement and continue to suggest upward price trending until July 15th or so.
Then, we move into an exhaustion peak price action - eventually rolling back downward to find support.
Get ready. The next big move will take place after July 23-24, setting up another great opportunity for skilled traders.
Get some today.
Plan Your Trade 7-1-24 - Get Ready For A Rally.This continuation of my Plan Your Trade video series highlights the potential price rotation we'll see today with the big CRUSH pattern. Next week, I believe, will result in a substantial rally phase throughout the week of July 4th.
Today's counter-trend rally pattern will likely result in an early trading rotation, leading to an upward price trend that will build momentum throughout the week. Remember, we have a holiday on Thursday that may pause the rally a bit late Wednesday.
This new swing into a Rally-Rally-Rally phase with the SPY Cycle Patterns is fantastic for day traders and intraday swing trading.
Watch the video today and prepare for the big moves this week. Overall, nothing has changed. Price is rotating into a rally phase ahead of Q2:2024 earnings.
Learn how my SPY Cycle Patterns can help you plan and prepare for market direction and trends.
Do you know anyone who can accurately predict price setups/trends 2 to 4 weeks into the future? Well, you are watching me do it right now.
Let me know what you think in the comments.
Go make some money today.
Plan Your Trade 6-25-24 - Base Rally DayThis video continues my series on planning your trade around my SPY Cycle Patterns. Today is a Base Rally pattern. I suspect the price will attempt to climb above $544 and may attempt to rally above $550 over the next few days.
This is an excellent opportunity for traders to swing for the fences with long trades.
Time your entry. If the price fails to rally above $544 in early trading, we may see a strong rally later this afternoon.
Tomorrow is a Breakaway pattern in counter-trend mode. I suspect we'll see a bit of a downward price swing tomorrow after today's strong rally. Then, another push to try to rally above $550 on Thursday.
Plan your trade. Learn how I can help you stay ahead of these bigger price swings.
Plan your trade for 6/18/24 - SPY researchHere is another video to help you prepare for the next 2+ weeks of trading in the US markets.
Using my specialized SPY Cycle Patterns and technical analysis, I still see the markets consolidating in a melt-up type of trending over the next 2+ weeks before moving into a strong rally phase near late June/early July.
You can see how my SPY cycle patterns help into understand opportunities and when to prepare for more aggressive trading.
Today is a Harami-Inside pattern - meaning I will be mostly sitting on the sidelines today. Maybe targeting one or two quick trades.
But tomorrow and the rest of this/next week look very solid for more moderate/aggressive trading in bigger price trends. And, I'm going to start preparing for the RALLY, RALLY, RALLY phase near July 1, 2024.
Learn how my specialized research can help you. Learn the Mechanics of Trading.
Let's go get'em.
SPY Rallying to $608+. Are you ready?My research suggests the SPY will quickly rally above $560 and continue higher to breach $608 (a 100% Fibonacci measured move) before the end of August.
The Q2:2024 earnings data and continued US economic strength will drive capital investments in US equities over the next 3+ months.
Traders continue highlighting the risks related to US banking issues and the related downside price concerns. I also share these concerns - but continue to follow the price action simply.
My analysis suggests the SPY will attempt to rally to levels close to $605+ before finding any major resistance.
Start the crypto market with BNB?
BNBUSDT :
If it breaks the range of 630 and the candle closes above it
And the pullback is done, we can expect the specified range to move
But keep in mind that this is the first and short-term target
And if the price breaks our red trend line and crosses it
Then it will move up to the blue trend line.
You can open your position right now
And set your stop below 489
Another stop can be 554.
But keep in mind that the price may hit your stop in this area and move up.
So, if you want to open your position at the same price, the safe zone is 489.
If you want to wait, the price will cross 630 and complete the pullback
Stop point 558 is suitable.
Altcoins Pre Rally- Ok here i will try to explain altcoins markets possible movements before the real bullrun.
- so i called it " Pre Rally ".
- why i always use Cardano as exemple ?
- Because Cardano is older than other altcoins projects and have liquidity.
- Why i don't use Ethereum ?
- Because ETH is stronger than regulars altcoins ( i don't consider it as altcoin )
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- what is important to look at in this chart :
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- Bottoms ( 0% Fibo )
- impulsive first extension ( 261.8% Fibo - Green Rectangles)
- retracements ( 161.8% Fibo - Red Rectangles )
- Rejections ( Red Bubbles )
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- i will post in comments some others projects and you will get it fast.
- Feel free to add your favorite project in comments and i will update the comments sections.
- Don't ask if project is too young.
- Numbers are not rally hazardous when you use Fibo the good way.
- Don't forget Trading is analyzing the past and try to get the future.
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTC 4H 200 EMA BITCOIN is back at the 4H 200 EMA . The chart shows how since BTC flipped bullish above both the 50 & 200 4H EMA's , the moving averages have provided support when aggressively trending in the case of the 50 EMA (bounced twice). When BTC has a pullback/ranges we see that the 4H EMA provides support (bounced 4 times).
For the BTC rally to continue in the mid term this level must hold out to prevent further drawdown. With the halving only weeks away we have an decrease of supply and thus a a reduction in sellside pressure.
Greyscale do continue to sell but for how much longer we don't know. Once they do stop selling and the mining rewards halve we have a a very bullish environment for the rest of the year.
For now these are my thoughts on price action:
- Hold the 4H 200EMA, range between DAILY RESISTANCE and the moving average.
- Lose the 4H 200EMA, first support level is the DAILY SUPPORT, if that is lost then filling the wick at 59K could be on the cards and would offer a great place for long term holds.
GBPJPY: Thoughts and Analysis Post-BOJToday's focus: GBPJPY
Pattern – Continuation/resistance test?
Support – 188.20
Resistance – 191.15
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at the GBPJPY daily.
The BOJ lifted rates today to 0.10%, breaking the run of negative rates and showing a change in direction not seen since 2007. The BOJ also advised an end to yield curve control and ETF purchases.
This had a negative effect on the JPY and sent majors higher. The GBPJPY has added up to 0.73% in today's session and has come close to testing resistance. We want to see a break of resistance to show a new continuation higher. A stall at resistance could set up a new move lower.
If we see a new move to 190 and above, could we see the BOJ step in?
Good trading.
XRP Long Term Bullish OutlookCRYPTO:XRPUSD long term is very bullish.
I measured that we will hit the target profit $27 around early to mid 2025 based on the previous 1 year pole. You can see the formation of rally-consolidation-rally with a bullish pennant consolidation. RSI is looking good too, i'm certain it will close with a crossing but you can wait until december closing to make sure.
Also outside of technical analysis, xrp or ripple is very good fundamentally and narratively. The narrative of CBDC will be major if the world government implement this globally, i think it will be implemented in 2024 or 2025. It's best to buy XRP now.
S&P500 - 5000 Points In 2024Hello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of S&P500.
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Explanation of my chart analysis:
The S&P500 has been rallying for the entire year of 2023. Many people do expect a correction but the charts are still looking pretty bullish. If we see a breakout above the previous all time high at $4.700, I do expect a rally back to the upper resistance of the rising channel above $5.000.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.