Will EURUSD Break Lower or Continue Higher?Daily chart of EURUSD shows us a five-wave bullish impulse in the making. Current three-wave decline can be corrective wave 4, with temporary support coming in at Fibonacci ratio of 38.2 and the upper channel base line. If price breaks below this region, then our alternate, bearish count would be in play and we would expect more weakness.
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All our work is for educational purposes only.
Rally
LTC to 70s and Beyond?Red circles show that the flags are nearly identical in shape. Before LTC rally to 69.8 we saw the same flag. We are sitting on the next ride up to complete the second smaller flag and then the smallest flag a total of three flags. That is what it looks like. If Bully BTC doesn't get in the way, here is the likely path.
This trade will be valid if the trend continues. Close trade if LTC goes lower than 62.
TARGET 1: 70-72
TARGET 2: 77-80
Retrace to upper 60s
Happy Trading LTC fans.
DXY: Dollar bulls building pin bars ahead of next rallyDXY: Dollar Index
DXY is up and down like Harvey Weinstein's pants.
But those series of pin bars forming over the course of this
week shows serious support for the dollar at 94.41.
This whipsaw can persist a little longer and cause havoc with
positions (as in Gold, and across the pairs) and it's why it
helps to keep an eye on this chart if trading any pair against USD.
DXY continues to unwind the overbought conditions of last
week by moving sideways between 94.82 short term
resistance and 94.41 short term support...but those pin bars
are showing that ulimately the break will be to the upside.
Intend to keep accumulating Dollar longs on each test of
94.41 and increase once 94.90 has been broken on next
minor pull-back towards 94.80.
DXY: Get ready for a strong Dollar rally Tuesday from 94DXY: Looks like DXY should come back down to 94.28 at least and to 94 at most on Tuesday (well it could spike a few pips lower to test the lower parallel at lowest) before it and all Dollar pairs bottom out and start what should become a very powerful bounce...so get ready to start to building Dollar long positions across all Dollar pairs Tuesday as close to 94 on DXY as possible. Stops just below the lower parallel. Good trading
Potential Rally After BTG ForkAs the BTG fork approaches my current analysis indicates a potential bull rally after the fork. Currently we are in the 5th impulse wave from the 10/18 beginning impulse phase. Currently the price has hit a support, the point of control of the current volume profile and RSI is oversold. All of which indicate a potential pivot for the last leg in the impulse phase.
Elliott Wave Analysis: EURUSD UpdatePrice turned sharply higher in the last couple of trading sessions on EURUSD and breached nicely above the first swing high of wave iv) at 1.1777 level. We see current rally as an early evidence of a completed three-wave correction and a minimum three-wave recovery to be in progress. That said, once first wave i) finds a top a new temporary correction into the following wave ii) may come in play.
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All our work is for educational purposes only.
BTCUSD Higher Highs & Higher LowsBITFINEX:BTCUSD
BTC since the last bottom of the bear run that saw prices down to $2900, we've witnessed several rallies continuing along a macro positive trend. In the days since 15th September last month we can see a trend of higher highs and higher lows with a converging upper/lower boundary.
There has also been a trend of decreasing volume throughout the past few weeks with a couple of upticks signalling interest followed by a downturn in volume. These factors coupled together collectively represent a rising wedge and this is known as a generally bearish trend that signals weakening bullish pressure as each rally point becomes smaller.
At the time of writing this, our latest rally hit a level of $4960+ to revisit a resistance zone witnessed at the end of the Month of August. A subsequent breakdown in price could see the price drop back toward $4200 levels before a clean break and strong show of support above the $5000 mark. A shorting opportunity may present itself in that situation.
That being said, there still seems to be significant strength in the market at the moment. On a macro level, the sentiment weighs more in favor of bullish exhaustion in play however the current market trend from a micro time-frame perspective is holding above the 50 MA which as many of you know and trade upon is representative of a trending bullish market.
RSI is currently also displaying some sideways action with upward trend signals gathered from the MACD.
Completion of bullish exhaustion will be evident in the MACD & RSI but the current sentiment displays some strength. In the event of a breakdown, we can rely on the fibonacci retracement level of 0.786.
It should be noted that even with my sentiment being that of an impending breakdown before a clean break past the $5000 level these predictions are on a macro scale so a show of support above that level for a few days will confirm the breakout. The immediate trend is showing good support and will remain bullish until proven otherwise. Remember, the trend is your friend.
If you are uncertain about opening a new position at the moment, whether long or short pay attention to and search for confirmation throughout a number of indicators before you make your decision.
In summary:
BTC is finding good support in the long term especially after the recent price corrections couldn't be more positive.
A possible breakdown would most likely not make it past the 0.786 retracement level of $4200 & a breakout above $5000 would require a good show of support before any more long positions should be considered. On the macro level, the market is pushing upward and a break out of the rising wedge will see quick correction before price rallies back up above $5000.
Investing and/or trading in digital assets like BTC is highly speculative and risks are involved due to a high market volatility difficulty level that doesn't favor new traders and new investors. The analysis expressed here is purely for informational purposes only and should not in any way be considered to be investment and/or trading advice.
Lord What Is This ? Look at the macd. Screen is not enough :). It is in the sky.
I guess no one can imagine such rally.
If this is not BUBLE nothing BUBLE on earth.
Amazing man unbelievable.
Anyone trades dow jones i guess shorted this anytime in lifetime and bail out.
When this rally finishes there will be major breakdown. :)
Anyone wanna see buble this is the buble.
Good Luck.
Elliott Wave Analysis: GBPJPY Intra-day DeclineGBPJPY is trading in a potential three-wave decline, labeled as a-b and c. We see waves a and b completed, which means current intra-day drop lower can be wave c. Ideally wave c will now reach even lower levels and later search for a base near the middle or lower channel line. The Fibonacci ratio of 100.0 can also act as a region of support and push price higher.
Elliott Wave Analysis: Gold Long And Short Term LookDaily view:
Gold can be trading in a big, sideways price action known also as a triangle correction. A triangle correction is a complex pattern with five legs, with each leg having three more sub-waves. On the daily chart of Gold we see price now trading at the start of leg D) of this triangle pattern and can search for a base near the Fibonacci ratio of 61.8.
4h view:
Gold can be trading in a bigger three-wave decline within a triangle as shown on the daily chart. We are talking about A-B-C waves; currently still in wave A that hit new low as expected after recent rally to 1313 proved to be corrective leg because of three subwaves. We labeled it as wave four so fifth wave is now here and can stop near 1270.
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All our work is for educational purposes only.
LTC BIG DROP NOW. What does this mean?!BTC and LTC seem to be acting differently in terms of Volume. I believe BTC is too expensive and not attractive to buyers and sellers. LTC and even VTC seem to be taking over for now. LTC should reach in the thousands at this rate because of its attractive price points.
The yellow arrows are pointing out a pattern in which history has repeated itself however the last weeks major decline let into a 30's low. This is a smaller sideways decline in which I believe is why we should be near the bottom at around 45. (for now)
The Red Arrows are pointing to the short dips
The Green arrows are pointing at the short rally
If LTC gets into the 30s I will update the chart but at this moment I see the big dump of September 21, 2017 nearly over. I am a whale investor and I have been investing for a very long time. I have purchased at exactly 45.5 which I felt was a good place to purchase this. I see this rebounding a lot and it could be 60 until it comes a bit down again. This is short term so i'll have to calculate the next move.
(Oh and please give me reputation points. I can't get into the public chat without 50. If you enjoyed this hit the thumbs up it will help me out a lot)
Thank you and happy trading!
$SPX Ready To Roar Higher, End of VolatilityAfter a volatile market that began on Aug 8th 2017, the chart of the S&P 500 $SPX is now showing signs that the volatility is over and a new bullish trend is beginning. Expect markets to continue rallying higher and maybe even to all time highs. The $VIX, which is the fear gauge, is going back into hibernation for now. Time to begin buying and going long again.
Silver - Itching to Break Out from the Downtrend ChannelSilver had a stop hunt run right at the head of the inv H&S , this usually means that the market makers needs fuel to move the market, coupled with 11 days of accumulation above the pivot level, I think its time to pay attention.
If you decide to take this trade please wait for the daily candle to close above trendline or for retest of Trend Line / Pivot point
EURGBP: Is Parity InevitableEURGBP Daily – Is Parity Inevitable? Earlier today the Euro broke the psychological $1.200 handle for the first time in 2 years whilst and it is now heading towards an all time high against the British Pound.
At the start of the year, analysts had predicted further weakening for the Euro. We are now at the end of August and those predictions could not have been more wrong with the Euro rallying strongly. Despite being overvalued by most indicators, the Euro has continued to strengthen and this is expected to carry on. One of the biggest reasons for this is that the common currency is increasing its appeal to investors and traders as a safe haven.
When analysts talk about safe haven currencies, they are usually referring to the US Dollar, Japanese Yen or the Swiss Franc. However, over the past months, demand for the dollar and yen during risk off sentiments have been lower than usual. For the Dollar, this is due to political uncertainty and the conflict with North Korea. Meanwhile, with the Yen, it is due to the risk from North Korea. As we saw yesterday, a missile fired into the Pacific Ocean by North Korea, flew within Japanese airspace, prompting, Japanese official to warn residents who could have been affected. The majority of global risk has been from the two factors mentioned here, which means that the most attractive safe haven currency left would be the Swiss Franc. However, the current stability in Europe and anticipation of the ECB winding down its large QE programme, has made the Euro a great currency for both investors and traders.
The Euro strength has been mentioned as a concern by the ECB but they have not indicated plans to take any action just yet. Now that EURUSD has broken above, $1.200, traders should expect an ECB official to address this in the coming days but it is still unlikely for them to intervene. The CFTC commitment of traders reports last week also showed an increase in net long positions on the Euro, also suggesting that the rally is set to continue. However, analysts have mentioned that the Euro strength will weigh down on European companies as it becomes more expensive to import from the Eurozone, with the DAX dropping to 5 month lows yesterday.
In the UK, the biggest fundamental factor continue to be Brexit but a lack of progress in talks has actually helped the pound to strengthen. The EUs Juckner is not happy with the position papers handed to the EU from the UK government. UK officials are complaining that the EU are simply being stubborn and currently negotiations look as if they are at a stalemate. The United Kingdom would like the EU to be more flexible and talk about their future relationship, whilst at the same time talking about the separation process. However, the EU are adamant that they will not talk about any future relationship until the terms of their divorce with the UK are resolved. It seems that the biggest hurdle in all of this is the agreement on how much the settlement bill should be, with Brexit secretary Davis saying that the UK will only pay what it is legally obliged to. The current situation is helping to support the pound at the moment but with the BoE not showing any signs of hawkishness, it is highly likely that any appreciation in the Pound is simply a retracement.
Today, EURGBP has broken its 2016 high and we now expect it to reach its all time high at around 0.9800. Following this, Brexit makes it seem inevitable that this pair will reach parity but it will also depend on how long it takes to reach these levels and what impact the Euro strength is having on the Eurozone economy. We will be looking for buys on this pair, ideally after some sort of retracement. However, if we do not get a retracement, we will still looking to enter a smaller position and add on to this along the way.
7.26.17 | BAC | 30 min. BreakoutBreakout on the cup and handle diverged and formed a small double top which is now reversing with the breakout of a falling wedge. I expect this to rally for the rest of the day and gap up in the morning following a rally for the rest of the day tomorrow. The fed meeting today did not leave investors with any surprise's and Bank stocks do not have anything to fear based on the latest policy meeting. On the uptick BAC has announced a dividend increase of 85% $.07 to $.13 to go into affect at he beginning of September.
ETHUSD Perspective And Levels: 345 Target Near. Stop Break Even.ETHUSD Update: 315 resistance breaks and subdegreee Wave 3 is in play just as I wrote about in my previous report. For those of you who go long in the 280s and 90s, 345 is my first target and 374 is my second target.
Clearly a bullish catalyst has sparked the rally, at this point I do not even know what the catalyst is, I can just tell by the vertical nature of this price action. BTC is stagnant which is proving that these markets are competing for order flow and money rotates in and out of them on a selective basis compared to the"follow the leader" relationship I was looking to identify in previous reports.
Now it's about managing the trade. 345 is my first target which I will sell half of my position. The 350 resistance is a target I have been talking about for a number of reports and I stick to my plan. The other half of the position I will let ride and look to sell 25% of it at the 374 level which is the upper portion of the resistance zone. And if that target is reached, then I will let my small portion ride until I determine my next target. The upcoming resistance zone is proportional to the .618 of the previous broad bearish swing.
At the same time, I am now adjusting my stop to break even so that this trade no longer carries any risk. It is possible to give back profit, but that is not loss, that is profit. So my stop is now adjusted to 295.
Also the 306 to 315 area which served as such a tough resistance is now a support level based on inversion. In terms of proportion, a retrace from current levels should not overlap this price area. Something to keep in mind if a minor retrace unfolds from here.
As I mentioned in my previous report, Wave 3's are the ones that wow the market. And they are never the shortest wave in terms of the Elliott Wave rules. Once this wave completes, the next retrace will offer one more buying opportunity to complete the 5th wave of the larger degree Wave 5. I will be able to evaluate targets and risk once the new subdegree 4 is in place.
In summary, this market is in a subdegree Wave 3 which is no surprise and has finally stolen the order flow spot light. I expect my first target of 345 to be reached today and if 350 breaks, the 380 area is likely to be reached in the next day or so as well. My stop has been moved to breakeven which means my trade carries no risk it's all about management from here. Price action analysis. It works.
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Questions and comments welcome.