USDZAR-WATCH FOR RETEST WITH STRONG BULLISH REVERSAL PATTERN
-EXECUTE WITH CONFIRMATION
2nd Scenario
-WAIT FOR BREAKOUT ON SUPPORT
Ramaphosa
TELKOM (TKG) 4-HOUR TIMEFRAME LONGIt is shocking to see a stock soaring in an economy plagued with state capture scandals, corruption, uncertainty and all things junk. Notwithstanding the fact that i love South Africa, it is sadly true that most stocks on the JSE stock exchange are in bear market territory. Hence the shock i had when i opened this chart.
I expect prices to move up as they continue the healthy uptrend. The exponential nature of this trend makes it difficult to ride it. It is like trying to jump onto a speeding bullet train. Anyway, i would consider the 8 200 level as a possible support area where buyers can enter into new positions. It is important to note that the price might possibly form a right shoulder to complete a tête et épaules (head and shoulders) pattern, causing the price to plummet towards the trendline. However, the long term bias is still long. I guess the bulls needed a break so to them!
BHP BILLITON (BHP) DAILY LONG BHP Billiton's share could find support at the 31 150 price level, which is an area of interest from the weekly timeframe. Since this analysis is based on a higher timeframe, it could take several days before this can happen. The weekly timeframe shows a healthy trend, with symmetrical, deep pullbacks. We are currently on one of these pull backs, and am hoping that buyers will come in at the mentioned support zone. Also be aware that prices could tank further to the trendline and possibly find support there. Pulling up a Fibonacci tool, we can see that the 31 186 area represents a 50% retracement, which could be a good entry for traders who use this tool. Personally, i prefer the feeling of jumping into the markets with nothing but price and a stop loss as my parachute in case i "crash" land. (pun intended)
BIDVEST GROUP LIMITED (BVT) 4-HOUR TIMEFRAMEPrice is currently stuck in a small range with support at 18 300 and resistance at 21 920. This will be a risky trade (not that there is no trade without risk) because we will be going against the trend. However, the risk reward of 4.33 gives me the confidence to still take on this position. My entry will be at 21 550. Break a chart!
BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO (BTI) 4-HOUR TIMEFRAME SHORT The share price for British American Tobacco (BTI) has been moving in a descending channel on the daily timframe, as evidenced by lower highs and lower lows. The price has just broke out of a corrective ascending channel (counter trend) on the 4-hour timeframe and came back to retest the previous-support-turned-resistance at the price level of 57730. I expect prices to trickle down further, if they do not create higher highs and higher lows, and the possible targets are:
Target 1: 50 720
Target 2: 43 856
