NFT/USDT 1D. Secondary trend. Wedge. APENFT. Justin Sun.NFT/USDT 1D. Secondary trend chart.
In the secondary trend we can observe the falling wedge forming.
In this wedge we've seen couple local downtrends forming, which are shown on the chart here.
Another such local downtrendline(red on chart) has been formed on broken above. As for now the price is in the consolidation and is moving in the small range between the levels 0.0...31 and 0.0000..88.
There's potential double bottom forming. The base of it is 14%(balance).
Notice that this is TRX's groups of tokens. I.e. Justin Sun's one. This coins like to sometimes move against the market.
The potentials above and below are shown on the chart.
It's quite likely we ain't gonna see really big move quite soon. Only local movements probably, but when the time comes it can move pretty huge.
Also notice that as the price drops(if it happens) - the targets are also obviously moving with the price. But with the time goes by, i think that in a half year - year there's a big probability of this falling wedge targets working out.
Notice also that there's some insignificant volume increase recently.
Range
07/08/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $30039.5
Last weeks low: $29299.0
Midpoint: $28558.5
Historically, August has not been a very bullish month for bitcoin and crypto as a whole. Other than 2013, 2017 & 2021 (Bull market years) August has had negative ROI.
The pattern shows that since 2013, every 4 years bitcoin has a positive monthly return coinciding with a bull market rally. If we were to apply this pattern to future returns, 2025 should have green August thanks to a bull market.
We already know that the halving is taking place somewhere in Q2 of 2024, the US election in Q4 2024 along with potential BTC ETF's from Blackrock becoming closer and closer to reality. 2025 Could be a very strong year for the crypto market as a whole.
In the short term, the way price has been behaving in recent weeks I would struggle to see why this August will be any different. For many weeks now I have believed that the target of 26.5K is in reach for the bears, approximately -9% from current price and when not including bull market years the average % return for the month is -9.8%. 2018's august returned -9.27%.
14/08/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $30265.2
Last weeks low: $29472.7
Midpoint: $28680.1
BTC continues to trade a very tight range as it has for many weeks now. 30k continues to be the resistance area, the previous weeks midpoint is the local resistance as its been tested for the last few days and cannot reclaim above. As usual that midpoint from the previous week is important to the direction of this week.
We've had some talk about ETF's recently, the former SEC chief has said the SEC will not approve a spot Bitcoin ETF. Personally I believe the SEC will not want to approve an ETF, however eventually I think players like Blackrock will get what they want, they always do and I wouldn't be surprised if it miraculously gets approved around the halving event, and you can be sure Blackrock and the other big players like Valkyrie would have already bought a large chunk of BTC before the supply halves at much lower prices.
Really that's what every trader/investor is waiting for because at the current moment there really isn't a lot of money/volume at all in the market. The start of this half of the year is evidence enough for that. Reserving capital for the big moves that come later down the line is essential and avoiding being chopped up by the market is a big priority.
EURNZD 13/8/23EN giving us an untradeable range here for a bullish move higher, not for what we have we will simply wait for a break as our overall bias is unclear, we did have a signal on Friday for possible downside so we will keep this in mind coming into this week, if our London open gives us a sort bias again we will look to follow that for our first entry of the week. until then we need a clear break out of our range.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
How to trade Fake Breakouts in the range Range trading, characterized by price oscillations within defined support and resistance levels, offers traders a structured approach in sideways markets. However, even within these stable waves, deceptive price movements known as fake breakouts can occur. These false signals can lead traders astray if not properly recognized and managed. In this article, we'll delve into the world of fake breakouts within range trading, equipping you with strategies to identify and navigate these misleading market dynamics.
Understanding Fake Breakouts:
A fake breakout occurs when price seemingly breaches a support or resistance level but quickly reverses back into the established range. These deceptive moves often trigger stop-loss orders and entice traders into taking positions in the direction of the apparent breakout, only to experience a sudden reversal against their trades. Fake breakouts are fueled by market manipulation, emotional trading, or sudden news events.
Here are few examples of fake breakouts in big Time-frames :
Often, this is not enough for entering a position.
Combine this with divergences on RSI or other factors for entry.
Key Characteristics of Fake Breakouts:
Swift Reversal: A true breakout sustains its direction, while a fake breakout swiftly reverses back into the range.
High Volatility: Fake breakouts often coincide with spikes in volatility due to market confusion and emotional reactions.
Trapped Traders: Traders who entered positions based on the fake breakout are "trapped" when the market reverses, leading to potential losses.
Navigating Fake Breakouts:
Confirmation Through Candlesticks: Wait for candlestick confirmation beyond the breakout level. A close above resistance or below support lends greater credibility to the breakout.
Increased Volume: Look for a surge in trading volume accompanying the breakout, indicating genuine market participation.
Use of Indicators: Rely on technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) to validate breakout momentum.
Strategies for Trading Fake Breakouts:
False Breakout Reversal: Enter positions in the opposite direction of the fake breakout when price returns to the range, targeting a retracement towards the opposite boundary.
Wait-and-Watch Approach: Allow the breakout to develop and wait for confirmation before entering a trade, avoiding pre-mature positions.
Risk Management When Dealing with Fake Breakouts:
Tight Stop-Loss: Set a tight stop-loss order beyond the breakout point to limit potential losses if the breakout reverses.
Position Sizing: Allocate a smaller portion of your capital to trades involving potential fake breakouts due to the increased risk.
Pros and Cons of Trading Fake Breakouts:
👍 Pros:
Opportunities in Deception: Skilled traders can capitalize on market deception by trading against fake breakouts.
Enhanced Risk Management: Proper identification of fake breakouts allows traders to minimize losses through tight stop-loss orders.
👎 Cons:
Increased Complexity: Identifying fake breakouts requires additional analysis and indicators.
Risk of Mistakes: Mistaking a genuine breakout for a fake one or vice versa can lead to missed opportunities or losses.
29.5K PIVOT POINT After many days of sideways choppiness between 29 & 29.5K. The pattern was broke sending us into that FVG I have mentioned in previous posts with a target of 26.5K. However, having dropped down to 28.5k and back up to 30k in 11 hours some volatility has been reintroduced into the market in the short term.
I have mapped out a mini range that I am observing, the 29.5K pivot is still the controlling factor in my mind. Now that price has deviated above and is now back in range printing a SFP, in addition to a bullish orderblock that is providing a reaction as the time of writing this post. I still think we have some downside to come should this reaction now clear the pivot point of 29.5K
Because of this, I am still confident that reaching the 26.5k target is possible. Regaining 29.5k confidently and proof that it is now support would make me reconsider this strategy.
GBPCHF I Range trading strategy Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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GBPAUD I Intraday short from resistanceWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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TEAMLEASE 40% gain in 5 monthsThe share trades between a range of 1992 and 3212 and has covered the gap of 60% for 3 times in previous years. From the present level it can give a return of 40% in less than 5 months as per previous chart patterns. But the company is a small cap company so a risky bet to play. Please put money after deep thinking. The current P/E ratio is very low than the 7-year average P/E ratio and the company has significantly increased its revenue and net profit, so it becomes safer to buy it at this point of time. Present market analysis shows that it will furthur increase its revenue and net profit this year.
Thank you for reading it to the last
EURAUD I Brief short and break of rangeWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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ETH - Wait For The Bulls 💣Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
ETH is still sitting around a strong rejection zone as it is the intersection of the lower red trendline and horizontal green support
🏹 So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for buy setups.
📈 For the bulls to take over from a medium-term perspective, we need an H4 momentum candle close above the last major high in gray around 1905
📉 In parallel, if the green support zone is broken downward, expect further bearish movement till the 1730 demand zone.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
S&P500 = PRICING IN THE MONEY SUPPLYIn today's chart, we look at the S&P500 divided by the WM2NS (money supply).
The upward trend of the S&P500 has been unstoppable since 2009 and has climbed to new heights since 2013.
> However, as soon as you divide the chart with the "MONEY QUANTITY", the unadulterated chart = the reluctant truth is revealed.
= Regardless of the rising price of the index, it has not changed in real value / hardly noticeable.
= The "stock rally" was accordingly only the pricing in of the rising money supply.
We have been in a sideways channel for about 30 years:
= this was broken by the "DOT COM BUBBLE" and the "FINANCIAL CRISIS".
= in the chart, you can clearly see that the channel serves as support and resistance.
Currently, we are on the way to the bottom of the channel = another 18% - Downside.
> at this bottom, there is a high probability that we will run again to the other side of the range = 64 % - upside.
Looking at the 18% - downside in the S&P500, we would end up at around 3,000 points.
> The 3,000 mark not only goes over one with Fibonacci and POI levels, but also represents a strong DEMAND zone on the monthly chart.
> Based on this, we can expect a reaction in this area on a further down-sale.
Looking at the range, a scenario of further down-sale is more than likely and goes along with the opinion of many.
If this idea and explanation has added value to you, I would greatly appreciate a review of the idea.
Thank you and a successful trading!
FOMC 26th JulyFOMC is upon us once again which means a high volatility event to prepare for.
BTC has fallen out of its 32 day mini range and is looking to close below its local low of ~29.5k. This gets the alarm bells ringing as there is a large FVG waiting below to be filled. A high volatility event such as FOMC can often help in achieving this but it's important to plan for each eventuality. You must plan for what the market does, not what you want it to do.
In green we have the bullish buying opportunities I have established, one is a simple range midpoint reaction play. I would like to see a wick below and a reclaim before targeting those range highs once more.
If that is not the case another bullish buying opportunity would be the daily bullish OB at 26.5k. This would allow the vast majority of the FVG to be filled and BTC could continue a rally towards local highs and potentially beyond.
For a bearish scenario, if price were to continue the downtrend past the midpoint with no significant reaction, this would prompt me to target either the bullish OB, or the range low.
These are the key areas for me, there really isn't a lot of good R:R trades in-between in my opinion. At least on the 1D timeframe.
🚀🎯 GBPJPY Bullish Momentum: Capitalizing on the Range! 📈Hey traders! Are you ready for an exciting ride on the GBPJPY forex pair in the 4-hour timeframe? 📈💹 Let's explore this fantastic bullish setup together!
📊 Range-Bound Market: GBPJPY is currently experiencing a ranging market, with strong support at 180.000 and a formidable resistance at 183.500. In this dynamic environment, traders can spot lucrative opportunities by buying the bottom and shorting the top.
🐂 Buyers in Control: The buyers have taken charge as the price recently bounced off the sturdy support level at 180.000 and formed a double bottom
🛡️ Moving Averages as Support: The moving averages are playing their part as reliable support levels during this bullish momentum. Their alignment reinforces the buyers' strength and provides additional confidence in this setup.
💹 Profit Target: My primary focus is on riding this bullish wave towards the top of the range. As the price approaches the resistance at 183.500, I'll closely monitor the market for a potential shorting opportunity or a breakout setup.
Feel free to share your toughts in the comments section, follow me for updates and don't forget to press the like button if this insight was helpful 🚀
$TRAC (BRC-20): trading and accumulating = investing into BTCThe BRC-20 token LSE:TRAC (don't confuse it with OriginTrail, same ticker) is trading on decentralized exchanges (you need a BTC wallet like Ordinalswallet, XVerse, Unisat) and on Gate.io.
It is a fundamentally very interesting project with a market cap below $10M, the indexer of the BRC-20/Ordinals space on Bitcoin. Lot of room to the upside, but, obviously, also high risk.
I am very bullish on the project and I am using each opportunity to benefit from its high volatility on Gate.io. The black lvls on the chart are the S/R areas where the price is constantly ranging between. I am selling resistances, buying supports. If it breaks the resistance I buy the retest/support and sell the next resistance. If it breaks down I buy the next support. It's basically trading 101. I make 5% or 10% a few times a day.
Bought today's dip at 37c, sold a small bag at 54c.
The green levels/areas are demand zones of different importance. Between 35 and 44c strong support. At the time of writing at $0.47, I consider this still as cheap.
NFA.
I am not selling as much as I buy tho, accumulating this coin for further upside.
DYOR. You do you, I do I.
Spike city part 2If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! Also, check out the links in my signature to get to know me better!
31538.7 avg in.
Played the model, this time for a W.
As stated, Dillies have to prove it to me,
It did not and gave some nice clues/entries.
Sec is looking at the BR ETF.
I am looking for clarity.
The bear version if 30k break.
Cheers!
🐻📉 Dow Jones Alert! Optimal Short Entry at Resistance 📉🐻🚨 Attention Dow Jones traders! An exciting bearish opportunity has presented itself in the current market environment. The price action on Dow Jones is exhibiting a clear range-bound behavior between the resistance level at 34500 and the support level at 33500.
As the price reaches the upper boundary of this range and forms a rejection, it signals an optimal entry point for a potential short position. By taking advantage of this setup, we can aim to capture profits as the price heads towards the lower boundary of the range.
Adding further credibility to this bearish thesis, the RSI indicator aligns with our analysis, acting as a solid confirmation of the potential downside move. Its current positioning strengthens the case for a short position, supporting our overall outlook.
Trading opportunities like these allow us to harness the power of range-bound markets and capitalize on price fluctuations within defined boundaries. With a strategic approach and disciplined execution, we can navigate this setup with confidence. 💼💰
Remember, risk management is crucial in all trades. Assess your risk tolerance and adjust your position size accordingly. By staying disciplined and adhering to sound trading principles, we enhance our chances of success. 💪💼
Feel free to share your toughts in the comments section, follow me for updates and don't forget to press the like button if this insight was helpful 📉🚀💰
Bitcoin About To Pump 20%!??On the 8 hour, 12 hour and daily time frames the MACD has been showing weakening levels of negative momentum throughout the greater half of this range now. This could be validation of seller exhaustion as we are now due to flip positive here in the coming day or so IF the MACD trends are to continue across all of these different TFs.
I drew a pattern but whats most important right now is the seller wall created from the fakeout high last week in tandem with the high from today's price action it has created. If and when this wall is broken it could trigger a final death blow to the bears if they fail to regain momentum soon.
The last time we flipped positive on the 12 hour MACD while closing above the 21 EMA, Bitcoin exponentially ran up 20%.