20/05/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $67701.33
Last weeks low: $64227.62
Midpoint: $60753.92
We have lift off... maybe? Bitcoin has spent the last 2 months chopping between the low $70K's and high $50K's after a strong rally. However, it looks like strength has returned at least for now in BTC after the CPI print of Wednesday last week. This volatility influx moved BTC back above the 4H 200EMA which has been the all important level in determining the Mid - Low time frame trend. Now that price is back above I think the general sentiment would be to be more risk on, especially in terms of leverage than we've seen in the last few weeks. Not necessarily saying this is an ideal entry, just I think more confidence is returning to Bitcoin.
The altcoin market on the other hand with exception to a few top performers is lagging behind BTC, and that can be seen by the Bitcoin dominance at 56% currently and targeting local highs. For altcoins to begin reclaiming some of their loses we'd need BTC to get back above the '21 high of $69K.
Also, we have the ETH ETF approval deadline for VanEck and ArkInvest/ 21Shares on the 23rd &24th May respectively. Coinbase believes the odds of approval are closer to 30-40% so it would be a shock if these ETF's were approved by the SEC, however, if they were to be approved this could help kickstart the altcoin market again.
For this week it's about seeing if BTC can capitalise on last weeks progress and target the '21 ATH. The purple trendline needs to be respected on the way up otherwise I think we'll retest the MIDPOINT or even the 0.25 area.
Range
New ATH after Range Shakeout ???Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a bullish pattern that suggests a potential breakout to new all-time highs (ATH). The formation of a horizontal accumulation range and a recent bullish engulfing pattern indicate a strong possibility for significant upward price movement.
Horizontal Accumulation Range:
BTC has been trading within a defined horizontal range on the daily chart for an extended period. This consolidation phase suggests that supply and demand have reached an equilibrium, creating a potential launchpad for a breakout.
Bullish Engulfing Pattern:
Recently, BTC formed a bullish engulfing pattern, where a bullish candlestick completely engulfs the preceding bearish candlestick. This pattern is a strong reversal signal, indicating a potential shift in momentum to the upside.
Anticipated Breakout and ATH Target:
Based on the horizontal accumulation range and the bullish engulfing pattern, I anticipate a breakout from the range and a surge towards new ATHs. The initial target for the breakout is the previous ATH of around $73,000, with the potential to extend further towards $80,000 or even higher.
Potential Retest and Support:
While a bullish breakout seems imminent, a potential retest to the 62,000 support level could occur before the continuation of the uptrend. This retest, if it happens, would provide an opportunity for new buyers to enter the market and reinforce the bullish momentum.
Overall Bullish Outlook:
The combination of the horizontal accumulation range, the bullish engulfing pattern, and the overall market sentiment suggests a strong bullish outlook for BTC. While there may be short-term pullbacks, the longer-term trend appears to be favoring the bulls.
HelenP. I Swiss Franc will rebound from trend line to $0.9150Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Swiss Franc analytics. A few days ago price made a correction movement, after which turned around and made an impulse up to the support level, which coincided with the support zone and soon broke this level. After this, CHF made a retest and started to trades inside consolidation, where it some time traded near the 0.9000 level and later rebounded up to the resistance level, which coincided with the top part of the range with the resistance zone. Then price some time traded near this level and later broke it, exiting from consolidation also, after which made a retest and even then continued to grow to the trend line. But when the price reached this line it in a short time declined to the support level, breaking the 0.9150 resistance level one more time. The Swiss Franc some time traded near this level and then rebounded up to the trend line and even broke it. Just now price trades near this line and I expect that the Swiss Franc will make retest, after the breakout, and then continue to grow to 0.9150 resistance level, therefore I set my goal at this level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
A great opportunity on Livepeer (LPT)?Livepeer BINANCE:LPTUSDT seems to be giving us a great opportunity by retesting the top of its previous accumulation range. The Perfect Cloud (BPC) remains green, indicating that the uptrend is intact for the time being.
This retracement back to this very strong structural level is further reinforced by the Vegas Daily (blue cloud) of the Trend Identifier (BTI) !
Bitcoin can correct to mirror line and then rebound upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see that the price a not long time ago rebounded from the mirror line and made a strong upward impulse to the current support level, which coincided with the support level, thereby breaking the 60300 support level also. After this, the price started to trades inside the range, where it at once made a correction movement from the 65100 level to the mirror line, after which bounced up. But soon BTC fell to the 60300 level, breaking this line, and some time traded near the support level, after which rose back to the mirror line and broke it again. Then the price declined again, after which made a strong upward impulse, breaking the mirror line and 65100 support level, thereby exiting from the range as well. After this movement, BTC made a correction to the mirror line and then rebounded back and now it continues to grow. So, in my opinion, Bitcoin can repeat the correction move to the mirror line, and then continue to move up. For this case, I set my target at 68500 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
MATIC - Clean and Clear ❗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
On Weekly: Left Chart
MATIC has been hovering within a big range in the shape of a flat rising channel marked in blue.
Currently, MATIC is approaching the lower bound of the range, so we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes.
On Daily: Right Chart
📈 For the bulls to take over, we need a momentum candle close below above the last major high highlighted in gray.
📉 Meanwhile, MATIC would be bearish short-term and can still trade lower inside the weekly support.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
EURUSD 12/5/24Starting off this week with euro to the USD I'm looking at a similar scenario from last week where we had a bullish range which held up and followed through into the last session of last week so starting this week I'm expecting the bullishness to continue and for this range to hold. We have a bullish internal range which I am looking for price to run lower. before going bullish or break lower bringing us into the sub 50% of our higher timeframe range, ultimately bringing us higher into the daily order block on euro to then push lower back into the overall trend the price is in.
As it stands I believe price will push lower to start the week and then we will see during the red folder news if we are going to break out of this internal range or if we are going to continue to play bullish within this either way we'll be tracking price action for longs within this range or shorts if we break out and go lower.
Trade safe and read price action!
Gold can continue to decline to current support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. By observing the chart, we can see that the price rebounded from the current support level, which coincided with the support area to the support level, breaking the 2330 level. After this, the price started to grow inside the upward channel, where it soon broke the 2330 level one more time and even some time traded higher than the support area, but later it made a downward impulse to the buyer zone, exiting from the channel and breaking the 2330 with 2295 levels. Soon, XAU bounced from the buyer zone, making a fake breakout of the 2295 level, and started to trades inside the range, where it later reached the top part of this pattern. Next, the price made a correction movement, after turning around and making a strong impulse up, breaking the current support level and exiting from the range. But a not long time ago XAU started to decline, therefore I think Gold can continue to fall to the 2330 support level. For this case, I set my target at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin can decline to support line of downward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago entered to range, where it firstly declined to the current resistance level, which coincided with the support area and at once started to grow. In a short time price reached the 71000 resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and tried to break. BTC failed and made a correction movement, after which in a short time rose back and finally broke the 71000 level, but can't fixed and soon declined back to the current resistance level, breaking the 71000 level one more time. Soon, BTC exited from range and then entered to downward channel, where it first rose to the resistance line, but later declined back to the support line of the channel, breaking the 62000 level. Then price made an impulse from the support line to the resistance line of the channel, after which rolled down to the support area, where now continues to trades near the current resistance level. I think that Bitcoin can continue to decline to support line of the downward channel, therefore I set my target at 55000 points, which coincided with this line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Aave, a DeFi pillar in a long accumulationAave (AAVE) is a key player in the Decentralized Finance sector, at -86% drawdown, which is back in its long accumulation range. Our Supreme Vision (BSV) tool is also indicating a new accumulation period (green background)!
Moreover, according to the Master Oscillator (BMO), less than 40% of addresses are in profit, with a slight increase in the percentage of supply held by Whales and long-term Holders.
BABA. The buyer shows strengthHello traders and investors!
Let's take a look at what happened since the last post where I suggested considering purchases. You can find the post linked below. Just a reminder, the solid line represents the main scenario, while the dashed line indicates possible price movements to realize the main scenario.
The price has increased by 13%, with the maximum drawdown so far being 5%.
The situation is most clearly visible on the 2-day timeframe. I explained how and why to use different timeframes in a separate article, the link to which is provided below. On the 2-day timeframe, the price has formed a sideways movement where volume accumulation is taking place. Currently, we see 7 points within the sideways movement. The buyer's momentum from point 7 broke through the upper boundary of the sideways movement at 78.34.
If the buyer defends the breakout above the upper boundary of the sideways movement, I expect the first target to be 96.68. This is approximately 18% from the current price. This is the primary scenario.
If the seller absorbs the last buyer's candle and brings the price back into the sideways movement, there is a possibility of retesting the local minimum.
The ultimate target on the weekly timeframe remains the same - 121.3.
Ethereum can correct to support level and then continue riseHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Ethereum. By observing the chart, we can see that the price rebounded from the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and declined to the mirror line, where it at once turned around and in a short time rose higher to the 3530 level with the seller zone, thereby breaking them. But soon, ETH declined lower this level this mirror line, breaking them again and fell a little lower, after which in a short time rose to 3270 points. Then price turned around and made a strong impulse down to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, thereby breaking the mirror line with the 3530 resistance level one more time. As well then, the price started to trades inside the range, where ETH rebounded from the support level and tried to rise, but at once made a correction. Then price in a short time rose to the top part of the range, after which rebounded down to the buyer zone, which recently turned around and started to rise. So, at the moment, I think Ethereum can make small correction to support the level and then continue to rise. For this case, I set my target at the 3200 level inside range. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
MATICUSDT. Trading opportunityA sideways range has formed on 4D TF. The seller's vector has reached the obligatory goal. The buyer has not yet shown strength. I will wait for buyer action to buy. The target could be 1.29.
A sideways range has formed on the hourly timeframe. Buyer vector 5-6 has been won back. The seller vector (6-7) is currently relevant.
If the seller breaks the 0.7006 level and defends it, then I believe the price could reach 0.6194. I think 0.6194 is a good price to buy.
BTC - Detailed Video Analysis around 60k 📹Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📚 As long as the $60,000 holds, we are expecting a continuation till the upper bound of the range and $70,000.
📚Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Ripple can exit from triangle, make retest and continue to riseHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Ripple. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some time ago reached a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and broke it, after which started to trades in the range. Inside the range, the price rose to the top part and then turned around and declined lower than the 0.6085 level, thereby exiting from the range. After this, Ripple turned around and rose higher than the resistance level and started to trades in a triangle, where it rebounded from the resistance line and made a strong impulse down to the support line, breaking 0.6085 and 0.5065 levels. Then price turned around and made an upward impulse from the support line of the triangle to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and later finally broke the 0.5065 level, after which reached the resistance line of the triangle. But recently it rolled down from this line to the support line, where at the moment continues to trades near. For this reason, I think that Ripple can reach the resistance line, and break it, thereby exiting from the triangle and making a retest. After this, XRP will continue to move up, therefore I set my 1-st TP at the 0.5745 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
How to use different timeframesHello traders and investors!
Today I'll talk about choosing the right timeframe and how you can use different timeframes when looking for trades. This will help us uncover what is hidden in this candle on the chart.
When we look at something, we are usually limited by a certain viewpoint. From this point, we only see part of the whole picture. But if we move and look from a different perspective, we will discover new details and aspects that were previously unnoticed. The same applies to analyzing the chart of a financial instrument when using different types of charts or different timeframes. This post will focus on using different timeframes. On one timeframe, it may be difficult to understand the essence of what is happening, while on another, everything can become clearer and more understandable.
I've already talked about using different timeframes when looking for trades in an educational article a few weeks ago (see the related post below). In that article, I highlighted 5 skills that help effectively trade in sideways markets. Discussing the first of them - how to combine higher and lower timeframes when looking for trades, I provided a practical example on the OPUSDT chart using the daily and hourly timeframes. In that practical example, I formulated target levels that are likely to be reached. You can see the results in the related post (see below).
I'll provide another example of choosing the right timeframe and the correlation between timeframes, using the BTCUSDT chart. This will help us uncover what is hidden in this candle on the chart.
In the update of this idea I noted that on the hourly timeframe at the contextual point of the seller (the beginning of the last seller impulse, level 66867), I didn't see an active seller and wasn't ready to join the sales at that moment. As a potential target, I indicated 62776.
So, I looked at the chart on different timeframes and searched for what remains unnoticed. On the 7-minute timeframe, I discovered a sideways movement at the contextual point of the seller (level 66867), as mentioned in the idea update with a recommendation to look for a trade after exiting the sideways movement and protecting this exit:
Now, let's analyze what happened next (on the bars chart, as bars take up less space and additional marks are better visible).
The seller broke through the lower boundary of the sideways movement at 65626.87.
The seller's impulse ended at 10:49 (New York time), when after breaking through the lower boundary of the sideways movement, the first buyer bar appeared.
The key candle(bar) of the impulse (the largest volume in the impulse) is marked on the chart as "KC". Therefore, the seller's defense of this candle or the lower boundary of the sideways movement (65626) increases the probability of further price decrease. The price range of the key candle of the impulse is highlighted on the chart (from high to close). Now let's pick a lower timeframe to see more clearly what happened before and after 10:49.
On the 1-minute timeframe by 10:49, a sideways movement formed, and at 10:49, the price attacked the upper boundary of the sideways movement (level at point 2).
The key candle of the buyer's impulse ("KC" on the chart) is in the middle of the impulse. At 10:59, the buyer attacked a new boundary of the sideways movement (level at point 6 - 65249.01). Pay attention to the volume of the attacking candle. At 11:02, the seller pressed the attack candle, forming a seller zone (red background on the chart). On the buyer's candle at 11:04 (black downward arrow on the chart), you can sell because:
On the hourly timeframe, the price is in the seller's impulse in the seller's area of interest, which defended the level 66867.
On the 7-minute timeframe, the seller broke through the lower boundary of the sideways movement.
On the 1-minute timeframe, the seller defended the level (65249.01) from the buyer's attack on a significant volume, which is within the price range of the key candle of the 7-minute timeframe impulse.
And one more interesting point. Look where the seller's resumption on the minute timeframe came from - from the 50% of the key candle of the 7-minute timeframe seller impulse.
Could the price, without reaching the target of 62776, go up? Yes, the probability of this event is not zero. And we see how the price did not reach the target by 18 dollars (black upward arrow on the chart) and turned upward. Where did the seller stop it? It stopped right there inside the key candle of the sideways movement exit on the 7-minute timeframe (black downward arrow on the chart). After that, the target of 62776 was reached.
BTC - Roadmap to 82k 🗺Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📦 Post-halving , BTC has been hovering within a big range between $60,000 support and $70,000 resistance.
📈 For the bulls to take full control again , and test the $82,000 and upper bound of the red channel, a break above the $72,000 resistance is needed.
📉 In parallel, if the $60,000 support is broken downward, we expect a bearish movement towards the $52,000 demand zone.
Which scenario is more likely to happen first? and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
JASMY - best looking AltcoinThe Coin I am currently very interested in is JASMY as we have a lot of confluences on this chart even if it seems a littly messy. Overall we can say it looks like as we are in a wave 5 after completing the wave 4 on the 18.03. We have respected the range here for a very long time and we had some wicks and fakeouts on the same levels. Moreover on a closer look we have retestet the most important POC at 0.021$. Now I am looking at a monday low sweep with FVG fill at 0.019025$
Euro can rebound from resistance level and continue to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. By observing the chart, we can see that the price started to trades in a wedge, where it at once started to rise from the support line to the resistance line. After the price reached this line, at once turned around and made a strong impulse down to the 1.0710 resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone. Soon, the price broke this level and exited from the wedge too, after which the Euro started to trades inside from range. In the range, the price first made a fake breakout of 1.0625 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, after which it tried to rise, but later EUR declined to the buyer zone back. After this movement, the price turned around and in a short time rose to a resistance level, but recently it rolled down and now trades close. So, at the moment, I think that the Euro can reach the resistance level again and then rebound down to the support level. For this reason, I set my target at the 1.0625 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
HelenP. I Bitcoin can break trend line and continue to declineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price broke the 71000 resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and started to trades inside consolidation. In range, the price in a short time declined to the 62600 support level, which coincided with the support zone, and even later made a fake breakout, after which turned around and made impulse up. Then BTC made a correction, after which rose to a resistance level and some time traded near, trying to break it, but failed and made a correction movement. After this, Bitcoin in a short time rose to the trend line, thereby exiting from consolidation, after which it turned around and started to decline. The price broke the 71000 resistance level again and made a retest, after which the price made impulse down to the support level. Soon, BTC broke this level and declined below, but a not long time ago it turned around and made a strong impulse up, breaking the 62600 level and recent trend line. Just now, Bitcoin continues to trades near the trend line and I expect that the price can continue to decline to a support level, breaking the trend line again. For this case, I set my target at the 62600 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️