EUR/USD Week 14 Analysys/OutlookTime dive into the whirlwind that was Week 14 in the EUR/USD market.
Last week was nothing short of intense, with each trading day bringing its own set of surprises and challenges. Despite the rollercoaster ride, the overall price range remained relatively stable compared to the previous week. It's fascinating to see how the market dynamics played out amidst the volatility. When we look at the order book, it's clear that both buyers and sellers were actively engaged. Buyers were eager for lower prices, while sellers seemed content with slightly lower values for profits, compare to initial volume levels.
Now, let's talk about resistance levels. Bears had set up some formidable resistance in the order book, but as history has shown, Bulls have a knack for breaking through even the toughest barriers. Looking ahead, while we may not see significant changes in the overall price range, I anticipate some fluctuations within that range. It's all part of the ebb and flow of the market. On a longer-term basis, the market has shown remarkable stability since January 15th. It's a testament to the underlying trends that have been driving the market.
So, what does this mean for traders? Well, there's no one-size-fits-all answer, but strategies like grid trading and trend-following could prove fruitful. Of course, proper risk management and strategy testing are crucial. So, while last week may have been exciting, the name of the game is slow and steady profits. It's all about consistency in the trading world.
Range
Ethereum can make small move down and then rebound upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Ethereum. Observing the chart, we can see that the price a not long time ago declined to the current resistance level, which coincided with the support line, and at once turned around and started to move up near this line. In a short time later ETH reached a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and broke it, but soon price turned around and declined back to the support line, breaking the 3600 level one more time. Some time ago Ethereum reached this level again, and entered to seller zone, after which rebounded down to the 3250 current resistance level, which coincided with the buyer zone, thereby breaking the support line. After this movement, ETH started to trades in a range, where it rose to the top part, after which Ethereum turned around and in a short time declined to the buyer zone, breaking the 3250 level. But now, I think ETH can little more decline in this zone, after which it turn around and rise back to the range, where later Ethereum will grow more. For this case, I set my target at the 3360 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Binance Coin can reach resistance level and then start to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Binance Coin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some time ago started to trades in a range, where it first made a fake breakout of the 548 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and then in a short time backed up. After this, BNB continued to move up and reached the 598 resistance level, which coincided with the top part of the range and seller zone, after which it rebounded and fell below. Then price made a strong impulse up, thereby exiting from the range and breaking the 598 resistance level. After this movement, BNB even rose higher than the seller zone, but when it reached the resistance line, the price at once turned around and started to fall. In a short time, BNB declined lower 598 level, breaking it one more time, and later fell to the support level. AS well then, the price rebounded from this level and started to move up to the resistance line. At the moment, BNB trades very close to this line and in my opinion, Binance Coin can break this line and reach the resistance level, after which BNB will turn around and fall below the resistance line. So, for this reason, I set my target at the 565 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
HelenP. I Bitcoin can make little move up and then rebound downHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price some days ago in a short time rose to the 61600 level, which coincided with the support zone and soon broke this level. After this, the price some time traded near this level and then rebounded up to the resistance level and even entered to resistance zone, after which BTC reached the trend line and turned around. Then, the price declined below the resistance level and started to trades in consolidation, where BTC first fell to the support level. After this movement, the price turned around again and made an impulse up back to the resistance level, breaking the trend line and trying to break the 71400 level, but failed. Price some time traded near the resistance level and later rebounded down to the trend line, after which a not long time ago BTC bounced from this line and started to rise. Just now, I think Bitcoin will rise a little more and then rebound down to the trend line. For this case, I set my target at 62800 points, which coincided with the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin can continue to decline to 63100 support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago rebounded from the 63100 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and in a short time rose to the 68000 resistance level, but when it reached this level, BTC started to fall. Bitcoin declined to the buyer zone, where it reached the support line and then at once rebounded back to the resistance level, making a fake breakout of a support level. Soon, the price reached the 68000 level, broke it, and started to trades in the range, where BTC first rose to the top part of this pattern. After this, the price bounced down from the top part of the range and some time traded near, until BTC almost reached the top part again. Then the price made impulse down to 64500 points, thereby exiting from the range and breaking the resistance level, after which it turned around and started to rise. Now, I think Bitcoin can rise to 66800 - 67000 points and then continue to decline to the support level. For this reason, I set my target at the 63100 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
INJ from a lower boundary of a trading rangeEven thou BTC is in a correction, in this macro regime altcoins should outperform. Injective has been one of the outperforming alts all thru the previous market regime. The technicals now:
- Day MACD has reversed from the oversold zone and uptrending, histogram going upward
- on the 4H TF MACD has already reversed from the oversold zone and about to cross MACD downtrend.
- lower bound of the range is at 30.23, limit order at 30 even, with strong support at 29.311
Trade in a sideways marketMain price pattern of financial instruments
So, when we talk about the price of financial stuff, like stocks or crypto, it often moves in specific ranges over different timeframes, right? Whether it's weekly, daily, hourly, or even minute charts, prices tend to hang out in these ranges for a while. Traders call this kind of price movement "consolidation," "range-bound," or simply a "sideways market."
In this article, we'll just call it a sideways market or range. When prices are stuck in this sideways action, they can break out with a sudden burst of momentum, kickstarting a trend, or they might just keep bouncing around, forming a new sideways pattern.
Let's check out the daily chart of BTCUSDT starting from October 2021. On the chart (see above), we've marked those periods where the price was moving sideways with blue markers. Since October 2021, we've spotted 7 of these sideways patterns. We label the first point of each sideways move as "1". Out of 884 trading days, the price was stuck in this sideways action for 758 days (884 - 72 - 39 - 15), which makes up about 85%. This means that throughout this whole period, you could've been looking at trades from one edge of the sideways range to the other.
Based on my estimates, most financial instruments spend more than 75% of their time in this sideways market mode.
So, knowing how to trade in sideways markets is a super important skill for traders. And for investors, understanding these sideways moves can really amp up the profitability of their investments by pinpointing better entry and exit points.
For example, right now, considering buying BABA stocks might be a good idea because the price is chilling at the bottom of a sideways range on the weekly chart.
Example1
Mastering the Skills for Successful Trading in Sideways Market
Being able to effectively trade within trading ranges, between their boundaries, requires not only a certain amount of knowledge but also the development of specific skills. Initially, one must grasp the theoretical foundations and then apply them in practice, gradually honing their skills. Let's look at the necessary skills:
Skill 1: Understanding and applying the Concept of Time Frame (TF) Interconnection: higher TF, lower TF. Grasping the context of the higher TF in relation to the sideways market TF.
Skill 2: Identifying sideways market: determining the absolute and current boundaries of the range, as well as the current direction (vector) of price movement.
Skill 3: Recognizing zones of interest for buyers and sellers.
Skill 4: Determining the presence of buyers at the lower boundary (bottom protection by buyers) and sellers at the upper boundary (top protection by sellers).
Skill 5: Adhering to risk management principles when entering trades (especially crucial for traders).
Each of these skills is based on a vast amount of knowledge that needs to be absorbed first and then applied in practice. The journey can be long and sometimes tedious. Is there a way to hack this system and shorten the time it takes to acquire knowledge, develop skills, and start trading? Well, there are options. For example, you can use technical indicators (such as RSI, Bollinger Bands, ATR, etc.) to make buying or selling decisions. Or you could completely bypass the process of acquiring knowledge and skills and rely on signals from Telegram channels or expert opinions. But what will you find there about trading in sideways market (ranges), where the market spends more than 75% of its time?
This series of articles is written for those who are ready to take control of their financial destiny, who strive to understand how financial markets work, and who want to master the skills of independent trading and making more informed investment decisions. Here you will find the knowledge and tools to start understanding what is happening in the financial markets and how to profit from it. I don't promise any magic pills or "money" buttons:).
So, let's get started.
Skill 1: Applying the Concept of Time Frame Interconnection
The higher time frame (TF) always takes precedence over the lower one. For instance, if we observe on the daily chart that the market is in a seller's zone (which is determined by Skill 3), then on the hourly chart, we need to analyze the seller's actions (Skill 4) and primarily look for selling opportunities. However, there might be a situation where the seller is inactive, and the price starts to rise due to buyer pressure (in this case, Skill 4 comes into play again).
Example2
On the provided chart, areas of seller interest are marked in red, while buyer interest areas are marked in blue. Let's examine the period from March 25th to March 27th, highlighted in yellow on the chart.
On the daily TF, we observe sideways movement since December 22, 2023, with the bearish vector (11-12) being relevant. The first target of the bearish vector, 3.119, was reached on March 19, 2024. The second target (2.822) and the third (2.611) remain valid. On March 25th, the price returned to the seller's zone on the daily chart (the red zone with the lower boundary at 3.680).
On the hourly chart, on March 25th, the price trend reached the daily seller's zone and formed a range with 7 points. The breakout from this range occurred downwards on March 27th. Therefore, in this range, it was advisable to look for selling opportunities from the upper boundary and riskily consider buying from the lower one.
Similarly, you can make investment decisions by analyzing, for example, the weekly and daily TFs.
To be continued...
P.S. This is indeed an interesting point! Despite the fact that the market spends more than 75% of its time in sideways movement, indicators and strategies specifically designed for trading in this mode have not gained as much popularity as other trading approaches. Even on the internet, including TV and trading Telegram channels, signals or analyses based on identifying sideways movement are very rarely encountered. If you have experience or knowledge about trading methods in sideways markets (including indicators), please share them in the comments!
British Pound can fall to support level and then rebound upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about British Pound. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price some days ago it rebounded down from the 0.8575 resistance level and broke it, after which the price started to trades in the range, where it declined to the 0.8530 support level, which coincided with the buyer area. Then GBP bounced from this level and quickly rose to the resistance level, after which turned around and made impulse down to 0.8500 points, thereby exiting from the range and breaking the support level with the buyer area. But soon, the British Pound turned around again and started to rise in an upward channel, which soon broke the 0.8530 level again and reached the resistance line of the channel. After this movement, the price corrected the support line and then made a strong impulse up to 0.8600 points, thereby exiting from the upward channel and breaking the 0.8575 resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone. But a not long time ago price started to decline and fell lower resistance level, breaking it again, and now GBP trades near the support level. So, I think the British Pound can decline to support level again, after which it will turn around and start to move up. For this reason, I set my target at the 0.8560 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Hedera ($HBAR) I am anticipating a range breakout to greenHbar is consolidating inside of a macro range and has been for 3 weeks now.
This is not a bad thing, it's good in fact. It was recently broken out of a major resistance area at 0.09 (give or take), which is major and now all price is doing is consolidating right above.
Preparation for another leg up imo.
Green is target, but expecting higher (point of breakdown area denoted to the left of the chart).
Levels above for future reference, but not relevant right now.
Cheers,
vatsik
Ripple can continue to move up inside rangeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Ripple. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time ago rebounded from the resistance line and made a strong impulse down to 0.6035 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, thereby breaking the 0.6585 resistance level. After this, the price at once rebounded from this level and rose to the resistance line and even higher this line, but soon fell back, making a fake breakout. Also later, XRP declined below the support level and some time traded there. After this, the price turned around and made a strong impulse up, breaking the support level one more time and soon the resistance line, after which Ripple started to trades in a range. In this pattern, the price first rose slightly, then fell to the support level, after which rebounded and rose to 0.6585. But recently, Ripple turned around and in a short time declined to the 0.6035 level, after which it rebounded and started to move up. So, now I think that XRP can continue to move up inside the range. For this case, I set my target at the 0.6410 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
HelenP. I Euro can break support level, exiting of consolidationHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Some time ago price rebounded from the trend line and rose to the 1.0800 support level, which coincided with the support zone and soon broke this level, after which it started to trades in consolidation. In this pattern price some time traded near the support level until it reached the trend line, after which EUR rebounded and started to rise to the 1.0935 resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone and top part of the consolidation. After this movement, the Euro broke the resistance level and a few moments traded in the resistance zone, after which turned around and fell back to range. Price declined to the trend line, broke this line, and fell below, but later it made movement back to the resistance level, after which the Euro made impulse down to the support level, where continues to trades near to this day. As well, the price one more time breaks the trend line and I expect that the Euro will break the support level and make a retest in the support zone. After this, the price can rebound and continue to decline, therefore I set my target at the 1.0745 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTCUSDT. Correction or range?On the daily timeframe the market is consolidating sideways. A short vector of 7-8 is observed. It is not advisable to seek sales at the bottom of the range. It is advisable to look for purchases after the price interacts with the zone of 59000-61500 and a buyer emerges (result, spread, volume).
Bitcoin can exit from pennant and then continue to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price a no long time ago and started to trades in the range, where it rebounded from the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance area, and the bottom part of the range, started to rise to the top part. After BTC reached the top part of the range, it turned around and started to decline in a downward pennant, where soon BTC fell to the resistance area, but at once backed up to range, making a fake breakout of the 68000 level. A short time later price finally broke the 68000 resistance level, thereby exiting from the range and declining lower than resistance area, but then it tried to back and failed. Bitcoin declined to support line of pennant, after which it at once rebounded and rose to the resistance line. After this movement, the price turned around and soon declined to support line of the pennant, which continues to trades near. In my mind, Bitcoin can exit from the pennant and continue to decline. So, that's why I set my target at the 61100 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin Cash: History Repeating Itself?Bitcoin Cash: History Repeating Itself?
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is a fork of Bitcoin that was created in 2017. BCH has a history of forming long sideways patterns, followed by sharp breakouts.
The pattern:
Sideways accumulation: BCH typically spends 200-300 days in a sideways accumulation pattern.
Breakout: After the accumulation phase, BCH breaks out of the pattern and rallies sharply.
Magnitude of the breakout: The breakouts typically result in a 2-2.5x increase in price.
Is history repeating itself?
BCH has been trading in a sideways pattern since May 2022. This suggests that the accumulation phase is nearing its end and a breakout could be imminent.
Factors supporting a breakout:
Increased development activity: There has been a significant increase in
development activity on the BCH network in recent months.
Growing adoption: BCH is becoming increasingly adopted by merchants and businesses.
Positive technical indicators: The technical indicators for BCH are bullish, suggesting that a breakout is likely.
Potential targets: 3300.
EURAUDEURAUD is trading in range bound with 200 PIPS range.
some time ranges are the best things to play just buy the support and sell the resistance.
as this one is 200 pips range which can deliver fine risk to reward.
currently the price is at support level and being rejected due to buying pressure.
will the pair head back to resistance area ?
what you guys think of this idea ?
HelenP. I Euro can decline to support level and then start growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Some time ago price rebounded from the support level, which coincided with the support zone and declined to the trend line, after which it turned around and in a short time rose back to the support zone. Then Euro broke the 1.0800 level and started to trades in consolidation, where it some time traded near this level until the price reached the trend line, after which the EUR rebounded and rose to 1.0950 resistance level, which coincided with the top part of the range with resistance zone. Euro not long time trades near this level and later declines from it to the trend line, and soon breaks this line. After this movement, the price declined lower, but recently it tried to back up, and when the EUR reached the trend line again, bounced down. At the moment, the price continues to decline and for my mind, the Euro will decline almost to the support level, after which it turn around and start to grow in consolidation. Therefore I set my target at 1.0900 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Ethereum can rebound up from support line to resistance lineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Ethereum. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some days ago entered to range, where it first declined to the resistance level, which coincided with the bottom part and resistance area, after which ETH turned around and started to rise. Later, the price rose, after which made correction back to the 3720 level, and at once rebounded up to the top part of the range. After this ETH turned around and started to decline back to the 3720 level, and when it reached this level, the price broke it, thereby exiting from the range and continuing to decline in a downward channel. Some time the price trades near the resistance level, but later it rebounded and little declined, after which the price rose to the resistance line of the channel. Then Ethereum rebounded from this line and in a short time declined to the support line, where at the moment, the price continues to trades near. So, I think that ETH can fall to the support line again and then turn around and start to move up to the resistance line of the downward channel. For this reason, I set my target at the 3480 level, which coincided with the resistance line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold can fall to support area, where turn around and start riseHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Observing the chart, we can see that the price a not long time ago traded in the buyer zone, which coincided with the 2040 support level, and soon broke this level, after which it made a retest. Then price turned around and started to rise in an upward channel, where it in a short time reached the resistance line of the channel, and then made little correction, after which the price continued to move up to the current support level, which coincided with the support area. When Gold reached this level, the price broke it and later exited from the channel, but at once started to trades in a range, where XAU rose to the top part. After this movement, Gold turned around and declined to the 2150 level, but soon it rebounded and tried to back up, and failed. So, at the moment, Gold continues to trades near the current support level in the range, for this reason, I think the price can decline to the support area, where it will turn around and start to grow to the top part of the range, making a fake breakout of 2150 level. Therefore I set my target at 2185 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Waiting for a Pelosi LongWhat a range we have here on RBLX. With higher lows into a strong resistance, Its certainly looks bullish, but we need to wait, and it may be quite some time we will be waiting for. You can range trade this of course, but we are tightening up now so its going to get a bit choppy.
Gold can reach resistance level again and then fall to 2120Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Observing the chart, we can see that the price a few time ago entered to range, where at once declined to the 2005 support level, which coincided with the bottom part and buyer zone. After this movement, Gold in a short time rose to the top part of the range, and then turned around and fell back to the support level and even lower, thereby breaking it and exiting from the range. Then price some time traded in the buyer zone and later XAU turned around and started to move up in an upward channel, where soon price broke the 2005 level. After this, XAU continued to move up in the channel, but later it fell to the support line, after which the price rebounded and made a strong impulse up to the resistance line of the channel, thereby breaking the 2180 resistance level. But a not long time ago, Gold turned around from this line and in a short time declined below the 2180 level, making a fake breakout. So, at the moment, Gold continues to decline and in my opinion, the price can try to rise to the resistance level, after which XAU will rebound and fall to the support line of the upward channel. For this case, I set my target at 2120 points, which coincided with this line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Euro can exit from pennant and decline to 1.0880Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some days ago started to trades in the range, where firstly it reached the top part, but then the price in a short time declined to the 1.0810 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. After this, the price rebounded from this level and tried to back up, but failed and declined to the buyer zone and even lower, thereby exiting from the range and breaking the 1.0810 support level. Then Euro entered to upward pennant, where it at once rebounded from the support line and started to move up. In a short time price rose higher than the 1.0810 level, breaking it one more time, and later made a correction to support line of the pennant. Next, the EUR rebounded from this line and soon rose to the current support level, which coincided with the seller zone. Soon, the price broke this level and rose to the resistance line of the pennant, but a not long time ago it turned around and fell back to zone, where the Euro continues to trades very close to the 1.0920 level. I think that the Euro can bounce to the resistance line of the pennant, after which it turns around and rebounds down, thereby breaking the 1.0920 level and exiting from the pennant pattern. For this reason, I set my target at the 1.0880 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀