Bitcoin Market Recap: Bullish Monthly Close and a Range-Bound PABitcoin has witnessed a bullish monthly close after several months of bearish and sideways price action. This doesn’t mean that the 6-month trading range has been lost or that we are trading outside of it. Yesterday, we saw a critical level, the Value Area High of the 6-month range, which acted as initial resistance. Our old daily level of $22,393, which previously served as support, came back into play and provided support once again. The price then moved into the Value Area Low of the current range and has been ranging between the Value Area High and Point of Control ever since.
Today, a new daily Naked Point of Control was established at the $23,180 level. Initially acting as resistance, we got Swing Failure Pattern from the monthly level and were accepted back into the level. As of now, the price continues to range within the established boundaries.
Tomorrow is an important day for the financial markets with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate hike meeting and high-tech earnings reports. These upcoming statistics have the potential to impact the value of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. If the monthly level holds and acts as support, we can expect the price to reach the $25,211 level, where our first resistance can be a new daily level of $23,745.5. On the other hand, if the price fails to hold the monthly level, we can anticipate a sell-off with the first support level at $22,287. In the worst-case scenario, if there is no SFP, we expect the price to drop to single prints and reach between the $21,000 - $20,500 level. Tech stocks earning reports can also act as a catalyst for price action, with the following support level expected to be at the $19,000 zone where the Point of Control of the entire range is located.
In conclusion, my strategy will be to trade within the established range until a break occurs. I will carefully monitor the price action and market reactions after the FOMC meeting and earnings reports. As we have traded these levels multiple times, they may become weaker, so I will be cautious and avoid setting pre-set orders. I will only trade while keeping an eye on live order flow.
Range_trading
An In-Depth Look at the Dynamic Bitcoin Price Action on January In the world of cryptocurrency trading, today was a highly intriguing day. Our predicted scenario played out beautifully as we saw the bitcoin price drop to the $22,950 level zone where multiple confluences converged. We saw a bearish (CVD) playing out exceptionally well, and then we saw the price push up to the monthly level before getting rejected and falling back within the range. Throughout the day, the price fluctuates within the range between the Value Area High and Point of Control, finally falling below the Value Area Low just before the NY close. Currently, the price is hovering between the Point of Control and Value Area Low, with the weekly Naked Point of Control at $22,860 and the Naked Session Point of Control at $22,480, both being tested.
Looking at past price behavior, we can see a similar fractal in the price drop toward the Value Area Low before a sharp increase from the $20,500 zone to the $22,500 zone. The first sign of weakness would be a break below the $22,287 level and its eventual rejection as support. In such a scenario, we can expect the price to drop back to the $20,500 zone.
However, the price will only be considered bearish if it falls outside the Value Area High and monthly level. If these levels hold support, we can expect the price to rise to the weekly $24,297 level or even reach the maximum pain scenario for late shorts at $25,211. It's important to note that we are still in the same range, and bitcoin has a history of prolonged periods of range-bound trading.
Additionally, the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate hike meeting on February 1st, 2023, and earnings reports from companies like Apple, Amazon, and Google, will be significant factors in determining the future direction of Bitcoin's price. Keep a close eye on how the stock markets react to these events.
The Weekend Market: An Analysis of Bitcoin Price MovementsOver the weekend, the bitcoin price experienced another $1000 rise. The bullish sentiment among weekend traders caused the price to break through the monthly level of $23,301 and reach new heights. Currently, the price ranges below the weekly level of $24,297.5 after front-running the weekly naked point of control at $23,970 with a $3 margin.
The direction of today's price action will be heavily influenced by the performance of the stock market and the US Dollar Index (DXY). From previous price movements, we can observe that the DXY is showing signs of weakness, while both the S&P 500 Index (SPX) and bitcoin are demonstrating strength. This suggests that we see a continuation of these trends.
Based on this analysis, there are three potential scenarios for the future of the bitcoin price.
Scenario 1: Bitcoin may experience a dip down to test the monthly and new daily levels at $23,021. At this level, there is a confluence of factors, including the point of control for the entire range, a 0.618 Fibonacci level, and a new daily level. This dip may give the market a sense of acceptance within the current range, trap late shorts, and prompt a continuation of the upward trend.
Scenario 2: The price may hover above the monthly level and continue upward, eventually reaching the weekly level of $24,297.5. This would signify a continuation of the current bull trend.
Scenario 3: Alternatively, the price may continue to fall because of a failed auction, punishing late longs. The price may also fall back within the current range and continue to range.
As a first sign of weakness, we will observe the price spending more time between the point of control and the Value area low of the current range, and if it falls below the 4-hour order block level of $22,287. In this case, we may expect the price to dip and test the daily level of $20,673. If this level does not hold, further downward price action may be expected.
ETHUSD - Potential ideaBINANCE:ETHUSD
Hello everyone!
🛎 Let check the trading idea for ETHUSD
🤗 Not making anything difficult everything is pretty straightforward.
👉 1. Price goes ABOVE the selected range on the picture. Long positions to activate. 🟢
👉 2. Price goes BELOW the selected range. below. Short positions to activate. 🔴
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⚠️ Important Notes:
1. Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. ❗️❗️❗️
2. Timeframes: up to H1
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😉 If you like the idea there was a like 🚀 and sign up so you can continue receiving great ideas like this one and also for us to make pattern the idea! 🤝
💪 Profitable lock for everyone! 🙏
Range trading: Forex as of 29/12/2021Calculations of the fluctuations range for the present day are published in this section. That is, at the very beginning of the day, you can determine the maximum and minimum of this day (with a known probability).
What does this information give? In fact, a lot. But first of all, these are guidelines for trade. For example, if during the day the price approaches the upper (lower) mark, you know that it won’t go above (below) this mark with a particular probability today. Accordingly, you can open a position opposite to the current movement, knowing in advance what the probability is to be profitable.
EURUSD
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.1257
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.1235
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.1213
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.1355
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.1377
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.1398
GBPUSD
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.3363
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.3334
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.3305
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.3496
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.3334
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.3305
USDJPY
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 114.35
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 114.13
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 113.92
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 115.25
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 115.47
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 115.68
Calculations are based on historical data, and there is no history recurrence on a specific day. We remind you that the indicated probabilities values aren't a 100% guarantee of risk-free trading.
Range trading: Cryptocurrencies as of 28/12/2021Calculations of the fluctuations range for the present day are published in this section. That is, at the very beginning of the day, you can determine the maximum and minimum of this day (with a known probability).
What does this information give? In fact, a lot. But first of all, these are guidelines for trade. For example, if during the day the price approaches the upper (lower) mark, you know that it won’t go above (below) this mark with a particular probability today. Accordingly, you can open a position opposite to the current movement, knowing in advance what the probability is to be profitable.
BTCUSD
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 48451
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 47609
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 46767
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 50956
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 51798
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 52640
ETHUSD
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 3832.60
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 3719.62
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 3606.64
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 4086.10
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 4199.08
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 4312.06
XRPUSD
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 0.8637
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 0.8387
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 0.8138
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 0.9293
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 0.9542
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 0.9792
Calculations are based on historical data, and there is no history recurrence on a specific day. We remind you that the indicated probabilities values aren’t 100% guarantee of risk-free trading.
Range trading: Forex as of 28/12/2021Calculations of the fluctuations range for the present day are published in this section. That is, at the very beginning of the day, you can determine the maximum and minimum of this day (with a known probability).
What does this information give? In fact, a lot. But first of all, these are guidelines for trade. For example, if during the day the price approaches the upper (lower) mark, you know that it won’t go above (below) this mark with a particular probability today. Accordingly, you can open a position opposite to the current movement, knowing in advance what the probability is to be profitable.
EURUSD
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.1272
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.1251
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.1229
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.1377
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.1399
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.1420
GBPUSD
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.3365
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.3337
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.3309
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.3506
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.3534
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.3562
USDJPY
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 114.40
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 114.18
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 113.97
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 115.31
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 115.53
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 115.74
Calculations are based on historical data, and there is no history recurrence on a specific day. We remind you that the indicated probabilities values aren't a 100% guarantee of risk-free trading.
Range trading: Cryptocurrencies as of 27/12/2021Calculations of the fluctuations range for the present day are published in this section. That is, at the very beginning of the day, you can determine the maximum and minimum of this day (with a known probability).
What does this information give? In fact, a lot. But first of all, these are guidelines for trade. For example, if during the day the price approaches the upper (lower) mark, you know that it won’t go above (below) this mark with a particular probability today. Accordingly, you can open a position opposite to the current movement, knowing in advance what the probability is to be profitable.
BTCUSD
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 48955
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 48050
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 47145
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 52682
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 53588
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 54493
ETHUSD
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 3884.50
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 3768.47
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 3652.43
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 4255.75
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 4371.78
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 4487.82
XRPUSD
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 0.8679
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 0.8406
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 0.8133
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 0.9767
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.0040
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.0312
Calculations are based on historical data, and there is no history recurrence on a specific day. We remind you that the indicated probabilities values aren’t 100% guarantee of risk-free trading.
Range trading: Forex as of 27/12/2021Calculations of the fluctuations range for the present day are published in this section. That is, at the very beginning of the day, you can determine the maximum and minimum of this day (with a known probability).
What does this information give? In fact, a lot. But first of all, these are guidelines for trade. For example, if during the day the price approaches the upper (lower) mark, you know that it won’t go above (below) this mark with a particular probability today. Accordingly, you can open a position opposite to the current movement, knowing in advance what the probability is to be profitable.
EURUSD
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.1263
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.1236
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.1210
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.1367
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.1394
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.1420
GBPUSD
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.3334
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.3300
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.3268
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.3465
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.3498
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.3531
USDJPY
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 113.93
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 113.65
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 113.37
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 114.85
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 115.13
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 115.41
Calculations are based on historical data, and there is no history recurrence on a specific day. We remind you that the indicated probabilities values aren't a 100% guarantee of risk-free trading.
Range trading: Forex as of 24/12/2021Calculations of the fluctuations range for the present day are published in this section. That is, at the very beginning of the day, you can determine the maximum and minimum of this day (with a known probability).
What does this information give? In fact, a lot. But first of all, these are guidelines for trade. For example, if during the day the price approaches the upper (lower) mark, you know that it won’t go above (below) this mark with a particular probability today. Accordingly, you can open a position opposite to the current movement, knowing in advance what the probability is to be profitable.
EURUSD
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.1270
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.1243
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.1216
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.1387
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.1413
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.1440
GBPUSD
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.3329
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.3296
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.3263
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.3483
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.3515
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.3548
USDJPY
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 113.93
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 113.66
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 113.39
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 114.89
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 115.16
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 115.43
Calculations are based on historical data, and there is no history recurrence on a specific day. We remind you that the indicated probabilities values aren't a 100% guarantee of risk-free trading.
Range trading: Forex as of 23/12/2021Calculations of the fluctuations range for the present day are published in this section. That is, at the very beginning of the day, you can determine the maximum and minimum of this day (with a known probability).
What does this information give? In fact, a lot. But first of all, these are guidelines for trade. For example, if during the day the price approaches the upper (lower) mark, you know that it won’t go above (below) this mark with a particular probability today. Accordingly, you can open a position opposite to the current movement, knowing in advance what the probability is to be profitable.
EURUSD
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.1274
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.1246
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.1218
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.1383
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.1411
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 11.1439
GBPUSD
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.3276
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.3244
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.3212
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.3423
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.3455
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.3487
USDJPY
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 113.61
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 113.96
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 112.71
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 114.65
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 115.10
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 115.55
Calculations are based on historical data, and there is no history recurrence on a specific day. We remind you that the indicated probabilities values aren't a 100% guarantee of risk-free trading.
Range trading: Forex as of 22/12/2021Calculations of the fluctuations range for the present day are published in this section. That is, at the very beginning of the day, you can determine the maximum and minimum of this day (with a known probability).
What does this information give? In fact, a lot. But first of all, these are guidelines for trade. For example, if during the day the price approaches the upper (lower) mark, you know that it won’t go above (below) this mark with a particular probability today. Accordingly, you can open a position opposite to the current movement, knowing in advance what the probability is to be profitable.
EURUSD
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.1227
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.1198
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.1168
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.1337
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.1367
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.1397
GBPUSD
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.3193
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.3161
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.3129
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.3331
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.3362
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.3394
USDJPY
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 113.55
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 112.09
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 112.63
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 114.58
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 115.03
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 115.49
Calculations are based on historical data, and there is no history recurrence on a specific day. We remind you that the indicated probabilities values aren't a 100% guarantee of risk-free trading.
Range trading: Forex as of 20/12/2021Calculations of the fluctuations range for the present day are published in this section. That is, at the very beginning of the day, you can determine the maximum and minimum of this day (with a known probability).
What does this information give? In fact, a lot. But first of all, these are guidelines for trade. For example, if during the day the price approaches the upper (lower) mark, you know that it won’t go above (below) this mark with a particular probability today. Accordingly, you can open a position opposite to the current movement, knowing in advance what the probability is to be profitable.
EURUSD
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.1182
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.1152
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.1122
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.1304
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.1334
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.1364
GBPUSD
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.3161
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.3128
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.3097
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 1.3305
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 1.3337
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 1.3369
USDJPY
Long position 1
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 113.06
Long position 2
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 95%) 112.61
Long position 3
(the price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 99%) 112.16
Short position 1
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 114.11
Short position 2
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 114.56
Short position 3
(the price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 115.00
Calculations are based on historical data, and there is no history recurrence on a specific day. We remind you that the indicated probabilities values aren't a 100% guarantee of risk-free trading.