Rangebreakout
EURUSD 4H How to use the 50/100 sma as your Price Action GuideThe 50 and 100 sma are my guides for price movement on my charts. Price trends, ranges or consolidates. When price moves in between the 50 and 100 sma I call that my in side range. Price can move quickly through both or mostly it will consolidate. If I enter an inside range trade I do not expect to have price momentum going through that space. Also many times price will move from one ma to the middle of the inside range and then return to that original ma and either cross back over that ma and continue moving away. Or price will make a second attempt to cross through the inside range to the other ma and complete it this time. When price is in a trend or a larger range it can be far away from these two ma's. Price will want to return to these ma's . Price will either bounce off the first ma and continue the trend or return to the range res/sup line. Or price will go through the inside range and continue on. In this case when price crosses the last ma it will move with momentum. I always look for the 800 ma on a 15m chart and see how long price has not touched it. So if price structure looks like the 800 sma could be a TP I use it. I also try to see if there is a larger range box price is moving back and forth in and use those sup/res lines as TP. If price moves up to the top of the larger range and makes new highs then possibly a new trend is starting. Watch for fake break outs from the range box so I usually will wait on the breakout for a break of the trendline - a hook back toward the trendline - and a go with continuation candle patterns with the new trend.
GBPUSD 4H Range BreakoutLong Breakout
Buy Stop @ 1.3355
TP @ 1.3445
Short Breakout
Sell Stop @ 1.3125
TP @ 800 sma
My bias is short because price is already below both ma's.
This is my own personal opinion concerning this pair. Comment below and tell us what you think will happen. It is great way to learn from one another with your experiences.
Ethereum quick long position on break-outETH
Hi everyone, it's been a while since my last idea as being a buyer of crypto-currency, the last month has not been kind to crypto-currency with the new regulations in China. However, as we enter the final quarter of the year, it seems crypto-currencies are headed for a recovery.
A long opportunity has presented itself on Ethereum as it has recently broken out of its range on four times it's moving average volume (shown by the orange vertical). Price retraced but failed to break back into the range under $298. Price then rebounded (candle under green vertical) acting as confirmation of the break-out. A >3 reward-to-risk position can be made as I believe the target price will move about the height of the range it was trading previously. The target is therefore at $338 with a tight stop just below the previous support that was in the trading range at $295.
On another note, as we enter October, Ripple is on my watch-list ahead of their highly self-promoted Swell event. I will definitely be sharing and updating my current ideas on Ripple very soon.
Thanks for reading
GBPUSD 4H Triangle & Range Box Breakout LongPair has broke long both the top Triangle Trendline and the top of the range box. I am watching to see if the market fails to progress higher and fails. It will fall or move sideways but if price comes back into the range box it will have a strong bearish momentum behind it. I have placed a sell stop @ 1.2978 to catch the fall. My TP is above the 23.6% fib @ 1.2890.
GBPJPY 4H Range BoundThis chart shows projections of possible moves for the GBPJPY 4 H this week. It is currently range bound. Looks like it may drift back to the bottom of the range. There it can bounce back into the range or make a possible breakout short. If a bounce then a move back to the top. At the top of the range box price can 1 - bounce back into the range if the timing for a trend continuation is not there yet. 2 -
It can break the top of the range but fail to progress the trend continuation of making higher highs and higher lows and fall back into the range box. 3 - If the market is ready for a bullish continuation then higher highs and higher lows will progress to be made.
EURHKD Long Breakout Re-testHere's a breakout reversal play for EURHKD. Price has been locked in a range for months and finally broken out. We want to wait for the price to re-test the support area before going long. Enter long on buy limit order or on buy stop with price action signal. As with any trade, nothing is guaranteed. Size accordingly and manage your risk. Happy trading!
XAU/USD: RANGE BREAKOUT - 1600 POTENTIAL PIPSAfter a relentless downward move, we see now nome kind of a pullback or pause in the trend.
There is still space to go down, for there is a magnet support at 4H timeframe (Blue line)
To confirm that the trend has resume, we need to see a strong breakout, and execute within the plan rules.
As you can see the price already broke the counter trend line giving us some selling bias
In this case be aggressive with the breakeven, we don't want to be part of an exhaustion climax at the support
BEARISH CONTINUATION USDCHFUSD/CHF has been trading within a small range for the last couple of days as it struggled to breach the countertrend line. however even though it is still within that range it has again closed below and retested the trend line and is looking like it is picking up some downward momentum with a strong bearish engulfing on the daily chart. a breach of 0.95910 would set up an aggressive selling oppourtunity down into short term target at 0.94660. a more conservative trader should wait for a close below the previous break at 0.95707.
GBPAUD: The Uptrend ContinuesHi trader,
GBPAUD has been in a strong uptrend for the last two weeks. The breakout of 1.9450 suggests to me that this pair is likely to continue higher into next week. Trend following traders may already be long on the break (if so, well done, now just hold on!). If you have missed it, a more conservative play is to wait for a pullback to the breakout point of 1.9450 and look for buying opportunities.
If you don't regularly trade Pound Aussie be aware that it is a rather volatile crosspair and can easily move 100 pips in a short period of time (like it did 5 minutes ago with RBA rate statement release).
Good trading and have a great weekend,
Luke