EURUSD DAILY TRADE Hi all
As of right now, what I can tell is that there is a whipsaw pattern before the peak, with the highest price being 1.09308 and the lowest being 1.08350.
I'm interested in trading at the levels 1.09031 and 1.09308. Before reentering the market, watch for a rejection at the 1.098533 level if the peak is broken.
Share your thoughts
My trading strategy isn't intended to be used as a signal service. It's a process of gaining knowledge of market structure and improving my trading abilities.
Like and subscribe and happy trading to all
Rangetrader
XAUUSD : SWING TRADE hello traders
I'm looking for a 50% retracement after rocket up from the low of 1676.866 and the high of 1949.260.
My trading strategy isn't intended to be used as a signal service. It's a process of gaining knowledge of market structure and improving my trading abilities.
Like and subscribe and happy trading to all
USDJPY WEEKLY TRADE Hello traders
I'm looking for a 50% retracement after falling from the high of 151.946 and the low of 127.227.
My trading strategy isn't intended to be used as a signal service. It's a process of gaining knowledge of market structure and improving my trading abilities.
Like and subscribe and happy trading to all
USOIL WEEKLY TRADEHello
Last week's price broke the level of consolidation at 81.44, so let's see if 77.76 will hold or if it will drop to 71.
Share your thoughts
My trading strategy isn't intended to be used as a signal service. It's a process of gaining knowledge of market structure and improving my trading abilities.
Like and subscribe and happy trading to all
GBPJPY WEEKLY UPDATE Hi trader
The GBPJPY is still moving within the consolidation area between the lowers 155.350 and the high 162.222.
The market ended the weekend with a high of 161.802 and a low of 159.587.
Therefore, if this price goes up next week, it could break the consolidation and close at 163.
My trading strategy isn't intended to be used as a signal service. It's a process of gaining knowledge of market structure and improving my trading abilities.
Like and subscribe and happy trading to all
Calling all Range Traders...Good Evening Traders,
I hope you're doing well today. I wanted to give a quick update and clarification. As you can see in the chart above I had created 2 boxes. These are ranges I believe we will continue to stay in until the price discovery is more certain and market decides whether we're in a Bear or a Bull Market. Now, it's rarely talked about, because a lot of traders and investors see things in black and white, bull or bear, up or down; when really there's another direction and classification that I'd like to speak about. It has other names, but I call it a Ranging Market; this is when the market trades in ranges rather than trends; trends being uptrends (bull - HH & HL's) or downtrends (bear - LL & LH's) .
What is a Ranging Market?
Ranging Market's are opposite of Trending Markets (bull or bear), ones in which the price continues to move between higher prices and lower prices; the price action is range bound and moves mostly sideways. The range of prices can be small or large.
If it's small price movement, it's typically referred to as chop, consolidation, or more plainly, 'sideways action'. Most only consider it for a short period, such as hours or days, but in reality they can last weeks or months.
Now why the brief lesson on ranging vs trending markets? I believe we're in one, and they require a change to both analysis and trading techniques; we can skip the latter.Assuming I'm correct, which I could be wrong, knowing that we're in a Ranging Market (for likely a week or 2 more) should dampen the idea that a big breakout to the up or downside is right around the corner and any wave analysis may need some adjustments as well.
With all that said, the above chart, which is still just a continuation of my January chart , shows the levels I believe we're still ranging. Let the 200MA be your guide.
As the chart above shows , the H&S top (mid-candle right where the arrow down is on the left) that resulted in the 1st Lower Low (LL) shown, then moves up to hit a double top budding up against the 200MA resistance, then dropping to a recent Lowest Low around 410, bounced with high Relative Volume up... Went just above the trendline, pops back down quickly forming a double bottom... another weekly run up to the 200MA with a little more bullish confidence, moving just over the 200 to hit a fib/resistance for what looks like another bounce (although it is still hugging the 200MA, so we could see another try by the bulls, otherwise) toward the trendline around 439 or if that breaks 435-432.
Just looking at the PA one might think, well obviously, it's a bear market..20% pullback..Going to tank soon...While the Bulls see we just hit a recent lowest low, that must have been the bottom... Neither are what I see. I see a bullish runup to the double bottom almost identical to the breakdown that followed, then a bullish gap-up, bearish gap-down, and yet again another bullish runup... Are we seeing a pattern here?
Anyway, I hope you're doing well, whichever side of the trade you choose to be on.
Comment, like, share, support, follow, etc.
Cheers,
Mike
(UPRIGHT TRADING)
Referenced January chart:
Learn the Range Trader Strategy | Part 1 - The LevelsIn this lesson, I discuss the important levels to know for the Range Trader Futures Trading Strategy.
The indicators on the chart that produce these levels and values are the following:
1) The "T-Line" is a 233 period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) | Built-ins >> Indicators
2) The prior session highs and lows are plotted using the 4C Yest HLC/O indicator | Community Scripts >> Search for the script name
3) The overnight or Globex highs and lows are plotted using the High/Low Of Custom Session indicator | Community Scripts >> Search for the script name
4) Volume Point of Control (VPOC) is calculated with a Session Volume HD script | Built-ins > Volume Profile (These scripts require a paid TradingView plan)
Now for the levels ...
Identify the prior session high and low.
Identify the overnight high and low.
Identify the prior session VPOC.
(Current session VPOC is noted only if the overnight range exceeds 50% ATR prior to the U.S. stock market open).
Identify if price is above or below the T-Line (233 EMA), indicating a bull/bear continuation or bull/bear neutral pattern.
Identify the 7-day Average True Range (ATR) for the instrument/product you are trading.
Follow Me here on TradingView to be alerted to the next videos in the series that go into set-ups, signals, and entries for the Range Trader based on these levels.
Bitcoin: BTCUSD Key levels today -7717 the likely pivot for dayBitcoin: BTCUSD Update Range trading for now but overall positive above 7717
A good space for day traders, trading between the lines of support and resistance, which continue to work quite well, so
far, just as they have done over the last couple of weeks now. But for swing traders Bitcoin gave the first unreliable
technical signal for quite a while - that break below 7531 was the first heart-breaker, the first time this beautiful creature
has let us down, technically speaking, for a long time...and it's looking more and more false as each minute ticks away now.
Day traders at least had the next support line at 7426 to close out shorts, but swing traders looking to short off the next
rally back to 7531 (with stops 50 points above) - a technically sound trade - will have been swept away. Apologies.
Even more annoying, with all this price action overnight there was no guidance to get long again and buys at 7531 had
already likely been stopped out - so many have missed a large part of this move up from 7531 now, me too, and it's extremely
frustrating and annoying. Occasionally Bitcoin can mess with the best laid plans for the weekend.
We are where we are. Back on the trail.
Looks like it will grind away to the top at 7990-8000 again. Thankfully it's trading back above 7717, the freezer lid level
which will continue to play an important role this weekend. Whilst above here Bitcoin is still wanted, but under that line
not so much. As bears won the day in the end yesterday and China did indeed drive the price lower through the first
couple of hours of their session, but that break below 7531 screwed up a perfect entry for this next challenge on the
highs. Damn. Move on. Play the range on low volumes or await a possible break above 8000, which will need high
volume to make it happen. Probably only Chinese buying power can achieve this over a weekend, so the first couple
of hours of their seession could pay dividends, maybe...
Bitcoin is positive above 7717 and whilst above here will try to grind towards the highs where it becomes
a sell again for day traders playing the range. And if at some point we see 8000 broken, it should be followed, as per
weekend breakout (last comment). The space between 7717 and 8000 belongs to day traders. As is the space below 7717
down to 7531. So 7717 is now the likely pivot for the day - should this fail at any point later it turns negative again in
near term back to 7531 - where it becomes a buy again with stops 50 points below. Because of that signal break below
7531 it makes 7717 even more important for Bitcoin from here. It really is the freezer lid today by look of things.
All good above, potentially turning over into bad below.