Rangetrading
GOLD buy trade setup using price action, how far can it go???It has been said ever since people were allowed to trade to "trade with the trend" and "the trend is your friend". Although there is logic to this the market unfortunately doesn't always trend and in fact spends most of its time in ranges and channels.
The market environment changes all the time and it's why so many traders struggle with their trading because they do not understand what market environment they're currently in. Price action traders can have an advantage in this regard because they want to see the structure that the price action has laid out as the leading indicator of where price could potentially go next.
As you can see from the 15 Minute chart on Gold, it has been in roughly a $22.00 range for around the last 2 weeks. Although it has been in a longer term uptrend in general, using ranges can help you a lot to work out a higher potential level to enter, while also managing your downside risk.
What we can see is a bullish head & shoulders pattern complete right at the lows of the range which can be seen on the higher time frames, why we like the position of this specific price pattern is because, not only is it pointing to the right side of the larger trend direction which can enable you to jump in on the move. You also get a location that if you are wrong then your stop loss can be placed just below the pattern which also would also lie under the range floor so you can manage smaller risk on this trade.
If you missed this setup then by being patient, price ends up showing you another opportunity with the same bullish head & shoulder pattern that completes just after the initial drive higher from the lows.
When trading any price pattern you should always wait for it to complete first without jumping in too early, but it's the higher inner trend line that we like to use (in the case of a bullish pattern) as our entry point as this can help show more strength in the pattern while also precisely showing you where to enter on the top side retest marked with green arrows.
Even if price doesn't continue in the longer term trend, you can initially target the top of the range and potentially scale out a percentage of your trade to lock in some profits.
We will be keeping a close eye on Gold and watch for any pullbacks that can allow for another bullish price pattern to form potentially indicating another opportunity for a manageable trade.
USDCAD - Range to break out to the downside Expecting USDCAD to break to the downside of the current range. My earlier idea published for a sell limit was cancelled as price began to fall.
I now look to enter a short on breakout. Looking to take profit at the next level of support.
Great R:R, stops can be placed above the psychological level at around 1.35200!
COCA-COLA 1D RANGE TRADESRanges are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Ranges are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
Whatever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
$HUN daily #chart with potential triple bullish #breakout$HUN stock price has been range trading / consolidating for 12 months inside the purple rectangle (with the exception of 2 failed breakout attempts in FEB and APR 2019)
After the summer bottom around the end of AUG'19 stock has rallied towards the top of the range around 23.81 but failed to breakout and instead started to form an ascending triangle ( dotted black lines )
Company posted earnings in late OCT'19 and since then the price is trading inside a symmetrical triangle (blue lines)
As seen on the chart the price will reach the tip of both triangles soon, so watch the stock for a potential BREAKOUT AND CLOSE above the resistance line at 23.81
Targets are as follows:
T1 - 26.85 measured move from the symmetrical triangle
T2 - 29.13 measured move from the ascending triangle
T3 - 30.04 measured move from the rectangle
As a side anecdote GS just upgraded the stock to strong BUY and 29.00 target, so don't know if is good or bad :)
Good luck,
TA
EURCAD 1D RANGE TRADESRanges are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Ranges are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
Short-Term USDJPY TradeUSDJPY is trading within a triangle right now. At present, USDJPY is at a resistive trendline, presenting bears with an opportunity to short the pair until the triangle's supportive trendline. Be sure to use proper risk management.
Be sure to follow me for more idea and analyses. Leave a comment and a like with your thoughts below.
Best of luck traders!
Gold in consolidation mode before next big moveHello Traders!!! Hope you are doing well.
As I am seeing gold at this stage is trying to consolidate above 1800 levels. The last time at this levels was in 2011 when the price was coming down from the maximum and never got passed these levels again, so it is a strong resistance.
On short term you can trade this channel by selling from the top with 10-15 dollars take profit and buy from the bottom with the same profits. For bigger movements wait for the price to break above or bellow the channel shown on the chart and then trade the direction.
How I am trading gold at this stage is sell from the top of the range. I see better risk to reward ratio by selling the tops but this is my opinion.
Share your thoughts and ideas in the comment section. Let's grow together!!!
Good luck out there.
CADJPY Long NowCADJPY is currently on a supportive trendline and is showing signs of rejection, presenting an opportunity for bulls to go long now. However, bulls should note that CADJPY has been trading in a range for the past month, meaning a breakout could occur soon. For this reason, a stop loss will be placed a few pips below the supportive trendline, and a target at the resistance zone around 79.600
This gives us a +-1 to 3 risk to reward ratio. Use proper risk management and trade wisely.
Be sure to follow me for more ideas and analyses, your support is highly appreciated.
Best of luck traders!
XAUUSD H1Gold/XAUUSD H1 is on the neutral side. Don't buy or sell until we gold is breaking any zone or range that mentioned in the red box. If range break at upside we are seeing buying movement till upper resistance and if range break at below we are seeing sell movement till below support.
XAGUSD 1D RANGE TRADESRanges are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Ranges are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
Whatever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
AMD 1D RANGE TRADESRanges are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Ranges are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
Whatever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
BTCUSD - Price Stability is here - What is next ?Since my last publication back in April , price has performed pretty much as expected.
We did close a little above the 9.2K level at the end of May, but we could consider that within the error margin. This month we attempted to break higher, but 10K seems like a hard stop and by now we are back below the 9.2k key level.
Bitcoin price is very stable as we have been trading in the 6.4 - 9.2K range for the last 10 months. The global economy is still suffering because of the COVID-19 crisis though and it does not seem that a recovery is anywhere near, despite all stimulus from governments. Bitcoin has been proven very correlated to the stock markets since the March crash and I don't expect that to change anytime soon.
So what is up for the coming months ?
The effect of the supply shock is not felt yet in the BTC markets despite a lot of OTC buying. As far as the Plustoken BTC stash, I understood they still should have around 22.000 BTC to get rid of and everytime price comes near the 10k level we see a good sell off which indicates that they do not want to sell at any price.
So, if the stimulus continues and the market continues to react as they have done in the last couple of months, we can expect price to continue ranging within a narrow band, and everytime we come near 10K see a bunch of BTC dumped on the market until they run out of BTC to sell.
With the OTC buying continuing we probably can expect the OTC exchanges to run out of BTC sooner or later as well, and at some point this year they might have to replenish.
Q3 starting the day after tomorrow and keeping the above in mind, it looks like we'll have to wait till Q4 2020 or even Q1 2021 before we see the start of the rally and a breakout above 10K.
But hey, this is bitcoin, anything can happen ! :)
What are your thoughts ? Let me know what you think in the comments below.
Oh, and if you think this analysis is useful, a like would be appreciated :)
#staysate #tradesafe
Back in Action - BTC/USDQuick take from a different perspective than usual.
Crazy range since May chopping up many market participants.
Looking for an ultimate revisit of my 'range low' here around 8400.
Possible bounce to 9090 - 9200 then further down.
Looking for signs of support at 9100 for chance of further upside.
Will look to take a fresh macro EW overview soon.
XAUUSD GOLD 1D RANGE TRADESRanges are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Ranges are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
Whatever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
Breakout - BNT/USDT will push price too highBreakout - BNT/USDT will push price too high (it will hit his oldest highest price ever) 30 min timeframe!
My Poposition Entry : 0.9824
My Poposition Target : 1.0688
My Poposition Stop Loss: 0.9121
You can ask your question or your comment about this analysis in comment section!
AUDCAD - Simple range shortH4 analysis on AUDCAD shows price ranging between the 0.94000 - 0.93000 psychological levels since the beginning of the month.
Price action at the resistance area (long wicks, spinning tops/dojis) indicates price is struggling to break higher.
100+ pip drop potential, targeting the bottom of the range, in line with the 100 EMA where price may reject.