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Ratesrising

November Midterms + Bear Market Rally I believe we'll see a ferocious rally that will shock everyone and make everyone bullish again - but this will just be a bear market rally (this is my thinking unless we break below 800B) There is still a very good chance we continue down towards 500B MC and sit there for the next 12-18 months but I am not leaning too heavily on the short side at the moment. The democrats need something on their side, they don't have the market - everything comes down to whether they raise rates at the next meeting. 100bp points increase = market dump 75bp points increase = market dump 50bp points increase = market rally's hard Even the most bearish people agree we're due for a rally - even if it is a bear market rally - if we do get this rally it'll be the last one until we go into a long bear market/depression (this will be your last chance to exit your trades in crypto/equities)
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by InvestingIdeas9
EURNZD: As rates increase, the currency growsNew Zealand national bank increased rates from 0.25 to 0.50 points. It doesn't take a genius to imagine how that impacts the price of the EURNZD pair. With higher interest rates, it is more beneficial for the banks to hold NZD. Plus this pair was in a downtrend before that. The most recent lows are broken ( dashed green ). A somewhat recent low meets a 2019 swing low of around 1.63 - this could be a temporary stop for the price ( green, transparent green ). A descending channel could be drawn here stretching from this June 2021 till Now. If I project its biggest breakout under the channel's angle, I will get the same support around 1.63 If the market believes that European Central Bank may increase the rates as well, the price should make another short-term bottom there. If it does, one of the broken supports will be tested, perhaps it will even reach the middle of the channel. Is it likely though? Indebted Italy and Greece would be in trouble if the rates on their debts increased further. I don't know about future fundamentals, but I think some long entries will be found in the area - especially on lower timeframes and I plan to join!
by OrcChieftain
1
Look out below Short the Market, Long SPXSAs the 10YR Treasury yield surpasses the average dividend yield of the S&P at 1.5%, risk assets will lose their shiny appeal and become a much scarier thing to hold. As rates rise, growth companies usually don't do as well since they can't borrow money as cheaply to fuel their rapid expansions. If you look at the all-time 10yr Treasury Bill it looks like we are on trend to retest an old resistance line, which is at about the 2.39% range. If it were to hit that, there would be a huge flight from equities into fixed income because then decent returns could be achieved while remaining safe. To play this, go long SPXS. It is levered 3x to the downside for the S&P 500; so every percent the SPX drops, SPXS rises 3%. Maybe 1 to 3% of your portfolio since it is levered 3 times. 10YR retesting resistance trend line 10YR could hit 2.39%; towering over the SPX's average yield of 1.5% This is not investment advice, do your own due diligence and gauge your own risk tolerance.
AMEX:SPXSShort
by EBITDAtiger
5