USDCAD - Fib confluence at minor structure levelI'm a brand new trader learning technical analysis and I would love to get some feedback from more experienced traders.
In this chart I saw the head&shoulders pattern. After this completed, we reached a 0.382 retracement back up and now the market is (in my humble opinion) going down to a minor structure level at the 1.272 and 1.618 extension confluence around 1.0902.
Thanks for sharing your thoughts on my analysis.
Ratio
USDCAD - potential 2618 tradeDaily - Market was in downtrend from March to July, before rallying back up and stalled at 50% retracement of the downtrend. That is also a resistance zone if we look left.
H4 - We can see a double top formation with price broken below the neckline around 1.09 and is now potentially retracing upward towards 61.8% fib retracement for a 2618 trade. Will be looking to short at the sell zone to be in line with daily trend.
EURAUD 4 HR: Pattern Entry for Trend ContinuationI'm looking at two things here on the EURAUD. Bigger picture is a potential bearish trend continuation trade as price action looks to make a retracement into a previous shelf of structure.
Around that same level lays a potential bearish butterfly pattern completing at 1.618 & 1.272 Fibonacci confluence. Adding to that we have more ratio confluence in the form of a 78.6 & 50% Fibonacci retracements from previous structure highs.
Just for a little added confidence this potential butterfly would complete a the 1.44000 which is a psychological round number.
If you didn't see it already (shame on you, lol) I broke down this trade in my most recent Weekend Review video on YouTube. www.youtube.com
Today's my off day, but I wish you guys a great week of trading!
Akil
NZDUSD Looking for a little Relief It hasn't been the best of weeks for me and I'm certainly fighting through a drawdown, but that's trading for you. The way I see it is you can either continue to follow your plan and fight through it, or given in and miss the opportunities that can potentially dig you out.
This isn't the best opportunity at the moment, but it could be depending on how price reacts on my lower timeframe (1HR). What I'm looking at is a 1:1 measured move coming down into a previous structure level (look left) and a 1.618 fib extension. Keep in mind as a counter-trend trader I'm not looking for a big reversal, just a little relief that will allow me to make some profit.
Now there's not much protection here on the daily, simply a zone. So what I will do is watch this closely on the hourly and look for a conservative reason to enter. A double bottom where the rsi is oversold and divergence is present would be a perfect example. This allows me to have my protective stops in a place that is safe, but doesn't mean me taking on a lot of risk. (Similar to what we did with the gbpusd this morning Syndicate Members).
Not sure if or where the double bottom will complete but stops underneath the 85 even handle looks like a good spot. But again it all depends on what price action does.
For you guys that follow me on youtube, I apologize about not posting my normal Thursday video. I'll probably have it up tonight or over the weekend. We'll see, it's been a busy week. Have a great weekend traders.