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SPX to Copper ratio short to medium term predictionsIts real simple, I'm looking for a bounce off of about -136 on on balance volume (OBV) on or around the 1st of November. Before a return to +52.7 OBV on April 2023. I don't want to go into all the details but on 2nd march 2020 53.27 acted as support. This area is critical it acted as resistance on 2nd Jan 2018 and 1st Nov 2018. There seems to be a 4 year cycle with 3 time cycles within it. Take it for what you will and action it as you want. Just an idea to use it as a medical bill of health for the economy!
SP:SPX
by kylesutherlandsmith45
2
Nasdaq’s past is a timely reminder.The Nasdaq 100 Index has had an incredible run, rewarding long-term investors with massive outperformance over the past 20 years. But as traders we want to position ourselves to benefit from short-term events as well. Look closer at the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and Russell 2000, you’ll find a similar setup to today, just 22 years prior, where the Nasdaq was trading incredibly rich compared to the S&P 500 and the Russell. We can also look at the ratio of the Nasdaq vs its peers to understand on a relative basis, how expensive or cheap the index is trading. Currently, both ratios still trade close to the 2000s high, a critical level where the ratio topped out and then crashed in a dramatic fashion thereafter. From a timing perspective, the Nasdaq 100/S&P 500 ratio took roughly 30 months to bottom out while the Nasdaq 100/Russell 2000 ratio took 27 months. With the current decline only 9 months young, we expect more pain for Nasdaq for quite a while longer. On a shorter timeframe, we see the 2 ratios near or at critical levels. The Nasdaq 100/S&P 500 ratio seems to have completed a double top, broken the neckline, and then come back to retest the neckline before being clearly rejected. This allows us to be comfortably bearish on the ratio. As for the Nasdaq 100/Russell 2000, the ratio is currently trading close to a major support level, the break of which will likely send it tumbling down. To set up this trade, we could: - Short 1 Nasdaq 100 Futures contract (NQZ2 Index) - Long 1 S&P 500 Futures (ESZ2 Index) However, this trade has certain risks as the dollar value effect of a 1-point move in the Nasdaq 100 ($20) is different from a 1-point move in the S&P500 ($50). Therefore, another way to set up this spread trade would be to: - Short 5 Nasdaq 100 Futures contract (NQZ2 Index) - Long 2 S&P 500 Futures (ESZ2 Index) Where the dollar value of the position is equal whether the Nasdaq or S&P moves by 1 point. Trading this spread would be eligible for a margin offset of up to 70%, meaning that the capital required to set up this trade is low. We think the Nasdaq’s past behavior might be back to haunt investors, hence we prefer to be on the short side, whether using the outright short or a spread to express our view. The charts above were generated using CME’s Real-Time data available on TradingView. Inspirante Trading Solutions is subscribed to both TradingView Premium and CME Real-time Market Data which allows us to identify trading set-ups in real-time and express our market opinions. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Disclaimer: The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. Reference: www.cmegroup.com
TVC:NDQShort
by inspirante
4
COFORGE , starting UPTREND after retesting hey guys , COFORGE stock is showing signs of UPTREND, this stock was moving in a fixed downtrend , 2-3 weeks before this stock has crossed it's RESISTANCE and broke the DOWNTREND AREA . After breaking that area , the stock has retested But instead of going into a straight uptrend , this stock started to follow a pattern called TRIANGLE PATTERN and now this stock has CROSSED the RESISTANCE of that TRIANGLE PATTERN , and a big green candle is presented by this stock . therefore guys , i suggest you that try to grap this stock and earn high returns . ( but it is not sure that you will achieve your target if stop loss is hit , pls cut ur position) i have marked the RR RATIO , TARGET AND STOP LOSS BUT FIRST CONSIDER THE GLOBAL MARKET SITUATIONS 1. INFLATION 2. WAR 3. RISING BANK RATES AFTER CONSIDERING THESE SITUATIONS, YOU CAN BUY THIS STOCK 😀😀
NSE:COFORGELong
by TRADERS_AREA
HDFC BANK has retested, and showing BULLISH signs hey guys , just found a good stock to talk about , HDFC BANK was moving in a great downtrend . This stock was following a pattern called DESCENDING TRIANGLE 📐 PATTERN previously also , this stock has tried to cross his resistance and to break hi pattern, but it FAILED and it resulted to BULL TRAP for TRADERS but now this stock has again broke his resistance and pattern , and now I think that this stock will be successful in BREAKING HIS PATTERN , because there is no place left for this stock to continue his pattern , therefore , from my opinion you can bet on this stock and earn high returns , i have marked the RR RATIO , TARGET AND SL y'all can trade according to this RR RATIO ( IF U WANT TO ) otherwise, you can adjust it accordingly. BUT PLS CONSIDER THE GLOBAL MARKET SITUATIONS 1. INFLATION 2. WAR 3. RISING BANK RATES ( IMPORTANT FOR THIS STOCK ) 😀😀 HDFC BANK
NSE:HDFCBANKLong
by TRADERS_AREA
Risk:Reward Ratio. What is it?Risk to reward ratio. What is it? What does it mean and how do we use it? Now, if you made it to the point where you're here on TradingView, there's a good chance that you have heard about Risk to Reward ratio. Today, I want to dive into what it really means and how to actually utilize it. I see so many beginners missing out on huge profits and opportunities because of their risk reward ratio and I want to share my knowledge of this tool and how to actually use it in the future. Firstly, let's dive into what is the risk/reward ratio? The RR ratio is a tool that can accurately predict by expected returns based off of previous results. This tool measures how much reward you are estimated to gain based off of the dollar amount you risk. For example, if you have a risk to reward ratio of 1:3, it means for every $1 you risk, you will gain a return of $3 in the event of a positive trade. Using the same example in the FX market, let's say you're risking 10 pips on EURUSD, your take profit is at 30 pips. This means you gain 30 pips in the event of a win, lose 10 pips in the event of a loss, giving you a 1:3 risk/reward ratio. This is a very powerful tool because compared with the win rate and in correlation, you can actually predict based off of your previous results, you're expected returns on investment. Being able to predict what you're expected returns are are great way of giving you milestone targets, but also when you're looking at getting funded with prop firms, you also know what you are actually able to achieve in what time frame. Now, it goes without saying, the higher your risk to reward ratio, the less you need to win in order to maintain profitability. The opposite, the lower your risk reward ratio, the higher win rate is required to maintain profitability. But this is where we get into where I find beginners struggle. A lot of people will base their strategies on their risk/reward ratios, which is understandable if you're building the strategy from scratch. If you're using a prebuilt strategy or something that doesn't really correlate with risk/reward ratio. Then it makes it obsolete and just confusing. Going back to my first point, risk to reward ratio is a tool that you can use to estimate future potential returns based off of previous results. Let's say you have 100 trades worth of data. You can accurately have a look at what is your risk to reward ratio is and compare that with your win rate. From there you can make a decision whether or not that is a profitable strategy. On top of that, you can then start to look to improve either your win rate and risk to reward ratio, knowing that that is an area that needs improvement. When it comes to improving your risk to reward ratio, one thing that always grinds my gears with traders, is when they enter a trade, they'll set their stop loss and take profits based on their risk to reward ratio not based on the actual analytics of the trade. While I understand this and with some strategies, this can work. For most, they end up setting those take profits in areas that is just realistically is going to be really hard for the price to get to. What professionals do when trying to improve the risks of reward ratio is only take those setups where a good take profit is viable around that level of risk to reward. For example, in this chart, we are looking at buying the USDCAD over the next couple of weeks. We like this setup. We've had our entry signal and we're going to place a stop loss below that recent low, which was created early last week. We are not happy with our risk to reward ratio. We think we're leaving too much profit on the table and want to increase our overall results. So I'm only taking trades that have close to a three to one risk to reward ratio. But as you can see by this chart that dotted lines are areas of resistance which we are going to have to break in order to achieve that level of profitability. There are 5 different zones we are going to have to get through in order for my take profit to be hit, it is fair to say the odds are not in my favor. Now a beginner Trader will still enter this trade with the same take profit and the same stop loss and just hold on. The reason they'll do that is because they want the 1:3 risk reward ratio. They don't care where the profit target is. What matters is it is 3 times worth what they're risking. On the other hand, A professional trader will actually either let this trade go and not enter it, or look for another entry point later on on smaller timeframes to where you can fit that risk to reward ratio and you're not going to hit the high levels of resistance. To sum up what my point is, risk to reward ratio is a very powerful tool to understand what you are capable of the trader and also where you can improve. It is not a valid take profit selection strategy. Yes, it can definitely help with guidelines on where to set your take profit, but it should not be the sole reason your take profit is set at a certain price just because it is X amount whatever you are risking. Have a look at what the chart is telling you and what your analysis is telling you. Then, only take the trades which coincide with the risk to reward ratio. You want to achieve. I hope you enjoyed this insight and I hope it was beneficial to you. I recommend highly diving into your previous trading data. Have a look at your win rate. Have a look at your risk reward ratio and understand what your profitability expectation really is and base your future decisions off of that data. Have a fantastic trading we can I look forward to seeing your comments. - Jordon
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by the5erstrading
5
PCC - Options Volumes 71% DeclineLiquidity within Leveraged products was used to provide a bid for the Underlying on Gamma/Delta. With the overall decline in participation, we are seeing Micro Range Squeezes develop when it is "Time". Friday's trade was a run to Square, and with the Retail Options players levered up in 420 Spy Calls... there was no chance they would be paid. The PCC remains useful although in a tighter range from .86 to 1.12. Looking over the June 17s - "an Entity is looking for a deep correction of 20%+" maximum-pain.com
P
by HK_L61
BTC to GOLD ratio shows bottom could be close !This ratio has proven to be effective at least 4 times since the secular Bitcoin bull market has started: JAN 2015 - AUG 2015 - DEC 2018 - MAR 2020 Will it show the way in JUN 2022 ? Odds favour it might be so ! Either the ratio touched the 7 year ascending trendline (JAN 2015 - AUG 2015 - MAR 2020) Or the RSI of the ratio reached deeply oversold levels (DEC 2018) In JUN 2022 we will have both (ratio touting the trendline AND RSI reaching very oversold levels) ! Moreover the ratio will touch the previous ATH of DEC 2017 (indicated by the light blue horizontal line). This had already happened in AUG 2016 when the ATH in the ratio functioned as support. Please note the light blue arrow !! So now we have 3 indicators converging !! In JUN 2022 we will have ratio support line, RSI at around 30 and the previous ATH giving support ! PERSONALLY I think we will hold these levels ! * Shout out to Christopher Aron for showing me the important BTC GOLD ratio 7 year trendline !!
CRYPTOCAP:BTCLong
by Dangermousebanana
2
Litecoin continues to gather momentum to the upside.Following on from the LTC/BTC trade I posted a few days back. I believe we are seeing a building of momentum to the upside. Examining the daily candles, we are seeing continuous strong green candles. I believe that this is a great consolidation zone to accumulate litecoin cheap. Although not financial advice the way I have undertaken this trade is using Binance cross 3x LTC/BTC. This is one of my strongest conviction swing trades at present. I believe the underlying risk to the downside is limited to a low risk level. With large upside if this trade is undertaken and pushed by larger market actors. Litecoin also has a significantly lower market cap than most cryptos being pushed in the market.
Long
by FortunaAlgoAnalytics
3
Pulse of an asset via Fibonacci: ZM bottom on Genesis 2.618 ?Assets have many Impulses in a lifetime, but only one "Genesis Pulse". Genesis as in "birth", programmed with all of the DNA it will ever have. That Impulse determines the "Sequence" of growth spurts and retraces. Imagine it this way: - Each person that buys some, tells on average 1.618 others to buy. - Like an undulating insect swarm, there will be waves of decisions. - As the swarm grows, the waves' amplitudes grow by 1.618 multiples. At first the swarm blindly "trips" over each of the levels. But soon comes to "remember" the exact position of each. "Indicators" record the turning points, for newborns to see. The 2.618 extension is always a strong one. That magic is simple: 1.618 x 1.618 = 2.618. Thus a strong turn at $105.92 is worth noting. IF the bottom is anywhere NEAR here, then THIS is it. . I do not use "Fibs" in the "traditional" manner (retracements). I use Fibs to plot "Ripples" (extensions) created by "Impulses". Then look for "Confluences" to map the "interference Pattern". My TV collection of ideas detailing the Concepts: Chapter 1: Introduction and numerous Examples Chapter 2: Detailed views and Wave Analysis Chapter 3: The Dreaded 9.618: Murderer of Moves Chapter 4: Impulse Redux: Return to Birth place Chapter 5: Golden Growth: Parabolic Expansions Chapter 6: Give me a ping Vasili: 'one' Ping only Chapter 7: The Mighty 2.618: like a Rook in Chess .
NASDAQ:ZM
by EuroMotif
1
$ZIM looking to open a long positionIt seems that the stock has reached an oversold level and its right above the support level at approximately 60$ I am thinking of opening a long position. Great value trade in my opinion and as the market is flashing red again it might be a good option. In terms of fundamentals the company has terrific PE and forward PE ratios, great ROI, ROE, ROA and great margins. In an environment where inflation runs super hot thats a company that I believe will capitalize on it and improve their margins. Let me know your thoughts on $ZIM they have a crazy dividend yield as well which I am not sure if its a good sign at they are close to 20% dividend yield which seems a bit to much.
NYSE:ZIMLong
by Louk_Min
6
Double Tap.exe on the StableCoins Market CapThis is an experimental indicator I created. The idea is very simple - I believe there's a positive correlation between stable coins issuance and BTC's(and other coins) price appreciation. Rising levels == buying power. For the last 2 years it managed to spot local tops/bottoms. We just had a double tap on the line, which is very similar to June - July 2021 development, which marked the local bottom. Take it as you will, as always :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by FiveMillionMax
10