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Ratiotrading

IWM/SPX spread - Long smallcapsBeen watching for a reversal of the trend between the 2 indexes and a breakout of this bullish falling wedge for a while. Fundamentally it made sense to look for this breakout result because of the looming interest rate cuts and frothy bond yields since the start of the year. Small caps are highly sensitive to such things. Long IWM or TNA is the play on this breakout. But the best value will be found in heavily beaten down individual small caps. If you want to hedge against a market correction long small caps short large would be the other play.
AMEX:IWMLong
by cc1
1
Using TSLA/NVDA spread to find cluesIn yellow is the TSLA/NVDA spread or ratio, and here it shows the jump off the all time lows with the huge price spike post Musk vote. With spread charts you can gain clues on future price action based on the other ticker. For the continued TSLA bull case, we get a pull back in the ratio to form the right shoulder of the IHS and then continue upwards. In that case as long as NVDA continues to consolidate or trend up TSLA will remain bullish too (and outperform).
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by cc1
4
TBT / TLT T Bill Inverse TreasuriesOn this daily chart of the ratio of TBT ( Treasury Bills Bearish ) to TLT ( the inverse Bullish) over time. This serves to accentuate shifts in prices from factors affecting them both but with opposite effects. Federal actions or even reports of economic data are some of those factors. This chart shows that about November 1st, TBT ad topped out and fell. They are inverses of one another . What makes one go down will make the other go up and viceversa. By February 1, TBT bottomed out and the ratio reversed. The cycle took 3 months. On a lower time frame, cycling would be more frequent. At present, it would appear to be time to sell TLT and / or buy TBT What applies to the TBT /TLT ratio would also relate to TMV / TMF as a ratio.
AMEX:TBTLong
by AwesomeAvani
TSLA to NIO market cap comparisonOn a down market day I decided to look at the comparision of market cap between TSLA and NIO by a share price ratio basis. On the daily chart, albeit with fluctuations, TSLA is continuously gaining market cap compared with NIO. This ratio allows for a tool to help decide whether to buy TSLA or NIO. In short, TSLA is a buy at the low pivots of the ratio, while NIO is the buy at the high pivots which is right now. Conversely, TSLA is a sell or short at the high pivots while NIO is a sell at the low pivots. The trade right now is sell TSLA to decrease the position and use the proceeds to buy NIO either in bulk or in increments to average in.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by AwesomeAvani
SOXL / SOXS , this ratio analysis shows when to trade eachSOXL is the triple leveraged semi-conductor ETF while SOXS is its inverse. While SOXL is primarily up trending in its intermediate and full-time history, it does from time to time have a correction mainly when the technology sector gets challenged. I have found that plotting the ratio of the share values is a very accurate way of pinpointing those corrections and temporarily buy some SOXS to offset the downward price action and nullifying any loss. This is more or less insurance in case the overall position must be closed for one reason or another or transient hedging. As can be seen, these corrections last 1-5 days . This strategy is effective risk management as during the correction the SOXS gains some of what SOXL loses especially if the share dollars are equally balanced. Ever better is the same thing on a 2-3 hour time frame albeit it with more hedging trades. I have found that this strategy works on a variety of inverse ETF pairs. Most of them however do not have one side going up more or less continuously and instead oscillate rather than simple and shallow corrections like this pair. Please give a like if you this this could be helpful to your trading.
AMEX:SOXLLong
by AwesomeAvani
YINN & YANG Market Cycles and Ratios YINN LONG nowThis weekly chart of the YANG /YINN ratio explains the rationale of the demonstration of the market cycle over the period of a few years as it relates to taking a swing trade in one or the other and finding the likely pivot points based on resistance and support as static levels or importance. Dynamic levels using an anchored VWAP and also a Bollinger Band are used to support analysis and finding pivot points of importance. This is meant to be a methodology of decreasing risk while optimizing reward. The same methodology could be deployed onto a shorter time frame of 120 minute time frame to zigzag more often with greater precision and potentially achieving greater profits over a given time interval. An optimal reversal on the high side is a confluence of the horizontal resistance /supply area with the upper Bollinger Band and the uppermost of the anchor VWAP bands.
AMEX:YANGLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
TSLA priced in Spot Gold. Should I sell or buy ?I have holdings in both TSLA and XAUSUD. The question arises should I sell one to buy the other? To answer the question. I have set up a ratio between the two of them on a daily chart. Overlaid onto the chart is a pair of Hull Moving Averages the shorter MA with a period of 49 in blue and the longer by about 3x at 154 in red. ( These are multiples of 7 if you are curious why, leave a comment.) I am looking for moving average cross overs of the golden or death type. The dual time frame RS indication compares the lower TF of 3 hrs with the higher TF of one week. The ratio is now just under the POC line of the long term volume profile so traders shorting this ratio ( those selling TSLA and /or buying gold) are now in charge. My analysis is that the ratio has hit a pivot high, the trend is now downward as the blue line going under the red is a death cross. The RSI indicator has a confirmatory similar cross. Accordingly, I will sell some TSLA and buy a similar amount of spot gold instead.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by AwesomeAvani
On Forex should I buy stop oil or stop gold instead?Suppose I am a forex trader who trades both gold and oil among others. I am aware that gold is now rising and oil has already risen. Should I sell out of oil and buy gold? Here I use TradingView tools to give guidance to the best approach. On the daily chart, I have dressed out the chart with a long anchored VWAP and its deviation lines along with the price momentum oscillator and the ZL MACD. The ratio is descending from a double top in March and May and trending down through the upper VWAP lines. My analysis is that gold will continue to fall relative to oil until a potential bounce off the mean VWAP. My analysis is that the ratio will drop for a bit. If I need cash out of my positions. I should sell gold. If I have cash to deploy into my positions, I shoudl buy more oil. Once the ratio bounces if in fact it does on watch. I should do the opposite. This idea I believe demonstrates the power of TV tools in informing a trader towards high value decisions in trading.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AwesomeAvani
I want to buy either AMZN or a leveraged gold ETF like JNUGSo my question is which one is better right now? To anwer that question, I set up a daily chart of the ratio of the prices with a volume profile and anchored VWAP for context and analysis. I have found that the ratio had a pullback into the support of an anchored VWAP band below the higher and to the POC line where a bullish contnuation resumed. On the RSI both the low and high RS lines are in a healthy midrange. HA Candlesticks are fairly wide-ranged and rising from a base at the POC line. My conclusion is easy, buy AMZN now. If or when rather AMZN cools off, incrementally sell out of it perhaps to add to the leveraged gold ETF. I am a long term gold bug but need to trade in the moment, and AMZN right now has far more glitter.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
GOLD to OIL prices the RATIO ANALYSIS ( and meaning )GLD is an ETF tracking gold futures prices across a blend of durations. USO is a similar ETF for crude oil. I was interested to see what the ratios look like and considering the trading advise of buy low should I be trading and bartering gold to get oil or viceversa. It is applicable for be because I am in part a commodities trader and has some activities on the leveraged forex market. On the daily chart dressed with a set of two long term anchored VWAP standard deviation lines , and some horizontal static resistance lines added, it is obvous to me that the ratio is currently sitting on the mean VWAP band for support confluent with the lower trendline of the ascending megaphone pattern which is typically considered demostrative of increasing volatility. I conclude that if I am a barterer I should trade my oil for gold. If I have gold only and dry powder I should increase my gold holdings. If I prefer trading oil I should short the market. This is because the ratio is set up to rise. The means that gold will rise or oil will fall or some hybrid combination of that. My entry here is when the volatility on the indicator is green and crosses over the running average. This is a simple demonstration of how charting with TradingView can help a trader make well- grounded and profitable trading decisions while lowering risk and making profits more probable. What do you think of this analysis? What are your agreements or disagreements with it?
AMEX:GLD
by AwesomeAvani
2
How to do ration of win/loss in option trading? The ratio of win/loss in trading is an important metric that helps evaluate the effectiveness of your trading strategy. Here's a step-by-step guide on how to calculate and improve your win/loss ratio: 1| Keep meticulous records: Start by maintaining a comprehensive trading journal where you record every trade you make. Include details such as entry and exit points, trade size, and the outcome (win or loss). 2| Determine the number of winning trades: Review your trading journal and count the total number of trades that resulted in a profit. This will be your "number of winning trades." 3| Calculate the number of losing trades: Similarly, determine the total number of trades that ended in a loss. This will be your "number of losing trades." 4| Calculate the win/loss ratio: Divide the number of winning trades by the number of losing trades. For example, if you had 40 winning trades and 20 losing trades, your win/loss ratio would be 2:1 (40/20). 5| Analyze and improve: Once you have your win/loss ratio, assess your trading strategy and identify areas for improvement. Focus on enhancing your risk management techniques, refining your entry and exit strategies, and ensuring proper trade selection. 6| Set realistic expectations: It's crucial to understand that a high win/loss ratio alone does not guarantee profitability. Consider other metrics like the average size of your winning and losing trades, as well as the overall risk-to-reward ratio. Remember, trading is a dynamic process, and ratios can fluctuate over time. Strive for continuous improvement, adapt to changing market conditions, and always prioritize risk management to achieve long-term success in trading.
AMEX:SPY
by A1TradingHub
TLT / TBT Ratio - a bonds long and short oscillatorOn the daily chart- I have plotted the TLT (Long Bond Leveraged) ETF vs the TBT (Short Inverse) as a ratio. The ratio is running on a cycle between high and low. On the chart for reference is a Hull Moving Average of 20 days. A more frequency cyling could be achieved with a paid Tradingview subscription and a charting time frame of 2 or 4 hours. For the trading idea, when the hull moving average is upgoing and the price is above it, the TLT can be bought while when the moving average of the ratio is decreasing and price is under it, the TBT can be bought. At a high pivot point, all TLT is liquidated and a TBT trade is taken . For a low pivot point, TBT positions are closed and TLT long trades are taken. The best trades are at the pivot points and when a doulble top or bottom are put onto the chart.
NASDAQ:TLT
by AwesomeAvani
BUD - Hail the King of BeerHere on a daily chart, I have plotted the ratio of the dynamic share price of BUD compared with TAP. The thesis is that TAP ( Coors / Molson) may have had a share price rise while BUD dropped its own as a reaction to its adverse ad campaign which resulted in a social media disaster. BUD is global with only 25% of its market in North America while TAP is more like North America predominantly. The ad campaign and social media backlash is only North America over time is impact will be nil. The thesis is that BUD will recover and that astute contrarian investors and traders can profit from the dynamic which in the greater and longer picture has been a dip for BUD representing a buying opportunity. As can be seen on the chart, the DUD/TAP ratio is at the bottom and outside of the boundary of the lower Bollinger Bands and now reentering the bands. The ratio is also in the demand/support zone where it was last October. The action of the ratio was a double top "M" pattern which has now played out . Finally, the AI predictive algo of Luxalgo predicts a ratio rise between now and the end of the month as the ratio heads to the midline of the Bollinger Bands. Overall, the analysis is that either BUD will rise or TAP will drop or some combination. Overall, I conclude that BUD could easily rise from this dip over the next ten calendar days. I will take a position in call options with 30- 45 DTE.
NYSE:BUDLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
GBPUSD LONGTrade based on the monthly timeframe looking for the spring to retest monthly lows, and sweep the equal highs. Nice and simple trade looks like I caught the play it was running a simple retest off the lows and a nice run up to sweep the equal highs followed by a distribution wave classic setup it seems. The last distribution/bear run took us down to the lows we haven't been at since the mid-1980 so these times are absolutely unpredictable and to even trade in these markets takes nuts. As long as you stick to the plan you take the gambling out of the equation, We're up big this month and were only risking 1%, If it plays out great that's awesome if it decides to fall to break record lows so be it we will be there to capitalize off some nice shorts in the near future.
by jonathancarlucci
3
SPY divided by AAPL ratio chartAs you can see on this ratio chart, we had a breakout and backtest with weekly bull divergence, which likely means AAPL will gain less value - or lose more value to SPY in the coming weeks. Since I expect the market to fall from this area, I also expect AAPL to outperform to the downside for a while. Earnings could pump it first - and if so, I think AAPL would be an ideal short near 150 if it could get there. The monthly charts are also showing bull divergence on the RSI. First target would be about 3.40 area resistance.
AMEX:SPYLong
by the_sunship
2
PCC & QQQ: PUT TO CALL RATIO / MARKET BOTTOM NEARING???DESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have included an overlapping analysis of PCC which is a PUT TO CALL RATIO INDICATOR & QQQ a LEADING INDEX in the OVERALL MARKET. POINTS: 1. A PUT TO CALL RATIO LEVEL OF 2:1 HAS ALWAYS BEEN INDICATIVE THAT A MARKET BOTTOM IS NEARING OR IN. 2. MACD is has officially shown a complete flip in buying to selling pressure by touching +0.1 and falling closer to -0.05. 3. RSI is showing a distinct decline seen in past market bottoms. IMO: With an overabundance of overall bearish market sentiment and spikes being seen in PUT TO CALL RATIO INDICATORS FOR EQUITIES & INDICES it should be safe to bet that market bottoms occur when the majority of retail investors are buying PUTS as MARKET MAKERS would not allow their CONTRACTS to EXPIRE IN THE MONEY. SCENARIO: Continuous spikes to 2 POINTS for PCC and above is most certainly a sign that a MARKET BOTTOM is in the making already. FULL CHART LINK: www.tradingview.com USI:PCC NASDAQ:QQQ
PLong
by DGSTBROKERACC
"S**T COIN" INVESTMENTS, WHICH IS BETTER, $SHIB OR $DOGE?💩🚀This chart maps the performance of Shiba Inu vs. Dogecoin. While this type of investing is not very highly recommended at this time, I have created this to show which may be a better performer in the near future, should anyone decided to make such risky investments/trades. IMO this chart shows and imminent break of the current support level, giving $DOGE the upper-hand for a "short" while. Then $SHIB will take over as it begins to overperform against $DOGE. More than likely (IMO) this will be caused by an initial, substantial rise in $DOGE. Then FOMO over those profits gained by investors will cause others to seek similar profits, directing them towards the next "gamble", which will more than likely be $DOGE's "sibling", $SHIB. Because of $SHIB's wider margins, it will then outperform $DOGE in terms of growth. Also, this may be a strong, bullish signal that retail has now fully entered the market and overall crypto prices may begin to recuperate.
FTX:SHIBUSD
by DoozerInvest
4
Historical Tops & Where They Could Lead UsWith the world economies weakening, interest rates rising, equities tumbling, and inflation running rampant; I have been forced to generate a few panic support levels for BTC. The chart above illustrates a ratio analysis study of the major corrections from the 2013 and 2017 Bitcoin highs. By extending the ratio's of the former corrections we are able to generate two major support zones. Panic Zone 1: 20k-23k Panic Zone 2: 9.5k-12.5k While target zone 2 seems quite deep at the moment, target zone 1 is also supported by my 2019 channel analysis here: Target zone 2 could become relevant because in addition to the world's worsening economic situation, many argue that Bitcoin's rate of growth is based upon a curve rather than a linear path. If this theory holds and equities continue to tumble, then I would not rule out a sub-10k wick in the future. Though less relevant, I also conducted a simple time study above in hopes that if crypto goes into a major correction, it could be over by the end of June.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by oh92
3