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SWING IDEA - DLFDLF , a major player in the real estate sector, is showing promising technical signals for a swing trade. Reasons are listed below : Break of Flag and Pole Pattern : The stock has broken out of a flag and pole pattern, a continuation pattern indicating the potential for further upside in the ongoing trend. 800 Zone as a Strong Support : The 800 level has proven to be a solid support zone. The price is currently bouncing back from this level, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to support the price. Bullish Engulfing Candle on Weekly Timeframe : The formation of a bullish engulfing candle on the weekly chart indicates strong buying pressure, which often leads to a continuation of the upward trend. Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA : DLF is trading above both the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages, reinforcing the bullish sentiment and indicating strong support at these levels. Intact Uptrend : The overall trend remains intact, suggesting that the stock is in a strong upward trajectory with the potential for further gains. Target - 967 // 1030 Stoploss - weekly close below 795 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:DLFLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
La Rosa Holding CompanyGood morning traders, La Rosa company since it's entry into the market has dropped significantly. Seems after several months it will spike and pump for a day followed by another significant drop. It's had several pumps some more significant than the other, but right now it seems its seeking support at .82 & .62. I call this the loading zone (S2). Once this range is reached (if), I expect another temporary pump at least to $2.11 (give or take). Be VERY cautious, this is a technical analysis and so far pumps are getting smaller. For all we know, this MAY BE the last pump. Great luck with your investments and don't forget to follow for other company predictions. Happy Trading Everyone!
NASDAQ:LRHC
by Vic_Tech_Trader
2
SWING IDEA - MACROTECH DEVELOPERS (LODHA)Macrotech Developers , a prominent real estate company in India, presents a swing trading opportunity based on its current technical setup. Reasons are listed below: 1200 as a Strong Support Zone : The 1200 level has been a significant support zone, providing a strong foundation for a potential upward move. Double Bottom Pattern on Daily Timeframe : A double bottom pattern has formed on the daily chart, which is a classic bullish reversal pattern, indicating the potential for an upward trend after testing the support zone twice. 50 EMA Support on Weekly Timeframe : The stock is finding support at the 50-week exponential moving average, which often acts as a strong support level, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. 200 EMA Support on Daily Timeframe : The 200-day exponential moving average is also providing strong support on the daily chart, indicating the long-term trend remains intact. 0.382 Fibonacci Support: The stock has bounced off the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting that the current price level is a strong support area, and there may be further upside potential. Target - 1415 // 1600 Stoploss - weekly close below 1100 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:LODHALong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
7
BITCOIN - Analyzing previous Bitcoin cycles combined with DataIf you look at the monthly chart of Bitcoin and examine the three previous cycles in crypto, you can see where we currently stand. This doesn’t guarantee that we’ll go up from here, but it does show that the chart often follows a similar pattern every cycle. Price movements are a universal phenomenon seen across all charts in various sectors, not just crypto. Often, you’ll notice an asset testing its all-time high (ATH) and then taking a “breath.” After that, the asset typically moves beyond its ATH and embarks on a bullish journey. The market tends to become more greedy once it surpasses the ATH because it means everyone in the market is in profit. Of course, it depends on what you bought, but the principle remains the same. I see a lot of people worried about where we’re headed next. Nothing is for certain, but stop reading the news and worrying about recessions. England and Germany are currently in recessions and have just broken their ATHs. Recessions have nothing to do with price action. Many are also concerned that the markets will crash once the rate cut season starts, which is highly likely to occur in September. However, historical data suggests otherwise. If you look back 70 years, the S&P 500 has averaged an 11% return one year after the first rate cut. By using data and following cycles, like the one below and the 18.6-year real estate and economic cycle, it becomes much easier to handle the drawdowns and negativity you hear around you. Using Fibonacci retracement, I believe we could see a top for Bitcoin around $150-200K before the next bear market.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by WealthNode
Emerging Real Estate, Infrastructure (nal jal yojna) & PM Aawas Apollo pipes ltd is having good dealership network in north India, once they spread across the rest of the country, they will undoubtedly at among top players in upvc and pvc pipes. one can bet on their stock for coming 3 years, buy strategically at current level 538-542, accumulate more around at 494 finally buy more at 430 for the first target of 600 second target at of 750 finally book profit at 900 all above targets are likely to observe by the end of December24 to January 2025. This is not a buy recommendation, this is my personal idea and view for upcoming 6 months to 3-year time frame, one should take advise from his financial advisor before investing. Refer Chart for Logic and Analysis methodology.
NSE:APOLLOPIPELong
by avinashdilliwar
US HOUSING MARKET CRASHUS Real Estate Price Index Analysis: The chart illustrates a long-term upward trend in the US real estate market, with prices consistently climbing over the years. However, we are now approaching a critical phase that requires close attention. Pre-Election Period and Mid-2025 Outlook: As we move towards the upcoming elections and into mid-2025, real estate prices in the US are expected to continue their ascent. This trend will be heavily influenced by consumer purchasing power and interest rates on loans, which individuals should monitor separately. The continued growth is driven by demand, but this is likely to face significant headwinds soon. Impending Crisis in 2025: As we enter 2025, the real estate market is on the brink of a major crisis. Prices are predicted to plummet, potentially falling to an average of $380,000 per home. If prices break below this level and sustain, we could see a further drop, possibly revisiting the 2020 price levels where the average home price ranged between $280,000 and $300,000. Market Correction and Future Growth: The market is expected to correct by approximately 30%, after which it should resume its growth trajectory. This correction will be tied to the growing unaffordability of new homes for the average family, as credit interest rates rise to levels beyond the reach of many. Consequently, more people will opt to rent rather than buy, leading to an oversupply in the market as homeowners struggle to keep up with mortgage payments. With the increasing number of properties flooding the market and demand not keeping pace, the imbalance will push prices down. Additionally, global military conflicts and the policies of the Democratic Party, should they win the election again, will likely lead to a prolonged two-year recession from early 2025 to the end of 2026. Real estate will be one of the last sectors to recover from this crisis. Strategic Buying Opportunity: Given this outlook, I anticipate a market bottom by the end of 2026, making early 2027 the optimal time to purchase real estate in the US. This period should offer the best prices before the market stabilizes and begins its next growth phase.
ECONOMICS:USSFHPShort
by trushkovskiy
Tata Group stock- A generational wealth builder?IHCL is one of India’s leading hospitality companies. They are continuously increasing their portfolio of properties and diversifying their presence both across Bharat and the whole globe. The expansion is taking place at a rapid place. The company has also reduced its debt successfully to pre Covid levels which is a positive sign. It has increased its operating profit margin from average 15% to a good 30%. The revenue is also at its high and it will definitely increase in the coming future with increasing portfolio of hotels. Increase in price of land and increasing property prices will also be a key factor in increasing the book value of the company which will further increase the share price. Thus it is a good opportunity to invest in this company. The stock may go down from 600 levels as the stock has given a good run up in the last year but for long term view small falls should not effect us. The company is looking healthy for parking money for 15-20 years. Hope you like my analysis. Please do your own analysis before investing. Do like and follow and share among your friends and family. Thank you.
NSE:INDHOTELLong
by ronak16125
$DXY about to hit THE WALL?Love TVC:GOLD , stocks, real estate? Well I'm about to make your day. TVC:DXY is strolling into historic resistance at 115. On the WEEKLY timeframe, we have two conjoining forces: A major resistance from the '85 high of 160 (in yellow), and a triple top high of 118 during the early '00s(in yellow). We're also riding the bottom support of 104 in our current rising channel. Fundamentals: The Fed and US fiscal policy will face pressure to weaken the dollar to strengthen exports, boost GDP. This means inflation isn't going away and any rate cuts are going to be like tossing gasoline on a bonfire. Dollar milkshake fans will be shocked to see flight to the dollar fading, as harder money like Gold plays a larger role in sovereign bank collateralizations, trade imbalances. The assumption that the US will remain the cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry may well flip by the end of the decade as multipolar alternatives become more attractive and the debt markets increasingly realize the US debt is beyond repayable (in today's dollars). This is going to provide a tail-wind to all #antifiats, chief among them: GOLD, Bitcoin, and any stock with pricing power. I also see real-estate doing well as foreign US treasuries holders (like China, India, Japan) decide they'd rather bid up US homes, commercial property than earn a pretend yield on terrible debt instruments.
TVC:DXYShort
by dawsonMoonshot
Propy already trying to trigger bigger invh&s pattern? Prop has technically already completed a right shoulder and currently has a decent sized green candle above the neckline. That shoulder is extremely small and disproportional to the rest of the inverse head and shoulder pattern, but I’ve seen even uglier looking versions of this pattern get validated so it is quite possible we could see it validate on the current breach above the neckline. What I’ve also seen many times is price action going back below the neckline 1-4 more time before the official breakout validation happens. Either way once the first breach happens it’s always wise to start keeping a close eye on an inv h&s patter. The breakout target for this one is pretty massive, around $42 or so, so I plan on trying to add some more propy to my holdings before the validation is confirmed. *not financial advice*
COINBASE:PROUSD
by DrDovetail
7
Long S&P and Short Real Estate on Higher for Longer Rates“The only bad time to buy real estate is later” cites investment wisdom. But, when interest rates soar high, real estate investments can and do hurt. Last week FOMC reiterated its resolve to fight inflation down to its target 2%. Inflation has been stubborn and sticky. It has shown signs of trend reversal towards resurgence. Chair Powell’s made clear that rate cuts may take longer to arrive than anticipated. Elevated rates are restrictive for businesses. It leads to shrinking sales and profits. However, recent earnings show heavyweights posting robust growth. While others have shown disappointing earnings. The difference boils down to the industry and sector. Some sectors fare worse than others. Real Estate is extremely sensitive to rates. Higher rates directly impact mortgages impeding buyers from getting into long-term mortgages. Unsurprisingly, the Real Estate Select Sector index has been the lowest performing sector since the start of the Fed’s rate hiking campaign. Underperformance has continued well into 2024 and has also been observed during periods of market rallies. With sustained headwinds facing real estate, underperformance is likely to continue. This provides suave investors a tactical spread opportunity consisting of a long position in the wider S&P 500 index using CME Micro E-Mini S&P 500 futures and a short position in the CME S&P Real Estate Select Sector futures to harness a reward to risk ratio of 1.5x. FED REAFFIRMS HIGHER FOR LONGER Fed fund rates will remain at 5.25%-5.5% for longer given the stubborn inflation trend over the last 12- months. Forget rate cuts. Those hopes are diminishing. The CME FedWatch signals just two rate cuts this year as of 5/May, down from six expected at the start of the year. Source: CME FedWatch Chair Powell’s speech hinted that even two rate cuts is overly hopeful stating that the expected inflation may not be enough to cut rates this year. HIGHER RATES WEIGH ON REAL ESTATE SECTOR Higher rates adversely impact the Real Estate sector. Elevated rates push up mortgage and financing costs. Large financing costs constrains demand. Last October, the 30-year mortgage rate climbed to its highest level in 23 years at 7.79%. Following that peak, the mortgage rates eased to as low as 6.6% in December as expectations of rate cuts started to firm up. Since then, the rates have rebounded. As of 29/April, the 30-Year mortgage rate average (calculated by Freddie Mac) hovers at 7.22%. A measure calculated by the Mortgage Bankers Association showed that as of 1/May, the mortgage rate continues to rise and is now at 7.29%. Higher rates are forcing housing demand lower. New home sales have declined 5% and existing home sales have fallen by 25% since the rate hiking cycle. Home prices continued to rise despite a slowdown in sales. House price index is almost 10% higher since 2022 as inventory of houses hovers near an all-time-low. COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FACES IDIOSYNCRATIC RISKS Commercial Real Estate (“CRE”) has been hit with a double whammy from dwindling office space demand and prohibitive cost of financing. Office space vacancy rate reached a new record high of 19.8% in Q1 2024 as per Moody’s data reported on Bloomberg . Recovery in office space demand remains unlikely in the near term pressing CRE sector down. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP The real estate sector has been hammered. The S&P Real Estate Select Sector Index is 20% lower since the rate hiking cycle began. The benchmark S&P 500 declined at first but has since recovered and now stands 13% higher. For investors to build a directional short is not prudent as the sector has suffered brutal markdowns. This paper argues in favor of a spread between S&P 500 and the Real Estate Select Sector Index using CME futures. S&P 500/XLRE spread has delivered a stunning 45% outperformance since 2022. Investors can utilize CME Micro E-Mini S&P 500 futures which provides exposure to USD 5 x S&P 500 Index. This is one-tenth the size of standard E-mini futures enabling granular risk management. The CME Micro E-mini S&P 500 futures first launched exactly five years ago on 6/May/2019. The demand for these micro contracts has spiked. In April 2024 , these contracts witnessed an Average Daily Volume of more than one million contracts which represents 15.7% YoY growth and 22.7% MoM growth. Micro futures allow for smaller position sizes. It broadens market access and allows for granular and effective hedging by matching notional values closely in spreads. This hypothetical trade consists of a long position in 2 lots of Micro E-mini S&P 500 June futures (MESM2024) with a notional size of USD 51,615 (= 2 (number of contracts) x USD 5 (contract size) x 5161 (index value) ) and a short position in 1 E-mini Real Estate Select Sector futures (XARM4) with a notional size of USD 45,500 (= 1 (number of contracts) x USD 250 (contract size) x 182 (index value) ). Consider the two scenarios which can lead to a shift in the spread ratio: 1) S&P 500 rises from 5161.5 to 5408.6 while Real Estate Select Sector index remains unchanged at 181.8. The ratio becomes 5408.6/181.8 = 29.75. The overall profit, which comes entirely from the S&P 500 position would be (5408.6 – 5161.5) x 5 x 2 = USD 2,471. 2) S&P 500 remains unchanged at 5161.5 while Real Estate Select Sector index falls from 181.8 to 173.5. The ratio becomes 5161.5/173.5 = 29.75. The overall profit, which comes entirely from the Real Estate Select Sector index would be (181.8 – 173.5) x 250 = USD 2,075. • Entry: 28.5 • Target: 29.75 • Stop Loss: 27.5 • Profit at Target: USD 2,471 • Loss at Stop: USD 1,620 • Reward to Risk: 1.53x MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by mintdotfinance
Propy’s Linear chart has a more realistic invh&s targetI posted my previous Propy chart on here before realizing I had the chart mode set to logarithmic. Log charts also do usually reach their targets as well but sometimes it can take multiple bull runs to hit the really high targets on a logarithmic chart. So I thought it would be wise to switch the chart to linear and show what the linear breakout target would be for the inverse head and shoulders target as it has a much higher probability of reaching this target within a month or few of it validating the inv h&s breakout. We can see the target for the pattern on the linear chart is considerably lower and only at $5.60 instead of the $42 price the log chart has the measured move target at. I can believe that propy could eventually hit $42 but theres no guarantee that happens this bull run, sometimes log chart targets take multiple bull runs to get reached. That being said, it is still very possible propy could reach such a price this bull run, so its wise to include that price target as a real possibility, but also even wiser to not consider it a certainty by any means(at least not for the current bullrun). For now I’m setting my pragmatic sights for the invh&s breakout target at around $5.60(depending on whenever the breakout is actually validated which could take many more dips back below the neckline first) *not financial advice*
COINBASE:PROUSD
by DrDovetail
3
ZILLOW, WILLOW WHEREOW THE PRICE GO? imma be honest, I'm running out of creative titles, so you get what you get. Trends labeled Price targets labeled. really neat setup on zillow here. These buy zones are marked at some major support, we have a short term trend leading to a top, and may have already hit. We have a long term support trend going in the bearish price direction. All of the above can help determine potential price movements. With RSI being overextended, the market as a whole, there is potential for quick downside right past support trend, into the zones of major price support, which will then create even stronger support, which will allow the price to keep climbing back up. I'm hesitant to predict anything before seeing where it heads into earnings (13th labeled) BUT.. IDK, something like this maybe? Essentially, I don't know how it will look, or how steep it goes, but it's good to be prepared for some potential scenarios. This chart can cover quite a few of them if you're patient and wait for the right trade. Overall, I would suggest being careful, and should the price go up before going down, it might be a better option to look for a short entry and ride the price down than jumping into a long position, especially with how this chart looks.
NASDAQ:Z
by nicktussing77
The RICS UK House Price Balance - Trending Up For Now The RICS UK House Price Balance (Released this Thursday 14th Mar 2024 for Feb month) The Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) House Price Balance is a monthly survey that indicates whether more or less surveyors expect housing prices to rise or fall in the U.K. housing market. A positive net balance suggests house price increases, while a negative net balance implies price decreases. The RICS provides valuable insight into the UK housing markets trend and helps gauge the direction of house price movements whilst also offering insight into consumer spending. The Chart The RICS House Price Balance is calculated as the proportion of surveyors reporting a rise in housing prices minus the proportion reporting a fall in prices. It reflects the expected monthly change in national house prices. Positive vs. Negative Net Balance: A positive net balance indicates that more surveyors expect price increases, signaling a robust housing market. A negative net balance implies that more surveyors anticipate housing price decreases, indicating a fragile housing market. Green Area 🟢 = More Surveyors Reporting an Increase in House Prices Red Area 🔴 = More Surveyors Reporting an decrease House Prices Grey Areas ⚫️= Recessions ▫️ The RICS fell sharply from April 2022 down to the 0% level in Oct 2022. This was a leading indication of a downward trend UK House market prices (falling from 78% in Apr 2022 to 0% in Oct 2022). ▫️ The RICS fell into the red zone from Oct 2022 forward indicating that houses prices from this date were in net decline (per surveyors responses). ▫️ Almost 12 months later the RICS reached a low of -66% in Sept 2023. Since this date we have started to trend upwards sharply recovering from -66% to -18.4% today. However we remain in net negative territory indicating house prices are still in declining but not as much as before, a change of trend may forming indicating a move to house price appreciation (not confirmed until we move above the 0% level into + territory). ▫️ The Historic Recession Line on the chart illustrates the -63% level which crossed by the RICS at the onset of the 1990 and 2007 recessions (grey areas on chart). We recently penetrated this level moving to -66% in Sept 2023 which historically does not bode well. This weeks RICS release will be very revealing and could tell us if we have a continuation of the upward trend for UK House prices or if we we remain firmly in negative territory. Lets see what Thursday brings, a fascinating little metric to help us keep an eye on the property market in the UK and the to get an idea of UK consumer behavior. PUKA
ECONOMICS:GBRICSHPB
by PukaCharts
LL Flooring Revision: Back From The GraveBuilding your new home is exciting, especially when you understand how the process works. It’s understandable that buyers are excited to see their new home built from start to finish says Chip Perschino, senior vice president of construction at Edward Andrew Homes. “Our homeowners enjoy watching the home come together, from pouring the foundation to framing and watching the home take shape,” he says. “Once the home has drywall, they start to visualize themselves living in the space and how they’ll use it — imagining what furniture goes where and how they’ll entertain friends and family there.
LLong
by noam_chom
UPDATE: Vukile Properties set for upside in 2024Inv Head and Shoulders formed on Vukile as of my last update. The progress has been slow but sure. It broke above the neckline, stayed above the uptrend and 200MA. So the next target I'm raising even higher. But this time to R17.59 FUNDAMENTALS: Positive Earnings Release: Vukile Properties released their first half 2024 earnings showing an increase in earnings per share (EPS) compared to the first half of 2023. An increase in EPS is typically a strong indicator of a company's profitability and can attract investors​​. Dividend Guidance Revision: The company revised its dividend guidance for the year ending 31 March 2024, which may have been perceived positively by the market, reflecting a strong future outlook​​. Management and Board Changes: There have been management changes announced in recent months, which might have been received well by investors if they believe these changes will lead to better performance or a more positive strategic direction for the company​​. Portfolio Value and Performance: ' Vukile's real estate portfolio value has been significant, and the performance of the stock has been exceeding both the industry and the market over the past year, which can boost investor confidenc
JSE:VKELong
by Timonrosso