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VNQ - Iron CondorThis is a study I wanted to do on strikes with abnormally high open interest and if it affects underlying price movement. VNQ has pulled back from its ATH to inside the ATB neutral zone. It also closed with a bearish engulfing candle signaling high probability of sideways to downward trend in next 30-45 days. Testing a horizontal Iron Condor strategy based on strikes with Highest Open Interest on Monthly Expirations of Dec and Jan 2020. Option Profit Calculator: opcalc.com buy 20th Dec $86.00 Put $0.43 $-43.00 (99% of Total OI) sell 20th Dec $90.00 Put $1.53 $153.00 (99% of Total OI) sell 17th Jan $90.00 Call $2.08 $208.00 (99% of Total OI) buy 17th Jan $95.00 Call $0.22 $-22.00 (95% of Total OI) Credit: $296.00 Collateral: $500.00 Maximum risk: $204 at a price of $101.67 on 20th Dec 2019 Maximum return: $187 at a price of $90 at expiry Break-evens at expiry: $92.97, $87.27 VNQ needs to stay inside the red bars for profit. Green line indicates max profit line on a daily basis until expiration.
AMEX:VNQ
by imzeeshan
Breakout on Earnings 10/31Fundamental Catalysts remain strong If numbers are good, look for breakout to 35.75, and then 37.25 areas Take profit anywere above 37.50 before EoY These stocks have the highest dividend yields in the hot real-estate sector, FROM MARKET WATCH With the Federal Reserve cutting short-term rates twice recently and reversing its decision to shrink its balance sheet earlier this year, along with continued stimulative central bank policies in other developed economies, there’s no reason not to expect the big money flow to continue, along with plenty of support for shares of real-estate investment trusts. Company Ticker Dividend yield FFO Yield ‘Headroom' Total return - 12 months though Oct. 22 Macerich Co. MAC, -2.76% 10.26% 12.86% 2.60% -37% Iron Mountain Inc. IRM, -0.47% 7.19% 6.27% -0.92% 15% Company Ticker Share 'buy' ratings Share 'hold' ratings Share 'sell' ratings Closing price - Oct. 22 Consensus price target Implied 12-month upside potential Macerich Co. MAC, -2.76% 17% 72% 11% $29.23 $35.15 20% Iron Mountain Inc. IRM, -0.45% 46% 36% 18% $33.97 $35.27 4% Here’s how the sectors and the broad indexes have performed during 2019, for 12 months and for longer periods: S&P 500 Sector Total return - 2019 through Oct. 1 Total return - 12 months Total return - 3 years Total return - 5 years Total return - 10 years Total return - 15 years Total return - 20 years Information Technology 30.3% 7.1% 82% 133% 395% 461% 187% Real Estate 28.4% 24.5% 33% 71% 310% 284% N/A Utilities 25.0% 27.1% 46% 82% 230% 351% 357%
NYSE:IRMLong
by noam_chom
Lexington Property Trust a defensive growth stock for OctoberLXP blew away analyst expectations on its last earnings report, beating by 200%. It got a nice pop after earnings, then collapsed when it announced a $10 million share offering. It started to recover after it announced what it was doing with the money raised from investors: purchasing new properties to accelerate its growth. If LXP is as good a steward of the new properties as it has been so far, I'm not worried about the share offering; it should propel the company's expansion rather than dilute my shares. LXP has a 9.5/10 Equity StarMine Summary Score and is rated "undervalued" by the fundamental analysts at S&P Capital IQ. Amidst the coming "earnings recession" this quarter, real estate is expected to be one of the few sectors that outperform. The sector as a whole is overbought, but LXP is a better value than most real estate stocks, having dipped to mid-RSI channel ahead of its ex-dividend date tomorrow. LXP pays a dividend of 10 cents per share, down from 18 cents per share last fiscal year. (I actually like a lower dividend, because it gives the company more capital to reinvest.) Unlike many dividend stocks, which take a big hit after the ex-dividend date, LXP's price usually takes its hit before the dividend and then recovers after. In my opinion this is a pretty good bet to buy ahead of the dividend and hold as value/growth stock for October.
NYSE:LXPLong
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
EPISODE 9/11: US REAL ESTATE:WAVE VARIATIONS& INDICATOR TA(XLRE)Episode 9/11 : US (SPX) Sectors Technical Analysis Series - 31st of July 2019 Brief Explanation of the chart ( since everything is labelled on the chart ): (1 minute read) First and foremost : The XLRE Index was formed very recently(2016), so obviously due to the lack of data this analysis should be seen at most as informative . Now, let's break down the chart : Weekly XLRE chart labelled with 2 large structural supports as blue( 30$ ) & purple( 34-35$ ) rectangles. Furthermore, the wave/cycle variation can be broken down to 3 most probably variations : Variation #1 ( Purple ): If the economy continues to be in a great state. US-China deal goes through and Trump wins 2020. Most bullish Scenario. Variation #2 ( RED ): Trump wins 2020, but the global economy slows down/Deal takes too long to be completed. Still a bullish scenario either way. Variation #3 ( Blue ): Bearish scenario . Dems win 2020, in which case we will have a recession in the nearby future, thereafter. This is it. I do not think there's anything more to be said. I always let my charts speak the words that I am not willing to put the effort to say/write. This is just a brief "free" and very detailed analysis. Perhaps in the future I might form a premium group, to whose members I will provide all the details of my research. >>I do not share my ideas for the likes or the views. This channel is only dedicated to well informed research and other noteworthy and interesting market stories.>> However, if you'd like to support me and get informed in the greatest of details, every thumbs up or follow is greatly appreciated ! Step_Ahead_ofthemarket- Check my Previous episodes on the US Sectors : EPISODE 8 : US CONSUMER STAPLES (XLP) EPISODE 7 : US CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY ( XLY ) Full Disclosure: This is just an opinion, you decide what to do with your own money. For any further references- contact me.
AMEX:XLRE
by step_ahead_ofthemarket