Virtual vs Real Estate - $MANA vs US/Chinese Real-EstateIt's always been a dream of mine to have a creative space where artists, intellectuals, entrepreneurs and activists could congregate and meet. High costs of living made this impossible but we might be able to do something similar in the #metaverse, which is the next best thing.
I've already seen some amazing stuff in Decentraland and Cryptovoxels despite it being very early. Very bullish on the direction the metaverse is going in right now. Once royalties and distribution of #NFTs get streamlined, there's no telling how big this thing could get.
IRL, artists have already been displaced many times due to NIMBYism and a society that just can't be bothered to give creatives the decency of basic infrastructure and services. #Crypto gives a low-cost option of selling their work in ways that Web2 failed to do.
So the goal of NFTs, Metaverse, and crypto-based creative projects should be to make as much cool things as possible, to draw attention away from traditional arts/entertainment venues and brick-n-mortar museums/galleries to shift demand towards these mediums over IRL ones.
Real-estate prices are way overinflated right now due to decades of NIMBYism, mismanagement and corruption in the appraisal process and is waiting to pop any day now. The metaverse may be just the thing needed to accelerate that pop. This is good for most people, as a whole.
Ignore the talking heads saying that a real-estate crash would hurt the poor. That type of trickle-down BS is what got us into our current situation to begin with and should be dismissed entirely. A deflated housing market will reduce rents and homelessness - it's just math.
So in a way, the metaverse IS the market correction in the IRL real-estate market that we've been waiting for. Induced demand goes digital, countering the artificial scarcity of NIMBY practices in the real world, and will reach a new equilibrium of sorts after a few years.
After that, it's anyone's game. But we get interesting content in the digital world while reducing rents IRL at the same time. A win-win. But my money is on $MANA, $ETH, and NFTs since they're small in size by comparison and has a lot of room to grow. That's how money is made.
If you need proof, this chart showing MANA doing inversely well against the US and Chinese real-estate market right now. The US markets are printing a lot of money to keep their prices artificially high, but as inflation rises it's going to reach a point where growth will no longer be possible. And so far it's pointing in the direction that crash could result in crypto assets experiencing exponential growth as a result.
Realestate
Near-Term Pain turns to Long-Term GainI think EXPI is done for the year! I image a lot of holders will sell some of their position to offset 2021 gains. I was bullish on EXPI up until recently and thought that some of the indicators would flip but there's too much negative sentiment in macro and RE specifically. I think EXPI will dip into the $20s and rebound from there. EXP is a promising company and is poaching high-performing RE talent from other brands. The company is expanding domestically and internationally and also moving into adjacent services which bode well for top-line growth.
MANA Bullish move broke its ATH and on the way to $10Hi fellows! MANA has made it and surpassed its past ATH 4.99. The MANA top 100 holders did not make any pump or move yet. This indicates a strong market incentive for the MANA. At the same time, SAND also got pumped (with the involvement of top 100 holders of SAND) meaning the market for NFT and metaverse is very BULLISH right now!
Happy Thanks Giving and enjoy your holiday!
This is not financial advice and invests responsibly!
I am very Bullish on MANA right now and I will explain whyI am very bullish on MANA right now as I am a fundamental analysist with analyzing both team, cash flow, cash distribution, and another part of the project before investing in anything. MANA is different than SAND boy with a recent boost. If you have some time to go to coinmarketcap and check the holder of MANA and SAND, you will realize top 100 holders of MANA only hold 78% MANA token (these holders include the Dev team, and I think they are the top 2 wallets with ~185mil MANA) compared to 96% SAND token. Remember, MANA has 1.8 Bil MANA tokens currently circulating with a Total of 2.1 Bil MANA tokens available (That is right, roughly 300-400 mill MANA are held by the MANA's Dev team). This is very decentralized! Compared to SAND with 800Mil token in circulation and the Dev team hold 2.2 Bil Token of SAND.
You can also make a note of the MANA's price jump price from Nov 11 till Nov 15, and check the holder portfolio during this time. It shows the top 100 holders of MANA actually buy back MANA during that time to make the price jump from $2.5 to $3.6 and sell out the same MANA to make the price drop down to 2.9 during these 5 days. What happened is that people kept buying in and holding it for long rather than shortening on MANA. This is the very important key point here, the new MANA's holders majorly have an investor mentality for the long term. Since that buyback and sale from the top 100 MANA holder, the MANA price has been very stable growing up until now. The whole goal of MANA is not to make you a rich FOMO boy, but to distribute tokens to make it become more decentralized, and currently, it is the most decentralized metaverse out there with the lowest token percentage for top 100 holders. If you do the same analysis for SAND you will realize the top 100 holders in SAND and others have a very different strategy and they tend to have a longer time frame to accumulate and sell off the token. After we saw the price jump on Nov11-15, we can see how capable the MANA top 100 holders can do, however, the main point is MANA needs to be at a low price to attract more people to it. The one that is going to attract more is the real estate management companies. Within 24 hours, there was a Canadian real estate company purchased $2.5 Mil worth of land on Decentraland right on the fashion district. The article is following (you can google search it):
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"On Tuesday, a Canadian investment firm that focuses on decentralized finance (DeFi) called Tokens.com purchased nearly $2.5 million worth of virtual land in the platform Decentraland.
Specifically, Tokens.com purchased 116 parcels of virtual land for a total of 618,000 MANA, the native currency of Decentraland, according to a company release. The company claimed the purchase represented the largest transaction of its kind to date.
Tokens.com purchased the land through the virtual real estate firm Metaverse Group, which offers virtual land development services for clients. The purchase is equivalent to 6,090 square feet of physical land — which is approximately the size of 1.3 basketball courts.
In mid-October, Tokens.com purchased a 50% stake in Metaverse Group for $1.68 million. Metaverse Group also sells and rents virtual land in the virtual world platforms Cryptovoxels, The Sandbox, Upland and Somnium.
The purchased lots are based in Decentraland’s Fashion Street district and will be developed to accommodate the growing demand for fashion brands to showcase digital merchandise in the metaverse.
“Fashion is the next massive area for growth in the metaverse,” said Sam Hamilton, Head of Content at the Decentraland Foundation, in a statement. “So it’s timely, and very exciting, that Metaverse Group has made such a decisive commitment with this land purchase in the heart of Decentraland’s fashion precinct.”
Digital land is valued by the foot traffic it receives and its proximity to brands located within the metaverse, as The Block previously reported. "
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As you have read it throughout, accumulating MANA is actually turning out to be a good long-term investment because the real world is coming to know about MANA right now. MANA tokens will be needed for services and it is a great example of lithium/petrol in the metaverse world.
Now coming back to the chart, the running price from $2.9 up until now $4 are made by major people of the community rather than the top 100 holders. It does not mean they don't think MANA is not potential, it just means they create room for accumulation before making moves. My chart has been able to predict correctly the move in the past 72 hours, so that is a good sign of my good sense lol! If MANA would be able to break the support line and run straight to $2.9 then it would be my dream as I am hoping it to drop down every day in the past 15 days.
This is not financial advice and please invest responsibly!
CHCI Easy 20% Gain and Hedge Against InflationCompany Profile
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Real Estate Management & Development
Company Location: Reston, VA
Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. develops, operates, and manages properties in the greater Washington, D.C. metropolitan area. The company operates through two segments, Asset Management and Real Estate Services. The Asset Management segment provides management services to a range of real estate owners and businesses that include various commercial real estate uses, including apartments, hotels, office buildings, commercial garages, leased lands, retail stores, mixed-use developments, and urban transit-oriented developments. The Real Estate Services segment provides a range of real estate services in the areas of strategic corporate planning, capital markets, brokerage services, and environmental and design-based services in the Mid-Atlantic Region. Its environmental services group offers consulting and engineering services, environmental studies, remediation services and site-specific solutions for projects. The company was formerly known as Comstock Homebuilding Companies, Inc. and changed its name to Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. in June 2012. Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
First Target: $5.42
Second Target: $5.67
Third Target: $6.03
Fourth Target: $6.48
Stop Loss: $5.13
Classic Cup & Handle patternWe are seeing a cup & head pattern on this real estate ETF.
How to enter a position:
First entry: 20% of full amount, when it breaks the high of the handle of the cup.
Second entry: 80% is the cross above the high of the cup, confirming the bullish pattern.
Risk-reward setup:
Profit-exit: Full target is $53 approximately. 10sma has been working well with a trailing stop for a partial sell.
Loss-exit: the target is denied, if we close below the november 1st low; at which point I would exit 100%.
Good luck, and have a great weekend everyone!
RE - Real Estate Double Top Before FOMCIdea for Real Estate:
- Real Estate testing a double top after some exhaustion Sept-Oct.
- MBB's rolling over, rejected at -1 Std Dev:
- Because every other market component is already at +2/-2 Std Dev, and Real Estate is relatively less volatile than say S&P 500, I think the +1/-1 Std Dev is a good signal.
- We will have more confirmation next week depending on Fed's decision to taper MBS purchases. I think the Fed will stick to their signaled schedule in hopes of avoiding any sort of a "tantrum".
- Historically, RE and MBS's lead declines in equities.
- We have seen both commodity prices, Building Permits and pending Home Sales come down, so a decline is natural:
- Overseas property market declining is likely to have headwinds as well:
GLHF
- DPT
Zillow Ponzied - Real Estate Bubble - Treasury Rates RisingDebt gets uncontrollable for the ones who've borrowed too much. #kingdollar will come in to play. Sell Sell Sell!
Everything rally PONZIED. The unintended consequences of ponzi pogging for decades. Time for the taxes.
Hyperinflated assets to be annihilated. Small cap QUALITY VALUE will outperform on EARNINGS GROWTH!!!!
Large cap #stonks BONDS WILL CRASH first, then the equities. ZERO CORPORATE TAX days are over. Along with a BRAND NEW
GLOBAL MINIMUM TAX!! wow. Once in decades opportunity for small caps. EXCELLENT!!!
#cannabisreform #thegem Jobs & Justice
Akerna $KERN has the COMPLIANCE DATA software.
LABS GROUP has a very big potential. NFT real estate.LABS Group is the first end to end Real Estate focused investment ecosystems with a real estate focused securities exchange.
Market Cap $26,433,280
A list of upcoming events.
November
WIN Development with an Introduction into Chainlinks VRF system.
UI WIN Completed
WIN Backend / Frontend Completed
Bridge Feature Integration
Crowdfunding Platform Release with two live crowdfunding projects
December
Testing WIN with BETA Users
WIN Platform Release
NFT Marketplace Platform Development
Third live crowdfunding project
NFT Marketplace Platform Completed
Testing Transactions on Polygon Mainnet
NFT Marketplace Platform Release
About LABS Group
LABS Group is a digital investment platform that provides access to fractionalized property ownership and enables the continuous trading of real estate assets-backed tokenized shares on a regulated security exchange. LABS Group’s platform uses blockchain technology and smart contracts to ensure complete transparency over a borderless ecosystem where property developers and investors can interact seamlessly and with unprecedented efficiency.
Real estate and blockchain professionals have brought together their expertise to devise an ecosystem of services that make property investment more accessible, more secure, and more liquid.
PROPY - buy while you still can !!I bought into PROPY around 98 cents but was to busy to post about it.
Now that it doubled in around 10 days it represents still a great opportunity !
The MarketCap is 124 million usd - put that in relation with a 250 T plus Real Estate Market !!
From a technical analysis PROPY looks great on the USD pair. A big inverse H&S pattern has formed and we are right under the neckline !
Volume has picked up ans shows huge green buy bars. Price by volume has broken out today !!
PROPY is the first real estate token of its kind and well ahead in the game.
That is why the W6rld Ec6nomic F6rum mentiones it on its website: "Propy is a global real estate marketplace with a decentralized title registry aiming to solve international real estate transaction problems by creating a novel unified property store and asset transfer platform for the global real estate industry. Propy allows buyers, sellers, brokers and escrow agents, title agents and notaries to come together by using a suite of smart contracts on blockchain to facilitate transactions."
Do not miss out this opportunity.
Z - Falling Wedge for the Win?!WEEKLY CHART
This is a classic falling wedge pattern! (I'm a little late to the party.)
- Strong volume
- Break above $107.10 (break above 50MA) should confirm a continuation of the bullish trend.
- 50MA could create some resistance around $101-$103.
I like Z $120 Call 1/21/22. I'm already in. (avg. $2.40)
Hang Send Mainland Properties index Big rally, BUT
Potentially a Spinning Top/ Shooting star Still inside Senkou Span a & B
So it looks corrective for the time being on the abck of $ bond coupon payment headline But the filing with exchange is they are still within th egrace period and it is ongoing.
Evergrande Bonds rallied but still trading at 16 on the benchmark 2025 bond.
Evergrande, Inflation, Supply Chains = Good For Crypto? I did a video version of the editor's pick idea (link below) with more details and a more holistic look at what's been going on in real-estate, politics, and crypto.
What happens next is anyone's guess but underlying trends tend to show that the crypto market itself will probably be OK, if not bullish. Some notes from the vid below:
- Inflation is here to stay in the US, China’s inflation is very low right now (below 1% with up and down trends, the US is 5.4% and steadily climbing) and is more likely to recover more smoothly in the long run if they allow Evergrande to default on their loans.
- The United States was caught off guard by inflation warnings because they have outsourced most of their manufacturing overseas over the last few decades -- out of sight, out of mind. (They refused to consider increasing interest rates or lower gov spending until very recently.)
- Crypto is an “inflation friendly” asset because its price is adjustable and is not beholden to supply chain issues.
- China’s ban on Bitcoin and other assets are pretty typical of the politics there, but savvy Chinese investors often invest in foreign assets as a way to dodge taxation and political entities taking control of their assets. This includes real-estate, but also things like cryptocurrencies.
- In September, the media latched onto the Evergrande controversy and dipping crypto prices by attempting to correlate the two. Data shows otherwise, however.
- It will probably take 6-12 months (1 or 2 business cycles) before the effects of Evergrande are seen in the US real-estate markets, but it will most likely be negative for traditional assets. The question is, will this be good or bad for crypto?
Crypto vs GME/AMC vs Evergrande in the Last 3 MonthsA 3 month chart of the returns as a side-by-side comparison. That red line slowly sinking into nothingness is Evergrande, the lines in the middle are GameStop, AMC, and a random ETF I found on the real-estate market here in the US.
How the Evergrande crash will affect the US markets is yet to be seen (it'll probably take at least a business cycle or 2 before the effects of it show up here) but we do know that it will be negative, potentially recession-inducing.
As you can see, as the real-estate market dips, crypto is actually doing better, not worse. People liquidating their assets in China may have lead to the runs that we see today -- and right now where the interest rates of banks are low, crypto is the only asset that makes any sense if you want any sort of reliable return.
If this trend continues, we could see a jump in crypto prices like never seen before. Crypto is also what you call a "inflation friendly" asset because it's not beholden to supply chain issues like other assets are so it's more likely to adapt to economic conditions much faster -- at the very least, it will be affected differently.
But the important thing to pay attention to for the #crypto folks is how this is talked about in public -- if you notice, about a month ago crypto and #blockchain markets have taken a slight hit -- but the media around then started publishing articles how Bitcoin and Ethereum was "tanking" along with the real-estate market, due to Evergrade scares. This is what's called "cherry picking" your data set, since the overall trends show that the two things obviously don't correlate.
Don't get caught up in other people's problems, other people's fears, in other words. Misery loves company, after all. Crypto is in for some good times ahead, I'm pretty sure of it now.
As Inflation Rises, So Do the Opportunities in CryptoInflation is here to stay. Part of the reason why the government was caught off guard was because the US has been offshoring manufacturing for years now and is no longer looped into things like supply chain issues that are happening thousands of miles away. What's likely to happen, and how can crypto benefit from it?
Evergrande vs Bitcoin, Round 2Latest update on the Evergrande fiasco. It's looking like this could be much bigger than even the alarmists have been speculating so far.
tl;dr - the US media is very poor at covering foreign news, especially when it comes to money. Be wary of what you read out there.
China is likely to let Evergrande defaut, which will stand in stark contrast to what we did over here. Expect this issue to get political, especially from the Democratic side since people like Pelosi have made their fortunes in real-estate as well.
This could potentially be a very good thing for #crypto because it will shake people's confidence in traditional assets while also providing more liquidity. If they're going to sell or not purchase a home anymore, where is it going to go? Interest rates are pathetic right now and crypto is the only thing getting people decent returns as we speak.
The Federal Reserve is maybe-sorta-kind-of-thinking about doing the right thing (which is to increase interest rates) but their response is likely going to be too little too late. I think we should probably assume that the correction is going to run its course and adapt accordingly.
More to come with this stuff but it's one of the few things worth paying attention to in finance right now.
UDR - Long set up - weekly chartsUDR, Inc. is a real estate investment trust, which owns, operates, acquires, renovates, develops, redevelops, disposes of, and manages multifamily apartment communities. It engages in the multi-family real estate investment trust business. It operates through the Same-Store Communities and Non-Mature Communities/Other segments. The Same-Store Communities segment pertains to properties that are acquired, developed, and stabilized occupancy. The Non-Mature Communities/Other segment include recently acquired, developed and redeveloped communities and the non-apartment components of mixed use properties.
From the technical scanning standpoint, this chart pops up for 2 very critical reasons.
1. Bollinger Band squeeze on Daily charts and price very close to its 20 Day moving Average and
2. On weekly charts, price sitting right on its 20 week MA. (basis of the Bollinger Band)
More like a Bull flag set up on the weekly charts. Looks bullish with RSI popping upwards too In the bulls control zone
Great move up and then this pullback on weekly charts, just looks a great setup with Good risk to reward.
From the sector correlation perspective, some important considerations are as below:
1. There are nearly 256 stocks in the real estate sector
2. As on the close of today, 201 stocks are above their 5 Day Moving Average, which is a strength score of 76%
3. As on close today, nearly 68% of the total stocks are above their 20 Day Moving Average, which to me is a positive sign of upside trend
4. Today, nearly 81% of the total stocks in this sector had a positive day, higher close than yesterdays close, that is a sign of sector strength
5. Average Price target by analysts at $58.40, still a potential 10% upside from current levels